Over 2.5 & BTTS stats

Screen upcoming matches by both teams' scoring records, see the expected goals and the model's price, then check the league averages.

Every upcoming match with both teams' recent record against the goal line and BTTS, the expected goals and a model price next to the market where the odds are in.

Smart views

72 matches · line closest to even per match

Upcoming matches with recent goals hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
DijonOrléansnew team Fri 20:00 · Coupe de France	Over 2.5 Match goals	–	60%1.66	–	3.1	89%8/9	79%11/14	69%11/16
Barbadosnew teamGuadeloupenew team Thu 20:00 · CONCACAF Nations League	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.60 63%	57%1.75	-8%	3.0	75%6/8	75%6/8	75%6/8
OH Leuven WKøgelimited data Wed 18:45 · UEFA Women's Champions League	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.74 57%	59%1.69	+3%	3.3	60%6/10	71%12/17	68%15/22
Montenegrolimited dataLatvialimited data Thu 20:45 · UEFA Nations League	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.77 56%	53%1.88	-6%	2.8	60%6/10	69%11/16	69%11/16
NetherlandsGreecelimited data Fri 20:45 · UEFA Nations League	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.64 61%	57%1.75	-6%	2.9	50%5/10	67%12/18	70%14/20
Melbourne City WNewcastle Jets W Sat 05:00 · A-League Women	Over 2.5 Match goals	–	56%1.78	–	2.9	50%5/10	65%13/20	67%20/30
Real ValladolidCastellón Sat 14:00 · La Liga 2	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.70 59%	56%1.79	-5%	2.9	70%7/10	65%13/20	50%15/30
TunisiaLibyanew team Fri 17:00 · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Over 2.5 Match goals	2.06 49%	53%1.90	+8%	3.1	67%6/9	64%9/14	67%10/15
SL Benfica Wlimited dataAustria Wien Wlimited data Wed 21:00 · UEFA Women's Champions League	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.55 65%	58%1.71	-9%	3.0	70%7/10	63%10/16	63%10/16
Guineanew teamEritreanew team Thu 18:00 · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.58 63%	57%1.76	-10%	2.9	63%5/8	63%5/8	63%5/8

DijonOrléansnew team
Fri 20:00 · Coupe de France
–
–
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.1 · Model 60%
L589%8/9L1079%11/14L1569%11/16
Barbadosnew teamGuadeloupenew team
Thu 20:00 · CONCACAF Nations League
1.60
-8%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.0 · Model 57%
L575%6/8L1075%6/8L1575%6/8
OH Leuven WKøgelimited data
Wed 18:45 · UEFA Women's Champions League
1.74
+3%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.3 · Model 59%
L560%6/10L1071%12/17L1568%15/22
Montenegrolimited dataLatvialimited data
Thu 20:45 · UEFA Nations League
1.77
-6%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 2.8 · Model 53%
L560%6/10L1069%11/16L1569%11/16
NetherlandsGreecelimited data
Fri 20:45 · UEFA Nations League
1.64
-6%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 2.9 · Model 57%
L550%5/10L1067%12/18L1570%14/20
Melbourne City WNewcastle Jets W
Sat 05:00 · A-League Women
–
–
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 2.9 · Model 56%
L550%5/10L1065%13/20L1567%20/30
Real ValladolidCastellón
Sat 14:00 · La Liga 2
1.70
-5%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 2.9 · Model 56%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1550%15/30
TunisiaLibyanew team
Fri 17:00 · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
2.06
+8%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.1 · Model 53%
L567%6/9L1064%9/14L1567%10/15
SL Benfica Wlimited dataAustria Wien Wlimited data
Wed 21:00 · UEFA Women's Champions League
1.55
-9%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.0 · Model 58%
L570%7/10L1063%10/16L1563%10/16
Guineanew teamEritreanew team
Thu 18:00 · Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications
1.58
-10%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 2.9 · Model 57%
L563%5/8L1063%5/8L1563%5/8

Hit rates pool both teams' recent matches (match goals): L10 is each team's last 10, so up to 20 games. Model: expected goals from each side's for/against averages, weighted toward recent games and shrunk to the average team, as a Poisson chance; where the bookmaker prices both sides it is blended half-and-half with the margin-free market price. Odds: Pinnacle (goal lines), bet365 (BTTS), where the feed has them. EV is model chance × odds − 1: the model’s view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 11 Nov, 14:48.

League goal averages

League	Matches	AvgAvg Goals	BTTS	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	Over 3.5
NM Cup	127	4.51	57%	95%	83%	59%
OFC Champions League	14	3.86	64%	86%	71%	50%
UEFA Youth League	215	3.83	59%	88%	73%	53%
OBOS Ligaen	245	3.8	65%	89%	72%	51%
DFB Pokal	63	3.78	46%	92%	65%	48%
KNVB Beker	57	3.74	60%	86%	68%	49%
Landspokal Cup	109	3.63	49%	83%	66%	45%
UEFA Women's Champions League	159	3.5	55%	88%	64%	45%
Stars League	131	3.42	63%	85%	70%	50%
Super League	229	3.42	66%	86%	67%	41%
WC Qualification Europe	60	3.42	55%	85%	53%	47%
Champions League	279	3.39	57%	85%	63%	42%
CONCACAF Nations League	74	3.38	46%	82%	62%	39%
Eliteserien	224	3.36	59%	87%	65%	41%
FA Cup	149	3.36	54%	83%	62%	46%
Kings Cup	22	3.36	50%	91%	59%	41%
ASEAN Championship	26	3.35	42%	88%	62%	38%
Eredivisie	308	3.35	66%	87%	63%	45%
Bundesliga	297	3.31	63%	84%	66%	45%
Eerste Divisie	371	3.3	65%	85%	65%	40%
Toppserien	137	3.28	51%	80%	63%	36%
Major League Soccer	516	3.25	64%	83%	64%	42%
Super League	248	3.18	64%	80%	59%	40%
Asian Cup Qualification	24	3.17	54%	83%	67%	33%
Women's Super League	148	3.14	57%	78%	60%	36%
Enterprise National League	535	3.06	61%	81%	61%	35%
Carabao Cup	93	3.04	56%	82%	55%	38%
UAE Pro League	182	3.04	60%	82%	55%	38%
Superliga	187	3.03	59%	82%	59%	35%
Coppa Italia	43	3	53%	84%	51%	33%
2. Bundesliga	297	2.99	61%	80%	58%	33%
Pro League	338	2.98	56%	79%	56%	37%
Coupe de France	120	2.97	45%	79%	56%	34%
Challenger Pro League	244	2.96	57%	77%	58%	36%
Copa Del Rey	125	2.94	47%	77%	54%	33%
Admiral Bundesliga	190	2.93	57%	83%	56%	32%
Ligat ha'Al	240	2.9	54%	78%	54%	35%
Superettan	239	2.9	59%	78%	55%	35%
J1 League	160	2.88	54%	78%	56%	35%
Pro League	300	2.88	52%	78%	56%	31%
World Cup	104	2.88	55%	78%	53%	33%
1. Lig	392	2.87	50%	78%	52%	32%
A-League Men	162	2.86	63%	79%	59%	34%
Liga MX	326	2.85	60%	78%	54%	31%
1. HNL	179	2.84	51%	79%	52%	35%
Ligue 1	287	2.84	54%	76%	54%	33%
Allsvenskan	223	2.83	51%	78%	53%	28%
AFC Champions League Elite	134	2.82	51%	70%	49%	33%
Premiership	234	2.82	53%	76%	54%	31%
Europa League	269	2.81	49%	75%	56%	32%
Super Lig	297	2.81	52%	78%	57%	29%
La Liga	379	2.78	57%	78%	52%	28%
Ekstraklasa	300	2.77	60%	77%	54%	31%
Asian Games	25	2.76	32%	80%	52%	28%
Premier League	370	2.75	56%	78%	52%	29%
WC Qualification Concacaf	12	2.75	33%	75%	50%	33%
AFC Champions League Two	121	2.74	46%	76%	51%	26%
Championship	558	2.74	59%	78%	55%	29%
First Division	180	2.74	56%	76%	52%	32%
Serie A	392	2.74	58%	79%	53%	27%
Europa Conference League	411	2.73	51%	75%	52%	30%
Chance Liga	266	2.72	48%	77%	54%	28%
League One	539	2.72	55%	74%	53%	30%
La Liga 2	466	2.68	56%	75%	51%	27%
Serie A	380	2.68	49%	76%	51%	25%
Liga Portugal	305	2.67	49%	72%	54%	33%
A-League Women	126	2.65	52%	69%	52%	29%
Taça De Portugal	32	2.63	44%	75%	53%	25%
Veikkausliiga	177	2.61	49%	72%	45%	26%
Premier League	232	2.59	54%	74%	50%	26%
Russian Cup	92	2.59	46%	72%	43%	27%
League Two	541	2.58	53%	73%	48%	28%
Ligue 2	287	2.58	53%	70%	48%	26%
Serie B	381	2.57	54%	76%	48%	25%
Super League	236	2.56	49%	75%	51%	25%
Superliga	309	2.54	49%	69%	46%	28%
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	60	2.53	47%	73%	48%	28%
Indian Super League	117	2.5	55%	75%	44%	21%
K League 1	222	2.47	55%	72%	46%	24%
Premier League	231	2.45	42%	72%	48%	24%
UEFA Nations League	108	2.44	44%	71%	49%	19%
First League	271	2.39	43%	69%	44%	22%
Primera Division	284	2.37	50%	67%	44%	21%
Serie B	390	2.34	47%	69%	44%	19%
Africa Cup of Nations	51	2.29	47%	69%	43%	20%
Copa Sudamericana	157	2.29	42%	70%	39%	20%
Premier League	275	2.18	49%	67%	37%	17%
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	525	2.15	47%	66%	37%	16%
Premier League	220	2.13	41%	64%	33%	18%
Copa do Brasil	159	2.11	39%	63%	36%	16%
Copa Libertadores	154	2.1	43%	62%	33%	14%
CAF Champions League	62	1.9	35%	58%	31%	11%

Understanding Goals Markets

Goals markets are among the most popular in football betting. The over/under line — typically set at 2.5 — asks whether a match will produce three or more goals. Bookmakers derive these lines from historical scoring patterns, which is exactly what our data tracks.

A league averaging 2.8 goals per match will naturally see a higher Over 2.5 hit rate than one averaging 2.2. But the real value comes from spotting where bookmaker lines have not adjusted to recent trends — for example, if a league's scoring rate has increased mid-season but the over/under odds have not moved.

BTTS (Both Teams to Score)

BTTS is a market where both teams must score at least one goal for a "Yes" bet to win. Leagues with high average goals and poor defensive records tend to have higher BTTS rates. Our data shows the BTTS percentage per league so you can quickly identify the best leagues for this market.

For team-level BTTS analysis, combine this data with our clean sheet statistics. A team with a low clean sheet rate and high scoring output is the ideal BTTS candidate. Also check home vs away splits — many teams concede more goals away from home, significantly affecting BTTS outcomes.

How to Read the Table

Avg Goals is the mean total goals per match across the season. Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 shows the percentage of matches exceeding each threshold. Green marks a high rate for that line (Over 1.5 at 70%+, Over 2.5 and BTTS at 50%+, Over 3.5 at 40%+). Compare these percentages with the implied probability of the odds — if a league hits Over 2.5 at 58% and the odds imply 50%, the season average and the market disagree. That is a reason to look at the two teams, not a bet on its own: a league average says little about one match.

Over 2.5 & BTTS stats

Goal Screener

League goal averages

Understanding Goals Markets

BTTS (Both Teams to Score)

How to Read the Table

Related stats