Tenerife vs Ceuta Prediction – Match preview
Tenerife-:-
CeutaEstadio Heliodoro Rodríguez LopézRound 14
Our prediction
Tenerife to win (78%)
Tenerife 78% · Draw 16% · Ceuta 6% · Over 2.5 goals: 51% · Both teams to score: 34%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 08 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
78%
6%
TenerifeDraw 16%Ceuta
2.2 – 0.5
Expected score
51%
Over 2.5 goals
34%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
56%
19%
TenerifeDraw 25%Ceuta
First Half Result
40%
17%
TenerifeDraw 43%Ceuta
Team to Score First
58%
33%
TenerifeNo goal 9%Ceuta
Probability
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Tenerife Over 3.5 Goals
9%
Tenerife Over 1.5 Goals
48%
Ceuta Over 0.5 Goals
52%
Tenerife Over 0.5 Goals
79%
Match Result
Tenerife
50%–
model 1.99–
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
26%–
model 3.87–
Last 1040%8/20
Ceuta
24%–
model 4.20–
Last 1025%5/20
Draw no bet
Tenerife
68%–
model 1.47–
Last 1058%7/12
Ceuta
32%–
model 3.11–
Last 1042%5/12
Double chance
Tenerife or draw
76%–
model 1.31–
Last 1075%15/20
Tenerife or Ceuta
74%–
model 1.35–
Last 1060%12/20
Draw or Ceuta
50%–
model 2.01–
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.7–1.1 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 100%20/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
57%
Last 1075%15/20
Tenerife clean sheet
29%
model chance
Ceuta clean sheet
20%
model chance
Tenerife goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 22%
Ceuta goals
O0.5 71%O1.5 35%O2.5 13%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 68% | 32% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 55% | 45% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 42% | 58% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Tenerife corners
O2.5 78%O3.5 59%O4.5 40%O5.5 24%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Ceuta corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Cards
Expected 5.5 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 91% | 9% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 80% | 20% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5main | 48% | 52% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
Tenerife cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 76%O2.5 52%O3.5 30%
Ceuta cards
O0.5 94%O1.5 77%O2.5 53%O3.5 31%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026TenerifeCeuta
- 14
- League position
- 22
- DDDDL
- Last 5
- LLLLL
- 0.80
- Points per game (L5)
- 0.00
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 3
- 8
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 12
- 1.75
- xG for (L5)
- 5.63
- 2.77
- xG against (L5)
- 5.68
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Injuries & Suspensions
Tenerife
- Alassan ManjamTendon Rupture
- Baba DiocouHamstring Injury
Ceuta
- Kenneth MamahGroin Injury
Confirmed Line-ups
Tenerife
4-4-2- 1Dani MartínGoalkeeper
- 2David RodríguezDefender
- 12Anthony LandázuriDefender
- 27Neal ViereckDefender
- 3Roko JureskinDefender
- 11Noel LópezMidfielder
- 6Juanjo SánchezMidfielder
- 16Jesús ÁlvarezMidfielder
- 10Nacho GilMidfielder
- 17Christian GomisAttacker
- 18Enric GallegoAttacker
Ceuta
4-3-3- 13Guillermo VallejoGoalkeeper
- 23AnuarDefender
- 6Carlos HernándezDefender
- 4Albert CaparrósDefender
- 3José MatosDefender
- 20Ale MeléndezMidfielder
- 14Yann BodigerMidfielder
- 10Marino IllescasMidfielder
- 8Kuki ZalazarMidfielder
- 9Jordi EscobarAttacker
- 11Cedric Wilfried Teguia NoubiAttacker
Key Players
La Liga 2, this seasonTenerife
Top scorer
Enric Gallego
8 goals
Most assists
Nacho Gil
4 assists
Best rated
Enric Gallego
7.41
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dani MartínGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1075 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×2 |
| David RodríguezDefender | 12 (12) | 1066 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | ×4 |
| Anthony LandázuriDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Enric GallegoAttacker | 11 (11) | 826 | 8 | 1 | 1.13 | 7.41 | ×4 |
| Nacho GilMidfielder | 10 (9) | 797 | 1 | 4 | 0.08 | 7.17 | |
| Juanjo SánchezMidfielder | 11 (10) | 792 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×3 |
| José LeónDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| César ÁlvarezDefender | 8 (7) | 612 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | |
| Víctor MorenoMidfielder | 8 (7) | 583 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Christian GomisAttacker | 8 (6) | 491 | 2 | 0 | 0.16 | 6.78 | – |
| Jesús ÁlvarezMidfielder | 8 (6) | 451 | 1 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.82 | ×2 |
| Noel LópezAttacker | 8 (3) | 382 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.64 | – |
| Jorge MorenoDefender | 7 (4) | 370 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | |
| Neal ViereckDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.46 | |
| Dani FernándezMidfielder | 7 (3) | 291 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.42 | ×2 |
Ceuta
Top scorer
Carlos Hernández
4 goals
Most assists
Kialy Abdoul Kone
3 assists
Best rated
Kuki Zalazar
7.05
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kuki ZalazarAttacker | 13 (13) | 1117 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.05 | ×3 |
| Carlos HernándezDefender | 13 (12) | 1100 | 4 | 0 | 0.61 | 6.78 | ×4 |
| Alejandro CamachoMidfielder | 13 (9) | 799 | 1 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.88 | |
| José MatosDefender | 11 (8) | 722 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.36 | ×2 |
| Guillermo VallejoGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| Jordi EscobarAttacker | 13 (7) | 683 | 4 | 1 | 0.97 | 6.67 | ×2 |
| Albert CaparrósDefender | 8 (7) | 658 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.55 | |
| Yann BodigerMidfielder | 9 (8) | 599 | 1 | 0 | 0.79 | 6.68 | ×2 |
| Marino IllescasMidfielder | 9 (6) | 596 | 0 | 0 | 0.25 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Carlos RedruDefender | 7 (6) | 584 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 6.64 | – |
| Ale MeléndezMidfielder | 12 (6) | 526 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 6.70 | |
| Cedric Wilfried Teguia NoubiMidfielder | 7 (6) | 464 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.80 | |
| Pedro LópezGoalkeeper | 5 (5) | 450 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | – |
| Edgar SevikyanMidfielder | 7 (5) | 437 | 0 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.91 | – |
| Kialy Abdoul KoneAttacker | 7 (5) | 401 | 0 | 3 | – | 7.03 | ×2 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| MelBet | 1.38 | 3.04 |
More on Tenerife vs Ceuta
- Tenerife stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Ceuta stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- La Liga 2 (Spain) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture