Sochi vs Shinnik Prediction – Match preview
Sochi-:-
ShinnikOlimpiyskiy Stadion FishtRound 19
Our prediction
Sochi to win (41%)
Sochi 41% · Draw 34% · Shinnik 25% · Over 2.5 goals: 23% · Both teams to score: 30%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
41%
25%
SochiDraw 34%Shinnik
1.0 – 0.7
Expected score
23%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Sochi
46%–
model 2.18–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
28%–
model 3.57–
Last 1030%6/20
Shinnik
26%–
model 3.84–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Sochi
64%–
model 1.57–
Last 1064%9/14
Shinnik
36%–
model 2.76–
Last 1036%5/14
Double chance
Sochi or draw
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1075%15/20
Sochi or Shinnik
72%–
model 1.39–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Shinnik
54%–
model 1.85–
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
52%
Last 1050%10/20
Sochi clean sheet
30%
model chance
Shinnik clean sheet
25%
model chance
Sochi goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 41%O2.5 16%
Shinnik goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Sochi corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 69%O4.5 51%O5.5 33%O6.5 20%O7.5 10%
Shinnik corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Sochi cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 19%
Shinnik cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 64%O2.5 37%O3.5 18%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026SochiShinnik
- 2
- League position
- 7
- WWWDW
- Last 5
- WDWDL
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Sochi wins
1
Draws
1
Shinnik wins
Last 3 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Sochi in the last 3 meetings
DLW
Key Players
FNL, this seasonSochi
Top scorer
Zakhar Fedorov
8 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
—
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruslan MagalDefender | 14 (13) | 1087 | 2 | 0 | – | – | |
| A. SoldatenkovDefender | 13 (13) | 1036 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×3 |
| Mikhail IgnatovAttacker | 14 (14) | 1018 | 7 | 0 | – | – | |
| Artem MakarchukDefender | 13 (11) | 1011 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Aleksandr OsipovMidfielder | 13 (12) | 980 | 2 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Kirill ZaikaDefender | 11 (10) | 825 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Nemanja StojicDefender | 11 (10) | 800 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Marcelo AlvesDefender | 9 (9) | 793 | 1 | 0 | – | – | |
| Vyacheslav LitvinovDefender | 10 (10) | 739 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Aleksandr DegtevGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Zakhar FedorovAttacker | 13 (6) | 620 | 8 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Maksim KuzminMidfielder | 11 (8) | 564 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×3 |
| Timofey MitrovGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Igor KalininDefender | 8 (5) | 419 | 1 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Pavel MeleshinAttacker | 12 (6) | 411 | 1 | 0 | – | – | – |
Shinnik
Top scorer
Ilya Azyavin
6 goals
Most assists
Timofey Mitrov
1 assists
Best rated
—
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| V. KarpovDefender | 14 (14) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Artem GolubevMidfielder | 13 (12) | 986 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×3 |
| Oleg LaninMidfielder | 12 (12) | 957 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Nikita KotinDefender | 12 (12) | 889 | 1 | 0 | – | – | |
| Ilya AzyavinMidfielder | 14 (11) | 881 | 6 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Albek GongapshevAttacker | 13 (11) | 856 | 2 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Eduard ValiakhmetovMidfielder | 11 (10) | 831 | 2 | 0 | – | – | ×3 |
| Dmitriy SamoilovAttacker | 13 (11) | 696 | 2 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Timofey MitrovGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 630 | 0 | 1 | – | – | – |
| Nikita ChistyakovDefender | 10 (9) | 623 | 1 | 0 | – | – | |
| Artur ChernyiDefender | 9 (6) | 577 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Maksim KaraevDefender | 11 (5) | 537 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Denis MironovAttacker | 12 (5) | 502 | 1 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Ivan ShmakovMidfielder | 10 (5) | 501 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| I. PorokhovAttacker | 8 (8) | 430 | 2 | 0 | – | – | – |
More on Sochi vs Shinnik
- Sochi stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Shinnik stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FNL (Russia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture