Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield Prediction – Match preview
Bristol Rovers-:-
ChesterfieldMemorial StadiumRound 15
Our prediction
Bristol Rovers to win (41%)
Bristol Rovers 41% · Draw 26% · Chesterfield 33%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
50%
26%
Bristol RoversDraw 24%Chesterfield
Bookmaker implied
33%
39%
Bristol RoversDraw 28%Chesterfield
1.7 – 1.2
Expected score
55%
Over 2.5 goals
57%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
42%
34%
Bristol RoversDraw 24%Chesterfield
First Half Result
30%
27%
Bristol RoversDraw 43%Chesterfield
Team to Score First
49%
46%
Bristol RoversNo goal 5%Chesterfield
Probability
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
38%
Bristol Rovers Over 3.5 Goals
9%
Bristol Rovers Over 1.5 Goals
46%
Chesterfield Over 0.5 Goals
70%
Bristol Rovers Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Match Result
Bristol Rovers
34%2.90
model 2.93-1%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
28%3.32
model 3.64-9%
Last 1015%3/20
Chesterfield
38%2.37
model 2.60-9%
Last 1060%12/20
Draw no bet
Bristol Rovers
47%2.03
model 2.13-4%
Last 1029%5/17
Chesterfield
53%1.66
model 1.89-12%
Last 1071%12/17
Double chance
Bristol Rovers or draw
62%1.55
model 1.62-4%
Last 1040%8/20
Bristol Rovers or Chesterfield
72%1.30
model 1.38-6%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Chesterfield
66%1.38
model 1.52-9%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.5 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 60% | 40% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 38% | 62% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
61%Yes 1.57
Last 1060%12/20
Bristol Rovers clean sheet
19%
model chance
Chesterfield clean sheet
23%
model chance
Bristol Rovers goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Chesterfield goals
O0.5 81%O1.5 50%O2.5 24%
Corners
Expected 9.3 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 70% | 30% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 44% | 56% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 14% | 86% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Bristol Rovers corners
O2.5 78%O3.5 59%O4.5 40%O5.5 24%O6.5 13%O7.5 6%
Chesterfield corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.4 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 82% | 18% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 45% | 55% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Bristol Rovers cards
O0.5 90%O1.5 67%O2.5 40%O3.5 20%
Chesterfield cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Bristol RoversChesterfield
- 17
- League position
- 10
- LDLLL
- Last 5
- LWDLD
- 0.20
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 3
- Goals scored (L5)
- 9
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 9
- 2.08
- xG for (L5)
- 2.80
- 3.56
- xG against (L5)
- 2.18
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
1
Bristol Rovers wins
0
Draws
2
Chesterfield wins
Last 3 meetings
3.7
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Bristol Rovers in the last 3 meetings
LLW
Key Players
League Two, this seasonBristol Rovers
Top scorer
Fabrizio Cavegn
3 goals
Most assists
Clinton Mola
2 assists
Best rated
Tommy Leigh
6.94
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brad YoungGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.45 | – |
| Clinton MolaMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1205 | 1 | 2 | 0.06 | 6.77 | ×3 |
| Thomas JamesDefender | 13 (13) | 1139 | 2 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| Kofi BalmerDefender | 13 (13) | 1123 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.77 | ×5 |
| Shaqai FordeMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1057 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 6.62 | ×4 |
| Fabrizio CavegnAttacker | 13 (12) | 929 | 3 | 1 | 0.53 | 6.82 | – |
| Richard SmallwoodMidfielder | 12 (11) | 799 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 | |
| Ciaran KellyDefender | 10 (8) | 776 | 0 | 0 | 0.62 | 6.62 | ×2 |
| B. PurringtonDefender | 10 (8) | 765 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.53 | ×3 |
| Keenan GoughMidfielder | 8 (6) | 611 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.68 | ×3 |
| Bobby KamwaMidfielder | 12 (8) | 603 | 3 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.56 | |
| Ellis HarrisonAttacker | 10 (5) | 518 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Tommy LeighMidfielder | 7 (6) | 502 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Jack SparkesMidfielder | 7 (6) | 486 | 1 | 0 | 0.20 | 6.79 | – |
| Riley HarbottleDefender | 6 (6) | 476 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 |
Chesterfield
Top scorer
Louie Marsh
5 goals
Most assists
Remeao Hutton
2 assists
Best rated
Louie Marsh
7.32
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack SimpsonDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.58 | ×2 |
| Remeao HuttonDefender | 14 (14) | 1234 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.73 | ×3 |
| Dilan MarkandayMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1166 | 4 | 1 | 0.22 | 7.15 | |
| George McEachranMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1116 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.90 | ×4 |
| Lewis GordonDefender | 14 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×3 |
| Ryan BootGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1080 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | – |
| Ryan StirkMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1040 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.00 | ×2 |
| Lee BonisAttacker | 14 (11) | 991 | 4 | 2 | 0.44 | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Kyle McFadzeanDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | ×4 |
| Louie MarshMidfielder | 11 (9) | 751 | 5 | 1 | 0.11 | 7.32 | |
| Josh KoromaMidfielder | 13 (9) | 738 | 4 | 1 | 0.59 | 6.92 | |
| Liam MandevilleMidfielder | 14 (6) | 614 | 3 | 2 | 0.60 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Alfie PondDefender | 4 (4) | 360 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | ×2 |
| J. RandallMidfielder | 8 (4) | 297 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.87 | – |
| Tom NaylorMidfielder | 10 (2) | 288 | 1 | 0 | 0.26 | 6.69 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.92 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.02 | 1.72 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.02 | 1.72 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.75 | 2.04 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.70 | 2.10 |
| Betano.dk | 11.00 | 1.02 |
More on Bristol Rovers vs Chesterfield
- Bristol Rovers stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Chesterfield stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture