Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley Prediction – Match preview
Port Vale-:-
Accrington StanleyVale ParkRound 15
Our prediction
Port Vale to win (46%)
Port Vale 46% · Draw 32% · Accrington Stanley 22% · Over 2.5 goals: 25% · Both teams to score: 32%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
46%
22%
Port ValeDraw 32%Accrington Stanley
Bookmaker implied
49%
23%
Port ValeDraw 28%Accrington Stanley
1.1 – 0.7
Expected score
25%
Over 2.5 goals
32%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
49%
23%
Port ValeDraw 28%Accrington Stanley
First Half Result
37%
20%
Port ValeDraw 43%Accrington Stanley
Team to Score First
55%
35%
Port ValeNo goal 10%Accrington Stanley
Probability
Both Teams to Score
47%
Over 1.5 Goals
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
42%
Over 3.5 Goals
22%
Port Vale Over 3.5 Goals
6%
Port Vale Over 1.5 Goals
41%
Accrington Stanley Over 0.5 Goals
56%
Port Vale Over 0.5 Goals
75%
Match Result
Port Vale
46%1.90
model 2.18-13%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
28%3.36
model 3.58-6%
Last 1030%6/20
Accrington Stanley
26%4.15
model 3.83disputed
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Port Vale
64%1.33
model 1.57-15%
Last 1050%7/14
Accrington Stanley
36%2.91
model 2.76disputed
Last 1050%7/14
Double chance
Port Vale or draw
74%1.21
model 1.35-11%
Last 1065%13/20
Port Vale or Accrington Stanley
72%1.30
model 1.39-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Accrington Stanley
54%1.86
model 1.85+1%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.4–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.8 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 30% | 70% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 15% | 85% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
Both teams to score
53%Yes 1.83
Last 1045%9/20
Port Vale clean sheet
23%
model chance
Accrington Stanley clean sheet
27%
model chance
Port Vale goals
O0.5 73%O1.5 37%O2.5 14%
Accrington Stanley goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%
Corners
Expected 9.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 65% | 35% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 52% | 48% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 28% | 72% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
Port Vale corners
O2.5 85%O3.5 70%O4.5 52%O5.5 34%O6.5 20%O7.5 11%
Accrington Stanley corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 57%O5.5 39%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.0 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 76% | 24% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 56% | 44% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 36% | 64% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 21% | 79% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 11% | 89% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Port Vale cards
O0.5 84%O1.5 55%O2.5 28%O3.5 12%
Accrington Stanley cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Port ValeAccrington Stanley
- 19
- League position
- 9
- WLDWW
- Last 5
- DWDWD
- 2.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.80
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 10
- 5
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 3
- 2.98
- xG for (L5)
- 3.53
- 2.14
- xG against (L5)
- 1.17
- 2
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 2
Head to Head
2
Port Vale wins
1
Draws
0
Accrington Stanley wins
Last 3 meetings
4.3
Goals per game
100%
Both teams scored
100%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Port Vale in the last 3 meetings
WDW
Key Players
League Two, this seasonPort Vale
Top scorer
George Byers
3 goals
Most assists
Jordan Lawrence-Gabriel
1 assists
Best rated
K. Dempsey
7.05
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lawrence-GabrielMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1042 | 1 | 1 | 0.23 | 6.91 | ×3 |
| K. DempseyMidfielder | 12 (11) | 988 | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | 7.05 | ×4 |
| Connor HallDefender | 11 (9) | 819 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| C. HumphreysDefender | 10 (9) | 799 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.60 | ×3 |
| Oliver LynchAttacker | 12 (8) | 728 | 1 | 0 | 0.02 | 6.56 | – |
| Jaheim HeadleyMidfielder | 11 (8) | 724 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 6.72 | |
| Ben GarrityMidfielder | 9 (7) | 654 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.61 | ×3 |
| George HallMidfielder | 11 (7) | 620 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 6.54 | ×2 |
| Onel Lázaro Hernández MayeaAttacker | 12 (7) | 586 | 2 | 0 | 0.33 | 6.74 | – |
| Marko MarošiGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| J. SmithGoalkeeper | 6 (6) | 540 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.37 | – |
| George ByersMidfielder | 9 (7) | 515 | 3 | 0 | 0.84 | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Lewis MontsmaDefender | 6 (5) | 466 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.65 | |
| Rhys WaltersMidfielder | 10 (4) | 464 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Jasper MoonDefender | 6 (5) | 414 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.82 |
Accrington Stanley
Top scorer
Josh Woods
7 goals
Most assists
Stefan Mols
4 assists
Best rated
Josh Woods
7.33
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe AndersonDefender | 14 (14) | 1263 | 0 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.83 | ×3 |
| Louie MouldenGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1263 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.69 | – |
| Devon MatthewsDefender | 13 (13) | 1114 | 1 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.92 | ×3 |
| Donald LoveMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1108 | 0 | 1 | 0.40 | 6.82 | ×4 |
| Josh WoodsAttacker | 12 (12) | 989 | 7 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.33 | ×4 |
| David TutondaMidfielder | 12 (11) | 963 | 0 | 1 | 0.03 | 6.90 | ×4 |
| Tyler WaltonAttacker | 12 (11) | 932 | 3 | 3 | 0.69 | 7.01 | ×2 |
| Connor O'BrienMidfielder | 10 (10) | 867 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Stefan MolsMidfielder | 11 (9) | 775 | 2 | 4 | 0.61 | 7.21 | ×2 |
| Aidan BorlandMidfielder | 7 (5) | 562 | 0 | 0 | 0.09 | 6.64 | – |
| Alex HendersonMidfielder | 11 (4) | 514 | 1 | 0 | 0.37 | 6.69 | |
| Seamus ConneelyDefender | 8 (7) | 512 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Farrend RawsonDefender | 6 (6) | 497 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.50 | |
| Charlie CatonAttacker | 7 (7) | 496 | 5 | 0 | – | 7.11 | – |
| Charlie WarrenAttacker | 9 (5) | 489 | 4 | 1 | 1.07 | 6.99 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.95 | 1.90 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.38 | 2.83 |
| MelBet | — | — | 1.38 | 2.83 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.90 | 1.89 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 2.00 | 1.80 |
| Betano.dk | 12.50 | 1.01 |
More on Port Vale vs Accrington Stanley
- Port Vale stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Accrington Stanley stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture