Newport County vs Swindon Town Prediction – Match preview
Newport County-:-
Swindon TownRodney ParadeRound 16
Our prediction
Newport County to win (74%)
Newport County 74% · Draw 20% · Swindon Town 6% · Over 2.5 goals: 36% · Both teams to score: 24%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
74%
6%
Newport CountyDraw 20%Swindon Town
1.8 – 0.3
Expected score
36%
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
49%
26%
Newport CountyDraw 25%Swindon Town
First Half Result
36%
23%
Newport CountyDraw 41%Swindon Town
Team to Score First
57%
36%
Newport CountyNo goal 7%Swindon Town
Probability
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
50%
Over 3.5 Goals
28%
Newport County Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Newport County Over 1.5 Goals
46%
Swindon Town Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Newport County Over 0.5 Goals
78%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Newport CountySwindon Town
- 14
- League position
- 13
- WLDDW
- Last 5
- WDWDL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 8
- Goals scored (L5)
- 6
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 4
- 3.19
- xG for (L5)
- 2.20
- 2.51
- xG against (L5)
- 2.31
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Newport County wins
0
Draws
6
Swindon Town wins
Last 8 meetings
2.4
Goals per game
38%
Both teams scored
50%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Newport County in the last 5 meetings
LLLLW
Key Players
League Two, this seasonNewport County
Top scorer
Shaquille Gwengwe
5 goals
Most assists
Harrison Biggins
3 assists
Best rated
Harrison Biggins
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee JenkinsDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.85 | |
| Kyle CameronDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.72 | – |
| Harrison BigginsMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1251 | 4 | 3 | 1.39 | 7.12 | ×3 |
| Ciaran BrennanMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1248 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Cameron NormanDefender | 14 (14) | 1241 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.84 | ×3 |
| Jordan WrightGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1205 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Yahya BambaMidfielder | 13 (8) | 767 | 2 | 1 | 0.27 | 6.60 | – |
| Shaquille GwengweMidfielder | 10 (9) | 748 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Matthew Max Dibley-DiasMidfielder | 11 (9) | 742 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×4 |
| Michael Adu-PokuMidfielder | 10 (7) | 567 | 0 | 1 | 0.52 | 6.82 | |
| Matty JacobDefender | 7 (7) | 558 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.89 | |
| Christian DoidgeAttacker | 8 (8) | 550 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.96 | |
| Joe ThomasDefender | 10 (5) | 465 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Cameron EvansMidfielder | 6 (4) | 320 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.52 | |
| Matt SmithMidfielder | 8 (1) | 255 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 |
Swindon Town
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan
8 goals
Most assists
Stephan Negru
2 assists
Best rated
Connor Ripley
7.24
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor RipleyGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1204 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Aaron DrinanAttacker | 14 (14) | 1183 | 8 | 1 | 0.20 | 7.02 | – |
| Stephan NegruDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 7.02 | – |
| Mitchell ClarkDefender | 11 (11) | 960 | 1 | 0 | 0.34 | 6.55 | |
| Jack ThomsonMidfielder | 12 (11) | 955 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | 7.08 | |
| Anthony MundaMidfielder | 11 (11) | 878 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | |
| Kaelan MajekodunmiDefender | 12 (9) | 811 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×4 |
| Billy KirkmanDefender | 11 (8) | 670 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.73 | – |
| D. ButlerDefender | 8 (8) | 651 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Ollie ClarkeMidfielder | 10 (9) | 644 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Matthew Virtue-ThickMidfielder | 8 (5) | 494 | 0 | 1 | 0.53 | 6.74 | |
| Tom NicholsMidfielder | 10 (6) | 484 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.57 | |
| Joe SnowdonAttacker | 9 (6) | 483 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 6.77 | – |
| James BallDefender | 9 (6) | 418 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Joseph HungboAttacker | 9 (3) | 394 | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.69 | – |
More on Newport County vs Swindon Town
- Newport County stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Swindon Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture