AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth Prediction – Match preview
AFC Hornchurch-:-
TamworthHornchurch StadiumRound 17
Our prediction
AFC Hornchurch to win (59%)
AFC Hornchurch 59% · Draw 20% · Tamworth 20%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
79%
7%
AFC HornchurchDraw 14%Tamworth
Bookmaker implied
40%
34%
AFC HornchurchDraw 26%Tamworth
2.5 – 0.6
Expected score
59%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
56%
22%
AFC HornchurchDraw 22%Tamworth
First Half Result
40%
21%
AFC HornchurchDraw 39%Tamworth
Team to Score First
59%
35%
AFC HornchurchNo goal 6%Tamworth
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
56%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
AFC Hornchurch Over 3.5 Goals
12%
AFC Hornchurch Over 1.5 Goals
54%
Tamworth Over 0.5 Goals
57%
AFC Hornchurch Over 0.5 Goals
83%
Match Result
AFC Hornchurch
41%2.32
model 2.43-5%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
26%3.63
model 3.85-6%
Last 100%0/20
Tamworth
33%2.82
model 3.04-7%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
AFC Hornchurch
56%1.68
model 1.80-7%
Last 1050%10/20
Tamworth
44%2.04
model 2.25-9%
Last 1050%10/20
Double chance
AFC Hornchurch or draw
67%1.42
model 1.49-5%
Last 1050%10/20
AFC Hornchurch or Tamworth
74%1.27
model 1.35-6%
Last 10100%20/20
Draw or Tamworth
59%1.59
model 1.70-6%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 36% | 64% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%Yes 1.57
Last 1060%12/20
AFC Hornchurch clean sheet
21%
model chance
Tamworth clean sheet
22%
model chance
AFC Hornchurch goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Tamworth goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
AFC Hornchurch corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Tamworth corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 61%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 17%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
AFC Hornchurch cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Tamworth cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026AFC HornchurchTamworth
- 15
- League position
- 20
- LLLWL
- Last 5
- LWLWW
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Key Players
Enterprise National League, this seasonAFC Hornchurch
Top scorer
Joe Kizzi
2 goals
Most assists
Ryan Inniss
2 assists
Best rated
Dominic Poleon
6.60
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur NastaGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.98 | – |
| Ryan InnissDefender | 14 (14) | 998 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.21 | |
| Henry SandatMidfielder | 12 (11) | 927 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.34 | ×3 |
| Tom WraightMidfielder | 13 (13) | 908 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | ×2 |
| Jack PowellMidfielder | 12 (11) | 902 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.34 | |
| Sam LingDefender | 11 (11) | 885 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.23 | – |
| Josh WalkerAttacker | 14 (8) | 727 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | |
| Tom DallisonDefender | 8 (7) | 712 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.18 | |
| Frankie EdwardsDefender | 11 (10) | 705 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | ×2 |
| Joe KizziDefender | 9 (9) | 647 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.25 | |
| Aaron RoweMidfielder | 7 (6) | 526 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.31 | ×2 |
| William GreenidgeDefender | 9 (6) | 493 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.21 | – |
| Alfie MasseyMidfielder | 7 (6) | 450 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.35 | – |
| Henry HearnAttacker | 14 (7) | 449 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.49 | ×2 |
| Charlie PegrumMidfielder | 11 (6) | 429 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.41 | – |
Tamworth
Top scorer
Kieren Donnelly
8 goals
Most assists
Thomas McGlinchey
3 assists
Best rated
Jake Hutchinson
6.59
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieren DonnellyAttacker | 15 (15) | 1226 | 8 | 2 | – | 6.57 | ×3 |
| Joe RyeDefender | 14 (13) | 1051 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.11 | ×2 |
| Morgan RobertsMidfielder | 14 (12) | 961 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.34 | ×3 |
| Jordan Cullinane-LiburdDefender | 11 (10) | 944 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.96 | ×3 |
| Thomas McGlincheyMidfielder | 14 (9) | 760 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Ben AcquayeMidfielder | 13 (7) | 709 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.33 | – |
| Riccardo CalderMidfielder | 10 (7) | 650 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.30 | – |
| Jasbir SinghGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.67 | – |
| TJ BrambleMidfielder | 9 (8) | 624 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.28 | |
| Teo KurtaranMidfielder | 11 (8) | 623 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.35 | ×2 |
| Rhys LovettGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.05 | ×2 |
| Luke FairlambDefender | 8 (7) | 524 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.05 | ×3 |
| Olly DysonMidfielder | 11 (4) | 503 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Ben MilnesMidfielder | 9 (5) | 484 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.35 | ×2 |
| Nathan TshikunaMidfielder | 10 (6) | 480 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.34 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.82 | 1.97 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.67 | 2.03 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.66 | 2.03 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.03 | 1.78 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.66 | 2.15 |
| Betano.dk | 10.75 | 1.03 |
More on AFC Hornchurch vs Tamworth
- AFC Hornchurch stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Tamworth stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Enterprise National League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture