Japan vs Brazil Prediction – Match preview
Japan-:-
BrazilNational Olympic Stadium
Our prediction
Brazil to win (50%)
Japan 23% · Draw 27% · Brazil 50% · Over 2.5 goals: 39% · Both teams to score: 43%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 05 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
23%
50%
JapanDraw 27%Brazil
0.8 – 1.4
Expected score
39%
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
29%
45%
JapanDraw 26%Brazil
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
Japan Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Japan Over 1.5 Goals
30%
Brazil Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Japan Over 0.5 Goals
64%
Form Guide
Updated 05 Nov 2026JapanBrazil
- 5
- League position
- 4
- DWWWW
- Last 5
- WWDWW
- 2.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 17
- 2
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Japan wins
0
Draws
2
Brazil wins
Last 3 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Japan in the last 3 meetings
LWL
Injuries & Suspensions
Japan
No reported absences
Brazil
- DaniloMuscular problems
Key Players
Friendly International, this seasonJapan
Top scorer
Ayase Ueda
3 goals
Most assists
Keito Nakamura
2 assists
Best rated
Yukinari Sugawara
7.23
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ayumu SekoDefender | 5 (3) | 307 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | |
| Zion SuzukiGoalkeeper | 4 (3) | 306 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Hiroki ItoDefender | 5 (3) | 295 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | |
| Keito NakamuraMidfielder | 5 (3) | 281 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Tsuyoshi WatanabeDefender | 4 (3) | 242 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Ao TanakaMidfielder | 5 (2) | 227 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | |
| Ritsu DoanMidfielder | 5 (3) | 227 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | |
| Junya ItoAttacker | 5 (2) | 223 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Ayase UedaAttacker | 5 (2) | 210 | 3 | 1 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Kaishu SanoMidfielder | 3 (2) | 187 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Daichi KamadaMidfielder | 4 (2) | 181 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | – |
| Junnosuke SuzukiDefender | 4 (1) | 180 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Yuito SuzukiMidfielder | 3 (2) | 163 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.70 | – |
| Takefusa KuboAttacker | 3 (1) | 153 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Shogo TaniguchiDefender | 3 (1) | 142 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
Brazil
Top scorer
Vinicius Junior
2 goals
Most assists
Vinicius Junior
2 assists
Best rated
Mauro Júnior
7.30
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vinicius JuniorAttacker | 7 (7) | 396 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.03 | – |
| DaniloMidfielder | 6 (4) | 362 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.22 | – |
| Douglas SantosDefender | 6 (5) | 332 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Léo PereiraDefender | 3 (3) | 270 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| MarquinhosDefender | 4 (4) | 240 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Bruno GuimarãesMidfielder | 5 (4) | 235 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| RaphinhaMidfielder | 5 (5) | 228 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.99 | – |
| EndrickAttacker | 5 (1) | 196 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.45 | |
| Matheus CunhaAttacker | 3 (3) | 193 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| CasemiroMidfielder | 4 (4) | 191 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.17 | ×2 |
| Andrey SantosMidfielder | 4 (2) | 175 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| EstêvãoAttacker | 3 (2) | 172 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.21 | – |
| Luiz HenriqueAttacker | 3 (2) | 166 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.97 | – |
| MatheuzinhoDefender | 3 (2) | 165 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | – |
| BremerDefender | 2 (2) | 136 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.32 | 2.97 |
More on Japan vs Brazil
- Japan stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Brazil stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Friendly International (World) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture