Querétaro vs Monterrey Prediction – Match preview
-:-
Estadio La CorregidoraRound 7
Our prediction
Monterrey to win (46%)
Querétaro 31% · Draw 23% · Monterrey 46% · Over 2.5 goals: 62% · Both teams to score: 63%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
31%
46%
QuerétaroDraw 23%Monterrey
Bookmaker implied
29%
45%
QuerétaroDraw 26%Monterrey
1.4 – 1.8
Expected score
62%
Over 2.5 goals
63%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
27%
48%
QuerétaroDraw 25%Monterrey
First Half Result
22%
37%
QuerétaroDraw 41%Monterrey
Team to Score First
40%
54%
QuerétaroNo goal 6%Monterrey
Probability
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 1.5 Goals
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
55%
Over 3.5 Goals
33%
Querétaro Over 3.5 Goals
3%
Querétaro Over 1.5 Goals
32%
Monterrey Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Querétaro Over 0.5 Goals
65%
Match Result
Querétaro
39%–
model 2.59–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.83–
Last 1020%4/20
Monterrey
35%–
model 2.83–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Querétaro
52%–
model 1.92–
Last 1050%8/16
Monterrey
48%–
model 2.09–
Last 1050%8/16
Double chance
Querétaro or draw
65%–
model 1.55–
Last 1060%12/20
Querétaro or Monterrey
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Monterrey
61%–
model 1.63–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.5 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%
Last 1060%12/20
Querétaro clean sheet
19%
model chance
Monterrey clean sheet
24%
model chance
Querétaro goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
Monterrey goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Querétaro corners
O2.5 83%O3.5 67%O4.5 48%O5.5 31%O6.5 18%O7.5 9%
Monterrey corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 84%O4.5 70%O5.5 54%O6.5 37%O7.5 24%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Querétaro cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Monterrey cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026QuerétaroMonterrey
- 11
- League position
- 9
- LLLLW
- Last 5
- DLWWD
- 0.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 13
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 7
- 3.88
- xG for (L5)
- 5.97
- 3.27
- xG against (L5)
- 3.14
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
8
Querétaro wins
8
Draws
22
Monterrey wins
Last 38 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
63%
Both teams scored
66%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Querétaro in the last 5 meetings
LLLLD
Key Players
Liga MX, this seasonQuerétaro
Top scorer
Alí Ávila
6 goals
Most assists
Iker Benito
3 assists
Best rated
Santiago Homenchenko
7.49
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guillermo AllisonGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.08 | – |
| Daniel ParraDefender | 14 (14) | 1254 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 6.82 | ×4 |
| Alí ÁvilaAttacker | 14 (14) | 1244 | 6 | 0 | 1.01 | 6.87 | ×3 |
| Lucas AbasciaDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.72 | ×6 |
| Carlo Adriano García PradesMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1168 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Diego ReyesDefender | 13 (13) | 1147 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.88 | ×3 |
| Enzo GiménezMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1070 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 6.71 | |
| Mateo CoronelMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1041 | 4 | 2 | 1.42 | 7.05 | ×2 |
| Santiago HomenchenkoMidfielder | 11 (11) | 990 | 5 | 2 | – | 7.49 | ×4 |
| Bayron DuarteDefender | 13 (11) | 850 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.64 | ×6 |
| Paulo VictorMidfielder | 13 (8) | 533 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | ×4 |
| Iker BenitoMidfielder | 10 (5) | 519 | 1 | 3 | 0.24 | 6.80 | |
| Carlos VillanuevaDefender | 9 (2) | 345 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| B. ParraMidfielder | 10 (3) | 301 | 0 | 0 | 0.05 | 6.60 | |
| Denilson MunozMidfielder | 6 (3) | 252 | 1 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.83 | – |
Monterrey
Top scorer
Lucas Ocampos
7 goals
Most assists
Óliver Torres
5 assists
Best rated
Lucas Ocampos
7.61
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo ChávezDefender | 13 (12) | 1001 | 0 | 2 | 0.35 | 6.84 | ×4 |
| Hugo CuypersAttacker | 13 (11) | 983 | 6 | 1 | 1.93 | 7.17 | – |
| Óliver TorresMidfielder | 14 (10) | 980 | 0 | 5 | – | 7.18 | ×3 |
| Gerardo ArteagaDefender | 12 (11) | 977 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.72 | |
| Lucas OcamposMidfielder | 12 (11) | 950 | 7 | 4 | 1.49 | 7.61 | |
| Diego RossiMidfielder | 13 (11) | 934 | 6 | 3 | 1.11 | 7.03 | ×2 |
| Víctor GuzmánDefender | 10 (10) | 903 | 0 | 0 | 0.24 | 7.07 | – |
| Orbelín PinedaMidfielder | 11 (9) | 814 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.02 | |
| Jesús CoronaMidfielder | 13 (11) | 792 | 2 | 2 | 0.05 | 7.00 | |
| Carlos SalcedoDefender | 9 (9) | 721 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×3 |
| Esteban AndradaGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.96 | – |
| Luca OrellanoMidfielder | 13 (7) | 690 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.87 | |
| César GarzaMidfielder | 7 (7) | 564 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.83 | ×2 |
| Luis CárdenasGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Daniel Alonso Aceves PatiñoDefender | 8 (5) | 430 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.48 | ×2 |
More on Querétaro vs Monterrey
- Querétaro stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Monterrey stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Liga MX (Mexico) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture