Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers Prediction – Match preview
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The EV Charger Points StadiumRound 16
Our prediction
Cheltenham Town to win (70%)
Cheltenham Town 70% · Draw 16% · Bristol Rovers 13% · Over 2.5 goals: 73% · Both teams to score: 63%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
71%
13%
Cheltenham TownDraw 16%Bristol Rovers
2.7 – 1.1
Expected score
73%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
42%
33%
Cheltenham TownDraw 25%Bristol Rovers
First Half Result
29%
26%
Cheltenham TownDraw 45%Bristol Rovers
Team to Score First
50%
44%
Cheltenham TownNo goal 6%Bristol Rovers
Probability
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
Cheltenham Town Over 3.5 Goals
10%
Cheltenham Town Over 1.5 Goals
46%
Bristol Rovers Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Cheltenham Town Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Cheltenham TownBristol Rovers
- 5
- League position
- 17
- LWWLL
- Last 5
- LDLLL
- 1.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.20
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 11
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 1.83
- xG for (L5)
- 2.08
- 2.71
- xG against (L5)
- 3.56
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Cheltenham Town wins
1
Draws
2
Bristol Rovers wins
Last 5 meetings
2.6
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Cheltenham Town in the last 5 meetings
LWLDW
Key Players
League Two, this seasonCheltenham Town
Top scorer
Charlie McCann
9 goals
Most assists
Jake Evans
4 assists
Best rated
Charlie McCann
7.02
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyll StanwayGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| J. TomkinsonDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.37 | ×7 |
| Charlie McCannMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1145 | 9 | 1 | 0.68 | 7.02 | ×3 |
| P. SweeneyDefender | 13 (12) | 1112 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Jake EvansMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1072 | 4 | 4 | 0.15 | 6.73 | ×5 |
| Andreas WeimannAttacker | 14 (12) | 1050 | 4 | 2 | 0.11 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| J. ShipleyMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1042 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.47 | ×3 |
| Ben StevensonMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1040 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.64 | |
| Robbie CundyDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Joseph TomlinsonDefender | 9 (8) | 701 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| James WilsonDefender | 10 (7) | 611 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| S. McWilliamsMidfielder | 8 (8) | 606 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.42 | ×5 |
| Ryan BroomMidfielder | 11 (6) | 580 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Freddie WillcoxMidfielder | 12 (5) | 550 | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.57 | ×3 |
| George NurseDefender | 9 (3) | 337 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.27 | – |
Bristol Rovers
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn
3 goals
Most assists
Clinton Mola
2 assists
Best rated
Tommy Leigh
6.94
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad YoungGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Clinton MolaMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1205 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.77 | ×3 |
| Thomas JamesDefender | 13 (13) | 1139 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Kofi BalmerDefender | 13 (13) | 1123 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.77 | ×5 |
| Shaqai FordeMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1057 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.62 | ×4 |
| Fabrizio CavegnAttacker | 13 (12) | 929 | 3 | 1 | 0.53 | 6.82 | – |
| Richard SmallwoodMidfielder | 12 (11) | 799 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Ciaran KellyDefender | 10 (8) | 776 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 6.62 | ×2 |
| B. PurringtonDefender | 10 (8) | 765 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.53 | ×3 |
| Keenan GoughMidfielder | 8 (6) | 611 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.68 | ×3 |
| Bobby KamwaMidfielder | 12 (8) | 603 | 3 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.56 | |
| Ellis HarrisonAttacker | 10 (5) | 518 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Tommy LeighMidfielder | 7 (6) | 502 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Jack SparkesMidfielder | 7 (6) | 486 | 1 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.79 | – |
| Riley HarbottleDefender | 6 (6) | 476 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 |
More on Cheltenham Town vs Bristol Rovers
- Cheltenham Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Bristol Rovers stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture