Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki Prediction – Match preview
Machida Zelvia-:-
V-Varen NagasakiMachida Athletic StadiumRound 15
Our prediction
Machida Zelvia to win (68%)
Machida Zelvia 68% · Draw 21% · V-Varen Nagasaki 10% · Over 2.5 goals: 41% · Both teams to score: 34%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
68%
11%
Machida ZelviaDraw 21%V-Varen Nagasaki
1.8 – 0.5
Expected score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
62%
15%
Machida ZelviaDraw 23%V-Varen Nagasaki
First Half Result
44%
15%
Machida ZelviaDraw 41%V-Varen Nagasaki
Team to Score First
66%
27%
Machida ZelviaNo goal 7%V-Varen Nagasaki
Probability
Both Teams to Score
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
74%
Over 2.5 Goals
49%
Over 3.5 Goals
27%
Machida Zelvia Over 3.5 Goals
11%
Machida Zelvia Over 1.5 Goals
55%
V-Varen Nagasaki Over 0.5 Goals
49%
Machida Zelvia Over 0.5 Goals
84%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Machida ZelviaV-Varen Nagasaki
- 4
- League position
- 16
- DDDWW
- Last 5
- DLLWL
- 1.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 0
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 4.46
- xG for (L5)
- 3.22
- 4.01
- xG against (L5)
- 3.92
- 5
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Key Players
J1 League, this seasonMachida Zelvia
Top scorer
Takuma Nishimura
5 goals
Most assists
Yuki Soma
4 assists
Best rated
Yuta Nakayama
7.69
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gen ShojiDefender | 14 (14) | 1246 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 7.01 | |
| Hiroyuki MaeMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1243 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.93 | |
| Yuki SomaAttacker | 14 (14) | 1222 | 3 | 4 | 0.41 | 7.31 | – |
| Kosei TaniGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1218 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Takahiro AkimotoMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1103 | 2 | 2 | 0.23 | 7.19 | ×2 |
| Daihachi OkamuraDefender | 11 (11) | 888 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.91 | ×2 |
| Koki OgawaAttacker | 11 (9) | 831 | 4 | 0 | 0.89 | 7.02 | |
| Hotaka NakamuraMidfielder | 13 (9) | 794 | 2 | 1 | 0.45 | 6.84 | |
| Neta LaviMidfielder | 11 (9) | 724 | 2 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.98 | – |
| Takuma NishimuraAttacker | 14 (8) | 709 | 5 | 0 | 1.03 | 6.80 | |
| Tete YengiAttacker | 11 (8) | 701 | 3 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.90 | |
| Henry Heroki MochizukiDefender | 12 (7) | 668 | 2 | 2 | 0.30 | 6.93 | – |
| Thomas OuwejanDefender | 7 (6) | 539 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 7.14 | |
| Mitchell DukeAttacker | 11 (4) | 309 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 6.80 | – |
| Ryohei ShirasakiMidfielder | 10 (3) | 303 | 1 | 0 | 0.45 | 6.73 |
V-Varen Nagasaki
Top scorer
Kenshin Yasuda
5 goals
Most assists
Hotaru Yamaguchi
3 assists
Best rated
Matheus Jesus
7.29
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Masaaki GotoGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Motoki HasegawaAttacker | 14 (14) | 1238 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 7.02 | ×2 |
| Hotaru YamaguchiMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1175 | 0 | 3 | 0.02 | 6.77 | |
| Hijiri OnagaMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1051 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Shunya YonedaMidfielder | 13 (10) | 851 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.56 | ×3 |
| Yusei EgawaDefender | 11 (8) | 810 | 0 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.70 | – |
| Matheus JesusAttacker | 11 (8) | 796 | 4 | 2 | 0.80 | 7.29 | |
| Kanta DoiDefender | 11 (9) | 778 | 0 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.61 | |
| Ikki AraiDefender | 11 (9) | 759 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.79 | – |
| R. ShindoDefender | 13 (8) | 756 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| ThiagoAttacker | 11 (8) | 668 | 4 | 0 | 0.34 | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Riku YamadaMidfielder | 9 (8) | 626 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | |
| Y. IwasakiAttacker | 8 (6) | 507 | 1 | 2 | – | 6.65 | |
| Takuma OminamiDefender | 6 (5) | 387 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Kenshin YasudaMidfielder | 9 (1) | 346 | 5 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.78 |
More on Machida Zelvia vs V-Varen Nagasaki
- Machida Zelvia stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- V-Varen Nagasaki stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- J1 League (Japan) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture