Aston Villa W vs Birmingham W Prediction – Match preview
Aston Villa W-:-
Birmingham WVilla ParkRound 10
Our prediction
Aston Villa W to win (54%)
Aston Villa W 54% · Draw 25% · Birmingham W 21% · Over 2.5 goals: 47% · Both teams to score: 48%
From our goals model. A chance, not a certainty.
Match Preview
Updated 08 Nov 2026FootyPulse model
54%
21%
Aston Villa WDraw 25%Birmingham W
1.6 – 0.9
Expected score
47%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams to score
Data provider's forecast
Full Time Result
35%
42%
Aston Villa WDraw 23%Birmingham W
First Half Result
27%
37%
Aston Villa WDraw 36%Birmingham W
Team to Score First
44%
52%
Aston Villa WNo goal 4%Birmingham W
Probability
Both Teams to Score
62%
Over 1.5 Goals
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Over 3.5 Goals
40%
Aston Villa W Over 3.5 Goals
7%
Aston Villa W Over 1.5 Goals
42%
Birmingham W Over 0.5 Goals
76%
Aston Villa W Over 0.5 Goals
72%
Match Result
Aston Villa W
46%–
model 2.19–
Last 1037%7/19
Draw
26%–
model 3.92–
Last 1037%7/19
Birmingham W
29%–
model 3.46–
Last 1026%5/19
Draw no bet
Aston Villa W
61%–
model 1.63–
Last 1058%7/12
Birmingham W
39%–
model 2.58–
Last 1042%5/12
Double chance
Aston Villa W or draw
71%–
model 1.41–
Last 1074%14/19
Aston Villa W or Birmingham W
74%–
model 1.34–
Last 1063%12/19
Draw or Birmingham W
54%–
model 1.84–
Last 1063%12/19
Expected goals 1.7–1.4 · No bookmaker price yet: model chances only.Match result screener
Goals
Expected 3.1 match goalsGoal screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 0.5 | 95% | 5% | – | 100%19/19 | – |
| Over/under 1.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 89%17/19 | – |
| Over/under 2.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 58%11/19 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 37% | 63% | – | 42%8/19 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 20% | 80% | – | 26%5/19 | – |
Both teams to score
62%
Last 1079%15/19
Aston Villa W clean sheet
23%
model chance
Birmingham W clean sheet
20%
model chance
Aston Villa W goals
O0.5 80%O1.5 47%O2.5 22%
Birmingham W goals
O0.5 77%O1.5 44%O2.5 19%
Corners
Expected 10.4 match cornersCorner screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 7.5 | 81% | 19% | – | 89%17/19 | – |
| Over/under 8.5 | 71% | 29% | – | 89%17/19 | – |
| Over/under 9.5 | 59% | 41% | – | 79%15/19 | – |
| Over/under 10.5main | 47% | 53% | – | 63%12/19 | – |
| Over/under 11.5 | 35% | 65% | – | 47%9/19 | – |
| Over/under 12.5 | 25% | 75% | – | 26%5/19 | – |
| Over/under 13.5 | 17% | 83% | – | 16%3/19 | – |
Aston Villa W corners
O2.5 89%O3.5 75%O4.5 58%O5.5 41%O6.5 26%O7.5 15%
Birmingham W corners
O2.5 90%O3.5 77%O4.5 60%O5.5 43%O6.5 28%O7.5 16%
Cards
Expected 3.2 match cardsCard screener
| Line | Over | Under | Odds O / U | L10 over | EV O / U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over/under 2.5 | 62% | 38% | – | 47%9/19 | – |
| Over/under 3.5main | 39% | 61% | – | 16%3/19 | – |
| Over/under 4.5 | 22% | 78% | – | 11%2/19 | – |
| Over/under 5.5 | 10% | 90% | – | 0%0/19 | – |
| Over/under 6.5 | 4% | 96% | – | 0%0/19 | – |
Aston Villa W cards
O0.5 82%O1.5 51%O2.5 25%O3.5 9%
Birmingham W cards
O0.5 77%O1.5 43%O2.5 18%O3.5 6%
Form Guide
Updated 08 Nov 2026Aston Villa WBirmingham W
- 9
- League position
- 12
- DWWDL
- Last 5
- LWDLD
- 1.60
- Points per game (L5)
- 1.00
- 7
- Goals scored (L5)
- 7
- 9
- Goals conceded (L5)
- 10
- —
- xG for (L5)
- —
- —
- xG against (L5)
- —
- 0
- Clean sheets (L5)
- 1
Head to Head
1
Aston Villa W wins
0
Draws
2
Birmingham W wins
Last 3 meetings
1.0
Goals per game
0%
Both teams scored
0%
Over 2.5 goals
Last meeting
Aston Villa W in the last 3 meetings
LWL
Key Players
Women's Super League, this seasonAston Villa W
Top scorer
Amalie Jørgensen Vangsgaard
3 goals
Most assists
Chasity Shivonia Charissa Grant
3 assists
Best rated
Amalie Jørgensen Vangsgaard
6.98
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mathilde Hauge HarvikenDefender | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.62 | – |
| Lynn Anke Hannie WilmsMidfielder | 8 (8) | 700 | 1 | 1 | – | 6.78 | – |
| Noëlle MaritzDefender | 8 (8) | 692 | 2 | 1 | – | 6.88 | ×2 |
| Amalie Jørgensen VangsgaardAttacker | 8 (8) | 663 | 3 | 1 | – | 6.98 | – |
| Anna PattenDefender | 8 (7) | 642 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.80 | – |
| Chasity Shivonia Charissa GrantAttacker | 8 (8) | 615 | 2 | 3 | – | 6.81 | – |
| Lucia KendallAttacker | 7 (7) | 545 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.51 | – |
| Justine Kvaleng KiellandMidfielder | 8 (6) | 527 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.64 | |
| Oceane DeslandesDefender | 8 (4) | 440 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | |
| Miri TaylorMidfielder | 8 (3) | 324 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.71 | |
| Lucy Michelle ParkerMidfielder | 5 (4) | 290 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Maya HijikataAttacker | 7 (3) | 281 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.59 | – |
| Oriane Jean-FrançoisMidfielder | 3 (2) | 195 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.76 | – |
| Lily MurphyAttacker | 6 (2) | 154 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.44 | – |
| Georgia MulletAttacker | 6 (0) | 102 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.38 | – |
Birmingham W
Top scorer
Oceane Hurtre
6 goals
Most assists
Oceane Hurtre
2 assists
Best rated
Oceane Hurtre
7.93
| Player | Apps | Min | G | A | xG | Rating | Cards |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie BaggaleyGoalkeeper | 8 (8) | 720 | 0 | 0 | – | 7.13 | – |
| Oceane HurtreMidfielder | 8 (8) | 706 | 6 | 2 | – | 7.93 | |
| R. McKennaDefender | 8 (8) | 678 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.46 | – |
| Asato MiyagawaMidfielder | 8 (7) | 674 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.67 | – |
| Lisa Fjeldstad NaalsundMidfielder | 8 (8) | 669 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.72 | – |
| Millie TurnerDefender | 7 (7) | 630 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.47 | – |
| Lee Geum-MinAttacker | 8 (7) | 544 | 0 | 1 | – | 6.56 | – |
| Shannon CookeDefender | 5 (4) | 298 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.75 | – |
| V. SarriAttacker | 6 (3) | 216 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.49 | – |
| Suzu AmanoMidfielder | 7 (2) | 198 | 1 | 0 | – | 6.52 | – |
| Chelsea CornetMidfielder | 3 (0) | 46 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.57 | – |
| R. HollowayDefender | 2 (0) | 30 | 0 | 0 | – | 6.20 | – |
Odds Comparison
Goals Over/Under
| Bookmaker | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Betano.dk | 1.53 | 2.25 |
More on Aston Villa W vs Birmingham W
- Aston Villa W stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Birmingham W stats & fixturesForm, results and the next matches
- Women's Super League (England) table & fixturesStandings, results and league leaders
- Mathematical football predictionsThis week's model probabilities for every match
- Over/under goals screenerGoal-line hit rates for every upcoming match
- Corner stats screenerCorner lines and hit rates by fixture