Gateshead vs Barrow Prediction – Match preview
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Gateshead International StadiumRound 17
Our prediction
Barrow to win (70%)
Gateshead 12% · Draw 18% · Barrow 70% · Over 2.5 goals: 58% · Both teams to score: 48%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
12%
70%
GatesheadDraw 18%Barrow
Bookmaker implied
15%
64%
GatesheadDraw 21%Barrow
0.8 – 2.2
Expected score
58%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
26%
49%
GatesheadDraw 25%Barrow
First Half Result
24%
32%
GatesheadDraw 44%Barrow
Team to Score First
41%
52%
GatesheadNo goal 7%Barrow
Probability
Both Teams to Score
54%
Over 1.5 Goals
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
52%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Gateshead Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Gateshead Over 1.5 Goals
29%
Barrow Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Gateshead Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Match Result
Gateshead
18%5.63
model 5.55+2%
Last 100%0/20
Draw
24%4.16
model 4.25-2%
Last 1015%3/20
Barrow
58%1.53
model 1.71-11%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw no bet
Gateshead
24%4.28
model 4.24+1%
Last 100%0/17
Barrow
76%1.16
model 1.31-11%
Last 10100%17/17
Double chance
Gateshead or draw
42%2.39
model 2.41-1%
Last 1015%3/20
Gateshead or Barrow
76%1.20
model 1.31-8%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Barrow
82%1.12
model 1.22-8%
Last 10100%20/20
Expected goals 1.0–1.7 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%Yes 1.70
Last 1050%10/20
Gateshead clean sheet
15%
model chance
Barrow clean sheet
39%
model chance
Gateshead goals
O0.5 61%O1.5 24%O2.5 7%
Barrow goals
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Gateshead corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Barrow corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 45%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Gateshead cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Barrow cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 15%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026GatesheadBarrow
- 24
- League position
- 9
- LLLLL
- Last 5
- DWWWW
- 0.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Injuries & Suspensions
Gateshead
No reported absences
Barrow
- Scott SmithCruciate Ligament Injury
Key Players
Enterprise National League, this seasonGateshead
Top scorer
Jordy Hiwula
2 goals
Most assists
Josh Home
1 assists
Best rated
Ashley Boatswain
6.47
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex LankshearDefender | 14 (14) | 1131 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.06 | ×4 |
| Josh HomeMidfielder | 15 (13) | 1120 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.28 | ×2 |
| Fenton JohnMidfielder | 15 (11) | 994 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.29 | |
| Peter JamesonGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 990 | 1 | 0 | – | 5.92 | – |
| Michael SpellmanMidfielder | 12 (11) | 948 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.30 | ×4 |
| Jack RobinsonDefender | 11 (11) | 831 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.06 | ×4 |
| Kyle FergusonDefender | 11 (10) | 810 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.06 | ×4 |
| David FergusonDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.09 | |
| Luke SupykAttacker | 13 (7) | 644 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | ×2 |
| Jordy HiwulaAttacker | 9 (8) | 602 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Ashley BoatswainAttacker | 9 (7) | 558 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Harrison HolgateDefender | 6 (5) | 411 | 0 | 0 | – | 5.93 | – |
| Billy ChadwickMidfielder | 9 (5) | 404 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Tom LaveryDefender | 5 (5) | 382 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.17 | |
| Rocco CoyleMidfielder | 8 (7) | 372 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.39 |
Barrow
Top scorer
Rekeem Harper
5 goals
Most assists
Keaton Ward
2 assists
Best rated
Mikey Lane
6.69
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben WinterbottomGoalkeeper | 15 (15) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.08 | – |
| Marcel OakleyDefender | 15 (15) | 1242 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.25 | – |
| Paul KalambayiDefender | 14 (14) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.23 | ×5 |
| Thierry Latty-FairweatherDefender | 14 (11) | 901 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| Kennedy DigieDefender | 11 (9) | 899 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.23 | |
| Isaac MarriottMidfielder | 12 (10) | 797 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.36 | ×5 |
| Rekeem HarperMidfielder | 13 (10) | 791 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Xavier BenjaminDefender | 9 (8) | 694 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.19 | ×2 |
| Daniel AmosDefender | 11 (8) | 657 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.24 | |
| George WalkerMidfielder | 11 (11) | 656 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×3 |
| Keaton WardMidfielder | 12 (7) | 543 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Seb ThompsonMidfielder | 9 (6) | 536 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.46 | ×2 |
| Alex ReidAttacker | 11 (6) | 524 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.50 | – |
| MJ WilliamsDefender | 7 (7) | 493 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.08 | ×4 |
| Innes CameronAttacker | 12 (5) | 481 | 5 | 2 | – | 6.56 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.97 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.83 | 1.82 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.55 | 2.17 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.86 | 1.94 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| Betano.dk | 1.03 | 10.00 |
More on Gateshead vs Barrow
- Gateshead stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Barrow stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Enterprise National League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture