Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town Prediction – Match preview
Exeter City-:-
Cheltenham TownSt James ParkRound 15
Our prediction
Exeter City to win (59%)
Exeter City 59% · Draw 25% · Cheltenham Town 16%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
68%
8%
Exeter CityDraw 24%Cheltenham Town
Bookmaker implied
49%
24%
Exeter CityDraw 27%Cheltenham Town
1.6 – 0.3
Expected score
29%
Over 2.5 goals
22%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
55%
20%
Exeter CityDraw 25%Cheltenham Town
First Half Result
40%
18%
Exeter CityDraw 42%Cheltenham Town
Team to Score First
58%
34%
Exeter CityNo goal 8%Cheltenham Town
Probability
Both Teams to Score
49%
Over 1.5 Goals
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
47%
Over 3.5 Goals
25%
Exeter City Over 3.5 Goals
8%
Exeter City Over 1.5 Goals
48%
Cheltenham Town Over 0.5 Goals
54%
Exeter City Over 0.5 Goals
80%
Match Result
Exeter City
45%2.09
model 2.23-6%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw
28%3.32
model 3.53-6%
Last 1015%3/20
Cheltenham Town
27%3.57
model 3.72-4%
Last 1040%8/20
Draw no bet
Exeter City
62%1.46
model 1.60-9%
Last 1053%9/17
Cheltenham Town
38%2.49
model 2.67-7%
Last 1047%8/17
Double chance
Exeter City or draw
73%1.28
model 1.37-6%
Last 1060%12/20
Exeter City or Cheltenham Town
72%1.32
model 1.39-5%
Last 1085%17/20
Draw or Cheltenham Town
55%1.72
model 1.81-5%
Last 1055%11/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.2 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.6 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 93% | 7% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 49% | 51% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
54%Yes 1.72
Last 1045%9/20
Exeter City clean sheet
28%
model chance
Cheltenham Town clean sheet
25%
model chance
Exeter City goals
O0.5 75%O1.5 40%O2.5 16%
Cheltenham Town goals
O0.5 72%O1.5 36%O2.5 14%
Corners
Expected 9.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 72% | 28% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 46% | 54% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Exeter City corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 51%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Cheltenham Town corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 58% | 42% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Exeter City cards
O0.5 86%O1.5 58%O2.5 31%O3.5 13%
Cheltenham Town cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 63%O2.5 36%O3.5 17%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Exeter CityCheltenham Town
- 12
- League position
- 5
- LWWDW
- Last 5
- LWWLL
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.20
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 11
- 2.27
- xG for (L5)
- 1.83
- 2.51
- xG against (L5)
- 2.71
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
2
Exeter City wins
0
Draws
3
Cheltenham Town wins
Last 5 meetings
3.0
Goals per game
40%
Both teams scored
40%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Exeter City in the last 5 meetings
LWWLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Exeter City
- Ed TurnsHip Injury
Cheltenham Town
No reported absences
Key Players
League Two, this seasonExeter City
Top scorer
J. Fitzwater
2 goals
Most assists
G. Birch
3 assists
Best rated
J. Fitzwater
7.17
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack BycroftGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | – |
| C. CumminsMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1238 | 1 | 0 | 0.23 | 6.84 | ×3 |
| J. FitzwaterDefender | 14 (14) | 1238 | 2 | 0 | – | 7.17 | ×3 |
| Luca WoodhouseDefender | 12 (12) | 1070 | 1 | 1 | 0.19 | 7.10 | ×2 |
| Lakyle SamuelDefender | 13 (10) | 904 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.77 | – |
| Josh GordonAttacker | 14 (10) | 890 | 0 | 0 | 0.30 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| R. ColeMidfielder | 12 (8) | 836 | 2 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.96 | |
| Jake Doyle HayesMidfielder | 11 (11) | 834 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | ×3 |
| Taylor PerryMidfielder | 13 (8) | 634 | 0 | 0 | 0.27 | 6.61 | ×3 |
| Jack TaylorDefender | 9 (7) | 623 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 7.13 | – |
| Ed JamesDefender | 8 (7) | 620 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.87 | |
| G. BirchMidfielder | 12 (6) | 574 | 0 | 3 | 0.27 | 6.77 | – |
| Gwion EdwardsMidfielder | 9 (6) | 557 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.55 | ×2 |
| V. HarperDefender | 11 (6) | 533 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | |
| Ethan SutherlandDefender | 12 (2) | 397 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.49 | – |
Cheltenham Town
Top scorer
Charlie McCann
9 goals
Most assists
Jake Evans
4 assists
Best rated
Charlie McCann
7.02
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wyll StanwayGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1260 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | – |
| J. TomkinsonDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.37 | ×7 |
| Charlie McCannMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1145 | 9 | 1 | 0.68 | 7.02 | ×3 |
| P. SweeneyDefender | 13 (12) | 1112 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | ×2 |
| Jake EvansMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1072 | 4 | 4 | 0.15 | 6.73 | ×5 |
| Andreas WeimannAttacker | 14 (12) | 1050 | 4 | 2 | 0.11 | 6.79 | ×3 |
| J. ShipleyMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1042 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.47 | ×3 |
| Ben StevensonMidfielder | 13 (12) | 1040 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.64 | |
| Robbie CundyDefender | 10 (10) | 900 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Joseph TomlinsonDefender | 9 (8) | 701 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| James WilsonDefender | 10 (7) | 611 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.53 | – |
| S. McWilliamsMidfielder | 8 (8) | 606 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.42 | ×5 |
| Ryan BroomMidfielder | 11 (6) | 580 | 2 | 2 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Freddie WillcoxMidfielder | 12 (5) | 550 | 2 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.57 | ×3 |
| George NurseDefender | 9 (3) | 337 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.27 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.02 | 1.82 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.46 | 2.54 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.46 | 2.54 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.79 | 2.02 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.85 |
| Betano.dk | 12.50 | 1.01 |
More on Exeter City vs Cheltenham Town
- Exeter City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Cheltenham Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture