Almere City vs Helmond Sport Prediction – Match preview
Almere City-:-
Helmond SportYanmar StadionRound 15
Our prediction
Almere City to win (74%)
Almere City 74% · Draw 16% · Helmond Sport 10% · Over 2.5 goals: 63% · Both teams to score: 49%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
74%
10%
Almere CityDraw 16%Helmond Sport
2.5 – 0.8
Expected score
63%
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
54%
23%
Almere CityDraw 23%Helmond Sport
First Half Result
44%
20%
Almere CityDraw 36%Helmond Sport
Team to Score First
63%
33%
Almere CityNo goal 4%Helmond Sport
Probability
Both Teams to Score
61%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
Almere City Over 3.5 Goals
15%
Almere City Over 1.5 Goals
57%
Helmond Sport Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Almere City Over 0.5 Goals
84%
Match Result
Almere City
63%1.41
model 1.60-12%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw
20%4.90
model 5.07-3%
Last 105%1/20
Helmond Sport
18%5.86
model 5.68+3%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Almere City
78%1.12
model 1.28-13%
Last 1074%14/19
Helmond Sport
22%4.66
model 4.56+2%
Last 1026%5/19
Double chance
Almere City or draw
82%1.09
model 1.21-10%
Last 1075%15/20
Almere City or Helmond Sport
80%1.14
model 1.25-8%
Last 1095%19/20
Draw or Helmond Sport
37%2.67
model 2.680%
Last 1030%6/20
Expected goals 2.2–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 87% | 13% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
67%
Last 1065%13/20
Almere City clean sheet
23%
model chance
Helmond Sport clean sheet
13%
model chance
Almere City goals
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%
Helmond Sport goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 10.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Almere City corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 21%O7.5 11%
Helmond Sport corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 78%O4.5 62%O5.5 45%O6.5 29%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Almere City cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 54%O2.5 27%O3.5 11%
Helmond Sport cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Almere CityHelmond Sport
- 3
- League position
- 17
- WWLLW
- Last 5
- LWLLL
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 11
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 7
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 15
- 6.10
- xG for (L5)
- 5.77
- 5.30
- xG against (L5)
- 3.93
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
3
Almere City wins
1
Draws
3
Helmond Sport wins
Last 7 meetings
2.1
Goals per game
43%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Almere City in the last 5 meetings
LLDWW
Key Players
Eerste Divisie, this seasonAlmere City
Top scorer
Ferdy Druijf
9 goals
Most assists
Marley Dors
3 assists
Best rated
Ferdy Druijf
7.64
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wessel SpeelGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1222 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Joey JacobsDefender | 14 (14) | 1216 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.85 | ×3 |
| Enzo CornelisseMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1093 | 2 | 2 | 0.10 | 6.87 | |
| Teun BijleveldDefender | 14 (13) | 1051 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.77 | – |
| Marley DorsAttacker | 14 (10) | 958 | 3 | 3 | 0.65 | 6.94 | |
| Ferdy DruijfAttacker | 12 (11) | 954 | 9 | 3 | 1.09 | 7.64 | |
| Emmanuel PokuMidfielder | 14 (11) | 924 | 4 | 3 | 0.72 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| James LawrenceDefender | 10 (10) | 824 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Hamza el DahriMidfielder | 11 (10) | 765 | 2 | 2 | 1.04 | 6.77 | |
| Martin WasinskiDefender | 11 (9) | 758 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.98 | – |
| Mees HoedemakersMidfielder | 12 (9) | 693 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Damian van BruggenDefender | 12 (4) | 476 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Byron BurgeringAttacker | 11 (4) | 469 | 1 | 3 | 0.09 | 6.73 | – |
| Jamie JacobsMidfielder | 11 (4) | 438 | 1 | 2 | 0.81 | 6.70 | – |
| Milan de HaanMidfielder | 11 (4) | 408 | 1 | 3 | 0.06 | 6.96 |
Helmond Sport
Top scorer
Michel Ludwig
3 goals
Most assists
Tarik Essakkati
4 assists
Best rated
Tarik Essakkati
7.00
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian KoglinDefender | 14 (14) | 1219 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 6.95 | ×3 |
| Michel LudwigMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1195 | 3 | 0 | 0.38 | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Menno BergsenGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1181 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Sem DekkersDefender | 12 (12) | 1056 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.41 | ×3 |
| Tijn LandheerDefender | 13 (10) | 914 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Livio CiceroAttacker | 13 (10) | 883 | 2 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.79 | |
| Thomas PollDefender | 11 (10) | 753 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 6.49 | |
| Labinot BajramiAttacker | 12 (9) | 677 | 1 | 0 | 0.68 | 6.59 | |
| Helgi Fródi IngasonMidfielder | 10 (9) | 649 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 6.69 | ×2 |
| Mauro LenaertsAttacker | 14 (5) | 622 | 3 | 0 | 0.55 | 6.48 | ×4 |
| Tarik EssakkatiAttacker | 11 (6) | 586 | 3 | 4 | 1.46 | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Joep van der SluijsMidfielder | 8 (6) | 533 | 1 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.94 | – |
| Wassim LantakiDefender | 5 (4) | 374 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.76 | ×2 |
| Dean HuibertsMidfielder | 6 (5) | 367 | 2 | 0 | 0.37 | 6.70 | ×2 |
| Lovro GolicDefender | 8 (3) | 357 | 1 | 0 | 1.35 | 6.72 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| MelBet | 2.06 | 1.69 |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 1.91 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 11.00 | 1.02 |
More on Almere City vs Helmond Sport
- Almere City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Helmond Sport stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture