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Goals Statistics

Screen upcoming matches by both teams' scoring records, see the expected goals and the model's price, then check the league averages.

Goal Screener

Every upcoming match with both teams' recent record against the goal line and BTTS, the expected goals and a model price next to the market where the odds are in.

Smart views
259 matches · best line per match
  • Perth GloryAdelaide United
    Sun 09:00 · A-League Men
    1.21
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 79%
    L590%9/10L1095%19/20L1593%28/30
  • Atlanta UnitedToronto
    Sun 22:30 · Major League Soccer
    1.14
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.3 · Model 84%
    L5100%10/10L1090%18/20L1593%28/30
  • Sarpsborg 08Kristiansund
    Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien
    1.13
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.3 · Model 84%
    L5100%10/10L1090%18/20L1580%24/30
  • Cruz AzulLeón
    Mon 02:10 · Liga MX
    1.16
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.3 · Model 83%
    L5100%10/10L1090%18/20L1587%26/30
  • Sønderjyske FodboldFC København
    Mon 19:00 · Superliga
    1.16
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.3 · Model 83%
    L5100%10/10L1090%18/20L1583%25/30
  • Brøndby IFAGF
    Sun 18:00 · Superliga
    1.16
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.1 · Model 82%
    L580%8/10L1090%18/20L1590%27/30
  • StartLillestrøm
    Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien
    1.17
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.2 · Model 82%
    L590%9/10L1090%18/20L1590%27/30
  • BenficaAlverca
    Mon 21:15 · Liga Portugal
    1.11
    -10%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 81%
    L580%8/10L1090%18/20L1583%25/30
  • Sint-TruidenOH Leuven
    Sun 16:00 · Pro League
    1.19
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 81%
    L590%9/10L1090%18/20L1590%27/30
  • Krylya SovetovZenit
    Mon 16:00 · Premier League
    1.22
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 78%
    L5100%10/10L1090%18/20L1583%25/30
  • BragantinoSantos
    Tue 00:00 · Serie A
    1.19
    -7%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 78%
    L590%9/10L1090%18/20L1580%24/30
  • SivassporBoluspor
    Sun 11:30 · 1. Lig
    1.21
    -6%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 77%
    L580%8/10L1090%18/20L1587%26/30
  • Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.2 · Model 82%
    L5100%10/10L1089%16/18L1587%20/23
  • TrabzonsporGaziantep F.K.
    Sun 14:00 · Super Lig
    1.12
    -7%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.1 · Model 83%
    L590%9/10L1085%17/20L1587%26/30
  • Los Angeles FCMinnesota United
    Mon 02:30 · Major League Soccer
    1.15
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.2 · Model 83%
    L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1583%25/30
  • ExcelsiorFC Twente
    Sun 14:30 · Eredivisie
    1.16
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.2 · Model 83%
    L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1583%25/30
  • Hannover 96Dynamo Dresden
    Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga
    1.17
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.1 · Model 82%
    L5100%10/10L1085%17/20L1587%26/30
  • Viborg FFHorsens
    Sun 14:00 · Superliga
    1.18
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.1 · Model 81%
    L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1577%23/30
  • Raków CzęstochowaPogoń Szczecin
    Mon 20:30 · Ekstraklasa
    1.17
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.1 · Model 81%
    L590%9/10L1085%17/20L1577%23/30
  • NordsjællandFC Midtjylland
    Sun 16:00 · Superliga
    1.16
    -6%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 81%
    L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1580%24/30
  • İstanbul BaşakşehirSamsunspor
    Sun 14:00 · Super Lig
    1.19
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 81%
    L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1590%27/30
  • 1.18
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 80%
    L590%9/10L1085%17/20L1583%25/30
  • Sheffield WednesdayBlackpool
    Sun 15:00 · League One
    1.18
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 80%
    L590%9/10L1085%17/20L1577%23/30
  • PAOKAsteras Tripolis
    Sun 18:00 · Super League
    1.19
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 80%
    L590%9/10L1085%17/20L1583%25/30
  • Odense BKSilkeborg IF
    Sun 14:00 · Superliga
    1.19
