AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool Prediction – Match preview
AFC Wimbledon-:-
BlackpoolCherry Red Records StadiumRound 15
Our prediction
A draw (37%)
AFC Wimbledon 32% · Draw 37% · Blackpool 30%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
30%
23%
AFC WimbledonDraw 47%Blackpool
Bookmaker implied
35%
38%
AFC WimbledonDraw 27%Blackpool
0.5 – 0.4
Expected score
8%
Over 2.5 goals
15%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
44%
30%
AFC WimbledonDraw 26%Blackpool
First Half Result
32%
25%
AFC WimbledonDraw 43%Blackpool
Team to Score First
54%
39%
AFC WimbledonNo goal 7%Blackpool
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
AFC Wimbledon Over 3.5 Goals
6%
AFC Wimbledon Over 1.5 Goals
42%
Blackpool Over 0.5 Goals
66%
AFC Wimbledon Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Match Result
AFC Wimbledon
36%2.62
model 2.81-7%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
27%3.40
model 3.71-8%
Last 1025%5/20
Blackpool
37%2.40
model 2.67-10%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
AFC Wimbledon
49%1.85
model 2.06-10%
Last 1053%8/15
Blackpool
51%1.69
model 1.95-13%
Last 1047%7/15
Double chance
AFC Wimbledon or draw
63%1.48
model 1.60-7%
Last 1065%13/20
AFC Wimbledon or Blackpool
73%1.25
model 1.37-9%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Blackpool
64%1.41
model 1.55-9%
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 79% | 21% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%Yes 1.66
Last 1060%12/20
AFC Wimbledon clean sheet
21%
model chance
Blackpool clean sheet
26%
model chance
AFC Wimbledon goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Blackpool goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Corners
Expected 11.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 88% | 12% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
AFC Wimbledon corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 84%O4.5 70%O5.5 54%O6.5 38%O7.5 24%
Blackpool corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 3.7 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
AFC Wimbledon cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Blackpool cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 14%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026AFC WimbledonBlackpool
- 18
- League position
- 19
- LDLLL
- Last 5
- DLWLL
- 0.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.80
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 3.05
- xG for (L5)
- 2.39
- 5.34
- xG against (L5)
- 2.94
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
AFC Wimbledon wins
3
Draws
3
Blackpool wins
Last 10 meetings
1.7
Goals per game
20%
Both teams scored
10%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
AFC Wimbledon in the last 5 meetings
WWDWD
Injuries & Suspensions
AFC Wimbledon
No reported absences
Blackpool
- J. EarlUnknown Injury
Key Players
League One, this seasonAFC Wimbledon
Top scorer
Jayden Stockley
6 goals
Most assists
James Tilley
2 assists
Best rated
Jayden Stockley
7.28
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. SeddonDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Alistair SmithMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1158 | 0 | 0 | 0.29 | 6.67 | |
| Jayden StockleyAttacker | 13 (12) | 1096 | 6 | 1 | 1.71 | 7.28 | ×2 |
| Ryan Anthony JohnsonDefender | 12 (12) | 1058 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Myles HippolyteMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1034 | 3 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.70 | ×3 |
| Josef BursikGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.25 | – |
| Aron SasuDefender | 12 (9) | 705 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 6.51 | – |
| Ollie HarrisonMidfielder | 11 (8) | 680 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | |
| Isaac OgundereDefender | 9 (8) | 663 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| James TilleyMidfielder | 9 (7) | 622 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | 6.94 | – |
| Andy YiadomDefender | 10 (7) | 602 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.44 | ×4 |
| D. SweeneyDefender | 7 (7) | 574 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.13 | |
| Callum MaycockMidfielder | 12 (6) | 573 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 6.46 | – |
| Zack NelsonMidfielder | 13 (5) | 502 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Steven SessegnonDefender | 11 (3) | 392 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 |
Blackpool
Top scorer
Jerry Yates
3 goals
Most assists
Josh Bowler
2 assists
Best rated
Bailey Peacock-Farrell
7.11
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Peacock-FarrellGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Oliver CaseyDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Jordan WilliamsDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.76 | ×3 |
| Karoy AndersonMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1079 | 2 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Josh BowlerMidfielder | 12 (11) | 1002 | 2 | 2 | 0.13 | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Albie MorganMidfielder | 12 (11) | 932 | 1 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.11 | ×3 |
| Tom BloxhamAttacker | 12 (9) | 721 | 2 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.68 | – |
| Z. AshworthDefender | 9 (8) | 714 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.73 | |
| Dion Elie Raymond CharlesAttacker | 12 (6) | 530 | 2 | 2 | 0.36 | 6.70 | – |
| Jerry YatesAttacker | 10 (5) | 521 | 3 | 0 | 0.39 | 6.70 | |
| Finley MunroeDefender | 12 (5) | 513 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.68 | ×4 |
| Leighton ClarksonMidfielder | 11 (3) | 436 | 1 | 1 | 0.22 | 6.67 | – |
| J. EarlDefender | 5 (5) | 419 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| George HoneymanMidfielder | 7 (7) | 410 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.55 | |
| CJ HamiltonAttacker | 4 (3) | 256 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.86 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.02 | 1.82 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.80 | 2.00 |
| Betano.dk | 11.50 | 1.02 |
More on AFC Wimbledon vs Blackpool
- AFC Wimbledon stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Blackpool stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League One (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture