Goals Statistics

Screen upcoming matches by both teams' scoring records, see the expected goals and the model's price, then check the league averages.

Goal Screener

Every upcoming match with both teams' recent record against the goal line and BTTS, the expected goals and a model price next to the market where the odds are in.

Smart views

192 matches · line closest to even per match

Upcoming matches with recent goals hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
LillestrømViktoria Plzeň Thu 18:45 · Europa League	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.56 64%	61%1.65	-5%	3.1	80%8/10	75%15/20	73%22/30
Hamburger SVBorussia Mönchengladbach Fri 20:30 · Bundesliga	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.67 60%	60%1.67	0%	3.2	60%6/10	75%15/20	70%21/30
CSKA Moscow U19Krasnodar U19 Fri 13:00 · Youth League	Over 3.5 Match goals	–	58%1.72	–	4.1	80%8/10	75%15/20	73%22/30
AntalyasporBursaspor Fri 18:00 · 1. Lig	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.80 56%	55%1.81	0%	3.0	60%6/10	75%15/20	68%19/28
Žilina U19limited dataHJK U19 Wed 16:30 · UEFA Youth League	Over 2.5 Match goals	–	61%1.65	–	3.1	80%8/10	71%12/17	71%12/17
Sporting Hasseltlimited dataPatro Eisden Maasmechelen Fri 20:00 · Challenger Pro League	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.62 62%	60%1.66	-2%	3.2	70%7/10	67%12/18	65%15/23
Borussia Dortmund U19limited dataReal Betis U19limited data Wed 16:00 · UEFA Youth League	Over 3.5 Match goals	2.03 49%	47%2.13	-4%	3.6	80%8/10	67%12/18	67%12/18
YeniseyFK Nizjni Novgorod Wed 09:00 · Russian Cup	Over 2.5 Match goals	–	61%1.64	–	3.2	70%7/10	65%13/20	73%22/30
LensComo Wed 21:00 · Champions League	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.54 65%	60%1.66	-7%	3.0	60%6/10	65%13/20	67%20/30
WrexhamMiddlesbrough Wed 20:45 · Championship	Over 2.5 Match goals	1.63 61%	60%1.68	-3%	3.1	60%6/10	65%13/20	63%19/30

LillestrømViktoria Plzeň
Thu 18:45 · Europa League
1.56
-5%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.1 · Model 61%
L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
Hamburger SVBorussia Mönchengladbach
Fri 20:30 · Bundesliga
1.67
0%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.2 · Model 60%
L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1570%21/30
CSKA Moscow U19Krasnodar U19
Fri 13:00 · Youth League
–
–
Over 3.5 Match goals
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
AntalyasporBursaspor
Fri 18:00 · 1. Lig
1.80
0%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.0 · Model 55%
L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1568%19/28
Žilina U19limited dataHJK U19
Wed 16:30 · UEFA Youth League
–
–
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.1 · Model 61%
L580%8/10L1071%12/17L1571%12/17
Sporting Hasseltlimited dataPatro Eisden Maasmechelen
Fri 20:00 · Challenger Pro League
1.62
-2%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.2 · Model 60%
L570%7/10L1067%12/18L1565%15/23
Borussia Dortmund U19limited dataReal Betis U19limited data
Wed 16:00 · UEFA Youth League
2.03
-4%
Over 3.5 Match goals
Exp 3.6 · Model 47%
L580%8/10L1067%12/18L1567%12/18
YeniseyFK Nizjni Novgorod
Wed 09:00 · Russian Cup
–
–
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.2 · Model 61%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1573%22/30
LensComo
Wed 21:00 · Champions League
1.54
-7%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.0 · Model 60%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1567%20/30
WrexhamMiddlesbrough
Wed 20:45 · Championship
1.63
-3%
Over 2.5 Match goals
Exp 3.1 · Model 60%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30

Hit rates pool both teams' recent matches (match goals): L10 is each team's last 10, so up to 20 games. Model: expected goals from each side's for/against averages, weighted toward recent games and shrunk to the average team, as a Poisson chance; where the bookmaker prices both sides it is blended half-and-half with the margin-free market price. Odds: Pinnacle (goal lines), bet365 (BTTS), where the feed has them. EV is model chance × odds − 1: the model’s view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 3 Nov, 23:17.

League goal averages

League	Matches	AvgAvg Goals	BTTS	Over 1.5	Over 2.5	Over 3.5
Canadian Soccer League	20	6.1	55%	90%	85%	80%
UEFA Youth League	300	4	59%	91%	74%	56%
KNVB Beker	167	4	59%	87%	72%	56%
OFC Champions League	14	3.9	64%	86%	71%	50%
DFB Pokal	110	3.8	47%	88%	66%	50%
Youth League	378	3.7	61%	86%	68%	49%
Superettan	17	3.7	59%	88%	76%	41%
NM Cup	13	3.7	69%	92%	77%	54%
World Cup Women Qualification Europe	95	3.7	47%	84%	68%	49%
OBOS Ligaen	17	3.6	71%	94%	88%	53%
Stars League	167	3.6	65%	89%	70%	50%
UEFA Women's Champions League	242	3.6	52%	90%	70%	47%
Super League	311	3.6	70%	90%	71%	46%
WC Qualification Europe	172	3.5	45%	85%	62%	47%
ASEAN Championship	25	3.5	44%	92%	64%	40%
Bundesliga	385	3.5	64%	88%	69%	48%
CONCACAF Nations League	72	3.5	47%	85%	64%	40%
Champions League	416	3.4	56%	85%	64%	44%
FA Cup	893	3.4	60%	87%	67%	42%
Eredivisie	432	3.4	66%	90%	65%	44%
Eerste Divisie	517	3.4	65%	85%	67%	43%
Copa Del Rey	180	3.4	55%	84%	66%	42%
Major League Soccer	843	3.4	67%	87%	66%	42%
Eliteserien	390	3.3	61%	87%	65%	42%
Women's Super League	189	3.3	62%	80%	61%	40%
Coupe de France	135	3.3	51%	87%	62%	39%
Super League	384	3.3	66%	85%	63%	43%
Asian Games	26	3.3	46%	92%	62%	38%
Superliga	282	3.3	64%	88%	63%	39%
Ligat ha'Al	297	3.3	61%	85%	61%	40%
Kings Cup	46	3.2	50%	83%	67%	43%
Pro League	429	3.2	61%	84%	60%	40%
Asian Cup Qualification	57	3.2	53%	82%	63%	35%
Taça De Portugal	205	3.2	43%	75%	61%	36%
AFC Champions League Elite	168	3.1	58%	80%	57%	35%
UAE Pro League	239	3.1	61%	83%	59%	39%
2. Bundesliga	402	3.1	62%	85%	62%	34%
Veikkausliiga	304	3.1	61%	83%	59%	37%
Liga MX	454	3.1	63%	84%	58%	35%
Friendly International	461	3.1	51%	84%	57%	36%
1. Lig	501	3.1	54%	85%	57%	34%
Ligue 1	384	3.1	57%	81%	59%	36%
Enterprise National League	733	3.1	61%	84%	61%	34%
Challenger Pro League	317	3.1	58%	82%	58%	36%
Europa Conference League	661	3.1	55%	82%	59%	35%
Ekstraklasa	425	3	65%	85%	59%	34%
Pro League	400	3	57%	84%	57%	32%
First Division	273	3	62%	84%	58%	35%
Super Lig	407	3	58%	85%	60%	32%
Allsvenskan	389	3	56%	84%	56%	31%
A-League Women	125	3	62%	78%	62%	37%
A-League Men	182	3	64%	84%	59%	34%
Friendly International Women	50	3	44%	74%	52%	34%
Carabao Cup	173	3	56%	84%	54%	34%
Admiral Bundesliga	270	3	59%	85%	57%	33%
Premiership	303	3	57%	83%	58%	34%
World Cup	239	3	55%	80%	56%	29%
Europa League	382	3	52%	80%	60%	32%
1. HNL	239	2.9	57%	86%	56%	33%
Russian Cup	217	2.9	57%	85%	53%	28%
AFC Champions League Two	163	2.9	51%	80%	56%	28%
Premier League	477	2.9	58%	84%	56%	31%
J1 League	357	2.9	54%	78%	57%	31%
Brasileiro Women	226	2.9	56%	81%	57%	34%
Chance Liga	375	2.9	55%	83%	56%	30%
Toppserien	12	2.9	42%	75%	67%	25%
La Liga	512	2.9	59%	81%	54%	29%
Ligue 2	382	2.9	60%	77%	53%	31%
La Liga 2	608	2.9	60%	78%	55%	31%
V-League	242	2.9	59%	81%	55%	30%
Super League	295	2.9	53%	83%	56%	28%
Liga Portugal	398	2.9	53%	81%	59%	32%
UEFA Nations League	98	2.9	52%	83%	57%	23%
Championship	693	2.9	62%	82%	57%	30%
League One	687	2.9	57%	79%	55%	30%
Premier League	310	2.8	50%	80%	53%	30%
K League 1	335	2.8	62%	80%	53%	29%
CAF World Cup Qualifiers	97	2.8	31%	73%	51%	32%
Serie A	483	2.8	53%	80%	53%	27%
Coppa Italia	70	2.8	49%	81%	46%	30%
Premier League	341	2.8	58%	81%	51%	27%
Serie A	611	2.8	56%	80%	52%	27%
League Two	687	2.8	57%	78%	51%	30%
Indian Super League	100	2.8	62%	84%	48%	24%
Superliga	424	2.8	55%	77%	50%	30%
Serie B	499	2.7	58%	82%	52%	26%
FNL	422	2.7	54%	78%	49%	28%
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	56	2.7	50%	79%	52%	30%
First League	383	2.7	51%	79%	51%	25%
European Championship	98	2.7	57%	81%	50%	21%
Primera Division	426	2.6	54%	75%	50%	24%
Africa Cup of Nations	47	2.6	51%	74%	49%	23%
Botola Pro	265	2.6	58%	78%	47%	18%
Copa Sudamericana	224	2.6	46%	77%	44%	24%
WC Qualification Asia	23	2.5	39%	74%	48%	17%
Serie B	632	2.5	53%	75%	46%	20%
Premier League	391	2.5	55%	74%	41%	20%
Copa Libertadores	206	2.4	44%	71%	40%	20%
Copa do Brasil	185	2.4	43%	71%	39%	19%
Premier League	298	2.4	47%	73%	37%	18%
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	672	2.4	51%	73%	42%	17%
WC Qualification South America	15	2.4	13%	67%	33%	7%
CAF Champions League	208	2.4	36%	71%	39%	19%
Persian Gulf Pro League	234	2.3	48%	70%	38%	16%
Ligue 1	164	2.3	44%	63%	36%	15%
Premiership Play-Offs	11	2.2	45%	73%	18%	9%

Understanding Goals Markets

Goals markets are among the most popular in football betting. The over/under line — typically set at 2.5 — asks whether a match will produce three or more goals. Bookmakers derive these lines from historical scoring patterns, which is exactly what our data tracks.

A league averaging 2.8 goals per match will naturally see a higher Over 2.5 hit rate than one averaging 2.2. But the real value comes from spotting where bookmaker lines have not adjusted to recent trends — for example, if a league's scoring rate has increased mid-season but the over/under odds have not moved.

BTTS (Both Teams to Score)

BTTS is a market where both teams must score at least one goal for a "Yes" bet to win. Leagues with high average goals and poor defensive records tend to have higher BTTS rates. Our data shows the BTTS percentage per league so you can quickly identify the best leagues for this market.

For team-level BTTS analysis, combine this data with our clean sheet statistics. A team with a low clean sheet rate and high scoring output is the ideal BTTS candidate. Also check home vs away splits — many teams concede more goals away from home, significantly affecting BTTS outcomes.

How to Read the Table

Avg Goals is the mean total goals per match across the season. Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 shows the percentage of matches exceeding each threshold. Green marks a high rate for that line (Over 1.5 at 70%+, Over 2.5 and BTTS at 50%+, Over 3.5 at 40%+). Compare these percentages with the implied probability of the odds — if a league hits Over 2.5 at 58% and the odds imply 50%, the season average and the market disagree. That is a reason to look at the two teams, not a bet on its own: a league average says little about one match.