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 80%
    L590%9/10L1085%17/20L1577%23/30
  • OrenburgCSKA Moskva
    Sun 11:00 · Premier League
    1.22
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 78%
    L590%9/10L1085%17/20L1577%23/30
  • DjurgårdenDegerfors
    Sun 14:00 · Allsvenskan
    1.17
    -9%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.6 · Model 78%
    L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1577%23/30
  • ChapecoenseMirassol
    Tue 23:30 · Serie A
    1.20
    -7%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.7 · Model 77%
    L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1583%25/30
  • Young BoysZürich
    Sun 14:00 · Super League
    1.21
    -9%
    Over 2.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.7 · Model 76%
    L570%7/10L1085%17/20L1580%24/30
  • –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.6 · Model 48%
    L575%6/8L1082%9/11L1582%9/11
  • FalkirkCeltic
    Sun 14:00 · Premiership
    1.15
    -6%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.1 · Model 82%
    L590%9/10L1080%16/20L1583%25/30
  • 1.17
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 81%
    L580%8/10L1080%16/20L1583%25/30
  • ElfsborgÖrgryte
    Sun 16:30 · Allsvenskan
    1.16
    -6%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 81%
    L590%9/10L1080%16/20L1577%23/30
  • Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders
    Sun 21:30 · Major League Soccer
    1.14
    -8%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 80%
    L560%6/10L1080%16/20L1580%24/30
  • KasımpaşaBeşiktaş
    Sun 17:00 · Super Lig
    1.22
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 79%
    L580%8/10L1080%16/20L1570%21/30
  • Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
    Sun 14:30 · Admiral Bundesliga
    1.18
    -7%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 79%
    L580%8/10L1080%16/20L1573%22/30
  • SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel
    Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga
    1.18
    -7%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.7 · Model 78%
    L580%8/10L1080%16/20L1583%25/30
  • GuadalajaraAtlante
    Sun 02:07 · Liga MX
    1.19
    -9%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.5 · Model 76%
    L560%6/10L1080%16/20L1576%22/29
  • NovorizontinoOperário PR
    Sun 22:30 · Serie B
    1.28
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 75%
    L570%7/10L1080%16/20L1573%22/30
  • Hapoel Tel AvivMaccabi Haifa
    Mon 19:30 · Ligat ha'Al
    1.57
    -4%
    Over 2.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.2 · Model 61%
    L590%9/10L1080%16/20L1570%21/30
  • Shakhtar Donetsk U19new teamSporting CP U19
    Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League
    –
    –
    Over 2.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 56%
    L563%5/8L1077%10/13L1571%10/14
  • KAS EupenExcelsior Virtonlimited data
    Sun 19:15 · Challenger Pro League
    1.19
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 79%
    L580%8/10L1076%13/17L1568%15/22
  • Santos LagunaNecaxa
    Mon 00:00 · Liga MX
    1.15
    -6%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 3.0 · Model 82%
    L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1577%23/30
  • Colorado RapidsChicago Fire
    Sun 02:30 · Major League Soccer
    1.18
    -6%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 80%
    L570%7/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
  • Nashville SCNew York RB
    Sun 22:30 · Major League Soccer
    1.15
    -8%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 80%
    L590%9/10L1075%15/20L1577%23/30
  • Baník OstravaViktoria Plzeň
    Sun 15:00 · Chance Liga
    1.20
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 79%
    L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1580%24/30
  • MonterreyTijuana
    Sun 02:05 · Liga MX
    1.22
    -4%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.9 · Model 79%
    L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
  • Lokomotiv MoskvaSpartak Moskva
    Sun 17:45 · Premier League
    1.21
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 78%
    L590%9/10L1075%15/20L1577%23/30
  • Bohemians 1905Sparta Praha
    Sun 18:00 · Chance Liga
    1.22
    -6%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.8 · Model 77%
    L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1583%25/30
  • Hellas VeronaCarrarese
    Sun 17:15 · Serie B
    1.24
    -5%
    Over 1.5 Match goals
    Exp 2.7 · Model 76%
    L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1577%23/30

Hit rates pool both teams' recent matches (match goals): L10 is each team's last 10, so up to 20 games. Model: expected goals from each side's for/against averages, weighted toward recent games and shrunk to the average team, as a Poisson chance; where the bookmaker prices both sides it is blended half-and-half with the margin-free market price. Odds: Pinnacle (goal lines), bet365 (BTTS), where the feed has them. EV is model chance × odds − 1: the model’s view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 31 Oct, 23:17.

League goal averages

LeagueAvgBTTSOver 2.5
Canadian Soccer League6.155%85%
UEFA Youth League457%73%
KNVB Beker459%72%
OFC Champions League3.964%71%
DFB Pokal3.847%66%
Youth League3.761%68%
World Cup Women Qualification Europe3.747%68%
Stars League3.665%70%
UEFA Women's Champions League3.652%70%
Super League3.570%71%
WC Qualification Europe3.545%62%
ASEAN Championship3.544%64%
Bundesliga3.564%69%
CONCACAF Nations League3.547%64%
Champions League3.457%64%
FA Cup3.460%67%
Eerste Divisie3.465%67%
Eredivisie3.466%65%
Copa Del Rey3.455%66%
Major League Soccer3.467%66%
Eliteserien3.361%65%
Coupe de France3.351%62%
Super League3.366%63%
Asian Games3.346%62%
Women's Super League3.361%60%
Superliga3.364%64%
Ligat ha'Al3.361%61%
Kings Cup3.250%67%
Pro League3.261%60%
Asian Cup Qualification3.253%63%
Taça De Portugal3.243%61%
UAE Pro League3.161%59%
2. Bundesliga3.162%62%
Friendly International3.151%57%
1. Lig3.154%57%
Enterprise National League3.161%61%
Veikkausliiga3.161%58%
Ligue 13.158%59%
Liga MX3.163%58%
Challenger Pro League3.158%58%
Europa Conference League3.155%59%
Ekstraklasa365%59%
A-League Women363%63%
Allsvenskan355%56%
First Division362%58%
AFC Champions League Elite358%56%
Pro League357%57%
A-League Men364%59%
Friendly International Women344%52%
Super Lig358%60%
Carabao Cup356%54%
Admiral Bundesliga359%58%
Premiership357%58%
World Cup355%56%
Europa League352%60%
1. HNL2.957%56%
AFC Champions League Two2.952%56%
Premier League2.958%56%
Russian Cup2.956%53%
Brasileiro Women2.956%57%
J1 League2.954%57%
Chance Liga2.955%56%
La Liga2.959%54%
Ligue 22.961%53%
Super League2.954%56%
La Liga 22.960%55%
V-League2.959%55%
Liga Portugal2.953%59%
UEFA Nations League2.952%57%
Championship2.962%57%
League One2.957%55%
Premier League2.850%53%
K League 12.862%53%
CAF World Cup Qualifiers2.831%51%
Serie A2.853%53%
Coppa Italia2.849%46%
Premier League2.858%51%
Serie A2.856%52%
League Two2.857%51%
Superliga2.855%50%
Serie B2.758%52%
Indian Super League2.761%47%
FNL2.754%49%
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications2.750%52%
First League2.751%51%
European Championship2.757%50%
Primera Division2.654%50%
Africa Cup of Nations2.651%49%
Botola Pro2.658%47%
Copa Sudamericana2.646%44%
WC Qualification Asia2.539%48%
Serie B2.553%46%
Premier League2.555%41%
Copa do Brasil2.443%40%
Copa Libertadores2.444%40%
Premier League2.447%37%
WC Qualification South America2.413%33%
Liga Profesional de Fútbol2.451%42%
CAF Champions League2.436%39%
Persian Gulf Pro League2.348%38%
Ligue 12.344%36%
Premiership Play-Offs2.245%18%

Understanding Goals Markets

Goals markets are among the most popular in football betting. The over/under line — typically set at 2.5 — asks whether a match will produce three or more goals. Bookmakers derive these lines from historical scoring patterns, which is exactly what our data tracks.

A league averaging 2.8 goals per match will naturally see a higher Over 2.5 hit rate than one averaging 2.2. But the real value comes from spotting where bookmaker lines have not adjusted to recent trends — for example, if a league's scoring rate has increased mid-season but the over/under odds have not moved.

BTTS (Both Teams to Score)

BTTS is a market where both teams must score at least one goal for a "Yes" bet to win. Leagues with high average goals and poor defensive records tend to have higher BTTS rates. Our data shows the BTTS percentage per league so you can quickly identify the best leagues for this market.

For team-level BTTS analysis, combine this data with our clean sheet statistics. A team with a low clean sheet rate and high scoring output is the ideal BTTS candidate. Also check home vs away splits — many teams concede more goals away from home, significantly affecting BTTS outcomes.

How to Read the Table

Avg Goals is the mean total goals per match across the season. Over 1.5 / 2.5 / 3.5 shows the percentage of matches exceeding each threshold. Green marks a high rate for that line (Over 1.5 at 70%+, Over 2.5 and BTTS at 50%+, Over 3.5 at 40%+). Compare these percentages with the implied probability of the odds — if a league hits Over 2.5 at 58% and the odds imply 50%, the season average and the market disagree. That is a reason to look at the two teams, not a bet on its own: a league average says little about one match.