Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro Prediction – Match preview
Mirassol-:-
Atlético MineiroEstádio José Maria de Campos MaiaRound 35
Our prediction
Mirassol to win (37%)
Mirassol 37% · Draw 28% · Atlético Mineiro 35% · Over 2.5 goals: 41% · Both teams to score: 48%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
37%
35%
MirassolDraw 28%Atlético Mineiro
Bookmaker implied
39%
33%
MirassolDraw 28%Atlético Mineiro
1.2 – 1.1
Expected score
41%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
56%
19%
MirassolDraw 25%Atlético Mineiro
First Half Result
39%
17%
MirassolDraw 44%Atlético Mineiro
Team to Score First
59%
33%
MirassolNo goal 8%Atlético Mineiro
Probability
Both Teams to Score
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Mirassol Over 3.5 Goals
8%
Mirassol Over 1.5 Goals
49%
Atlético Mineiro Over 0.5 Goals
54%
Mirassol Over 0.5 Goals
80%
Match Result
Mirassol
47%1.94
model 2.14-9%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
27%3.59
model 3.71-3%
Last 1020%4/20
Atlético Mineiro
26%3.77
model 3.82-1%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Mirassol
64%1.40
model 1.56-10%
Last 1056%9/16
Atlético Mineiro
36%2.72
model 2.79-2%
Last 1044%7/16
Double chance
Mirassol or draw
74%1.26
model 1.36-7%
Last 1065%13/20
Mirassol or Atlético Mineiro
73%1.28
model 1.37-6%
Last 1080%16/20
Draw or Atlético Mineiro
53%1.84
model 1.88-2%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.1 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 92% | 8% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 73% | 27% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 26% | 74% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Both teams to score
52%
Last 1040%8/20
Mirassol clean sheet
28%
model chance
Atlético Mineiro clean sheet
27%
model chance
Mirassol goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Atlético Mineiro goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 10.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 50% | 50% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
Mirassol corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 16%
Atlético Mineiro corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 30%O7.5 18%
Cards
Expected 4.3 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Mirassol cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Atlético Mineiro cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 61%O2.5 34%O3.5 15%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026MirassolAtlético Mineiro
- 14
- League position
- 7
- WLDWL
- Last 5
- LLLWW
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 5
- Goals scored (L5)
- 5
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- 4.17
- xG for (L5)
- 2.76
- 5.09
- xG against (L5)
- 6.53
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
0
Mirassol wins
1
Draws
2
Atlético Mineiro wins
Last 3 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Mirassol in the last 3 meetings
LLD
Injuries & Suspensions
Mirassol
No reported absences
Atlético Mineiro
- ReinierHamstring Injury
- Victor HugoHamstring Injury
Key Players
Serie A, this seasonMirassol
Top scorer
Eduardo
7 goals
Most assists
Reinaldo
5 assists
Best rated
Negueba
7.18
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João VictorDefender | 32 (32) | 2818 | 2 | 1 | 0.21 | 6.96 | ×3 |
| ReinaldoDefender | 31 (31) | 2681 | 2 | 5 | 1.65 | 6.95 | ×4 |
| WalterGoalkeeper | 30 (30) | 2656 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.91 | ×4 |
| Igor FormigaDefender | 31 (29) | 2537 | 4 | 5 | – | 7.07 | ×3 |
| Willian MachadoDefender | 29 (27) | 2460 | 1 | 1 | 0.08 | 7.07 | ×5 |
| AlessonAttacker | 30 (23) | 1949 | 0 | 5 | 0.43 | 6.83 | ×3 |
| DenilsonMidfielder | 25 (21) | 1557 | 1 | 1 | 0.01 | 6.80 | ×7 |
| EduardoMidfielder | 26 (18) | 1496 | 7 | 0 | 0.18 | 6.77 | ×2 |
| Neto MouraMidfielder | 22 (18) | 1475 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.83 | ×8 |
| ShaylonMidfielder | 25 (12) | 1254 | 1 | 2 | 0.04 | 6.66 | ×2 |
| José AldoMidfielder | 18 (14) | 1253 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 6.84 | ×7 |
| Edson CariocaAttacker | 23 (14) | 1166 | 3 | 1 | 0.39 | 6.71 | ×6 |
| Bruno SantosAttacker | 16 (15) | 1113 | 3 | 0 | 0.53 | 6.61 | |
| André LuisAttacker | 21 (7) | 801 | 3 | 0 | 0.39 | 6.63 | ×2 |
| Lucas OliveiraDefender | 13 (7) | 796 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×2 |
Atlético Mineiro
Top scorer
Tomás Cuello
6 goals
Most assists
Bernard
4 assists
Best rated
Gabriel Delfim
7.19
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Renan LodiDefender | 29 (27) | 2360 | 1 | 3 | 0.31 | 6.96 | ×4 |
| EversonGoalkeeper | 24 (24) | 2160 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.97 | – |
| NatanaelDefender | 25 (25) | 1979 | 0 | 3 | 0.10 | 6.79 | |
| Victor HugoMidfielder | 26 (22) | 1872 | 4 | 2 | 0.37 | 6.97 | |
| Tomás CuelloMidfielder | 27 (22) | 1871 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.09 | ×3 |
| Alan FrancoMidfielder | 24 (23) | 1870 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.72 | ×6 |
| RuanDefender | 20 (20) | 1753 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.96 | ×7 |
| BernardMidfielder | 27 (20) | 1528 | 5 | 4 | 0.71 | 6.92 | – |
| MayconMidfielder | 22 (18) | 1455 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.77 | – |
| ReinierMidfielder | 24 (14) | 1183 | 4 | 2 | 0.43 | 6.90 | |
| Vitor HugoDefender | 19 (12) | 1122 | 3 | 0 | – | 6.82 | ×3 |
| Mateo CassierraAttacker | 22 (10) | 1085 | 3 | 2 | – | 6.76 | |
| Tomás PérezMidfielder | 17 (13) | 1037 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | ×3 |
| LyancoDefender | 14 (12) | 994 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×3 |
| HulkAttacker | 12 (11) | 912 | 1 | 3 | – | 6.93 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Dafabet | 1.79 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 2.66 |
| MelBet | 1.46 | 2.71 |
| Pinnacle | 1.99 | 1.86 |
More on Mirassol vs Atlético Mineiro
- Mirassol stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Atlético Mineiro stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Serie A (Brazil) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture