Chelsea W vs Manchester City W Prediction – Match preview
Chelsea W-:-
Manchester City WStamford BridgeRound 10
Our prediction
Chelsea W to win (43%)
Chelsea W 43% · Draw 30% · Manchester City W 28% · Over 2.5 goals: 34% · Both teams to score: 41%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 07 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
43%
27%
Chelsea WDraw 30%Manchester City W
1.2 – 0.9
Expected score
34%
Over 2.5 goals
41%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
54%
25%
Chelsea WDraw 21%Manchester City W
First Half Result
37%
26%
Chelsea WDraw 37%Manchester City W
Team to Score First
56%
40%
Chelsea WNo goal 4%Manchester City W
Probability
Both Teams to Score
59%
Over 1.5 Goals
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Over 3.5 Goals
37%
Chelsea W Over 3.5 Goals
12%
Chelsea W Over 1.5 Goals
54%
Manchester City W Over 0.5 Goals
62%
Chelsea W Over 0.5 Goals
82%
Match Result
Chelsea W
49%–
model 2.04–
Last 1040%8/20
Draw
24%–
model 4.12–
Last 1030%6/20
Manchester City W
27%–
model 3.75–
Last 1030%6/20
Draw no bet
Chelsea W
65%–
model 1.54–
Last 1057%8/14
Manchester City W
35%–
model 2.84–
Last 1043%6/14
Double chance
Chelsea W or draw
73%–
model 1.36–
Last 1070%14/20
Chelsea W or Manchester City W
76%–
model 1.32–
Last 1070%14/20
Draw or Manchester City W
51%–
model 1.97–
Last 1060%12/20
Expected goals 1.9–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.2 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 96% | 4% | – | 95%19/20 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 83% | 17% | – | 80%16/20 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 63% | 37% | – | 50%10/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 41% | 59% | – | 40%8/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 23% | 77% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
Both teams to score
64%
Last 1055%11/20
Chelsea W clean sheet
22%
model chance
Manchester City W clean sheet
17%
model chance
Chelsea W goals
O0.5 83%O1.5 52%O2.5 25%
Manchester City W goals
O0.5 78%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 9.9 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 77% | 23% | – | 75%15/20 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 66% | 34% | – | 65%13/20 | – |
| Over/under 9.5main | 53% | 47% | – | 60%12/20 | – |
| Over/under 10.5 | 41% | 59% | – | 45%9/20 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 29% | 71% | – | 30%6/20 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 25%5/20 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 13% | 87% | – | 10%2/20 | – |
Chelsea W corners
O2.5 91%O3.5 79%O4.5 63%O5.5 46%O6.5 31%O7.5 18%
Manchester City W corners
O2.5 82%O3.5 65%O4.5 46%O5.5 29%O6.5 16%O7.5 8%
Cards
Expected 2.9 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5main | 55% | 45% | – | 35%7/20 | – |
| Over/under 3.5 | 33% | 67% | – | 15%3/20 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 5%1/20 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 7% | 93% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 3% | 97% | – | 0%0/20 | – |
Chelsea W cards
O0.5 74%O1.5 39%O2.5 16%O3.5 5%
Manchester City W cards
O0.5 79%O1.5 46%O2.5 20%O3.5 7%
Form Guide
Updated 07 Nov 2026Chelsea WManchester City W
- 1
- League position
- 2
- WWWWW
- Last 5
- WDWWW
- 3.00
- Points per game (L5)
- 2.60
- 19
- Goals scored (L5)
- 11
- 3
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 6
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 3
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
6
Chelsea W wins
2
Draws
3
Manchester City W wins
Last 11 meetings
2.8
Goals per game
55%
Both teams scored
55%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Chelsea W in the last 5 meetings
LWWWL
Key Players
Women's Super League, this seasonChelsea W
Top scorer
Melvine Marie Ericka Malard
6 goals
Most assists
Keira Fae Walsh
4 assists
Best rated
Lauren Elizabeth James
8.05
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Alice HamptonGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 726 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.97 | – |
| Ellie CarpenterMidfielder | 8 (8) | 720 | 4 | 1 | – | 7.69 | – |
| Lucia Roberta Tough BronzeDefender | 7 (7) | 614 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.78 | ×2 |
| Keira Fae WalshMidfielder | 7 (7) | 601 | 2 | 4 | – | 7.83 | |
| Sjoeke NüskenMidfielder | 8 (6) | 546 | 2 | 1 | – | 7.18 | – |
| Wieke Hendrikje Maria KapteinMidfielder | 7 (7) | 543 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.13 | ×2 |
| Katie McCabeDefender | 8 (6) | 542 | 0 | 2 | – | 7.54 | ×2 |
| Kadeisha BuchananDefender | 6 (6) | 530 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.06 | |
| Alyssa ThompsonAttacker | 8 (6) | 526 | 1 | 3 | – | 7.16 | – |
| Alexia PotterMidfielder | 6 (5) | 465 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Veerle Tooske Janna Roos BuurmanDefender | 6 (4) | 376 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.01 | – |
| Melvine Marie Ericka MalardAttacker | 6 (5) | 369 | 6 | 0 | – | 7.22 | – |
| Lauren Elizabeth JamesAttacker | 5 (5) | 335 | 4 | 0 | – | 8.05 | – |
| Sandy Madeleine BaltimoreMidfielder | 7 (3) | 296 | 1 | 2 | – | 7.27 | – |
| Maika HamanoAttacker | 6 (2) | 230 | 2 | 0 | – | 6.89 | – |
Manchester City W
Top scorer
Khadija Monifa Shaw
9 goals
Most assists
Lauren May Hemp
5 assists
Best rated
Lauren May Hemp
8.17
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jade RoseDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| Alex GreenwoodDefender | 8 (8) | 674 | 1 | 0 | – | 7.05 | – |
| Khadija Monifa ShawAttacker | 8 (7) | 660 | 9 | 1 | – | 7.54 | – |
| Yui HasegawaMidfielder | 8 (7) | 660 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.86 | – |
| Lauren May HempMidfielder | 7 (7) | 630 | 5 | 5 | – | 8.17 | ×2 |
| Ayaka YamashitaGoalkeeper | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.85 | – |
| Aoba FujinoMidfielder | 8 (7) | 600 | 0 | 1 | – | 7.07 | – |
| Laura Madison Blindkilde BrownMidfielder | 8 (7) | 516 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.92 | – |
| Carlotta WamserDefender | 8 (5) | 458 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.73 | – |
| Mary FowlerAttacker | 8 (5) | 452 | 2 | 2 | – | 7.07 | |
| Kerstin Yasmijn CasparijDefender | 8 (4) | 391 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Bethany Jane MeadMidfielder | 5 (3) | 285 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.98 | |
| Samantha CoffeyMidfielder | 6 (2) | 262 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.89 | |
| Grace ClintonMidfielder | 7 (3) | 254 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Iman BeneyAttacker | 5 (2) | 213 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
More on Chelsea W vs Manchester City W
- Chelsea W stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Manchester City W stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Women's Super League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture