Match Result Screener

Home, draw or away for every upcoming match, plus draw no bet and double chance: what the goals model makes each one, how both teams' recent results back it, and how it compares with the price.

Match Result Screener

Every upcoming match with the model's home, draw and away chances, both teams' recent results through each selection, and the Pinnacle price where the match is priced.

Smart views

240 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent results hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
Dynamo MakhachkalaRostov Sun 13:15 · Premier League	Rostov 1X2	2.64 38%	38%2.66	-1%	1.3–1.5	70%7/10	65%13/20	60%18/30
Cercle BruggeAntwerp Sun 13:30 · Pro League	Antwerp 1X2	3.56 28%	28%3.53	+1%	1.9–1.6	50%5/10	55%11/20	43%13/30
Hannover 96Dynamo Dresden Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga	Dynamo Dresden 1X2	3.21 31%	31%3.27	-2%	1.6–1.4	50%5/10	45%9/20	40%12/30
SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga	Draw 1X2	3.85 26%	26%3.88	-1%	1.4–1.3	50%5/10	40%8/20	33%10/30
St. PauliNürnberg Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga	Nürnberg 1X2	3.22 31%	31%3.24	-1%	1.6–1.4	10%1/10	30%6/20	43%13/30
Al WahdaHattalimited data Sun 13:55 · UAE Pro League	Al Wahda 1X2	–	54%1.85	–	1.9–1.1	90%9/10	75%12/16	62%13/21
Iğdır FKAntalyaspor Sun 14:00 · 1. Lig	Iğdır FK 1X2	2.07 48%	46%2.18	-5%	1.6–1.1	50%5/10	60%12/20	50%15/30
Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting Sun 14:00 · Primera Division	Atlético Progreso 1X2	2.68 37%	39%2.57	+4%	1.7–1.2	60%6/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
EldenseGranada Sun 14:00 · La Liga 2	Granada 1X2	3.12 32%	31%3.19	-2%	1.5–1.3	60%6/10	50%10/20	43%13/30
Young BoysZürich Sun 14:00 · Super League	Young Boys 1X2	1.25 80%	69%1.45	-14%	2.3–1.5	30%3/10	45%9/20	47%14/30
Rotor VolgogradUfa Sun 14:00 · FNL	Ufa 1X2	5.00 20%	21%4.71	+6%	1.4–1.1	20%2/10	40%8/20	33%10/30
İstanbul BaşakşehirSamsunspor Sun 14:00 · Super Lig	Samsunspor 1X2	4.46 22%	22%4.49	-1%	1.8–1.3	20%2/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
OuluKuPS Sun 14:00 · Veikkausliiga	Draw 1X2	3.50 29%	27%3.76	-7%	1.5–1.2	30%3/10	30%6/20	27%8/30
OtelulSepsi Sun 14:00 · Superliga	Otelul 1X2	2.25 44%	43%2.31	-3%	1.7–1.2	30%3/10	25%5/20	32%9/28
GetafeSevilla Sun 14:00 · La Liga	Getafe 1X2	3.09 32%	32%3.09	0%	1.5–1.5	30%3/10	25%5/20	30%9/30
KAMAZTorpedo Moskva Sun 14:00 · FNL	KAMAZ 1X2	3.97 25%	27%3.69	+8%	1.4–1.5	20%2/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
Odense BKSilkeborg IF Sun 14:00 · Superliga	Silkeborg IF 1X2	3.81 26%	26%3.83	0%	1.6–1.3	20%2/10	25%5/20	30%9/30
Viborg FFHorsens Sun 14:00 · Superliga	Draw 1X2	4.42 23%	23%4.40	+1%	1.7–1.4	40%4/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
TrabzonsporGaziantep F.K. Sun 14:00 · Super Lig	Gaziantep F.K. 1X2	6.57 15%	16%6.40	+3%	2.0–1.1	0%0/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
İstanbulsporMardin BB Sun 14:00 · 1. Lig	İstanbulspor 1X2	3.30 30%	28%3.51	-6%	1.4–1.6	30%3/10	20%4/20	26%7/27
FalkirkCeltic Sun 14:00 · Premiership	Draw 1X2	4.85 21%	21%4.68	+4%	1.6–1.5	20%2/10	20%4/20	13%4/30
VendsysselVejle Boldklub Sun 14:00 · First Division	Vendsyssel 1X2	3.91 26%	27%3.76	+4%	1.3–1.5	10%1/10	15%3/20	15%4/27
Malmö FFHammarby Sun 14:00 · Allsvenskan	Draw 1X2	4.20 24%	25%4.06	+4%	1.2–1.2	10%1/10	15%3/20	20%6/30
DjurgårdenDegerfors Sun 14:00 · Allsvenskan	Draw 1X2	5.75 17%	19%5.39	+7%	1.9–0.8	30%3/10	15%3/20	13%4/30
SalzburgAustria Lustenau Sun 14:30 · Admiral Bundesliga	Salzburg 1X2	1.16 86%	75%1.33	-13%	2.3–1.1	60%6/10	60%12/20	60%15/25
BrannMolde Sun 14:30 · Eliteserien	Brann 1X2	2.96 34%	33%3.01	-2%	1.7–1.9	40%4/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz Sun 14:30 · Admiral Bundesliga	Wolfsberger AC 1X2	4.22 24%	25%3.93	+7%	1.3–1.4	10%1/10	20%4/20	30%9/30
ExcelsiorFC Twente Sun 14:30 · Eredivisie	Draw 1X2	4.53 22%	22%4.48	+1%	1.6–1.6	20%2/10	20%4/20	20%6/30
TelstarFC Utrecht Sun 14:30 · Eredivisie	Telstar 1X2	2.87 35%	36%2.78	+3%	1.8–1.5	10%1/10	15%3/20	27%8/30
FC EmmenFC Den Bosch Sun 14:30 · Eerste Divisie	Draw 1X2	4.16 24%	23%4.36	-5%	1.9–1.4	30%3/10	15%3/20	20%6/30
FrosinoneTorino Sun 15:00 · Serie A	Frosinone 1X2	2.18 46%	47%2.14	+2%	2.1–1.3	40%4/10	50%10/20	57%17/30
SochiUral Sun 15:00 · FNL	Sochi 1X2	2.79 36%	36%2.77	+1%	1.5–1.2	60%6/10	50%10/20	43%13/30
StrasbourgAuxerre Sun 15:00 · Ligue 1	Auxerre 1X2	4.07 25%	27%3.76	+8%	1.8–1.6	70%7/10	50%10/20	47%14/30
Baník OstravaViktoria Plzeň Sun 15:00 · Chance Liga	Baník Ostrava 1X2	3.51 28%	30%3.31	+6%	1.5–1.4	30%3/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
AvellinoPisa Sun 15:00 · Serie B	Avellino 1X2	3.04 33%	35%2.86	+6%	1.6–1.3	10%1/10	30%6/20	43%13/30
EmpoliJuve Stabia Sun 15:00 · Serie B	Empoli 1X2	2.87 35%	34%2.94	-2%	1.3–1.3	10%1/10	30%6/20	30%9/30
Aarhus FremadHillerød Sun 15:00 · First Division	Hillerød 1X2	3.40 29%	28%3.52	-4%	1.4–1.1	50%5/10	30%6/20	27%8/30
Inter KashiGoa Sun 15:00 · Indian Super League	Draw 1X2	3.71 27%	26%3.78	-2%	1.3–1.3	50%5/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
Brighton WCrystal Palace Wlimited data Sun 15:00 · Women's Super League	Brighton W 1X2	1.22 82%	70%1.43	-15%	1.9–1.2	50%5/10	29%5/17	32%7/22
Birmingham Wlimited dataTottenham W Sun 15:00 · Women's Super League	Draw 1X2	4.20 24%	23%4.41	-5%	1.9–1.6	20%2/10	29%5/17	23%5/22
ArezzoAscoli Sun 15:00 · Serie B	Arezzo 1X2	3.50 29%	27%3.64	-4%	1.3–1.6	10%1/10	25%5/20	27%6/22
RijekaVaraždin Sun 15:00 · 1. HNL	Draw 1X2	3.50 29%	26%3.79	-8%	1.4–1.3	30%3/10	25%5/20	20%6/30
LazioCagliari Sun 15:00 · Serie A	Cagliari 1X2	5.62 18%	18%5.60	0%	1.9–1.1	10%1/10	25%5/20	37%11/30
Sheffield WednesdayBlackpool Sun 15:00 · League One	Blackpool 1X2	4.33 23%	23%4.43	-2%	1.8–1.2	30%3/10	20%4/20	33%10/30
West Ham WLiverpool W Sun 15:00 · Women's Super League	Draw 1X2	3.50 29%	27%3.70	-5%	1.4–1.4	10%1/10	10%2/20	17%5/30
Charlton Athletic Wlimited dataChelsea W Sun 15:30 · Women's Super League	Chelsea W 1X2	1.08 93%	78%1.28	-15%	1.0–1.9	90%9/10	88%15/17	91%20/22
FC Union BerlinFC Köln Sun 15:30 · Bundesliga	FC Köln 1X2	2.73 37%	37%2.73	0%	1.6–1.7	40%4/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
Baltika KaliningradAkron Sun 15:30 · Premier League	Akron 1X2	5.20 19%	21%4.87	+7%	1.6–1.1	20%2/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
NordsjællandFC Midtjylland Sun 16:00 · Superliga	Draw 1X2	3.86 26%	25%3.94	-2%	1.5–1.4	50%5/10	45%9/20	37%11/30
Sint-TruidenOH Leuven Sun 16:00 · Pro League	OH Leuven 1X2	5.00 20%	21%4.70	+7%	1.8–1.3	40%4/10	35%7/20	30%9/30

Dynamo MakhachkalaRostov
Sun 13:15 · Premier League
2.64
-1%
Rostov 1X2
xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 38%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
Cercle BruggeAntwerp
Sun 13:30 · Pro League
3.56
+1%
Antwerp 1X2
xG 1.9–1.6 · Model 28%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
Hannover 96Dynamo Dresden
Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga
3.21
-2%
Dynamo Dresden 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 31%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel
Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga
3.85
-1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 26%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
St. PauliNürnberg
Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga
3.22
-1%
Nürnberg 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 31%
L510%1/10L1030%6/20L1543%13/30
Al WahdaHattalimited data
Sun 13:55 · UAE Pro League
–
–
Al Wahda 1X2
xG 1.9–1.1 · Model 54%
L590%9/10L1075%12/16L1562%13/21
Iğdır FKAntalyaspor
Sun 14:00 · 1. Lig
2.07
-5%
Iğdır FK 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 46%
L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting
Sun 14:00 · Primera Division
2.68
+4%
Atlético Progreso 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 39%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
EldenseGranada
Sun 14:00 · La Liga 2
3.12
-2%
Granada 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 31%
L560%6/10L1050%10/20L1543%13/30
Young BoysZürich
Sun 14:00 · Super League
1.25
-14%
Young Boys 1X2
xG 2.3–1.5 · Model 69%
L530%3/10L1045%9/20L1547%14/30
Rotor VolgogradUfa
Sun 14:00 · FNL
5.00
+6%
Ufa 1X2
xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
İstanbul BaşakşehirSamsunspor
Sun 14:00 · Super Lig
4.46
-1%
Samsunspor 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 22%
L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
OuluKuPS
Sun 14:00 · Veikkausliiga
3.50
-7%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.5–1.2 · Model 27%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1527%8/30
OtelulSepsi
Sun 14:00 · Superliga
2.25
-3%
Otelul 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 43%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1532%9/28
GetafeSevilla
Sun 14:00 · La Liga
3.09
0%
Getafe 1X2
xG 1.5–1.5 · Model 32%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30
KAMAZTorpedo Moskva
Sun 14:00 · FNL
3.97
+8%
KAMAZ 1X2
xG 1.4–1.5 · Model 27%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Odense BKSilkeborg IF
Sun 14:00 · Superliga
3.81
0%
Silkeborg IF 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 26%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30
Viborg FFHorsens
Sun 14:00 · Superliga
4.42
+1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.7–1.4 · Model 23%
L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
TrabzonsporGaziantep F.K.
Sun 14:00 · Super Lig
6.57
+3%
Gaziantep F.K. 1X2
xG 2.0–1.1 · Model 16%
L50%0/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
İstanbulsporMardin BB
Sun 14:00 · 1. Lig
3.30
-6%
İstanbulspor 1X2
xG 1.4–1.6 · Model 28%
L530%3/10L1020%4/20L1526%7/27
FalkirkCeltic
Sun 14:00 · Premiership
4.85
+4%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.5 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1513%4/30
VendsysselVejle Boldklub
Sun 14:00 · First Division
3.91
+4%
Vendsyssel 1X2
xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 27%
L510%1/10L1015%3/20L1515%4/27
Malmö FFHammarby
Sun 14:00 · Allsvenskan
4.20
+4%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.2–1.2 · Model 25%
L510%1/10L1015%3/20L1520%6/30
DjurgårdenDegerfors
Sun 14:00 · Allsvenskan
5.75
+7%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.9–0.8 · Model 19%
L530%3/10L1015%3/20L1513%4/30
SalzburgAustria Lustenau
Sun 14:30 · Admiral Bundesliga
1.16
-13%
Salzburg 1X2
xG 2.3–1.1 · Model 75%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1560%15/25
BrannMolde
Sun 14:30 · Eliteserien
2.96
-2%
Brann 1X2
xG 1.7–1.9 · Model 33%
L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
Sun 14:30 · Admiral Bundesliga
4.22
+7%
Wolfsberger AC 1X2
xG 1.3–1.4 · Model 25%
L510%1/10L1020%4/20L1530%9/30
ExcelsiorFC Twente
Sun 14:30 · Eredivisie
4.53
+1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 22%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1520%6/30
TelstarFC Utrecht
Sun 14:30 · Eredivisie
2.87
+3%
Telstar 1X2
xG 1.8–1.5 · Model 36%
L510%1/10L1015%3/20L1527%8/30
FC EmmenFC Den Bosch
Sun 14:30 · Eerste Divisie
4.16
-5%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.9–1.4 · Model 23%
L530%3/10L1015%3/20L1520%6/30
FrosinoneTorino
Sun 15:00 · Serie A
2.18
+2%
Frosinone 1X2
xG 2.1–1.3 · Model 47%
L540%4/10L1050%10/20L1557%17/30
SochiUral
Sun 15:00 · FNL
2.79
+1%
Sochi 1X2
xG 1.5–1.2 · Model 36%
L560%6/10L1050%10/20L1543%13/30
StrasbourgAuxerre
Sun 15:00 · Ligue 1
4.07
+8%
Auxerre 1X2
xG 1.8–1.6 · Model 27%
L570%7/10L1050%10/20L1547%14/30
Baník OstravaViktoria Plzeň
Sun 15:00 · Chance Liga
3.51
+6%
Baník Ostrava 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 30%
L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
AvellinoPisa
Sun 15:00 · Serie B
3.04
+6%
Avellino 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 35%
L510%1/10L1030%6/20L1543%13/30
EmpoliJuve Stabia
Sun 15:00 · Serie B
2.87
-2%
Empoli 1X2
xG 1.3–1.3 · Model 34%
L510%1/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30
Aarhus FremadHillerød
Sun 15:00 · First Division
3.40
-4%
Hillerød 1X2
xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 28%
L550%5/10L1030%6/20L1527%8/30
Inter KashiGoa
Sun 15:00 · Indian Super League
3.71
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.3 · Model 26%
L550%5/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
Brighton WCrystal Palace Wlimited data
Sun 15:00 · Women's Super League
1.22
-15%
Brighton W 1X2
xG 1.9–1.2 · Model 70%
L550%5/10L1029%5/17L1532%7/22
Birmingham Wlimited dataTottenham W
Sun 15:00 · Women's Super League
4.20
-5%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.9–1.6 · Model 23%
L520%2/10L1029%5/17L1523%5/22
ArezzoAscoli
Sun 15:00 · Serie B
3.50
-4%
Arezzo 1X2
xG 1.3–1.6 · Model 27%
L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1527%6/22
RijekaVaraždin
Sun 15:00 · 1. HNL
3.50
-8%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 26%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1520%6/30
LazioCagliari
Sun 15:00 · Serie A
5.62
0%
Cagliari 1X2
xG 1.9–1.1 · Model 18%
L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1537%11/30
Sheffield WednesdayBlackpool
Sun 15:00 · League One
4.33
-2%
Blackpool 1X2
xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 23%
L530%3/10L1020%4/20L1533%10/30
West Ham WLiverpool W
Sun 15:00 · Women's Super League
3.50
-5%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 27%
L510%1/10L1010%2/20L1517%5/30
Charlton Athletic Wlimited dataChelsea W
Sun 15:30 · Women's Super League
1.08
-15%
Chelsea W 1X2
xG 1.0–1.9 · Model 78%
L590%9/10L1088%15/17L1591%20/22
FC Union BerlinFC Köln
Sun 15:30 · Bundesliga
2.73
0%
FC Köln 1X2
xG 1.6–1.7 · Model 37%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Baltika KaliningradAkron
Sun 15:30 · Premier League
5.20
+7%
Akron 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
NordsjællandFC Midtjylland
Sun 16:00 · Superliga
3.86
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 25%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1537%11/30
Sint-TruidenOH Leuven
Sun 16:00 · Pro League
5.00
+7%
OH Leuven 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 21%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30

Hit rates read both teams' last 5, 10 and 15 results through the selection: a home win counts the home side's wins and the away side's defeats, a double chance their unbeaten and winless runs; draw no bet leaves draws out. Model: expected goals from each side's recent for/against (weighted toward recent games, shrunk to the average team, with a home advantage measured from the data), turned into home / draw / away by a Poisson score grid with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores. Where the match is priced the chance shown is 70% the margin-free market price and 30% the model, because a form model cannot see squad quality the way a sharp market does; when the model alone sits 15+ points above the market, or at more than 1.5 times its chance, the row is marked disputed and shows no EV. Odds: Pinnacle (bet365 where Pinnacle has no price). Draw no bet and double chance are priced from the same 1X2 odds. EV is chance × odds − 1: the model's view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 1 Nov, 11:17.

Home, draw and away rates by league (last 12 months, min. 30 matches)

League	Matches	Home	Draw	Away	Goals
1. HNL	182	48.4%	24.7%	26.9%	2.77
1. Lig	394	44.2%	23.6%	32.2%	2.89
2. Bundesliga	298	46%	27.5%	26.5%	2.97
A-League Men	163	36.8%	28.8%	34.4%	2.82
A-League Women	128	43.8%	19.5%	36.7%	2.72
Admiral Bundesliga	192	48.4%	25%	26.6%	2.85
AFC Champions League Elite	130	46.9%	23.1%	30%	2.68
AFC Champions League Two	120	48.3%	21.7%	30%	2.78
Africa Cup of Nations	52	46.2%	25%	28.8%	2.33
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	60	50%	21.7%	28.3%	2.53
Allsvenskan	223	38.6%	24.7%	36.8%	2.85
Botola Pro	230	36.5%	32.2%	31.3%	2.23
Brasileiro Women	167	42.5%	26.3%	31.1%	2.6
Bundesliga	303	45.2%	25.4%	29.4%	3.31
CAF Champions League	152	51.3%	28.9%	19.7%	2.07
Carabao Cup	93	40.9%	18.3%	40.9%	3.04
Challenger Pro League	246	44.7%	22%	33.3%	2.93
Champions League	279	51.6%	17.6%	30.8%	3.37
Championship	569	42.4%	26%	31.6%	2.72
Chance Liga	271	44.3%	20.3%	35.4%	2.76
CONCACAF Nations League	74	45.9%	10.8%	43.2%	3.38
Copa Del Rey	119	26.9%	10.9%	62.2%	3.23
Copa do Brasil	156	44.2%	30.8%	25%	2.12
Copa Libertadores	154	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	2.1
Copa Sudamericana	157	44.6%	31.8%	23.6%	2.29
Coppa Italia	45	60%	24.4%	15.6%	3
Coupe de France	203	23.2%	26.6%	50.2%	3.14
DFB Pokal	63	27%	11.1%	61.9%	3.95
Eerste Divisie	374	44.4%	21.1%	34.5%	3.32
Ekstraklasa	304	44.1%	26.3%	29.6%	2.77
Eliteserien	227	51.5%	17.6%	30.8%	3.29
Enterprise National League	557	45.4%	20.1%	34.5%	3.04
Eredivisie	312	40.1%	28.8%	31.1%	3.27
Europa Conference League	411	47%	23.8%	29.2%	2.83
Europa League	269	49.8%	19%	31.2%	2.83
FA Cup	865	44.2%	18.2%	37.7%	3.3
First Division	183	37.2%	31.7%	31.1%	2.78
First League	277	43%	25.3%	31.8%	2.38
FNL	297	40.7%	27.6%	31.6%	2.52
Indian Super League	112	38.4%	33%	28.6%	2.45
J1 League	160	46.3%	21.9%	31.9%	2.91
K League 1	224	32.1%	33.9%	33.9%	2.43
KNVB Beker	109	40.4%	11%	48.6%	4.01
La Liga	383	48.8%	24.3%	26.9%	2.8
La Liga 2	472	46%	23.3%	30.7%	2.68
League One	548	44.3%	27%	28.6%	2.74
League Two	552	43.5%	27.5%	29%	2.59
Liga MX	330	43.3%	26.1%	30.6%	2.84
Liga Portugal	308	41.2%	26%	32.8%	2.72
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	529	41.6%	29.1%	29.3%	2.13
Ligat ha'Al	244	40.6%	25%	34.4%	2.93
Ligue 1	191	32.5%	29.3%	38.2%	2.03
Ligue 1	291	44.3%	24.7%	30.9%	2.81
Ligue 2	291	37.1%	30.9%	32%	2.58
Major League Soccer	508	45.7%	26.4%	28%	3.26
Persian Gulf Pro League	195	40.5%	35.4%	24.1%	1.86
Premier League	285	36.1%	34%	29.8%	2.18
Premier League	235	40.4%	26.8%	32.8%	2.51
Premier League	378	40.5%	29.1%	30.4%	2.76
Premier League	234	35%	35.5%	29.5%	2.15
Premier League	235	43.4%	28.1%	28.5%	2.53
Premiership	236	46.2%	23.7%	30.1%	2.83
Primera Division	294	41.2%	25.9%	33%	2.37
Pro League	301	42.9%	22.6%	34.6%	2.86
Pro League	350	44%	23.7%	32.3%	3.01
Russian Cup	143	40.6%	28.7%	30.8%	2.63
Serie A	412	48.8%	27.2%	24%	2.7
Serie A	383	41%	21.9%	37.1%	2.65
Serie B	391	44.8%	27.9%	27.4%	2.32
Serie B	385	44.2%	28.8%	27%	2.56
Stars League	134	35.8%	23.1%	41%	3.46
Super League	224	40.6%	25%	34.4%	3.36
Super League	242	43.8%	26.4%	29.8%	3.13
Super League	237	42.6%	27%	30.4%	2.57
Super Lig	300	44.7%	26%	29.3%	2.75
Superliga	188	41.5%	27.7%	30.9%	3.06
Superliga	311	49.5%	23.8%	26.7%	2.58
Taça De Portugal	146	44.5%	10.3%	45.2%	3.06
UAE Pro League	177	37.9%	25.4%	36.7%	3.05
UEFA Nations League	108	38%	25.9%	36.1%	2.44
UEFA Women's Champions League	162	50%	19.1%	30.9%	3.63
UEFA Youth League	218	49.5%	17.4%	33%	3.78
V-League	157	43.9%	21.7%	34.4%	2.68
Veikkausliiga	177	44.6%	27.7%	27.7%	2.58
WC Qualification Europe	60	46.7%	20%	33.3%	3.45
Women's Super League	145	44.8%	20.7%	34.5%	3.12
World Cup	104	48.1%	23.1%	28.8%	2.96
World Cup Women Qualification Europe	101	46.5%	13.9%	39.6%	3.45
Youth League	236	50%	15.7%	34.3%	3.81

How the Match Result Screener Works

Each row is one selection: a home win, a draw or an away win, or the draw-no-bet and double-chance versions of them. The model turns each side's recent goals for and against into expected goals, adds the home advantage seen in the data, and reads home, draw and away off a score grid. Where the match is priced, that model leans on the sharp market price, so the model EV is a small tilt on the price rather than a guess against it — and still the model's view, not a proven betting edge.

Draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw, so it is priced off the 1X2 without the draw; double chance covers two of the three outcomes at shorter odds. When the model alone rates a team far above the market, the row is marked disputed instead of showing an EV: a gap that big usually means team news or squad quality the model cannot see.

Using It With Other Stats

Check the form guide and home/away records behind a pick, the goal screener for how open the match should be, and the model accas to combine picks.

Match Result Screener