Card Statistics

Screen upcoming matches by both teams' booking records and the referee in charge, see the expected cards and the model's price, then check this week's strictest referees.

Card Screener

Every upcoming match with both teams' recent booking record against the line, the expected cards with the referee factored in, and a model price next to bet365 where the odds are in.

Smart views

170 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent cards hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
Lens U19new teamComo U19new team Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	53%1.90	–	4.8	83%5/6	83%5/6	83%5/6
Slavia Prague U19limited dataArsenal U19limited data Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	54%1.87	–	4.9	80%8/10	82%14/17	82%14/17
Athletic ClubCeará Mon 22:00 · Serie BRef Alex Gomes Stefano · 5.4 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	67%1.49	+8%	5.2ref +0.7	80%8/10	80%16/20	73%22/30
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United Mon 02:30 · Major League SoccerRef Joe Dickerson · 4.8 cards/match · ×1.11	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	61%1.64	+2%	4.5ref +0.4	60%6/10	70%14/20	63%19/30
Atlanta UnitedToronto Sun 22:30 · Major League SoccerRef Filip Dujic · 4.2 cards/match · ×1.01	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	60%1.66	-3%	4.3	80%8/10	70%14/20	63%19/30
Manchester United U19new teamRoma U19new team Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	55%1.83	–	4.9	67%4/6	67%4/6	67%4/6
LASK UEFA U19new teamSlovan Bratislava U19new team Tue 15:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	45%2.22	–	5.4	67%4/6	67%4/6	67%4/6
AtalantaParma Mon 20:45 · Serie ARef Valerio Crezzini · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.95	Over 2.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	63%1.59	+1%	3.5ref −0.2	70%7/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
Olympique MarseilleToulouse Sun 20:45 · Ligue 1Ref Hakim Ben El Hadj · 4.3 cards/match · ×1.02	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	59%1.69	-2%	4.3ref +0.1	70%7/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa Tue 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.90 53%	56%1.80	+6%	4.3	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
Independiente RivadaviaBanfield Tue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Álvaro Carranza · 4.8 cards/match · ×1.06	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	55%1.81	-8%	4.9ref +0.3	70%7/10	65%13/20	47%14/30
Inter TurkuGnistan Mon 17:00 · VeikkausliigaRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	55%1.81	–	3.9	70%7/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
Jong AjaxVitesse Mon 20:00 · Eerste DivisieRef J. Ordelmans · 1.8 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	52%1.91	–	3.8ref −0.7	70%7/10	65%13/20	60%18/30
Birmingham CityMillwall Tue 21:00 · ChampionshipRef David Webb · 2.9 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	51%1.95	–	3.7ref −0.7	80%8/10	65%13/20	53%16/30
Real ValladolidLeganés Mon 18:30 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	50%2.00	-10%	5.6	80%8/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
Real OviedoLas Palmas Mon 16:15 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	44%2.27	–	5.3	90%9/10	65%13/20	47%14/30
Gil VicenteVitória Guimarães Mon 21:15 · Liga PortugalRef Hélder Carvalho · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.88	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	40%2.50	–	4.2ref −0.5	70%7/10	65%13/20	53%16/30
Spartak KostromaVolna Koverninonew team Tue 17:30 · Russian CupRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.96	–	4.7	56%5/9	64%9/14	58%11/19
Port FCnew teamBeijing Guoan Tue 13:15 · AFC Champions League EliteRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	53%1.90	–	3.8	63%5/8	62%8/13	61%11/18
Shakhtar Donetsk U19new teamSporting CP U19 Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	43%2.33	–	5.3	75%6/8	62%8/13	57%8/14
Hapoel Ramat Ganlimited dataMaccabi Tel Aviv Mon 19:00 · Ligat ha'AlRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	49%2.04	–	4.6	60%6/10	61%11/18	57%13/23
Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente Mon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Sebastián Nicolás Martínez · 6.2 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.72 58%	59%1.70	+1%	5.5ref +0.7	70%7/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Haifa Mon 19:30 · Ligat ha'AlRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	54%1.86	–	4.9	60%6/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
Nashville SCNew York RB Sun 22:30 · Major League SoccerRef Sergii Demianchuk · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.03	Over 3.5 Match cards	2.10 48%	50%1.99	+6%	4.0ref +0.1	50%5/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
BenficaAlverca Mon 21:15 · Liga PortugalRef Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.99	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	49%2.03	–	4.6	60%6/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa Tue 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	43%2.31	–	4.3	60%6/10	60%12/20	43%13/30
Fenerbahçe U19new teamLiverpool U19limited data Wed 12:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	54%1.85	–	4.9	63%5/8	58%7/12	58%7/12
Borussia Dortmund U19limited dataReal Betis U19limited data Wed 16:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	43%2.34	–	5.3	60%6/10	56%10/18	56%10/18
Barcelona U19limited dataAston Villa U19limited data Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.95	–	4.7	70%7/10	56%9/16	56%9/16
KAS EupenExcelsior Virtonlimited data Sun 19:15 · Challenger Pro LeagueRef Jasper Vitse · 3.1 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	50%1.99	–	3.7ref −0.6	70%7/10	56%9/16	48%10/21
Kalamatalimited dataIraklislimited data Mon 18:30 · Super LeagueRef Christos Vergetis · 5.1 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 5.5 Match cards	2.00 50%	46%2.17	-8%	5.4ref +0.7	40%4/10	56%9/16	56%9/16
Pafos U19limited dataBenfica U19 Wed 13:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	41%2.44	–	5.2	70%7/10	56%9/16	56%9/16
PAOK U19limited dataZrinjski U19new team Wed 14:30 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	50%1.99	–	4.7	56%5/9	56%5/9	56%5/9
Newcastle UnitedEverton Mon 21:00 · Premier LeagueRef John Brooks · 5.4 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.72 58%	58%1.73	0%	5.3ref +0.7	70%7/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
VoluntariFarul Constanța Mon 16:30 · SuperligaRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.79	–	4.0	50%5/10	55%11/20	63%17/27
VPSHJK Mon 17:00 · VeikkausliigaRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.79	–	4.0	60%6/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
MallorcaCádiz Mon 21:00 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	55%1.82	-9%	4.9	70%7/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
LondrinaAmérica Mineiro Sun 20:00 · Serie BRef Daiane Caroline Muniz dos Santos · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.92	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	50%1.99	-10%	3.6ref −0.3	50%5/10	55%11/20	43%13/30
Zagłębie LubinKorona Kielce Mon 18:00 · EkstraklasaRef Piotr Lasyk · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.86	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	48%2.07	–	3.6ref −0.6	70%7/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
Blackburn RoversStoke City Tue 20:45 · ChampionshipRef Andrew Kitchen · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	45%2.20	–	3.5ref −0.6	30%3/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
KayserisporMuğlaspor Mon 18:00 · 1. LigRef Yiğit Arslan · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.12	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	44%2.27	–	5.3ref +0.6	40%4/10	55%11/20	44%12/27
MjällbyKalmar Mon 19:00 · AllsvenskanRef Richard Sundell · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.88	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	41%2.42	–	3.3ref −0.4	60%6/10	55%11/20	47%14/30
Chelsea U19limited dataFlora U19new team Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	53%1.88	–	4.8	50%4/8	55%6/11	55%6/11
AEK Athens U19new teamReal Madrid U19 Wed 11:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	54%1.84	–	4.9	63%5/8	54%7/13	63%10/16
Feyenoord U19new teamInter U19 Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	47%2.11	–	5.5	63%5/8	54%7/13	57%8/14
Atl. Madrid U19Bayern U19limited data Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	40%2.52	–	5.1	50%5/10	53%9/17	50%9/18
Porto U19limited dataNapoli U19limited data Wed 13:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	48%2.09	–	4.6	70%7/10	53%8/15	53%8/15
Melbourne VictoryPersib Wed 08:45 · AFC Champions League TwoRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.77	–	4.0	50%5/10	50%10/20	52%13/25
FeyenoordInter Tue 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.77	–	4.0	50%5/10	50%10/20	43%13/30
FeyenoordInter Tue 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.77	–	4.0	50%5/10	50%10/20	43%13/30

Lens U19new teamComo U19new team
Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
L583%5/6L1083%5/6L1583%5/6
Slavia Prague U19limited dataArsenal U19limited data
Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 54%
L580%8/10L1082%14/17L1582%14/17
Athletic ClubCeará
Mon 22:00 · Serie B
Ref Alex Gomes Stefano · 5.4 cards/match · ×1.15
1.61
+8%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 5.2 · Model 67%
L580%8/10L1080%16/20L1573%22/30
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United
Mon 02:30 · Major League Soccer
Ref Joe Dickerson · 4.8 cards/match · ×1.11
1.66
+2%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.5 · Model 61%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1563%19/30
Atlanta UnitedToronto
Sun 22:30 · Major League Soccer
Ref Filip Dujic · 4.2 cards/match · ×1.01
1.61
-3%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.3 · Model 60%
L580%8/10L1070%14/20L1563%19/30
Manchester United U19new teamRoma U19new team
Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 55%
L567%4/6L1067%4/6L1567%4/6
LASK UEFA U19new teamSlovan Bratislava U19new team
Tue 15:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.4 · Model 45%
L567%4/6L1067%4/6L1567%4/6
AtalantaParma
Mon 20:45 · Serie A
Ref Valerio Crezzini · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.95
1.61
+1%
Over 2.5 Match cards
Exp 3.5 · Model 63%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
Sun 20:45 · Ligue 1
Ref Hakim Ben El Hadj · 4.3 cards/match · ×1.02
1.66
-2%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.3 · Model 59%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
1.90
+6%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.3 · Model 56%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
Independiente RivadaviaBanfield
Tue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Álvaro Carranza · 4.8 cards/match · ×1.06
1.66
-8%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1547%14/30
Inter TurkuGnistan
Mon 17:00 · Veikkausliiga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
Jong AjaxVitesse
Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie
Ref J. Ordelmans · 1.8 cards/match · ×0.85
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.8 · Model 52%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
Birmingham CityMillwall
Tue 21:00 · Championship
Ref David Webb · 2.9 cards/match · ×0.85
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 51%
L580%8/10L1065%13/20L1553%16/30
Real ValladolidLeganés
Mon 18:30 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
1.80
-10%
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.6 · Model 50%
L580%8/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
Real OviedoLas Palmas
Mon 16:15 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.3 · Model 44%
L590%9/10L1065%13/20L1547%14/30
Gil VicenteVitória Guimarães
Mon 21:15 · Liga Portugal
Ref Hélder Carvalho · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.88
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 40%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1553%16/30
Spartak KostromaVolna Koverninonew team
Tue 17:30 · Russian Cup
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L556%5/9L1064%9/14L1558%11/19
Port FCnew teamBeijing Guoan
Tue 13:15 · AFC Champions League Elite
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.8 · Model 53%
L563%5/8L1062%8/13L1561%11/18
Shakhtar Donetsk U19new teamSporting CP U19
Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.3 · Model 43%
L575%6/8L1062%8/13L1557%8/14
Hapoel Ramat Ganlimited dataMaccabi Tel Aviv
Mon 19:00 · Ligat ha'Al
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.6 · Model 49%
L560%6/10L1061%11/18L1557%13/23
Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente
Mon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Sebastián Nicolás Martínez · 6.2 cards/match · ×1.15
1.72
+1%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.5 · Model 59%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Haifa
Mon 19:30 · Ligat ha'Al
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 54%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
Nashville SCNew York RB
Sun 22:30 · Major League Soccer
Ref Sergii Demianchuk · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.03
2.10
+6%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 50%
L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
BenficaAlverca
Mon 21:15 · Liga Portugal
Ref Bruno José Ribeiro Pires Costa · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.99
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.6 · Model 49%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.3 · Model 43%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1543%13/30
Fenerbahçe U19new teamLiverpool U19limited data
Wed 12:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 54%
L563%5/8L1058%7/12L1558%7/12
Borussia Dortmund U19limited dataReal Betis U19limited data
Wed 16:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.3 · Model 43%
L560%6/10L1056%10/18L1556%10/18
Barcelona U19limited dataAston Villa U19limited data
Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L570%7/10L1056%9/16L1556%9/16
KAS EupenExcelsior Virtonlimited data
Sun 19:15 · Challenger Pro League
Ref Jasper Vitse · 3.1 cards/match · ×0.85
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 50%
L570%7/10L1056%9/16L1548%10/21
Kalamatalimited dataIraklislimited data
Mon 18:30 · Super League
Ref Christos Vergetis · 5.1 cards/match · ×1.15
2.00
-8%
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.4 · Model 46%
L540%4/10L1056%9/16L1556%9/16
Pafos U19limited dataBenfica U19
Wed 13:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.2 · Model 41%
L570%7/10L1056%9/16L1556%9/16
PAOK U19limited dataZrinjski U19new team
Wed 14:30 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 50%
L556%5/9L1056%5/9L1556%5/9
Newcastle UnitedEverton
Mon 21:00 · Premier League
Ref John Brooks · 5.4 cards/match · ×1.15
1.72
0%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.3 · Model 58%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
VoluntariFarul Constanța
Mon 16:30 · Superliga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1563%17/27
VPSHJK
Mon 17:00 · Veikkausliiga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
MallorcaCádiz
Mon 21:00 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
1.66
-9%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
LondrinaAmérica Mineiro
Sun 20:00 · Serie B
Ref Daiane Caroline Muniz dos Santos · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.92
1.80
-10%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.6 · Model 50%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
Zagłębie LubinKorona Kielce
Mon 18:00 · Ekstraklasa
Ref Piotr Lasyk · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.86
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.6 · Model 48%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
Blackburn RoversStoke City
Tue 20:45 · Championship
Ref Andrew Kitchen · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.85
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.5 · Model 45%
L530%3/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
KayserisporMuğlaspor
Mon 18:00 · 1. Lig
Ref Yiğit Arslan · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.12
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.3 · Model 44%
L540%4/10L1055%11/20L1544%12/27
MjällbyKalmar
Mon 19:00 · Allsvenskan
Ref Richard Sundell · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.88
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.3 · Model 41%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1547%14/30
Chelsea U19limited dataFlora U19new team
Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
L550%4/8L1055%6/11L1555%6/11
AEK Athens U19new teamReal Madrid U19
Wed 11:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 54%
L563%5/8L1054%7/13L1563%10/16
Feyenoord U19new teamInter U19
Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.5 · Model 47%
L563%5/8L1054%7/13L1557%8/14
Atl. Madrid U19Bayern U19limited data
Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.1 · Model 40%
L550%5/10L1053%9/17L1550%9/18
Porto U19limited dataNapoli U19limited data
Wed 13:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.6 · Model 48%
L570%7/10L1053%8/15L1553%8/15
Melbourne VictoryPersib
Wed 08:45 · AFC Champions League Two
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1552%13/25
FeyenoordInter
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1543%13/30
FeyenoordInter
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1543%13/30

Hit rates pool both teams' recent matches (match cards): L10 is each team's last 10, so up to 20 games. Model: expected cards from each side's for/against averages, weighted toward recent games and shrunk to the average team, as a Poisson chance; where the bookmaker prices both sides it is blended half-and-half with the margin-free market price. Odds: bet365, where the feed has them. EV is model chance × odds − 1: the model’s view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Cards are yellows plus reds per side. The referee’s cards per match in our data, shrunk toward the average referee, scales the expected cards (×0.85 to ×1.15); before a referee is assigned the teams alone set it. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 1 Nov, 17:17.

Referees this week — strictest first

Referee	Matches	Cards / match	Effect	Next match	Exp. cards
Anderson Daronco	70	5.2	×1.15	PalmeirasvVasco da GamaSun 20:00 · Copa do Brasil	4.6 → 5.3
Andrés Matonte	66	6.1	×1.15	AlbionvDeportivo MaldonadoTue 00:00 · Primera Division	4.9 → 5.6
Yael Falcón Pérez	64	5.7	×1.15	Atlético TucumánvArgentinos JuniorsTue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.8 → 5.5
Wilton Pereira Sampaio	63	5.3	×1.15	PalmeirasvRemoThu 23:30 · Serie A	4.8 → 5.5
Davi de Oliveira Lacerda	61	5.2	×1.15	GrêmiovAtlético MineiroSun 22:30 · Copa do Brasil	4.6 → 5.3
Bruno Arleu de Araujo	57	5.5	×1.15	FortalezavAtlético GOMon 20:00 · Serie B	4.5 → 5.1
José Burgos	51	5.3	×1.15	Boston RivervMontevideo City TorqueSun 17:00 · Primera Division	5.1 → 5.8
Alex Gomes Stefano	51	5.4	×1.15	Athletic ClubvCearáMon 22:00 · Serie B	4.5 → 5.2
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli	51	5.7	×1.15	FlamengovGrêmioWed 23:30 · Serie A	5.0 → 5.7
Ramon Abatti	51	5.2	×1.15	Athletico PRvVasco da GamaWed 23:30 · Serie A	4.4 → 5.1
Hernán Heras	49	6.3	×1.15	DanubiovNacionalSun 20:30 · Primera Division	5.1 → 5.8
Felipe Fernandes de Lima	48	5.5	×1.15	GoiásvCRBTue 00:30 · Serie B	4.2 → 4.8
Nicolás Ramírez	43	6.6	×1.15	Boca JuniorsvRiver PlateSun 19:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.4 → 5.1
Alejandro José Hernández Hernández	43	5.1	×1.15	Athletic ClubvReal SociedadSun 21:00 · La Liga	4.2 → 4.8
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho	41	5.3	×1.15	InternacionalvCoritibaWed 01:30 · Serie A	4.5 → 5.2
Lucas Paulo Torezin	40	5.5	×1.15	ChapecoensevMirassolTue 23:30 · Serie A	4.4 → 5.0
André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento	39	5.4	×1.15	NovorizontinovOperário PRSun 22:30 · Serie B	5.0 → 5.7
Sebastián Nicolás Martínez	39	6.2	×1.15	Defensa y JusticiavIndependienteMon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.8 → 5.5
Edina Alves Batista	39	6.0	×1.15	BragantinovSantosTue 00:00 · Serie A	4.9 → 5.6
João António Ferreira Gonçalves	34	6.1	×1.15	Academico ViseuvRio AveSun 19:00 · Liga Portugal	4.4 → 5.0
Manuel Ángel Pérez Hernández	34	6.8	×1.15	TenerifevFC AndorraSun 21:00 · La Liga 2	4.9 → 5.6
Alexis Da Silva	34	5.1	×1.15	Vancouver WhitecapsvSeattle SoundersSun 21:30 · Major League Soccer	3.8 → 4.4
John Brooks	31	5.4	×1.15	Newcastle UnitedvEvertonMon 21:00 · Premier League	4.7 → 5.3
Florian Exner	30	5.7	×1.15	Eintracht FrankfurtvHamburger SVSun 17:30 · Bundesliga	4.0 → 4.5
Lluís Bestard Servera	29	5.7	×1.15	ElchevValenciaSun 18:30 · La Liga	4.9 → 5.7
Christos Vergetis	28	5.1	×1.15	KalamatavIraklisMon 18:30 · Super League	4.7 → 5.4
Paride Tremolada	26	5.8	×1.15	Hellas VeronavCarrareseSun 17:15 · Serie B	4.3 → 4.9
David Rafael Oliveira Silva	23	6.3	×1.15	Sporting BragavFamalicãoSun 21:30 · Liga Portugal	4.4 → 5.1
Fedayi San	20	5.6	×1.15	Lausanne SportvThunSun 16:30 · Super League	4.9 → 5.7
Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle	20	6.5	×1.15	Cruz AzulvLeónMon 02:10 · Liga MX	4.5 → 5.1
Spiros Zabalas	15	5.4	×1.15	PanaitolikosvOFISun 17:00 · Super League	4.8 → 5.5
Michalis Matsoukas	14	5.6	×1.15	PAOKvAsteras TripolisSun 18:00 · Super League	5.0 → 5.8
Daniel Zamora	13	6.0	×1.15	Newell's Old BoysvUnión Santa FeSun 22:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.7 → 5.3
Alexandros Katsikogiannis	10	6.3	×1.15	AtromitosvVolos NFCMon 17:00 · Super League	5.3 → 6.1
Johannes von Mandach	24	5.1	×1.15	LuganovBaselSun 16:30 · Super League	4.8 → 5.5
Mathías De Armas	39	5.0	×1.15	LiverpoolvJuventudMon 00:00 · Primera Division	5.5 → 6.3
Pablo Dóvalo	35	4.9	×1.14	PlatensevCentral Cordoba SdEMon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.4 → 5.0
Damian Kos	30	5.0	×1.14	Radomiak RadomvŚląsk WrocławMon 18:00 · Ekstraklasa	4.4 → 5.0
Daniel Quintero Huittrón	29	4.9	×1.12	Santos LagunavNecaxaMon 00:00 · Liga MX	4.3 → 4.8
Yiğit Arslan	22	5.0	×1.12	KayserisporvMuğlasporMon 18:00 · 1. Lig	4.7 → 5.3

How the Card Model Works

Cards are counted as yellows plus reds for each side. For every upcoming match the model takes each team's cards received and the cards its opponents picked up over its last 15 matches, weights recent games more, and shrinks the result toward the average team so a few wild games cannot dominate.

Then the referee comes in. Their cards per match across every game of theirs in our data is compared with the average match; the more games they have refereed, the more that rate counts. A strict referee scales the expected cards up (to at most ×1.4), a lenient one down (to ×0.7). Before a referee is appointed, the teams alone set the number.

Using Card Stats for Betting

Booking markets move on the referee more than most bettors realise: the same fixture can be a 3.5-card game with one official and a 5.5-card game with another. Use Strict referees to see the matches where the appointment pushes the line up, and Quiet games for unders.

Context matters too: derbies, relegation battles and cup ties tend to run hotter than the averages. Check the team stats for fouls and cards per game, and the player prop screener for individual booking lines.

Card Statistics

Card Screener

Referees this week — strictest first

How the Card Model Works

Using Card Stats for Betting

Related stats