Danubio vs Liverpool Prediction – Match preview

Sunday, 15 November 2026 · 20:30

Danubio

-:-

Liverpool

Estadio Jardines del Hipódromo

Our prediction

Liverpool to win (51%)

Danubio 20% · Draw 29% · Liverpool 51% · Over 2.5 goals: 33% · Both teams to score: 38%

From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.

Match Preview

Updated 08 Nov 2026

FootyPulse model

20%

51%

DanubioDraw 29%Liverpool

Bookmaker implied

22%

50%

DanubioDraw 28%Liverpool

0.7 – 1.3

Expected score

33%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Both teams to score

Data provider's forecast

Full Time Result

24%

48%

DanubioDraw 28%Liverpool

First Half Result

21%

33%

DanubioDraw 46%Liverpool

Team to Score First

32%

58%

DanubioNo goal 10%Liverpool

Probability

Both Teams to Score

47%

Over 1.5 Goals

68%

Over 2.5 Goals

42%

Over 3.5 Goals

21%

Danubio Over 3.5 Goals

Danubio Over 1.5 Goals

23%

Liverpool Over 0.5 Goals

75%

Danubio Over 0.5 Goals

57%

Match Result

Danubio

25%3.93

model 3.98-1%

Last 1015%3/20

Draw

29%3.39

model 3.50-3%

Last 1025%5/20

Liverpool

46%1.95

model 2.16-10%

Last 1060%12/20

Draw no bet

Danubio

35%2.77

model 2.84-3%

Last 1020%3/15

Liverpool

65%1.37

model 1.54-11%

Last 1080%12/15

Double chance

Danubio or draw

54%1.82

model 1.86-2%

Last 1040%8/20

Danubio or Liverpool

71%1.30

model 1.40-7%

Last 1075%15/20

Draw or Liverpool

75%1.24

model 1.34-7%

Last 1085%17/20

Expected goals 1.0–1.3 · Odds: Pinnacle; the chance shown leans on its price.Match result screener

Goals

Expected 2.3 match goalsGoal screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 0.5	90%	10%	–	95%19/20	–
Over/under 1.5	68%	32%	–	60%12/20	–
Over/under 2.5main	41%	59%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 3.5	21%	79%	–	15%3/20	–
Over/under 4.5	9%	91%	–	5%1/20	–

Both teams to score

46%Yes 2.00

Last 1050%10/20

Danubio clean sheet

24%

model chance

Liverpool clean sheet

40%

model chance

Danubio goals

O0.5 60%O1.5 24%O2.5 7%

Liverpool goals

O0.5 76%O1.5 41%O2.5 17%

Corners

Expected 10.0 match cornersCorner screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 7.5	78%	22%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 8.5	66%	34%	–	65%13/20	–
Over/under 9.5main	54%	46%	–	55%11/20	–
Over/under 10.5	41%	59%	–	35%7/20	–
Over/under 11.5	30%	70%	–	25%5/20	–
Over/under 12.5	21%	79%	–	20%4/20	–
Over/under 13.5	13%	87%	–	10%2/20	–

Danubio corners

O2.5 87%O3.5 73%O4.5 55%O5.5 38%O6.5 23%O7.5 13%

Liverpool corners

O2.5 88%O3.5 74%O4.5 56%O5.5 38%O6.5 24%O7.5 13%

Cards

Expected 5.5 match cardsCard screener

Line	Over	Under	Odds O / U	L10 over	EV O / U
Over/under 2.5	91%	9%	–	100%20/20	–
Over/under 3.5	80%	20%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 4.5	65%	35%	–	80%16/20	–
Over/under 5.5main	48%	52%	–	50%10/20	–
Over/under 6.5	32%	68%	–	40%8/20	–

Danubio cards

O0.5 95%O1.5 80%O2.5 58%O3.5 36%

Liverpool cards

O0.5 92%O1.5 72%O2.5 46%O3.5 25%

Key Players

Primera Division, this season

Danubio

Top scorer

Mateo Gabriel Peralta Píriz

6 goals

Most assists

Maicol Ferreira

3 assists

Best rated

Maicol Ferreira

6.54

Danubio squad statistics in the Primera Division this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Mauro GoicoecheaGoalkeeper	35 (35)	3060	0	0	–	6.21	–
Mateo Gabriel Peralta PírizMidfielder	34 (34)	2784	6	0	–	6.43	×4
Sebastián RodríguezMidfielder	30 (27)	2163	2	1	–	6.45	×6
Iván RossiMidfielder	28 (26)	2103	0	0	–	6.36	×7
Emiliano VelázquezDefender	27 (26)	2072	1	0	–	6.31	×4
Tomás CavanaghDefender	26 (25)	1991	0	0	–	6.26	×7
Leandro SosaDefender	25 (18)	1581	0	1	–	6.24	×4
M. RinaldiDefender	20 (18)	1548	0	0	–	6.23	×4
Camilo MayadaMidfielder	18 (18)	1497	0	0	–	6.37	×3
Maicol FerreiraAttacker	26 (16)	1348	4	3	–	6.54	×3
Facundo BalattiDefender	20 (16)	1256	0	0	–	6.27
Mauro Alejandro Brasil AlcaireDefender	14 (14)	1208	0	0	–	6.19	×7
Sebastián FernándezAttacker	25 (14)	1139	6	0	–	6.48
Nicolás Ezequiel Azambuja VargasAttacker	17 (13)	1113	1	3	–	6.48	×4
Joaquín PereyraDefender	14 (9)	976	1	0	–	6.41	×2

Liverpool

Top scorer

Federico Martínez

11 goals

Most assists

D. Romero

2 assists

Best rated

Federico Martínez

6.59

Liverpool squad statistics in the Primera Division this season
Player	Apps	Min	G	A	xG	Rating	Cards
Enzo CastilloDefender	31 (31)	2563	0	0	–	6.34	×8
Santiago StrasorierDefender	31 (31)	2520	0	0	–	6.34	×8
Nicolás GarayaldeMidfielder	32 (28)	2192	2	0	–	6.39	×9
Federico MartínezAttacker	34 (30)	2176	11	1	–	6.59	×5
Rubén BentancourtAttacker	31 (27)	2031	7	0	–	6.54	×7
D. RomeroDefender	29 (15)	1638	5	2	–	6.40	×2
Lucas AcostaMidfielder	27 (21)	1564	1	2	–	6.47	×6
Mathias BernateneGoalkeeper	20 (19)	1485	0	0	–	6.32
Santiago LaquidaínDefender	22 (17)	1459	0	0	–	6.36	×7
Martín CampañaGoalkeeper	16 (16)	1395	0	0	–	6.25
Kevin AmaroMidfielder	17 (16)	1317	0	1	–	6.33
Martín RabuñalMidfielder	18 (16)	1277	2	2	–	6.48
Agustín CayetanoDefender	20 (16)	1254	0	0	–	6.38	×5
Kevin LewisDefender	20 (18)	1239	0	0	–	6.38	×4
Diego ZabalaMidfielder	25 (14)	1119	2	0	–	6.44

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Bookmaker	1	2	Home	Away
bet365	1.90	1.90	—	—
Marathonbet	—	—	2.83	1.35
MelBet	—	—	2.83	1.35
Pinnacle	—	—	1.85	1.94

Goals Over/Under

Bookmaker	Over	Under
bet365	2.10	1.70
Betano.dk	10.25	1.03

Match Preview

Data provider's forecast

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

Danubio goals

Liverpool goals

Corners

Danubio corners

Liverpool corners

Cards

Danubio cards

Liverpool cards

Form Guide

Head to Head

Key Players

Danubio

Liverpool

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

Danubio vs Liverpool Prediction – Match preview

Our prediction

Match Preview

Data provider's forecast

Match Result

Draw no bet

Double chance

Goals

Danubio goals

Liverpool goals

Corners

Danubio corners

Liverpool corners

Cards

Danubio cards

Liverpool cards

Form Guide

Head to Head

Key Players

Danubio

Liverpool

Odds Comparison

Asian Handicap

Goals Over/Under

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