Rochdale vs York City Prediction – Match preview
Rochdale-:-
York CityCrown Oil ArenaRound 15
Our prediction
York City to win (43%)
Rochdale 34% · Draw 22% · York City 43%
Our model and the bookmakers disagree strongly on this match, which usually means the model is missing team news, so this call blends the two.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
42%
37%
RochdaleDraw 21%York City
Bookmaker implied
26%
50%
RochdaleDraw 24%York City
2.1 – 1.9
Expected score
76%
Over 2.5 goals
75%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
37%
39%
RochdaleDraw 24%York City
First Half Result
26%
37%
RochdaleDraw 37%York City
Team to Score First
40%
55%
RochdaleNo goal 5%York City
Probability
Both Teams to Score
60%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
59%
Over 3.5 Goals
36%
Rochdale Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Rochdale Over 1.5 Goals
41%
York City Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Rochdale Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Match Result
Rochdale
30%3.48
model 3.35+4%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw
24%4.05
model 4.17-3%
Last 1030%6/20
York City
46%1.90
model 2.17-12%
Last 1035%7/20
Draw no bet
Rochdale
39%2.62
model 2.55+3%
Last 1050%7/14
York City
61%1.43
model 1.65-13%
Last 1050%7/14
Double chance
Rochdale or draw
54%1.87
model 1.86+1%
Last 1065%13/20
Rochdale or York City
76%1.23
model 1.32-6%
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or York City
70%1.29
model 1.43-9%
Last 1065%13/20
Expected goals 1.6–1.6 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 90%18/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
Both teams to score
62%Yes 1.53
Last 1055%11/20
Rochdale clean sheet
17%
model chance
York City clean sheet
24%
model chance
Rochdale goals
O0.5 76%O1.5 42%O2.5 18%
York City goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 53%O2.5 26%
Corners
Expected 9.7 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 76% | 25% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 38% | 62% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 27% | 73% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 18% | 82% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Rochdale corners
O2.5 84%O3.5 68%O4.5 49%O5.5 32%O6.5 19%O7.5 10%
York City corners
O2.5 88%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 40%O6.5 25%O7.5 14%
Cards
Expected 4.1 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 55%11/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5main | 40% | 60% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 24% | 76% | – | 20%4/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 12% | 88% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Rochdale cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
York City cards
O0.5 87%O1.5 60%O2.5 33%O3.5 15%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026RochdaleYork City
- 20
- League position
- 7
- LLDLD
- Last 5
- LLWDD
- 0.40
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 15
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- 1.39
- xG for (L5)
- 2.37
- 4.48
- xG against (L5)
- 5.01
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Rochdale wins
2
Draws
4
York City wins
Last 7 meetings
2.7
Goals per game
57%
Both teams scored
57%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Rochdale in the last 5 meetings
DLLLL
Injuries & Suspensions
Rochdale
- Jonny SmithLeg Injury
York City
- Morgan WilliamsKnee Injury
- Ollie BanksConcussion
Key Players
League Two, this seasonRochdale
Top scorer
Dajaune Brown
4 goals
Most assists
G. Middleton
3 assists
Best rated
Aden Flint
7.00
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dajaune BrownAttacker | 14 (14) | 1187 | 4 | 2 | 1.01 | 6.91 | – |
| Kaiden WilsonDefender | 14 (13) | 1149 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.41 | |
| Harvey GilmourMidfielder | 14 (12) | 1071 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Babajide AdeekoMidfielder | 14 (12) | 1017 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.59 | |
| Charlie TaskerDefender | 10 (10) | 853 | 2 | 1 | 0.10 | 6.75 | – |
| Nils RammingGoalkeeper | 9 (9) | 810 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.81 | |
| Aden FlintDefender | 9 (9) | 787 | 2 | 1 | 0.06 | 7.00 | – |
| Kane TaylorMidfielder | 10 (8) | 683 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.57 | – |
| G. MiddletonMidfielder | 10 (8) | 673 | 0 | 3 | – | 6.78 | |
| E. FrancisMidfielder | 13 (6) | 629 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 6.61 | ×2 |
| Tobi Adebayo-RowlingDefender | 9 (7) | 601 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.35 | ×4 |
| Emmanuel DieseruvweAttacker | 11 (5) | 509 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.58 | – |
| Sam SherringDefender | 7 (6) | 508 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.32 | |
| Daniel MossDefender | 6 (6) | 508 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.94 | ×2 |
| Luke HannantMidfielder | 10 (4) | 482 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 6.70 |
York City
Top scorer
Ollie Pearce
6 goals
Most assists
Harry Boyes
6 assists
Best rated
Harry Boyes
7.31
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alfie McNallyGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1249 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Harry BoyesMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1225 | 2 | 6 | 0.44 | 7.31 | |
| Mark KitchingDefender | 14 (14) | 1222 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 6.57 | ×2 |
| Ollie PearceAttacker | 14 (14) | 1183 | 6 | 4 | 0.24 | 7.07 | ×3 |
| Ollie BanksMidfielder | 13 (13) | 1058 | 1 | 0 | 0.10 | 6.91 | ×3 |
| Alex HuntMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1035 | 2 | 2 | 0.30 | 7.14 | |
| Joe GreyAttacker | 13 (13) | 1007 | 1 | 1 | 0.12 | 6.99 | ×2 |
| Ryan FallowfieldDefender | 13 (11) | 982 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | |
| Zak JohnsonDefender | 11 (11) | 919 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.89 | – |
| Alex NewbyAttacker | 13 (9) | 803 | 6 | 1 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Joe FelixMidfielder | 14 (9) | 706 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 6.62 | – |
| Morgan WilliamsDefender | 6 (5) | 483 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.63 | ×4 |
| Arthur ReadMidfielder | 13 (2) | 418 | 1 | 1 | 0.49 | 6.69 | |
| Jeff KingDefender | 10 (3) | 367 | 0 | 2 | – | 6.63 | |
| Jack HuntDefender | 6 (3) | 269 | 1 | 0 | 0.12 | 6.72 | – |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.90 | 1.95 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 1.47 | 2.51 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.62 | 1.38 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 1.90 | 1.89 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| Betano.dk | 1.04 | 9.50 |
More on Rochdale vs York City
- Rochdale stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- York City stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture