Granada vs Las Palmas Prediction – Match preview
Granada-:-
Las PalmasEstadio Nuevo Los CármenesRound 14
Our prediction
Granada to win (58%)
Granada 58% · Draw 19% · Las Palmas 23% · Over 2.5 goals: 77% · Both teams to score: 72%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 08 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
58%
23%
GranadaDraw 19%Las Palmas
2.5 – 1.6
Expected score
77%
Over 2.5 goals
72%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
42%
32%
GranadaDraw 26%Las Palmas
First Half Result
32%
22%
GranadaDraw 46%Las Palmas
Team to Score First
54%
40%
GranadaNo goal 6%Las Palmas
Probability
Both Teams to Score
57%
Over 1.5 Goals
77%
Over 2.5 Goals
53%
Over 3.5 Goals
31%
Granada Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Granada Over 1.5 Goals
43%
Las Palmas Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Granada Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Match Result
Granada
54%1.69
model 1.85-9%
Last 1050%10/20
Draw
25%3.77
model 3.96-5%
Last 1015%3/20
Las Palmas
21%5.09
model 4.83+5%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Granada
72%1.24
model 1.38-10%
Last 1059%10/17
Las Palmas
28%3.74
model 3.61+4%
Last 1041%7/17
Double chance
Granada or draw
79%1.17
model 1.26-7%
Last 1065%13/20
Granada or Las Palmas
75%1.27
model 1.34-5%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Las Palmas
46%2.17
model 2.180%
Last 1050%10/20
Expected goals 1.8–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.0 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 57% | 43% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%
Last 1055%11/20
Granada clean sheet
26%
model chance
Las Palmas clean sheet
19%
model chance
Granada goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 49%O2.5 23%
Las Palmas goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%
Corners
Expected 9.2 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 57% | 43% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Granada corners
O2.5 86%O3.5 71%O4.5 53%O5.5 36%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Las Palmas corners
O2.5 81%O3.5 63%O4.5 44%O5.5 27%O6.5 15%O7.5 7%
Cards
Expected 4.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 86% | 14% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Granada cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 18%
Las Palmas cards
O0.5 93%O1.5 73%O2.5 48%O3.5 26%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026GranadaLas Palmas
- 5
- League position
- 12
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- WWLLD
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 10
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- 1.77
- xG for (L5)
- 2.62
- 1.93
- xG against (L5)
- 2.99
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
4
Granada wins
6
Draws
5
Las Palmas wins
Last 15 meetings
2.9
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Granada in the last 5 meetings
LDDDL
Injuries & Suspensions
Granada
- Baïla DialloMuscle Injury
- Pau CasadesúsMuscle Injury
Las Palmas
- Edward CedeñoTendon Tear
- Iñaki GonzálezMuscle Injury
- Sergio RuizMeniscus Tear
- Viti RozadaArthroscopy
Key Players
La Liga 2, this seasonGranada
Top scorer
Jorge Pascual
4 goals
Most assists
Gerard Gumbau
4 assists
Best rated
Alberto Flores López
7.44
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manu LamaDefender | 12 (12) | 1086 | 1 | 2 | 0.01 | 7.11 | ×2 |
| Gerard GumbauMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1049 | 1 | 4 | 0.03 | 7.30 | ×2 |
| Rubén AlcarazMidfielder | 12 (12) | 995 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 7.04 | ×3 |
| Sergio LópezDefender | 12 (12) | 991 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.87 | ×3 |
| José Manuel ArnáizAttacker | 11 (11) | 837 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.94 | – |
| Sergio RodelasAttacker | 12 (8) | 708 | 1 | 3 | 0.40 | 6.75 | |
| Raúl LizoainGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.12 | – |
| Pedro Alemañ SernaMidfielder | 10 (7) | 600 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.84 | ×2 |
| Diego PampínDefender | 9 (6) | 557 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.67 | |
| Alberto Flores LópezGoalkeeper | 6 (5) | 546 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.44 | – |
| Jorge PascualAttacker | 11 (5) | 474 | 4 | 0 | 0.59 | 6.96 | |
| Juanjo FloresDefender | 6 (5) | 458 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Baïla DialloDefender | 6 (5) | 419 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.81 | |
| Alejandro MarquésAttacker | 8 (3) | 324 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.68 | – |
| Mario GambinMidfielder | 10 (3) | 319 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.62 | – |
Las Palmas
Top scorer
Jesé
4 goals
Most assists
Taisei Miyashiro
2 assists
Best rated
Valentín Pezzolesi
7.03
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Valentín PezzolesiDefender | 12 (12) | 1080 | 2 | 1 | 0.05 | 7.03 | ×2 |
| José Antonio CaroGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Taisei MiyashiroMidfielder | 12 (12) | 965 | 3 | 2 | 0.18 | 6.87 | |
| Enzo LoiodiceMidfielder | 12 (9) | 864 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.79 | ×2 |
| Juanma HerzogDefender | 10 (10) | 856 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.60 | ×3 |
| Álex SuárezDefender | 10 (10) | 851 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.59 | ×3 |
| Kirian RodríguezMidfielder | 12 (10) | 807 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Iván JaimeMidfielder | 10 (8) | 723 | 2 | 2 | 0.11 | 6.89 | ×3 |
| Manu FusterMidfielder | 12 (9) | 716 | 2 | 1 | 0.60 | 6.96 | |
| Giovanni BonfantiDefender | 11 (7) | 692 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | ×3 |
| JeséAttacker | 10 (9) | 677 | 4 | 1 | 1.25 | 6.96 | ×2 |
| Jefté BetancorAttacker | 11 (6) | 550 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.66 | – |
| Iñaki GonzálezMidfielder | 8 (6) | 506 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Andrés RodríguezDefender | 6 (3) | 329 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.43 | ×2 |
| Elías RomeroAttacker | 10 (1) | 236 | 1 | 2 | 0.21 | 6.59 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 1.62 |
| MelBet | 3.09 | 1.37 |
| Pinnacle | 1.90 | 1.94 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 15.00 | 1.02 |
More on Granada vs Las Palmas
- Granada stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Las Palmas stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga 2 (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture