Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo Prediction – Match preview
-:-
KINCHO StadiumRound 15
Our prediction
FC Tokyo to win (75%)
Cerezo Osaka 6% · Draw 18% · FC Tokyo 75% · Over 2.5 goals: 43% · Both teams to score: 29%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
6%
76%
Cerezo OsakaDraw 18%FC Tokyo
0.4 – 2.0
Expected score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
29%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
22%
51%
Cerezo OsakaDraw 27%FC Tokyo
First Half Result
21%
38%
Cerezo OsakaDraw 41%FC Tokyo
Team to Score First
34%
57%
Cerezo OsakaNo goal 9%FC Tokyo
Probability
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Cerezo Osaka Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Cerezo Osaka Over 1.5 Goals
23%
FC Tokyo Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Cerezo Osaka Over 0.5 Goals
57%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Cerezo OsakaFC Tokyo
- 11
- League position
- 1
- WLDDL
- Last 5
- WWWDW
- 1.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 16
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 0
- 4.61
- xG for (L5)
- 8.08
- 5.00
- xG against (L5)
- 1.86
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 5
Head to Head
1
Cerezo Osaka wins
4
Draws
3
FC Tokyo wins
Last 8 meetings
3.5
Goals per game
75%
Both teams scored
75%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Cerezo Osaka in the last 5 meetings
DDLDL
Key Players
J1 League, this seasonCerezo Osaka
Top scorer
Solomon Sakuragawa
4 goals
Most assists
Lucas Fernandes
3 assists
Best rated
Rikito Inoue
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kosuke NakamuraGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | |
| Dion CoolsDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.80 | ×3 |
| Rikito InoueDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 7.07 | – |
| S. TanakaMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1258 | 0 | 1 | 1.17 | 6.92 | – |
| Ayumu OhataMidfielder | 13 (11) | 958 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.59 | ×2 |
| Jackson IrvineMidfielder | 11 (10) | 939 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.97 | ×5 |
| Solomon SakuragawaAttacker | 13 (8) | 813 | 4 | 1 | 0.82 | 6.96 | ×2 |
| H. OkudaDefender | 10 (8) | 735 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Lucas FernandesAttacker | 12 (8) | 683 | 2 | 3 | 0.13 | 7.04 | ×4 |
| S. HatanakaDefender | 8 (8) | 620 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Yumeki YokoyamaMidfielder | 11 (6) | 533 | 1 | 0 | 0.47 | 6.74 | – |
| Yota KomiAttacker | 10 (6) | 525 | 1 | 0 | 0.50 | 6.74 | |
| Pablo SabbagAttacker | 12 (5) | 478 | 3 | 0 | 0.84 | 6.76 | ×4 |
| T. NakamuraDefender | 6 (6) | 426 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| S. KagawaMidfielder | 12 (6) | 420 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.70 | ×2 |
FC Tokyo
Top scorer
M. Nagakura
8 goals
Most assists
M. Nagakura
4 assists
Best rated
M. Nagakura
7.39
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seung-gyu KimGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Alexander ScholzDefender | 14 (14) | 1216 | 2 | 0 | 0.32 | 7.31 | |
| M. NagakuraAttacker | 14 (13) | 1092 | 8 | 4 | 1.23 | 7.39 | – |
| Takahiro KoMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1078 | 1 | 0 | 0.31 | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Hayato InamuraDefender | 12 (12) | 1064 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 7.17 | |
| Soma AnzaiMidfielder | 13 (10) | 926 | 5 | 1 | 0.60 | 7.17 | – |
| Kein SatoMidfielder | 13 (9) | 829 | 1 | 2 | 0.31 | 6.81 | ×3 |
| Marcelo RyanAttacker | 13 (10) | 778 | 5 | 2 | 0.64 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Hirokazu IshiharaDefender | 13 (7) | 704 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Kyota TokiwaMidfielder | 11 (7) | 686 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| Sei MuroyaDefender | 7 (7) | 626 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.99 | – |
| Kashif BangnagandeDefender | 11 (9) | 604 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.92 | |
| S. HommaMidfielder | 9 (6) | 450 | 1 | 1 | 0.14 | 6.82 | |
| Kota TawaratsumidaMidfielder | 10 (5) | 408 | 1 | 3 | 0.46 | 6.97 | – |
| Shuto NaganoDefender | 5 (4) | 370 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | 7.25 |
More on Cerezo Osaka vs FC Tokyo
- Cerezo Osaka stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- FC Tokyo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- J1 League (Japan) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture