Southend United vs Aldershot Town Prediction – Match preview
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Roots Hall StadiumRound 17
Our prediction
Southend United to win (59%)
Southend United 59% · Draw 21% · Aldershot Town 20%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
50%
26%
Southend UnitedDraw 24%Aldershot Town
Bookmaker implied
68%
13%
Southend UnitedDraw 19%Aldershot Town
1.7 – 1.1
Expected score
54%
Over 2.5 goals
56%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
56%
23%
Southend UnitedDraw 21%Aldershot Town
First Half Result
40%
21%
Southend UnitedDraw 39%Aldershot Town
Team to Score First
61%
35%
Southend UnitedNo goal 4%Aldershot Town
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
82%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
Southend United Over 3.5 Goals
13%
Southend United Over 1.5 Goals
57%
Aldershot Town Over 0.5 Goals
60%
Southend United Over 0.5 Goals
83%
Match Result
Southend United
62%1.40
model 1.61-13%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
20%5.14
model 5.10+1%
Last 1020%4/20
Aldershot Town
18%6.19
model 5.47disputed
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Southend United
77%1.13
model 1.29-13%
Last 1063%10/16
Aldershot Town
23%4.99
model 4.40disputed
Last 1038%6/16
Double chance
Southend United or draw
82%1.10
model 1.22-10%
Last 1070%14/20
Southend United or Aldershot Town
80%1.14
model 1.24-8%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Aldershot Town
38%2.81
model 2.64disputed
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 2.1–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 97% | 3% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
63%Yes 1.61
Last 1080%16/20
Southend United clean sheet
21%
model chance
Aldershot Town clean sheet
15%
model chance
Southend United goals
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%
Aldershot Town goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 10.5 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Southend United corners
O2.5 92%O3.5 81%O4.5 66%O5.5 49%O6.5 33%O7.5 20%
Aldershot Town corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Southend United cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 16%
Aldershot Town cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Southend UnitedAldershot Town
- 3
- League position
- 14
- LDDWW
- Last 5
- WLLLL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.60
- 12
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
5
Southend United wins
4
Draws
7
Aldershot Town wins
Last 16 meetings
2.3
Goals per game
44%
Both teams scored
38%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Southend United in the last 5 meetings
WWWDW
Key Players
Enterprise National League, this seasonSouthend United
Top scorer
Leon Chambers-Parillon
8 goals
Most assists
Kyle McAdam
6 assists
Best rated
Harry Cardwell
6.59
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle McAdamDefender | 15 (15) | 1213 | 2 | 6 | – | 6.22 | ×2 |
| Darren OldakerMidfielder | 15 (14) | 1200 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.33 | ×6 |
| Vontae Daley-CampbellDefender | 15 (15) | 1171 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.22 | ×5 |
| Leon Chambers-ParillonMidfielder | 16 (16) | 1162 | 8 | 1 | – | 6.50 | |
| Ben GoodliffeDefender | 12 (12) | 1035 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.18 | |
| Oliver CokerMidfielder | 14 (12) | 952 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×2 |
| Anthony HartiganMidfielder | 14 (11) | 806 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | ×2 |
| Harry CardwellAttacker | 12 (11) | 776 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.59 | |
| Daniel CoxDefender | 10 (9) | 736 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.20 | ×3 |
| Ryan ColcloughMidfielder | 13 (5) | 546 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.40 | |
| Josh PopoolaMidfielder | 11 (7) | 516 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Promise OmochereAttacker | 10 (6) | 404 | 4 | 1 | – | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Sahid KamaraMidfielder | 10 (4) | 391 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.45 | |
| Sam AustinMidfielder | 9 (3) | 345 | 4 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Zavier Massiah-EdwardsAttacker | 9 (3) | 340 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.49 | – |
Aldershot Town
Top scorer
Tristan Abrahams
5 goals
Most assists
M. Dinanga
4 assists
Best rated
Tristan Abrahams
6.59
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dominic OdusanyaMidfielder | 16 (16) | 1332 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.35 | ×5 |
| Michael SticklandDefender | 15 (15) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | ×3 |
| Sashiel Adom-MalakiDefender | 13 (13) | 1138 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.24 | |
| Mohammed-Idris OshilajaDefender | 15 (15) | 1069 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.28 | ×2 |
| Conor LawlessMidfielder | 16 (12) | 1029 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.37 | ×3 |
| Nicholas HayesGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.07 | – |
| Michee EfeteDefender | 12 (12) | 951 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.27 | ×2 |
| Basil TumaAttacker | 12 (12) | 939 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.48 | ×4 |
| Hakeem SandahMidfielder | 14 (11) | 914 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.36 | |
| M. DinangaAttacker | 14 (12) | 889 | 2 | 4 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Tyrese DyceDefender | 12 (9) | 792 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.32 | ×4 |
| Tristan AbrahamsAttacker | 12 (6) | 579 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.59 | ×4 |
| Brody PeartMidfielder | 13 (7) | 535 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.43 | – |
| Marcus WyllieAttacker | 11 (5) | 452 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.49 | – |
| Jonathan MacaulayGoalkeeper | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.22 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.93 | 1.74 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.93 | 1.74 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.83 | 1.97 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.36 | 3.10 |
| Betano.dk | 11.00 | 1.02 |
More on Southend United vs Aldershot Town
- Southend United stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Aldershot Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Enterprise National League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture