Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town Prediction – Match preview
Swindon Town-:-
Grimsby TownThe Nigel Eady County Ground StadiumRound 15
Our prediction
Swindon Town to win (40%)
Swindon Town 40% · Draw 24% · Grimsby Town 35% · Over 2.5 goals: 57% · Both teams to score: 60%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
40%
36%
Swindon TownDraw 24%Grimsby Town
Bookmaker implied
27%
48%
Swindon TownDraw 25%Grimsby Town
1.6 – 1.4
Expected score
57%
Over 2.5 goals
60%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
34%
40%
Swindon TownDraw 26%Grimsby Town
First Half Result
28%
29%
Swindon TownDraw 43%Grimsby Town
Team to Score First
44%
48%
Swindon TownNo goal 8%Grimsby Town
Probability
Both Teams to Score
52%
Over 1.5 Goals
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
48%
Over 3.5 Goals
26%
Swindon Town Over 3.5 Goals
4%
Swindon Town Over 1.5 Goals
33%
Grimsby Town Over 0.5 Goals
71%
Swindon Town Over 0.5 Goals
68%
Match Result
Swindon Town
32%3.25
model 3.16+3%
Last 1030%6/20
Draw
25%3.82
model 3.93-3%
Last 1025%5/20
Grimsby Town
43%2.04
model 2.33-13%
Last 1045%9/20
Draw no bet
Swindon Town
43%2.40
model 2.35+2%
Last 1040%6/15
Grimsby Town
57%1.51
model 1.74-13%
Last 1060%9/15
Double chance
Swindon Town or draw
57%1.76
model 1.75+1%
Last 1055%11/20
Swindon Town or Grimsby Town
75%1.25
model 1.34-7%
Last 1075%15/20
Draw or Grimsby Town
68%1.33
model 1.46-9%
Last 1070%14/20
Expected goals 1.5–1.4 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 2.9 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 94% | 6% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 78% | 22% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 68% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 16% | 84% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Both teams to score
60%Yes 1.50
Last 1055%11/20
Swindon Town clean sheet
22%
model chance
Grimsby Town clean sheet
26%
model chance
Swindon Town goals
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 15%
Grimsby Town goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 45%O2.5 20%
Corners
Expected 10.8 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 84% | 16% | – | 85%17/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 75% | 25% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 64% | 36% | – | 70%14/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 51% | 49% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 39% | 61% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
Swindon Town corners
O2.5 87%O3.5 72%O4.5 54%O5.5 37%O6.5 22%O7.5 12%
Grimsby Town corners
O2.5 93%O3.5 84%O4.5 70%O5.5 53%O6.5 37%O7.5 24%
Cards
Expected 3.8 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 74% | 26% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 34% | 66% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 19% | 81% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 9% | 91% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Swindon Town cards
O0.5 88%O1.5 62%O2.5 35%O3.5 16%
Grimsby Town cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 10%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Swindon TownGrimsby Town
- 13
- League position
- 6
- WDWDL
- Last 5
- WWDLL
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.40
- 6
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 4
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 8
- 2.20
- xG for (L5)
- 5.76
- 2.31
- xG against (L5)
- 1.63
- 1
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 0
Head to Head
3
Swindon Town wins
1
Draws
2
Grimsby Town wins
Last 6 meetings
3.5
Goals per game
50%
Both teams scored
83%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Swindon Town in the last 5 meetings
LDWWL
Key Players
League Two, this seasonSwindon Town
Top scorer
Aaron Drinan
8 goals
Most assists
Stephan Negru
2 assists
Best rated
Connor Ripley
7.24
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor RipleyGoalkeeper | 14 (14) | 1204 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.24 | ×2 |
| Aaron DrinanAttacker | 14 (14) | 1183 | 8 | 1 | 0.20 | 7.02 | – |
| Stephan NegruDefender | 13 (13) | 1170 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 7.02 | – |
| Mitchell ClarkDefender | 11 (11) | 960 | 1 | 0 | 0.34 | 6.55 | |
| Jack ThomsonMidfielder | 12 (11) | 955 | 1 | 2 | 0.02 | 7.08 | |
| Anthony MundaMidfielder | 11 (11) | 878 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.61 | |
| Kaelan MajekodunmiDefender | 12 (9) | 811 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.74 | ×4 |
| Billy KirkmanDefender | 11 (8) | 670 | 0 | 0 | 0.04 | 6.73 | – |
| D. ButlerDefender | 8 (8) | 651 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 6.86 | ×2 |
| Ollie ClarkeMidfielder | 10 (9) | 644 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.67 | ×3 |
| Matthew Virtue-ThickMidfielder | 8 (5) | 494 | 0 | 1 | 0.53 | 6.74 | |
| Tom NicholsMidfielder | 10 (6) | 484 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 6.57 | |
| Joe SnowdonAttacker | 9 (6) | 483 | 0 | 0 | 0.37 | 6.77 | – |
| James BallDefender | 9 (6) | 418 | 0 | 0 | 0.07 | 6.65 | ×2 |
| Joseph HungboAttacker | 9 (3) | 394 | 2 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.69 | – |
Grimsby Town
Top scorer
Kieran Green
4 goals
Most assists
Géza Dávid Turi
3 assists
Best rated
Géza Dávid Turi
7.33
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harvey RodgersDefender | 14 (14) | 1232 | 2 | 1 | 0.12 | 6.80 | |
| Kieran GreenMidfielder | 14 (14) | 1225 | 4 | 2 | 0.57 | 6.87 | ×3 |
| Maldini KacurriDefender | 13 (13) | 1164 | 0 | 0 | 0.43 | 6.84 | ×4 |
| Géza Dávid TuriMidfielder | 12 (12) | 1070 | 3 | 3 | 0.57 | 7.33 | ×2 |
| Christy James PymGoalkeeper | 12 (12) | 1007 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Charles VernamMidfielder | 14 (13) | 1002 | 0 | 2 | 0.63 | 7.01 | ×3 |
| Cameron McJannettDefender | 11 (11) | 990 | 1 | 1 | 0.66 | 6.95 | ×2 |
| Andy CookAttacker | 13 (10) | 912 | 3 | 0 | 0.73 | 6.60 | |
| Jayden SweeneyDefender | 10 (10) | 883 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | |
| Iwan MorganAttacker | 14 (8) | 705 | 3 | 3 | 1.11 | 6.83 | – |
| Justin AmaluzorMidfielder | 10 (8) | 591 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 6.54 | |
| Jamie WalkerAttacker | 11 (6) | 573 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 6.81 | ×2 |
| Sonny FinchAttacker | 11 (3) | 427 | 1 | 0 | 0.35 | 6.61 | |
| Cian DoyleMidfielder | 12 (5) | 410 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.70 | |
| Finley CartwrightMidfielder | 10 (3) | 317 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.73 |
Odds Comparison
Asian Handicap
| Bookmaker | 1 | 2 | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.92 | 1.92 | — | — |
| Marathonbet | — | — | 2.43 | 1.50 |
| MelBet | — | — | 2.43 | 1.50 |
| Pinnacle | — | — | 2.02 | 1.78 |
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| bet365 | 1.57 | 2.35 |
| Betano.dk | 10.25 | 1.03 |
More on Swindon Town vs Grimsby Town
- Swindon Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Grimsby Town stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- League Two (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture