Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion Prediction – Match preview
Milton Keynes Dons-:-
Burton AlbionStadium mkRound 15
Our prediction
Milton Keynes Dons to win (65%)
Milton Keynes Dons 65% · Draw 19% · Burton Albion 15% · Over 2.5 goals: 61% · Both teams to score: 55%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
65%
16%
Milton Keynes DonsDraw 19%Burton Albion
Bookmaker implied
58%
19%
Milton Keynes DonsDraw 23%Burton Albion
2.2 – 1.0
Expected score
61%
Over 2.5 goals
55%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
57%
19%
Milton Keynes DonsDraw 24%Burton Albion
First Half Result
42%
18%
Milton Keynes DonsDraw 40%Burton Albion
Team to Score First
61%
32%
Milton Keynes DonsNo goal 7%Burton Albion
Probability
Both Teams to Score
50%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Milton Keynes Dons Over 3.5 Goals
11%
Milton Keynes Dons Over 1.5 Goals
53%
Burton Albion Over 0.5 Goals
54%
Milton Keynes Dons Over 0.5 Goals
82%
Match Result
Milton Keynes Dons
54%1.57
model 1.84-15%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
24%3.90
model 4.15-6%
Last 1030%6/20
Burton Albion
22%5.00
model 4.63disputed
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Milton Keynes Dons
72%1.17
model 1.40-16%
Last 1064%9/14
Burton Albion
28%3.72
model 3.51disputed
Last 1036%5/14
Double chance
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
78%1.12
model 1.28-12%
Last 1075%15/20
Milton Keynes Dons or Burton Albion
76%1.19
model 1.32-10%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Burton Albion
46%2.19
model 2.190%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · Odds: bet365; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
58%Yes 1.70
Last 1055%11/20
Milton Keynes Dons clean sheet
23%
model chance
Burton Albion clean sheet
21%
model chance
Milton Keynes Dons goals
O0.5 79%O1.5 47%O2.5 21%
Burton Albion goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Milton Keynes Dons corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 76%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Burton Albion corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 42%O6.5 27%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 3.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Milton Keynes Dons cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 14%
Burton Albion cards
O0.5 85%O1.5 56%O2.5 29%O3.5 12%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Milton Keynes DonsBurton Albion
- 12
- League position
- 15
- WWWLW
- Last 5
- LWDDL
- 2.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 13
- Goals scored (L5)
- 4
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 7.91
- xG for (L5)
- 2.41
- 2.23
- xG against (L5)
- 2.21
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
3
Milton Keynes Dons wins
1
Draws
0
Burton Albion wins
Last 4 meetings
1.8
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
25%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Milton Keynes Dons in the last 4 meetings
WWWD
Injuries & Suspensions
Milton Keynes Dons
- Kane WilsonKnee Injury
Burton Albion
No reported absences
Key Players
League One, this seasonMilton Keynes Dons
Top scorer
A. Collins
13 goals
Most assists
A. Collins
3 assists
Best rated
A. Collins
7.54
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan WintleMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1159 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 6.93 | ×2 |
| S. NombeAttacker | 13 (13) | 1068 | 1 | 0 | 1.64 | 6.72 | |
| C. GoodeDefender | 12 (12) | 1059 | 2 | 0 | 0.96 | 7.13 | |
| A. CollinsAttacker | 13 (12) | 989 | 13 | 3 | 1.90 | 7.54 | ×3 |
| Marvin EkpitetaDefender | 12 (10) | 955 | 1 | 1 | 0.71 | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Alex GilbeyMidfielder | 11 (8) | 787 | 2 | 1 | 0.45 | 6.80 | ×4 |
| Cohen BramallDefender | 11 (8) | 744 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | |
| Will DennisGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Curtis NelsonDefender | 8 (8) | 685 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.04 | – |
| Ben WilesAttacker | 12 (5) | 552 | 0 | 3 | 0.11 | 6.76 | – |
| Jack SandersDefender | 9 (6) | 525 | 0 | 1 | 0.41 | 6.83 | ×2 |
| E. CampbellMidfielder | 6 (6) | 524 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| G. JonesDefender | 11 (6) | 483 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | |
| Sam SilveraMidfielder | 9 (5) | 482 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.80 | – |
| Craig MacGillivrayGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
Burton Albion
Top scorer
J. Armer
3 goals
Most assists
C. Vickers
4 assists
Best rated
C. Vickers
7.17
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Corey AddaiGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| K. ChaukeMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1252 | 2 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.94 | – |
| C. WebsterAttacker | 14 (14) | 1223 | 2 | 0 | 0.25 | 7.04 | – |
| Curtis TiltDefender | 13 (13) | 1163 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×4 |
| Toby SibbickDefender | 12 (11) | 1034 | 0 | 0 | 0.15 | 6.63 | ×2 |
| J. ArmerMidfielder | 11 (11) | 891 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Raphael Borges RodriguesMidfielder | 10 (10) | 856 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.78 | ×2 |
| C. VickersAttacker | 10 (10) | 794 | 1 | 4 | 0.37 | 7.17 | – |
| George EvansDefender | 9 (9) | 779 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | |
| F. DelapDefender | 9 (9) | 763 | 3 | 0 | – | 7.11 | |
| Will CollarMidfielder | 13 (7) | 640 | 1 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.63 | |
| K. LofthouseMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.63 | |
| Sulyman KruballyMidfielder | 12 (7) | 628 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.63 | ×5 |
| Matthew DennisAttacker | 9 (4) | 443 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Harvey AraujoDefender | 9 (4) | 421 | 0 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.59 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.85 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.61 | 2.25 |
| Betano.dk | 10.50 | 1.03 |
More on Milton Keynes Dons vs Burton Albion
- Milton Keynes Dons stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Burton Albion stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League One (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture