Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County Prediction – Match preview
Crewe Alexandra-:-
Newport CountyAlexandra StadiumRound 15
Our prediction
Crewe Alexandra to win (57%)
Crewe Alexandra 57% · Draw 24% · Newport County 19% · Over 2.5 goals: 48% · Both teams to score: 48%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
57%
19%
Crewe AlexandraDraw 24%Newport County
Bookmaker implied
46%
27%
Crewe AlexandraDraw 27%Newport County
1.7 – 0.9
Expected score
48%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
51%
24%
Crewe AlexandraDraw 25%Newport County
First Half Result
36%
21%
Crewe AlexandraDraw 43%Newport County
Team to Score First
54%
37%
Crewe AlexandraNo goal 9%Newport County
Probability
Both Teams to Score
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
46%
Over 3.5 Goals
24%
Crewe Alexandra Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Crewe Alexandra Over 1.5 Goals
44%
Newport County Over 0.5 Goals
57%
Crewe Alexandra Over 0.5 Goals
77%
Match Result
Crewe Alexandra
43%2.03
model 2.31-12%
Last 1025%5/20
Draw
27%3.43
model 3.67-6%
Last 1045%9/20
Newport County
29%3.48
model 3.41+2%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Crewe Alexandra
60%1.44
model 1.68-14%
Last 1045%5/11
Newport County
40%2.47
model 2.480%
Last 1055%6/11
Double chance
Crewe Alexandra or draw
71%1.28
model 1.42-10%
Last 1070%14/20
Crewe Alexandra or Newport County
73%1.28
model 1.38-7%
Last 1055%11/20
Draw or Newport County
57%1.73
model 1.77-2%
Last 1075%15/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 54% | 46% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 32% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
56%Yes 1.72
Last 1070%14/20
Crewe Alexandra clean sheet
22%
model chance
Newport County clean sheet
27%
model chance
Crewe Alexandra goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 38%O2.5 15%
Newport County goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 9.1 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 69% | 31% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 56% | 44% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 43% | 57% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 31% | 69% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 8% | 92% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Crewe Alexandra corners
O2.5 78%O3.5 59%O4.5 39%O5.5 23%O6.5 12%O7.5 6%
Newport County corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 39%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Crewe Alexandra cards
O0.5 89%O1.5 65%O2.5 38%O3.5 19%
Newport County cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Crewe AlexandraNewport County
- 4
- League position
- 14
- DLLWW
- Last 5
- WLDDW
- 1.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.60
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 8
- 10
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 5
- 1.39
- xG for (L5)
- 3.19
- 1.94
- xG against (L5)
- 2.51
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Crewe Alexandra wins
2
Draws
3
Newport County wins
Last 6 meetings
3.3
Goals per game
67%
Both teams scored
67%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Crewe Alexandra in the last 5 meetings
LDLLD
Key Players
League Two, this seasonCrewe Alexandra
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson
5 goals
Most assists
Joel Tabiner
4 assists
Best rated
Mickey Demetriou
7.01
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lewis BillingtonDefender | 14 (14) | 1242 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.70 | |
| Luke OffordDefender | 14 (14) | 1238 | 1 | 0 | 0.03 | 6.89 | |
| Josh MarchAttacker | 14 (14) | 1220 | 3 | 2 | 0.08 | 6.92 | ×2 |
| Tom BoothGoalkeeper | 13 (13) | 1148 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | – |
| Matus HolicekMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1000 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.76 | |
| Jordan GibsonMidfielder | 14 (11) | 928 | 5 | 2 | 0.27 | 6.97 | |
| Joel TabinerMidfielder | 14 (12) | 909 | 0 | 4 | 0.08 | 6.56 | – |
| Joe WhiteMidfielder | 13 (10) | 760 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.69 | ×3 |
| Calum AgiusAttacker | 12 (6) | 626 | 0 | 1 | 0.40 | 6.50 | ×2 |
| Reece HutchinsonDefender | 9 (7) | 594 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.79 | |
| Jack LankesterMidfielder | 9 (7) | 578 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| Owen LuntMidfielder | 7 (4) | 455 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.68 | |
| Kyle UreMidfielder | 9 (5) | 454 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.54 | |
| Adrien ThibautAttacker | 13 (3) | 394 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.48 | – |
| Charlie McNeillAttacker | 13 (3) | 378 | 1 | 0 | 0.19 | 6.53 |
Newport County
Top scorer
Shaquille Gwengwe
5 goals
Most assists
Harrison Biggins
3 assists
Best rated
Harrison Biggins
7.12
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle CameronDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.72 | – |
| Lee JenkinsDefender | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | 0.31 | 6.85 | |
| Harrison BigginsMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1251 | 4 | 3 | 1.39 | 7.12 | ×3 |
| Ciaran BrennanMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1248 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 6.89 | ×2 |
| Cameron NormanDefender | 14 (14) | 1241 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 6.84 | ×3 |
| Jordan WrightGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1205 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.54 | – |
| Yahya BambaMidfielder | 13 (8) | 767 | 2 | 1 | 0.27 | 6.60 | – |
| Shaquille GwengweMidfielder | 10 (9) | 748 | 5 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Matthew Max Dibley-DiasMidfielder | 11 (9) | 742 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | ×4 |
| Michael Adu-PokuMidfielder | 10 (7) | 567 | 0 | 1 | 0.52 | 6.82 | |
| Matty JacobDefender | 7 (7) | 558 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.89 | |
| Christian DoidgeAttacker | 8 (8) | 550 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.96 | |
| Joe ThomasDefender | 10 (5) | 465 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Cameron EvansMidfielder | 6 (4) | 320 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.52 | |
| Matt SmithMidfielder | 8 (1) | 255 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.73 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.02 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.49 | 2.46 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.49 | 2.46 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.03 | 1.76 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 |
| Betano.dk | 11.75 | 1.02 |
More on Crewe Alexandra vs Newport County
- Crewe Alexandra stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Newport County stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture