Northampton Town vs Rochdale Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Sixfields StadiumRound 16
Our prediction
A draw (42%)
Northampton Town 34% · Draw 42% · Rochdale 24% · Over 2.5 goals: 12% · Both teams to score: 20%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 10 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
34%
24%
Northampton TownDraw 42%Rochdale
0.7 – 0.5
Expected score
12%
Over 2.5 goals
20%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
43%
31%
Northampton TownDraw 26%Rochdale
First Half Result
33%
23%
Northampton TownDraw 44%Rochdale
Team to Score First
53%
40%
Northampton TownNo goal 7%Rochdale
Probability
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 1.5 Goals
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
51%
Over 3.5 Goals
30%
Northampton Town Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Northampton Town Over 1.5 Goals
42%
Rochdale Over 0.5 Goals
66%
Northampton Town Over 0.5 Goals
74%
Form Guide
Updated 10 Nov 2026Northampton TownRochdale
- 21
- League position
- 20
- LDWLW
- Last 5
- LLDLD
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.40
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 15
- 3.22
- xG for (L5)
- 1.39
- 3.22
- xG against (L5)
- 4.48
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
0
Northampton Town wins
2
Draws
2
Rochdale wins
Last 4 meetings
1.8
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
25%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Northampton Town in the last 4 meetings
LLDD
Key Players
League Two, this seasonNorthampton Town
Top scorer
Joe O'Brien Whitmarsh
2 goals
Most assists
Lee Evans
2 assists
Best rated
Elliott Moore
6.99
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jon GuthrieDefender | 13 (13) | 1178 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.97 | |
| Elliott MooreDefender | 13 (13) | 1155 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.99 | |
| Zach JeacockGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1057 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | – |
| Joe WormleightonMidfielder | 12 (12) | 965 | 0 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.85 | |
| Lee EvansMidfielder | 10 (10) | 854 | 0 | 2 | 0.22 | 6.97 | ×2 |
| Joe O'Brien WhitmarshMidfielder | 12 (9) | 796 | 2 | 2 | 0.24 | 6.69 | – |
| Connor Lemonheigh-EvansMidfielder | 11 (9) | 756 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.63 | – |
| Matty WarhurstAttacker | 12 (9) | 750 | 2 | 0 | 1.11 | 6.67 | ×2 |
| Janoi DonacienDefender | 9 (9) | 739 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.84 | – |
| James MaxwellDefender | 11 (8) | 699 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | |
| Tyrese FornahMidfielder | 10 (7) | 693 | 0 | 0 | 0.13 | 6.72 | ×2 |
| Owen DaleAttacker | 9 (7) | 631 | 0 | 1 | 0.59 | 6.74 | |
| Josh PowellDefender | 7 (5) | 474 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Logan BriggsMidfielder | 8 (5) | 428 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.38 | ×2 |
| Sam HoskinsAttacker | 11 (4) | 392 | 1 | 0 | 0.32 | 6.57 |
Rochdale
Top scorer
Dajaune Brown
4 goals
Most assists
G. Middleton
3 assists
Best rated
Aden Flint
7.00
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dajaune BrownAttacker | 14 (14) | 1187 | 4 | 2 | 1.01 | 6.91 | – |
| Kaiden WilsonDefender | 14 (13) | 1149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Harvey GilmourMidfielder | 14 (12) | 1071 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Babajide AdeekoMidfielder | 14 (12) | 1017 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.59 | |
| Charlie TaskerDefender | 10 (10) | 853 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.75 | – |
| Nils RammingGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Aden FlintDefender | 9 (9) | 787 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.00 | – |
| Kane TaylorMidfielder | 10 (8) | 683 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.57 | – |
| G. MiddletonMidfielder | 10 (8) | 673 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.78 | |
| E. FrancisMidfielder | 13 (6) | 629 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Tobi Adebayo-RowlingDefender | 9 (7) | 601 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | ×4 |
| Emmanuel DieseruvweAttacker | 11 (5) | 509 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Daniel MossDefender | 6 (6) | 508 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Sam SherringDefender | 7 (6) | 508 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | |
| Luke HannantMidfielder | 10 (4) | 482 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.70 |
More on Northampton Town vs Rochdale
- Northampton Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Rochdale stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture