Real Valladolid vs Castellón Prediction – Match preview
Real Valladolid-:-
CastellónEstadio Municipal José ZorrillaRound 14
Our prediction
Castellón to win (67%)
Real Valladolid 14% · Draw 19% · Castellón 67% · Over 2.5 goals: 61% · Both teams to score: 53%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
14%
67%
Real ValladolidDraw 19%Castellón
0.9 – 2.2
Expected score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
28%
46%
Real ValladolidDraw 26%Castellón
First Half Result
23%
33%
Real ValladolidDraw 44%Castellón
Team to Score First
41%
53%
Real ValladolidNo goal 6%Castellón
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
Real Valladolid Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Real Valladolid Over 1.5 Goals
33%
Castellón Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Real Valladolid Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Match Result
Real Valladolid
33%–
model 3.03–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
27%–
model 3.71–
Last 1020%4/20
Castellón
40%–
model 2.50–
Last 1050%10/20
Draw no bet
Real Valladolid
45%–
model 2.21–
Last 1038%6/16
Castellón
55%–
model 1.82–
Last 1063%10/16
Double chance
Real Valladolid or draw
60%–
model 1.67–
Last 1050%10/20
Real Valladolid or Castellón
73%–
model 1.37–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Castellón
67%–
model 1.49–
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%
Last 1045%9/20
Real Valladolid clean sheet
19%
model chance
Castellón clean sheet
29%
model chance
Real Valladolid goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Castellón goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Corners
Expected 8.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 67% | 33% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Real Valladolid corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 64%O4.5 45%O5.5 28%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Castellón corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 30%O6.5 17%O7.5 9%
Cards
Expected 5.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 90% | 10% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 61% | 39% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
Real Valladolid cards
O0.5 95%O1.5 79%O2.5 56%O3.5 33%
Castellón cards
O0.5 91%O1.5 69%O2.5 43%O3.5 22%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Real ValladolidCastellón
- 13
- League position
- 1
- WLLWD
- Last 5
- DWWLD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 14
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 3.63
- xG for (L5)
- 1.44
- 2.50
- xG against (L5)
- 1.43
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
3
Real Valladolid wins
1
Draws
2
Castellón wins
Last 6 meetings
1.7
Goals per game
17%
Both teams scored
33%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Real Valladolid in the last 5 meetings
LWLWW
Injuries & Suspensions
Real Valladolid
- Guille BuenoCruciate Ligament Tear
- Juanmi LatasaSprain
Castellón
- Fabrizio BrignaniCruciate Ligament Injury
- Fran CastilloHamstring Injury
Key Players
La Liga 2, this seasonReal Valladolid
Top scorer
Adrián Arnu
5 goals
Most assists
Julien Ponceau
6 assists
Best rated
Miguel Rubio
7.22
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro AcevesGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| David TorresDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.93 | ×3 |
| Julien PonceauMidfielder | 12 (12) | 951 | 2 | 6 | 0.04 | 7.07 | ×3 |
| Iván AlejoDefender | 11 (10) | 924 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.78 | ×4 |
| Iván GarrielDefender | 10 (9) | 750 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Víctor Fernández DuránMidfielder | 11 (8) | 657 | 1 | 5 | 0.15 | 7.12 | ×2 |
| Stanko JuricMidfielder | 8 (7) | 651 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Luis ChacónMidfielder | 8 (7) | 651 | 1 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.93 | |
| Juanmi LatasaAttacker | 10 (7) | 588 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Adrián ArnuAttacker | 8 (7) | 540 | 5 | 1 | 0.69 | 7.17 | – |
| Pablo TomeoDefender | 8 (5) | 503 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Thiago OjedaMidfielder | 8 (7) | 498 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.69 | ×4 |
| Yeray CabanzónAttacker | 10 (4) | 400 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.80 | ×2 |
| Ramón MartínezDefender | 5 (4) | 363 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Carlos ClercDefender | 6 (3) | 344 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 |
Castellón
Top scorer
Israel Suero
6 goals
Most assists
Álvaro Martín
2 assists
Best rated
Israel Suero
7.53
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Romain MatthysGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.22 | – |
| Alberto JiménezDefender | 12 (12) | 1023 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 7.17 | ×3 |
| Diego BarriMidfielder | 12 (12) | 981 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 7.12 | |
| Agustín SienraDefender | 11 (11) | 970 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.14 | ×2 |
| Jérémy MellotDefender | 11 (10) | 891 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.17 | |
| Álvaro MartínMidfielder | 11 (9) | 838 | 0 | 2 | 0.04 | 6.97 | |
| Pablo SantiagoMidfielder | 11 (9) | 742 | 3 | 2 | 0.29 | 6.96 | – |
| Israel SueroAttacker | 10 (8) | 686 | 6 | 2 | 0.40 | 7.53 | – |
| Iñigo CórdobaMidfielder | 11 (8) | 658 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Adam JakobsenAttacker | 9 (8) | 642 | 3 | 2 | 0.45 | 6.98 | ×2 |
| Ousmane CamaraAttacker | 7 (7) | 609 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.08 | |
| Juanjo NietoDefender | 8 (7) | 529 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Fran CastilloMidfielder | 6 (3) | 309 | 1 | 1 | – | 7.28 | |
| Lucas AlcázarDefender | 7 (3) | 291 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.55 | – |
| Raúl SánchezAttacker | 7 (3) | 272 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 2.22 | 1.65 |
More on Real Valladolid vs Castellón
- Real Valladolid stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Castellón stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga 2 (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture