Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra Prediction – Match preview
Gillingham-:-
Crewe AlexandraMEMS Priestfield StadiumRound 16
Our prediction
Gillingham to win (36%)
Gillingham 36% · Draw 33% · Crewe Alexandra 31% · Over 2.5 goals: 26% · Both teams to score: 34%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
36%
31%
GillinghamDraw 33%Crewe Alexandra
0.9 – 0.8
Expected score
26%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
31%
41%
GillinghamDraw 28%Crewe Alexandra
First Half Result
24%
30%
GillinghamDraw 46%Crewe Alexandra
Team to Score First
41%
49%
GillinghamNo goal 10%Crewe Alexandra
Probability
Both Teams to Score
48%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
Gillingham Over 3.5 Goals
2%
Gillingham Over 1.5 Goals
28%
Crewe Alexandra Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Gillingham Over 0.5 Goals
64%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026GillinghamCrewe Alexandra
- 8
- League position
- 4
- WLDLW
- Last 5
- DLLWW
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 9
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- 2.72
- xG for (L5)
- 1.39
- 5.41
- xG against (L5)
- 1.94
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Gillingham wins
2
Draws
4
Crewe Alexandra wins
Last 10 meetings
1.5
Goals per game
10%
Both teams scored
10%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Gillingham in the last 5 meetings
LWDLD
Key Players
League Two, this seasonGillingham
Top scorer
Ronan Aiden Connolly Shea Chapman Hale
6 goals
Most assists
N. Freeman
3 assists
Best rated
Ronan Aiden Connolly Shea Chapman Hale
7.07
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar BecklesDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×2 |
| James BrophyMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1254 | 3 | 1 | 0.63 | 7.06 | ×2 |
| N. FreemanMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1228 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Andy SmithDefender | 14 (14) | 1215 | 1 | 1 | 0.43 | 6.60 | |
| Ronan Aiden Connolly Shea Chapman HaleAttacker | 14 (14) | 1118 | 6 | 1 | 0.41 | 7.07 | ×3 |
| Oliver WrightGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.82 | – |
| Robbie McKenzieMidfielder | 12 (10) | 952 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | ×4 |
| Logan DobbsDefender | 12 (11) | 925 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 | ×4 |
| Harry WaldockMidfielder | 12 (10) | 812 | 1 | 1 | 0.46 | 6.54 | |
| Conor McManusMidfielder | 8 (7) | 591 | 1 | 1 | 0.64 | 6.90 | ×3 |
| Lamin SillahAttacker | 9 (6) | 511 | 2 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.78 | |
| Armani LittleMidfielder | 7 (5) | 353 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | ×3 |
| Garath McClearyMidfielder | 11 (2) | 353 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Will GoodwinAttacker | 7 (5) | 320 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.56 | |
| Eli KingMidfielder | 4 (3) | 276 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.82 |
Crewe Alexandra
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson
5 goals
Most assists
Joel Tabiner
4 assists
Best rated
Mickey Demetriou
7.01
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis BillingtonDefender | 14 (14) | 1242 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | |
| Luke OffordDefender | 14 (14) | 1238 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.89 | |
| Josh MarchAttacker | 14 (14) | 1220 | 3 | 2 | 0.08 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Tom BoothGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1148 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Matus HolicekMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1000 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Jordan GibsonMidfielder | 14 (11) | 928 | 5 | 2 | 0.27 | 6.97 | |
| Joel TabinerMidfielder | 14 (12) | 909 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 6.56 | – |
| Joe WhiteMidfielder | 13 (10) | 760 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Calum AgiusAttacker | 12 (6) | 626 | 0 | 1 | 0.40 | 6.50 | ×2 |
| Reece HutchinsonDefender | 9 (7) | 594 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Jack LankesterMidfielder | 9 (7) | 578 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Owen LuntMidfielder | 7 (4) | 455 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.68 | |
| Kyle UreMidfielder | 9 (5) | 454 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.54 | |
| Adrien ThibautAttacker | 13 (3) | 394 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.48 | – |
| Charlie McNeillAttacker | 13 (3) | 378 | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.53 |
More on Gillingham vs Crewe Alexandra
- Gillingham stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Crewe Alexandra stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture