Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón Prediction – Match preview
Real Sociedad II-:-
Sporting GijónEstadio Zubieta XXIRound 14
Our prediction
Sporting Gijón to win (59%)
Real Sociedad II 16% · Draw 24% · Sporting Gijón 59% · Over 2.5 goals: 43% · Both teams to score: 42%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
16%
60%
Real Sociedad IIDraw 24%Sporting Gijón
0.7 – 1.7
Expected score
43%
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
32%
43%
Real Sociedad IIDraw 25%Sporting Gijón
First Half Result
25%
30%
Real Sociedad IIDraw 45%Sporting Gijón
Team to Score First
46%
48%
Real Sociedad IINo goal 6%Sporting Gijón
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
Real Sociedad II Over 3.5 Goals
5%
Real Sociedad II Over 1.5 Goals
35%
Sporting Gijón Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Real Sociedad II Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Match Result
Real Sociedad II
35%–
model 2.85–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
27%–
model 3.68–
Last 1010%2/20
Sporting Gijón
38%–
model 2.65–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Real Sociedad II
48%–
model 2.08–
Last 1033%6/18
Sporting Gijón
52%–
model 1.93–
Last 1067%12/18
Double chance
Real Sociedad II or draw
62%–
model 1.61–
Last 1040%8/20
Real Sociedad II or Sporting Gijón
73%–
model 1.37–
Last 1090%18/20
Draw or Sporting Gijón
65%–
model 1.54–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1055%11/20
Real Sociedad II clean sheet
20%
model chance
Sporting Gijón clean sheet
28%
model chance
Real Sociedad II goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Sporting Gijón goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 48%O2.5 22%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Real Sociedad II corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 37%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%
Sporting Gijón corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 66%O4.5 47%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 4.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Real Sociedad II cards
O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 47%O3.5 25%
Sporting Gijón cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 66%O2.5 39%O3.5 19%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Real Sociedad IISporting Gijón
- 19
- League position
- 6
- WLLLL
- Last 5
- WLWWW
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.40
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 12
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 3.11
- xG for (L5)
- 3.63
- 1.96
- xG against (L5)
- 2.46
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
Real Sociedad II wins
0
Draws
2
Sporting Gijón wins
Last 5 meetings
1.6
Goals per game
20%
Both teams scored
20%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Real Sociedad II in the last 5 meetings
LLWWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Sociedad II
- Ekain OrobengoaCruciate Ligament Tear
Sporting Gijón
- Aimar DuñabeitiaThigh Problems
- Antonio CasasTorn Thigh Muscle
- Konrad de la FuenteArthroscopy
- Manu RodríguezShoulder Injury
- Nikita IosifovInflammation Of The Biceps Tendon In The Thigh
- Pablo GarcíaHamstring Injury
Key Players
La Liga 2, this seasonReal Sociedad II
Top scorer
Lander Astiazaran
3 goals
Most assists
Dani Díaz
5 assists
Best rated
Dani Díaz
6.99
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kazunari KitaDefender | 11 (11) | 961 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.80 | |
| Aitor FragaGoalkeeper | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Tomy CarbonellMidfielder | 12 (10) | 896 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.74 | ×2 |
| Dani DíazMidfielder | 12 (12) | 886 | 1 | 5 | 1.21 | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Lander AstiazaranAttacker | 11 (9) | 882 | 3 | 1 | 0.61 | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Jon BaldaDefender | 11 (9) | 838 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.89 | ×4 |
| Gorka GorosabelMidfielder | 11 (9) | 778 | 3 | 1 | 0.46 | 6.78 | – |
| Gorka CarreraAttacker | 10 (8) | 709 | 2 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.55 | ×2 |
| Ibai Aguirre BasurcoMidfielder | 12 (7) | 595 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.60 | ×3 |
| Iker CalderonDefender | 7 (7) | 573 | 0 | 0 | 0.26 | 6.64 | |
| Jon GarroDefender | 8 (6) | 560 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Iñaki RupérezDefender | 7 (6) | 520 | 1 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.79 | ×4 |
| Alex LebarbierMidfielder | 9 (6) | 503 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×3 |
| Unax AgoteDefender | 7 (4) | 415 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×3 |
| Arkaitz MariezkurrenaAttacker | 10 (4) | 356 | 2 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.67 | ×2 |
Sporting Gijón
Top scorer
Alejo Sarco
3 goals
Most assists
Àlex Corredera
2 assists
Best rated
Àlex Corredera
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rubén YáñezGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Guille RosasDefender | 12 (12) | 1063 | 2 | 1 | 0.36 | 7.03 | ×4 |
| Àlex CorrederaMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1061 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.19 | |
| Andrés CuencaDefender | 11 (11) | 874 | 0 | 1 | 0.29 | 6.77 | ×2 |
| César GelabertMidfielder | 10 (10) | 806 | 1 | 0 | 0.22 | 6.74 | |
| Juan OteroAttacker | 10 (9) | 747 | 1 | 1 | 0.46 | 6.95 | |
| Aimar DuñabeitiaDefender | 9 (8) | 726 | 1 | 0 | 0.17 | 7.01 | ×3 |
| Pablo VázquezDefender | 7 (7) | 605 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Alejo SarcoAttacker | 12 (5) | 559 | 3 | 0 | 1.56 | 6.76 | |
| Manu RodríguezMidfielder | 7 (7) | 535 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Nikita IosifovMidfielder | 7 (7) | 489 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.85 | |
| Jorge SáenzDefender | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.87 | |
| Gaspar CamposMidfielder | 7 (5) | 423 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 6.82 | – |
| Pablo GarcíaDefender | 12 (4) | 396 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.65 | |
| Emanuel GularteDefender | 4 (4) | 354 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.55 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.74 | 2.09 |
More on Real Sociedad II vs Sporting Gijón
- Real Sociedad II stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Sporting Gijón stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga 2 (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture