Real Oviedo vs Girona Prediction – Match preview
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Estadio Nuevo Carlos TartiereRound 14
Our prediction
Girona to win (35%)
Real Oviedo 29% · Draw 35% · Girona 35% · Over 2.5 goals: 21% · Both teams to score: 30%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
29%
36%
Real OviedoDraw 35%Girona
0.7 – 0.8
Expected score
21%
Over 2.5 goals
30%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
41%
32%
Real OviedoDraw 27%Girona
First Half Result
31%
25%
Real OviedoDraw 44%Girona
Team to Score First
51%
41%
Real OviedoNo goal 8%Girona
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Real Oviedo Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Real Oviedo Over 1.5 Goals
38%
Girona Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Real Oviedo Over 0.5 Goals
73%
Match Result
Real Oviedo
36%–
model 2.76–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
27%–
model 3.71–
Last 1020%4/20
Girona
37%–
model 2.72–
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Real Oviedo
50%–
model 2.01–
Last 1044%7/16
Girona
50%–
model 1.99–
Last 1056%9/16
Double chance
Real Oviedo or draw
63%–
model 1.58–
Last 1055%11/20
Real Oviedo or Girona
73%–
model 1.37–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Girona
64%–
model 1.57–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
59%
Last 1060%12/20
Real Oviedo clean sheet
20%
model chance
Girona clean sheet
26%
model chance
Real Oviedo goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Girona goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Real Oviedo corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 59%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Girona corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 5.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
Real Oviedo cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 78%O2.5 55%O3.5 32%
Girona cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 71%O2.5 45%O3.5 23%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Real OviedoGirona
- 9
- League position
- 7
- LDWWL
- Last 5
- LWWDD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 3.59
- xG for (L5)
- 3.41
- 2.25
- xG against (L5)
- 1.91
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
1
Real Oviedo wins
2
Draws
3
Girona wins
Last 6 meetings
2.0
Goals per game
33%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Real Oviedo in the last 5 meetings
WDLDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Oviedo
- Carlos FernándezArthroscopy
- Chris RamosCruciate Ligament Tear
Girona
No reported absences
Key Players
La Liga 2, this seasonReal Oviedo
Top scorer
Carlos Domínguez
5 goals
Most assists
David Jiménez
2 assists
Best rated
Mikel Goti
7.47
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aarón EscandellGoalkeeper | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.95 | |
| Dani CalvoDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 1 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Youness LachhabMidfielder | 12 (11) | 880 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Carlos DomínguezDefender | 9 (9) | 810 | 5 | 0 | 0.10 | 7.16 | ×4 |
| Pablo SáenzMidfielder | 12 (9) | 805 | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Samu RodríguezDefender | 11 (9) | 797 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.83 | ×3 |
| Alberto ReinaMidfielder | 11 (9) | 795 | 2 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Dani VillahermosaMidfielder | 11 (8) | 691 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | ×3 |
| Mikel GotiMidfielder | 8 (7) | 602 | 2 | 1 | 0.17 | 7.47 | – |
| Jacobo GonzálezMidfielder | 10 (6) | 552 | 1 | 1 | 0.29 | 6.72 | |
| David CostasDefender | 6 (5) | 453 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.90 | ×2 |
| Aritz AldasoroMidfielder | 8 (6) | 431 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.51 | |
| Víctor MingoAttacker | 10 (3) | 409 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | |
| Aisar AhmedMidfielder | 8 (4) | 386 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Juan CruzDefender | 6 (4) | 354 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | – |
Girona
Top scorer
Vladyslav Vanat
5 goals
Most assists
Álex Moreno
2 assists
Best rated
Yáser Asprilla
7.25
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álex MorenoDefender | 12 (12) | 1053 | 0 | 2 | 0.12 | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Paulo GazzanigaGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1011 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.10 | – |
| Izan GonzálezMidfielder | 12 (11) | 928 | 1 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.97 | ×3 |
| Alejandro FrancésDefender | 12 (10) | 914 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.01 | |
| Fran BeltránMidfielder | 11 (10) | 850 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.96 | |
| David LópezDefender | 9 (9) | 681 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.46 | |
| Carles PérezMidfielder | 9 (7) | 659 | 3 | 1 | 0.39 | 6.99 | |
| Vladyslav VanatAttacker | 8 (8) | 551 | 5 | 2 | 1.52 | 7.18 | |
| Yáser AsprillaMidfielder | 10 (6) | 526 | 5 | 1 | 0.27 | 7.25 | – |
| Abel RuizAttacker | 9 (7) | 496 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.77 | |
| Bryan GilMidfielder | 8 (6) | 450 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Javier BoñarDefender | 8 (4) | 430 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Iván MoranteMidfielder | 8 (4) | 387 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Donny van de BeekMidfielder | 7 (3) | 290 | 1 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.69 | |
| Oleksandr PyshchurAttacker | 9 (1) | 281 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.73 | 2.10 |
More on Real Oviedo vs Girona
- Real Oviedo stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Girona stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga 2 (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture