Match Result Screener

Home, draw or away for every upcoming match, plus draw no bet and double chance: what the goals model makes each one, how both teams' recent results back it, and how it compares with the price.

Match Result Screener

Every upcoming match with the model's home, draw and away chances, both teams' recent results through each selection, and the Pinnacle price where the match is priced.

Smart views

170 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent results hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
Santos LagunaNecaxa Mon 00:00 · Liga MX	Santos Laguna 1X2	1.83 55%	53%1.89	-3%	1.9–1.2	70%7/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
LiverpoolJuventud Mon 00:00 · Primera Division	Liverpool 1X2	2.18 46%	44%2.27	-4%	1.4–1.0	50%5/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
LanúsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Mon 00:45 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Lanús 1X2	1.51 66%	58%1.71	-12%	1.4–1.0	60%6/10	45%9/20	43%13/30
New EnglandInter Miami Mon 01:00 · Major League Soccer	Inter Miami 1X2	2.09 48%	42%2.37	-12%	1.8–1.6	40%4/10	30%6/20	30%9/30
Cruz AzulLeón Mon 02:10 · Liga MX	Cruz Azul 1X2	1.78 56%	53%1.89	-6%	1.9–1.4	40%4/10	40%8/20	47%14/30
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United Mon 02:30 · Major League Soccer	Los Angeles FC 1X2	1.62 62%	55%1.82	-11%	1.8–1.4	10%1/10	35%7/20	30%9/30
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo Mon 03:45 · Major League Soccer	Portland Timbers 1X2	1.72 58%	52%1.94	-11%	1.6–1.4	20%2/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDynamo Kyiv Mon 12:00 · Premier League	Dynamo Kyiv 1X2	1.41 71%	57%1.76	-20%	1.4–1.4	70%7/10	55%11/20	43%13/30
Zorya LuhanskEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Mon 12:00 · Premier League	Zorya Luhansk 1X2	1.97 51%	47%2.14	-8%	1.6–1.1	60%6/10	45%9/20	40%12/30
TenerifeFC Andorra Mon 14:00 · La Liga 2	Tenerife 1X2	2.13 47%	45%2.23	-5%	1.6–1.3	20%2/10	40%8/20	50%14/28
Pakhtakornew teamAl Nassr Mon 14:45 · AFC Champions League Elite	Al Nassr 1X2	1.50 67%	55%1.82	-17%	1.5–1.5	67%6/9	57%8/14	68%13/19
Krylya SovetovZenit Mon 16:00 · Premier League	Zenit 1X2	1.56 64%	54%1.86	-16%	1.5–1.4	70%7/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
Cherno MoreBotev Vratsa Mon 16:00 · First League	Cherno More 1X2	1.99 50%	46%2.18	-9%	1.5–1.3	20%2/10	35%7/20	30%9/30
Real OviedoLas Palmas Mon 16:15 · La Liga 2	Real Oviedo 1X2	1.72 58%	53%1.90	-9%	1.7–1.3	40%4/10	50%10/20	37%11/30
VoluntariFarul Constanța Mon 16:30 · Superliga	Farul Constanța 1X2	2.26 44%	41%2.45	-8%	1.6–1.6	80%8/10	60%12/20	50%14/28
Al WaslAl Quwa Al Jawiyanew team Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Al Wasl 1X2	1.24 81%	68%1.47	-16%	1.9–1.2	50%4/8	62%8/13	61%11/18
VPSHJK Mon 17:00 · Veikkausliiga	HJK 1X2	1.36 74%	63%1.58	-14%	1.2–1.6	70%7/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
KarpatyKudrivka Mon 17:00 · Premier League	Karpaty 1X2	1.41 71%	62%1.61	-12%	1.8–1.1	50%5/10	55%11/20	43%13/30
Al SaddAl Ahli Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Al Ahli 1X2	1.73 58%	46%2.16	-20%	2.2–1.7	60%6/10	50%10/20	43%13/30
Tractor SaziNeftchinew team Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Tractor Sazi 1X2	2.22 45%	44%2.27	-2%	1.5–1.0	38%3/8	46%6/13	50%9/18
AtromitosVolos NFC Mon 17:00 · Super League	Atromitos 1X2	1.93 52%	50%2.00	-3%	1.8–1.2	40%4/10	45%9/20	50%15/30
Inter TurkuGnistan Mon 17:00 · Veikkausliiga	Inter Turku 1X2	1.40 71%	61%1.63	-14%	1.5–1.2	50%5/10	40%8/20	33%10/30
KayserisporMuğlaspor Mon 18:00 · 1. Lig	Kayserispor 1X2	1.47 68%	60%1.67	-12%	1.8–1.3	40%4/10	35%7/20	41%11/27
Radomiak RadomŚląsk Wrocław Mon 18:00 · Ekstraklasa	Radomiak Radom 1X2	2.19 46%	42%2.40	-9%	1.6–1.6	40%4/10	35%7/20	33%9/27
Zagłębie LubinKorona Kielce Mon 18:00 · Ekstraklasa	Zagłębie Lubin 1X2	2.51 40%	40%2.47	+2%	1.6–1.2	50%5/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
GençlerbirliğiAlanyaspor Mon 18:00 · Super Lig	Gençlerbirliği 1X2	2.71 37%	36%2.77	-2%	1.4–1.3	20%2/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
ArdaSeptemvri Sofia Mon 18:30 · First League	Arda 1X2	1.67 60%	54%1.84	-9%	1.8–1.2	50%5/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
Real ValladolidLeganés Mon 18:30 · La Liga 2	Real Valladolid 1X2	2.06 49%	48%2.10	-2%	1.6–1.1	60%6/10	45%9/20	37%11/30
Kalamatalimited dataIraklislimited data Mon 18:30 · Super League	Kalamata 1X2	2.30 43%	42%2.40	-4%	1.7–1.5	50%5/10	38%6/16	38%6/16
SassuoloFiorentina Mon 18:30 · Serie A	Fiorentina 1X2	2.36 42%	39%2.58	-8%	1.8–1.6	40%4/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
Hapoel Ramat Ganlimited dataMaccabi Tel Aviv Mon 19:00 · Ligat ha'Al	Maccabi Tel Aviv 1X2	1.27 79%	66%1.52	-17%	1.3–1.7	60%6/10	67%12/18	65%15/23
Sønderjyske FodboldFC København Mon 19:00 · Superliga	FC København 1X2	1.45 69%	60%1.66	-13%	1.4–1.8	40%4/10	60%12/20	63%19/30
MjällbyKalmar Mon 19:00 · Allsvenskan	Mjällby 1X2	2.44 41%	41%2.43	+1%	1.5–1.1	60%6/10	50%10/20	43%13/30
GAISAIK Mon 19:00 · Allsvenskan	GAIS 1X2	1.85 54%	49%2.04	-9%	1.7–1.4	40%4/10	30%6/20	30%9/30
Al GharafaAl-Qadsiah Mon 19:15 · AFC Champions League Elite	Al-Qadsiah 1X2	1.43 70%	59%1.71	-16%	1.4–1.7	50%5/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
Al IttihadAl Ain Mon 19:15 · AFC Champions League Elite	Al Ittihad 1X2	2.24 45%	40%2.48	-9%	1.6–1.6	40%4/10	35%7/20	33%10/30
Universitatea ClujFCSB Mon 19:30 · Superliga	Universitatea Cluj 1X2	2.52 40%	41%2.44	+3%	1.9–1.4	40%4/10	45%9/20	43%13/30
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Haifa Mon 19:30 · Ligat ha'Al	Hapoel Tel Aviv 1X2	2.07 48%	46%2.16	-4%	1.9–1.4	50%5/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
Heracles AlmeloTOP Oss Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie	Heracles Almelo 1X2	1.17 85%	72%1.39	-16%	2.0–1.4	30%3/10	50%10/20	53%16/30
Jong FC UtrechtFC Dordrecht Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie	Jong FC Utrecht 1X2	2.27 44%	44%2.26	0%	2.1–1.6	40%4/10	45%9/20	47%14/30
Jong AjaxVitesse Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie	Vitesse 1X2	2.08 48%	43%2.33	-11%	1.5–1.5	40%4/10	45%9/20	47%14/30
Jong PSVNAC Breda Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie	NAC Breda 1X2	1.55 65%	54%1.86	-17%	1.6–1.5	50%5/10	40%8/20	47%14/30
FortalezaAtlético GO Mon 20:00 · Serie B	Fortaleza 1X2	2.14 47%	44%2.25	-5%	1.4–1.1	40%4/10	40%8/20	33%10/30
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin Mon 20:30 · Ekstraklasa	Raków Częstochowa 1X2	2.30 43%	39%2.59	-11%	1.4–1.6	10%1/10	10%2/20	17%5/30
AtalantaParma Mon 20:45 · Serie A	Atalanta 1X2	1.51 66%	59%1.68	-10%	1.7–1.2	40%4/10	50%10/20	50%15/30
LorientBrest Mon 20:45 · Ligue 1	Lorient 1X2	2.52 40%	40%2.48	+2%	1.6–1.2	50%5/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
Red StarNancy Mon 20:45 · Ligue 2	Red Star 1X2	2.39 42%	40%2.48	-4%	1.5–1.3	40%4/10	40%8/20	37%11/30
ReimsSochaux Mon 20:45 · Ligue 2	Reims 1X2	1.74 57%	53%1.89	-8%	1.8–1.2	40%4/10	35%7/20	34%10/29
MallorcaCádiz Mon 21:00 · La Liga 2	Mallorca 1X2	1.50 67%	57%1.75	-14%	1.5–1.1	30%3/10	45%9/20	40%12/30
Deportivo La CoruñaOsasuna Mon 21:00 · La Liga	Deportivo La Coruña 1X2	2.18 46%	45%2.20	-1%	1.8–1.3	30%3/10	40%8/20	50%15/30

Santos LagunaNecaxa
Mon 00:00 · Liga MX
1.83
-3%
Santos Laguna 1X2
xG 1.9–1.2 · Model 53%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
LiverpoolJuventud
Mon 00:00 · Primera Division
2.18
-4%
Liverpool 1X2
xG 1.4–1.0 · Model 44%
L550%5/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
LanúsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Mon 00:45 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
1.51
-12%
Lanús 1X2
xG 1.4–1.0 · Model 58%
L560%6/10L1045%9/20L1543%13/30
New EnglandInter Miami
Mon 01:00 · Major League Soccer
2.09
-12%
Inter Miami 1X2
xG 1.8–1.6 · Model 42%
L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30
Cruz AzulLeón
Mon 02:10 · Liga MX
1.78
-6%
Cruz Azul 1X2
xG 1.9–1.4 · Model 53%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1547%14/30
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United
Mon 02:30 · Major League Soccer
1.62
-11%
Los Angeles FC 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 55%
L510%1/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo
Mon 03:45 · Major League Soccer
1.72
-11%
Portland Timbers 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 52%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDynamo Kyiv
Mon 12:00 · Premier League
1.41
-20%
Dynamo Kyiv 1X2
xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 57%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
Zorya LuhanskEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
Mon 12:00 · Premier League
1.97
-8%
Zorya Luhansk 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 47%
L560%6/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
TenerifeFC Andorra
Mon 14:00 · La Liga 2
2.13
-5%
Tenerife 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 45%
L520%2/10L1040%8/20L1550%14/28
Pakhtakornew teamAl Nassr
Mon 14:45 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.50
-17%
Al Nassr 1X2
xG 1.5–1.5 · Model 55%
L567%6/9L1057%8/14L1568%13/19
Krylya SovetovZenit
Mon 16:00 · Premier League
1.56
-16%
Zenit 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 54%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
Cherno MoreBotev Vratsa
Mon 16:00 · First League
1.99
-9%
Cherno More 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 46%
L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30
Real OviedoLas Palmas
Mon 16:15 · La Liga 2
1.72
-9%
Real Oviedo 1X2
xG 1.7–1.3 · Model 53%
L540%4/10L1050%10/20L1537%11/30
VoluntariFarul Constanța
Mon 16:30 · Superliga
2.26
-8%
Farul Constanța 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 41%
L580%8/10L1060%12/20L1550%14/28
Al WaslAl Quwa Al Jawiyanew team
Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.24
-16%
Al Wasl 1X2
xG 1.9–1.2 · Model 68%
L550%4/8L1062%8/13L1561%11/18
VPSHJK
Mon 17:00 · Veikkausliiga
1.36
-14%
HJK 1X2
xG 1.2–1.6 · Model 63%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
KarpatyKudrivka
Mon 17:00 · Premier League
1.41
-12%
Karpaty 1X2
xG 1.8–1.1 · Model 62%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
Al SaddAl Ahli
Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.73
-20%
Al Ahli 1X2
xG 2.2–1.7 · Model 46%
L560%6/10L1050%10/20L1543%13/30
Tractor SaziNeftchinew team
Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
2.22
-2%
Tractor Sazi 1X2
xG 1.5–1.0 · Model 44%
L538%3/8L1046%6/13L1550%9/18
AtromitosVolos NFC
Mon 17:00 · Super League
1.93
-3%
Atromitos 1X2
xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 50%
L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1550%15/30
Inter TurkuGnistan
Mon 17:00 · Veikkausliiga
1.40
-14%
Inter Turku 1X2
xG 1.5–1.2 · Model 61%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
KayserisporMuğlaspor
Mon 18:00 · 1. Lig
1.47
-12%
Kayserispor 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 60%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1541%11/27
Radomiak RadomŚląsk Wrocław
Mon 18:00 · Ekstraklasa
2.19
-9%
Radomiak Radom 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 42%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1533%9/27
Zagłębie LubinKorona Kielce
Mon 18:00 · Ekstraklasa
2.51
+2%
Zagłębie Lubin 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 40%
L550%5/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
GençlerbirliğiAlanyaspor
Mon 18:00 · Super Lig
2.71
-2%
Gençlerbirliği 1X2
xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 36%
L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
ArdaSeptemvri Sofia
Mon 18:30 · First League
1.67
-9%
Arda 1X2
xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 54%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
Real ValladolidLeganés
Mon 18:30 · La Liga 2
2.06
-2%
Real Valladolid 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 48%
L560%6/10L1045%9/20L1537%11/30
Kalamatalimited dataIraklislimited data
Mon 18:30 · Super League
2.30
-4%
Kalamata 1X2
xG 1.7–1.5 · Model 42%
L550%5/10L1038%6/16L1538%6/16
SassuoloFiorentina
Mon 18:30 · Serie A
2.36
-8%
Fiorentina 1X2
xG 1.8–1.6 · Model 39%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
Hapoel Ramat Ganlimited dataMaccabi Tel Aviv
Mon 19:00 · Ligat ha'Al
1.27
-17%
Maccabi Tel Aviv 1X2
xG 1.3–1.7 · Model 66%
L560%6/10L1067%12/18L1565%15/23
Sønderjyske FodboldFC København
Mon 19:00 · Superliga
1.45
-13%
FC København 1X2
xG 1.4–1.8 · Model 60%
L540%4/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
MjällbyKalmar
Mon 19:00 · Allsvenskan
2.44
+1%
Mjällby 1X2
xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 41%
L560%6/10L1050%10/20L1543%13/30
GAISAIK
Mon 19:00 · Allsvenskan
1.85
-9%
GAIS 1X2
xG 1.7–1.4 · Model 49%
L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30
Al GharafaAl-Qadsiah
Mon 19:15 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.43
-16%
Al-Qadsiah 1X2
xG 1.4–1.7 · Model 59%
L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
Al IttihadAl Ain
Mon 19:15 · AFC Champions League Elite
2.24
-9%
Al Ittihad 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 40%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1533%10/30
Universitatea ClujFCSB
Mon 19:30 · Superliga
2.52
+3%
Universitatea Cluj 1X2
xG 1.9–1.4 · Model 41%
L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1543%13/30
Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Haifa
Mon 19:30 · Ligat ha'Al
2.07
-4%
Hapoel Tel Aviv 1X2
xG 1.9–1.4 · Model 46%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Heracles AlmeloTOP Oss
Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie
1.17
-16%
Heracles Almelo 1X2
xG 2.0–1.4 · Model 72%
L530%3/10L1050%10/20L1553%16/30
Jong FC UtrechtFC Dordrecht
Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie
2.27
0%
Jong FC Utrecht 1X2
xG 2.1–1.6 · Model 44%
L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1547%14/30
Jong AjaxVitesse
Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie
2.08
-11%
Vitesse 1X2
xG 1.5–1.5 · Model 43%
L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1547%14/30
Jong PSVNAC Breda
Mon 20:00 · Eerste Divisie
1.55
-17%
NAC Breda 1X2
xG 1.6–1.5 · Model 54%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1547%14/30
FortalezaAtlético GO
Mon 20:00 · Serie B
2.14
-5%
Fortaleza 1X2
xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 44%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
Mon 20:30 · Ekstraklasa
2.30
-11%
Raków Częstochowa 1X2
xG 1.4–1.6 · Model 39%
L510%1/10L1010%2/20L1517%5/30
AtalantaParma
Mon 20:45 · Serie A
1.51
-10%
Atalanta 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 59%
L540%4/10L1050%10/20L1550%15/30
LorientBrest
Mon 20:45 · Ligue 1
2.52
+2%
Lorient 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 40%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Red StarNancy
Mon 20:45 · Ligue 2
2.39
-4%
Red Star 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 40%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1537%11/30
ReimsSochaux
Mon 20:45 · Ligue 2
1.74
-8%
Reims 1X2
xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 53%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1534%10/29
MallorcaCádiz
Mon 21:00 · La Liga 2
1.50
-14%
Mallorca 1X2
xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 57%
L530%3/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
Deportivo La CoruñaOsasuna
Mon 21:00 · La Liga
2.18
-1%
Deportivo La Coruña 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 45%
L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1550%15/30

Hit rates read both teams' last 5, 10 and 15 results through the selection: a home win counts the home side's wins and the away side's defeats, a double chance their unbeaten and winless runs; draw no bet leaves draws out. Model: expected goals from each side's recent for/against (weighted toward recent games, shrunk to the average team, with a home advantage measured from the data), turned into home / draw / away by a Poisson score grid with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores. Where the match is priced the chance shown is 70% the margin-free market price and 30% the model, because a form model cannot see squad quality the way a sharp market does; when the model alone sits 15+ points above the market, or at more than 1.5 times its chance, the row is marked disputed and shows no EV. Odds: Pinnacle (bet365 where Pinnacle has no price). Draw no bet and double chance are priced from the same 1X2 odds. EV is chance × odds − 1: the model's view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 1 Nov, 21:17.

Home, draw and away rates by league (last 12 months, min. 30 matches)

League	Matches	Home	Draw	Away	Goals
1. HNL	182	47.8%	24.7%	27.5%	2.78
1. Lig	396	43.4%	24%	32.6%	2.89
2. Bundesliga	300	46.3%	27%	26.7%	2.96
A-League Men	163	36.8%	28.8%	34.4%	2.82
A-League Women	129	44.2%	19.4%	36.4%	2.71
Admiral Bundesliga	192	47.9%	25.5%	26.6%	2.86
AFC Champions League Elite	130	46.9%	23.1%	30%	2.68
AFC Champions League Two	120	48.3%	21.7%	30%	2.78
Africa Cup of Nations	52	46.2%	25%	28.8%	2.33
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	60	50%	21.7%	28.3%	2.53
Allsvenskan	226	39.8%	23.9%	36.3%	2.84
Botola Pro	229	36.2%	32.3%	31.4%	2.23
Brasileiro Women	167	42.5%	26.3%	31.1%	2.6
Bundesliga	299	45.5%	25.1%	29.4%	3.33
CAF Champions League	151	51%	29.1%	19.9%	2.06
Carabao Cup	93	40.9%	18.3%	40.9%	3.04
Challenger Pro League	244	44.3%	21.7%	34%	2.93
Champions League	279	51.6%	17.6%	30.8%	3.37
Championship	558	42.7%	26%	31.4%	2.71
Chance Liga	270	44.4%	20.4%	35.2%	2.76
CONCACAF Nations League	74	45.9%	10.8%	43.2%	3.38
Copa Del Rey	119	26.9%	10.9%	62.2%	3.23
Copa do Brasil	157	44.6%	30.6%	24.8%	2.11
Copa Libertadores	154	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	2.1
Copa Sudamericana	157	44.6%	31.8%	23.6%	2.29
Coppa Italia	45	60%	24.4%	15.6%	3
Coupe de France	203	23.2%	26.6%	50.2%	3.14
DFB Pokal	63	27%	11.1%	61.9%	3.95
Eerste Divisie	373	44.2%	20.9%	34.9%	3.32
Ekstraklasa	304	44.1%	26.3%	29.6%	2.77
Eliteserien	230	50.9%	17.8%	31.3%	3.29
Enterprise National League	557	45.4%	20.1%	34.5%	3.04
Eredivisie	312	40.1%	28.2%	31.7%	3.3
Europa Conference League	411	47%	23.8%	29.2%	2.83
Europa League	269	49.8%	19%	31.2%	2.83
FA Cup	832	43.6%	18.4%	38%	3.31
First Division	182	37.9%	31.3%	30.8%	2.79
First League	276	43.1%	25.4%	31.5%	2.39
FNL	296	40.5%	27.7%	31.8%	2.52
Indian Super League	114	37.7%	32.5%	29.8%	2.47
J1 League	160	46.3%	21.9%	31.9%	2.91
K League 1	224	32.1%	33.9%	33.9%	2.43
KNVB Beker	109	40.4%	11%	48.6%	4.01
La Liga	382	48.2%	24.3%	27.5%	2.79
La Liga 2	471	45.4%	23.6%	31%	2.67
League One	549	44.3%	27.1%	28.6%	2.74
League Two	552	43.5%	27.5%	29%	2.59
Liga MX	330	43.3%	26.1%	30.6%	2.84
Liga Portugal	307	42%	26.1%	31.9%	2.7
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	527	41.6%	29.2%	29.2%	2.13
Ligat ha'Al	240	40.4%	24.6%	35%	2.94
Ligue 1	291	45%	24.7%	30.2%	2.84
Ligue 1	187	32.6%	28.3%	39%	2.03
Ligue 2	288	37.2%	31.3%	31.6%	2.57
Major League Soccer	506	45.8%	26.3%	27.9%	3.26
Persian Gulf Pro League	194	40.7%	35.1%	24.2%	1.85
Premier League	233	40.8%	26.6%	32.6%	2.5
Premier League	372	40.1%	29.3%	30.6%	2.77
Premier League	230	35.2%	35.2%	29.6%	2.13
Premier League	282	36.2%	34%	29.8%	2.18
Premier League	234	43.2%	27.8%	29.1%	2.56
Premiership	234	46.2%	23.5%	30.3%	2.81
Primera Division	295	41%	25.8%	33.2%	2.37
Pro League	347	43.8%	23.6%	32.6%	3
Pro League	302	43%	22.5%	34.4%	2.86
Russian Cup	143	40.6%	28.7%	30.8%	2.63
Serie A	384	41.4%	21.6%	37%	2.66
Serie A	409	48.9%	26.9%	24.2%	2.71
Serie B	390	44.6%	27.9%	27.4%	2.33
Serie B	386	44.3%	29%	26.7%	2.56
Stars League	132	36.4%	23.5%	40.2%	3.45
Super League	242	43.8%	26.4%	29.8%	3.13
Super League	224	40.2%	25%	34.8%	3.4
Super League	238	42.9%	26.9%	30.3%	2.57
Super Lig	302	45%	25.8%	29.1%	2.79
Superliga	312	50%	24%	26%	2.58
Superliga	191	41.9%	27.2%	30.9%	3.05
Taça De Portugal	146	44.5%	10.3%	45.2%	3.06
UAE Pro League	175	37.1%	25.7%	37.1%	3.06
UEFA Nations League	108	38%	25.9%	36.1%	2.44
UEFA Women's Champions League	162	50%	19.1%	30.9%	3.63
UEFA Youth League	217	49.8%	17.5%	32.7%	3.8
V-League	156	44.2%	21.8%	34%	2.67
Veikkausliiga	178	44.9%	27.5%	27.5%	2.58
WC Qualification Europe	60	46.7%	20%	33.3%	3.45
Women's Super League	151	44.4%	20.5%	35.1%	3.15
World Cup	104	48.1%	23.1%	28.8%	2.96
World Cup Women Qualification Europe	101	46.5%	13.9%	39.6%	3.45
Youth League	236	50%	15.7%	34.3%	3.81

How the Match Result Screener Works

Each row is one selection: a home win, a draw or an away win, or the draw-no-bet and double-chance versions of them. The model turns each side's recent goals for and against into expected goals, adds the home advantage seen in the data, and reads home, draw and away off a score grid. Where the match is priced, that model leans on the sharp market price, so the model EV is a small tilt on the price rather than a guess against it — and still the model's view, not a proven betting edge.

Draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw, so it is priced off the 1X2 without the draw; double chance covers two of the three outcomes at shorter odds. When the model alone rates a team far above the market, the row is marked disputed instead of showing an EV: a gap that big usually means team news or squad quality the model cannot see.

Using It With Other Stats

Check the form guide and home/away records behind a pick, the goal screener for how open the match should be, and the model accas to combine picks.

Match Result Screener