Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma Prediction – Match preview
Ufa-:-
Spartak KostromaStadion NeftyanikRound 19
Our prediction
Ufa to win (45%)
Ufa 45% · Draw 32% · Spartak Kostroma 23% · Over 2.5 goals: 26% · Both teams to score: 33%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
45%
23%
UfaDraw 32%Spartak Kostroma
1.1 – 0.7
Expected score
26%
Over 2.5 goals
33%
Both teams to score
Match Result
Ufa
39%–
model 2.59–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
29%–
model 3.40–
Last 1015%3/20
Spartak Kostroma
32%–
model 3.12–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Ufa
55%–
model 1.83–
Last 1041%7/17
Spartak Kostroma
45%–
model 2.20–
Last 1059%10/17
Double chance
Ufa or draw
68%–
model 1.47–
Last 1050%10/20
Ufa or Spartak Kostroma
71%–
model 1.42–
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Spartak Kostroma
61%–
model 1.63–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.3–1.2 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.5 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
51%
Last 1040%8/20
Ufa clean sheet
27%
model chance
Spartak Kostroma clean sheet
30%
model chance
Ufa goals
O0.5 70%O1.5 34%O2.5 12%
Spartak Kostroma goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Ufa corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 48%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Spartak Kostroma corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 4.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 85% | 15% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Ufa cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Spartak Kostroma cards
O0.5 93%O1.5 74%O2.5 49%O3.5 27%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026UfaSpartak Kostroma
- 8
- League position
- 5
- LWLDL
- Last 5
- LWLLW
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Ufa wins
2
Draws
1
Spartak Kostroma wins
Last 4 meetings
1.3
Goals per game
25%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Ufa in the last 4 meetings
DWLD
Key Players
FNL, this seasonUfa
Top scorer
Dilan Ortíz
6 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
—
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zaur TarbaMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1145 | 1 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| S. IsaevMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1109 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Aleksandr BelenovGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| D. KutinDefender | 13 (13) | 1067 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×4 |
| Dilan OrtízAttacker | 14 (13) | 1009 | 6 | 0 | – | – | |
| Artur GilyazetdinovDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Ilya AgapovDefender | 12 (12) | 946 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×4 |
| Danil LipovoyMidfielder | 13 (11) | 923 | 1 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| M. AgeyanMidfielder | 12 (10) | 763 | 1 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Magomed YakuevMidfielder | 11 (10) | 759 | 2 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Vasiliy CherovDefender | 9 (9) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| D. AkhatovMidfielder | 13 (5) | 474 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| I. KhanenkoDefender | 5 (4) | 365 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Zalimkhan YusupovMidfielder | 5 (3) | 248 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Georgi GongadzeAttacker | 9 (0) | 219 | 1 | 0 | – | – |
Spartak Kostroma
Top scorer
Amur Kalmykov
14 goals
Most assists
—
Best rated
—
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amur KalmykovAttacker | 15 (15) | 1321 | 14 | 0 | – | – | |
| Dmitriy KaptilovichMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1199 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Nikolay TarasovDefender | 13 (13) | 1145 | 1 | 0 | – | – | ×4 |
| Denis ZhilmostnykhDefender | 13 (12) | 1030 | 1 | 0 | – | – | ×4 |
| Anatoliy NemchenkoMidfielder | 13 (10) | 952 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Marko BugarinDefender | 12 (10) | 942 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×3 |
| David KaraevMidfielder | 13 (11) | 888 | 1 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| V. KamilovMidfielder | 14 (8) | 823 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×5 |
| Egor ShamovGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Serguey BugrievDefender | 13 (7) | 764 | 2 | 0 | – | – | – |
| Kirill MalyarovDefender | 8 (8) | 697 | 1 | 0 | – | – | ×3 |
| Nader MohammadiDefender | 11 (6) | 617 | 0 | 0 | – | – | |
| Kirill ChursinMidfielder | 12 (7) | 582 | 0 | 0 | – | – | – |
| A. TarasovDefender | 8 (7) | 577 | 0 | 0 | – | – | ×2 |
| Mikhail GaydashGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | – |
More on Ufa vs Spartak Kostroma
- Ufa stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Spartak Kostroma stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FNL (Russia) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture