FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo Prediction – Match preview
FC Dordrecht-:-
Heracles AlmeloRiwal Hoogwerkers StadionRound 15
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
4%
89%
FC DordrechtDraw 7%Heracles Almelo
1.1 – 4.5
Expected score
91%
Over 2.5 goals
68%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
25%
53%
FC DordrechtDraw 22%Heracles Almelo
First Half Result
27%
39%
FC DordrechtDraw 34%Heracles Almelo
Team to Score First
41%
55%
FC DordrechtNo goal 4%Heracles Almelo
Probability
Both Teams to Score
64%
Over 1.5 Goals
85%
Over 2.5 Goals
66%
Over 3.5 Goals
45%
FC Dordrecht Over 3.5 Goals
5%
FC Dordrecht Over 1.5 Goals
34%
Heracles Almelo Over 0.5 Goals
83%
FC Dordrecht Over 0.5 Goals
64%
Match Result
FC Dordrecht
18%6.39
model 5.65disputed
Last 1020%4/20
Draw
20%5.03
model 5.020%
Last 1020%4/20
Heracles Almelo
62%1.37
model 1.60-15%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
FC Dordrecht
22%5.12
model 4.52disputed
Last 1025%4/16
Heracles Almelo
78%1.10
model 1.28-14%
Last 1075%12/16
Double chance
FC Dordrecht or draw
38%2.81
model 2.66disputed
Last 1040%8/20
FC Dordrecht or Heracles Almelo
80%1.13
model 1.25-9%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Heracles Almelo
82%1.08
model 1.22-11%
Last 1080%16/20
Expected goals 1.4–2.0 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.4 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Both teams to score
63%
Last 1055%11/20
FC Dordrecht clean sheet
11%
model chance
Heracles Almelo clean sheet
29%
model chance
FC Dordrecht goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Heracles Almelo goals
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
FC Dordrecht corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Heracles Almelo corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 80%O4.5 65%O5.5 48%O6.5 32%O7.5 20%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
FC Dordrecht cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Heracles Almelo cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 57%O2.5 30%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026FC DordrechtHeracles Almelo
- 18
- League position
- 1
- DLLWL
- Last 5
- WWDWW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 16
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 3.47
- xG for (L5)
- 7.35
- 4.33
- xG against (L5)
- 3.18
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Injuries & Suspensions
FC Dordrecht
- Calvin RaatsieHand Injury
- Noah BischofAnkle Injury
- Thomas ArticUnknown Injury
Heracles Almelo
- Yvandro Borges SanchesCruciate Ligament Tear
Key Players
Eerste Divisie, this seasonFC Dordrecht
Top scorer
Ayoub Ouarghi
3 goals
Most assists
Ayoub Ouarghi
4 assists
Best rated
Ayoub Ouarghi
7.14
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden PinasDefender | 14 (14) | 1181 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.54 | |
| Ayoub OuarghiMidfielder | 12 (11) | 983 | 3 | 4 | 0.56 | 7.14 | ×5 |
| Beni MpanzuDefender | 13 (11) | 976 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.92 | ×5 |
| Senne VugtsMidfielder | 14 (11) | 974 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Martin VetkalMidfielder | 14 (13) | 955 | 3 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.68 | ×3 |
| Stan HenderikxDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Lorenzo RiccioMidfielder | 12 (9) | 826 | 2 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Jurre van AkenDefender | 14 (8) | 783 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.61 | |
| Robin van AstenMidfielder | 12 (5) | 620 | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | 6.47 | – |
| Adil LechkarDefender | 12 (7) | 584 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Nicolás RossiMidfielder | 12 (8) | 579 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Tim CoremansGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Calvin RaatsieGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
| Dario SitsAttacker | 6 (6) | 461 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.83 | ×2 |
| Joey de BieAttacker | 7 (5) | 437 | 1 | 0 | 0.56 | 6.69 |
Heracles Almelo
Top scorer
Jean-Paul N'Djoli
15 goals
Most assists
Chafik Abbas
6 assists
Best rated
Jean-Paul N'Djoli
7.81
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fabian de KeijzerGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Jean-Paul N'DjoliAttacker | 14 (14) | 1246 | 15 | 2 | 1.96 | 7.81 | ×2 |
| Damon MiraniDefender | 14 (14) | 1202 | 2 | 0 | 0.85 | 7.00 | – |
| Sem SchepermanMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1198 | 4 | 2 | 0.50 | 7.10 | ×3 |
| Djevencio van der KustMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1194 | 1 | 3 | 0.28 | 7.01 | |
| Chafik AbbasMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1046 | 2 | 6 | 0.69 | 7.25 | |
| Manny RodríguezDefender | 13 (13) | 1031 | 3 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Tristan van GilstMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1026 | 11 | 2 | 1.77 | 7.34 | – |
| David VicenteDefender | 12 (12) | 953 | 1 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.54 | |
| Maurice WruschDefender | 11 (11) | 950 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.24 | |
| Max HauswirthMidfielder | 11 (10) | 821 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 7.05 | |
| Thomas BrunsMidfielder | 11 (1) | 304 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.87 | |
| Mimeirhel BenitaDefender | 6 (2) | 247 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | |
| David TomicMidfielder | 9 (1) | 191 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Jeff Reine-AdélaïdeMidfielder | 8 (1) | 141 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.59 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 1.74 | 1.99 |
| MelBet | 1.74 | 1.99 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 1.81 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 1.03 | 10.75 |
More on FC Dordrecht vs Heracles Almelo
- FC Dordrecht stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Heracles Almelo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture