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World Cup

World Cup

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World Cup predictions this week

No World Cup match this week has a prediction that can be checked against a price yet. Every league is on the mathematical predictions board.

Result called right
70.5%
Home-win baseline
48.4%
Settled matches
95
Over/under 2.5 right
54.7%

Record: matches in this league from the last 180 days whose prediction was written before kick-off, settled on the 90-minute score. A hit rate is not a profit; see how the model is judged on its track record.

Frequently Asked Questions

How are these World Cup predictions made?

A goals model gives each side an expected number of goals from its recent attack and defence, then works out the chance of every result. Each World Cup match shows the model's single most likely call across the result, over/under 2.5 goals and both teams to score, beside the bookmaker's price.

Why are some World Cup matches missing?

Only matches whose prediction can be checked against a bookmaker price, and sits within 15 points of it, are listed. A bigger gap usually means the model is missing team news, so the match is left out rather than shown with a number nobody should trust.

How accurate are the World Cup predictions?

Over the last 180 days the model's most likely result was right in 70.5% of 95 World Cup matches. Always backing the home side would have been right 48.4% of the time, which is the number to judge it against.

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