Match Result Screener
Home, draw or away for every upcoming match, plus draw no bet and double chance: what the goals model makes each one, how both teams' recent results back it, and whether the price is value.
Match Result Screener
Every upcoming match with the model's home, draw and away chances, both teams' recent results through each selection, and the value against Pinnacle where the match is priced.
Smart views
406 matches · best line per match
| Line | Odds | L15 | Last 10 · home / away | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Cagliari 1X2 | 3.26 31% | 34%2.95 | +10% | 1.5–1.1 | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 50%15/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 5.98 17% | 18%5.43 | +10% | 2.0–1.3 | 10%1/10 | 5%1/20 | 27%8/30 |   | |
VfL Bochum 1848 1X2 | 3.34 30% | 33%3.03 | +10% | 1.6–1.4 | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 37%11/30 |   | |
Eintracht Frankfurt 1X2 | 5.87 17% | 19%5.33 | +10% | 2.0–1.3 | 30%3/10 | 20%4/20 | 23%7/30 |   | |
Ipswich Town 1X2 | 3.12 32% | 35%2.84 | +10% | 1.7–1.3 | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 43%13/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 6.10 16% | 18%5.56 | +10% | 1.8–1.9 | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%7/30 |   | |
Troyes 1X2 | 5.15 19% | 21%4.70 | +10% | 1.8–1.3 | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 40%12/30 |   | |
Ceuta 1X2 | 4.14 24% | 26%3.79 | +9% | 1.4–1.3 | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 50%15/30 |   | |
KV Kortrijk 1X2 | 2.73 37% | 40%2.51 | +9% | 1.9–1.3 | 40%4/10 | 55%11/20 | 50%15/30 |   | |
Standard Liège 1X2 | 4.72 21% | 23%4.34 | +9% | 1.4–1.1 | 30%3/10 | 30%6/20 | 30%9/30 |   | |
Grasshopper 1X2 | 4.32 23% | 25%3.97 | +9% | 1.6–1.4 | 70%7/10 | 50%10/20 | 43%13/30 |   | |
Crystal Palace 1X2 | 3.07 33% | 35%2.83 | +9% | 1.8–1.4 | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 37%11/30 |   | |
DSC Arminia Bielefeld 1X2 | 4.03 25% | 27%3.72 | +8% | 1.5–1.4 | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 40%12/30 |   | |
Pachuca 1X2 | 5.08 20% | 21%4.70 | +8% | 1.9–1.4 | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 37%11/30 |   | |
Sassuolo 1X2 | 5.88 17% | 18%5.43 | +8% | 1.9–1.2 | 30%3/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%7/30 |   | |
Le Havre 1X2 | 4.98 20% | 22%4.61 | +8% | 1.6–1.2 | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 33%10/30 |   | |
Randers FC 1X2 | 3.66 27% | 29%3.39 | +8% | 1.4–1.4 | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 37%11/30 |   | |
Southampton 1X2 | 4.41 23% | 24%4.09 | +8% | 1.5–1.3 | 40%4/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%15/30 |   | |
Coventry City 1X2 | 3.20 31% | 34%2.97 | +8% | 1.5–1.3 | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 40%12/30 |   | |
Málaga 1X2 | 5.66 18% | 19%5.25 | +8% | 1.6–1.1 | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 30%9/30 |   | |
Baltika Kaliningrad 1X2 | 4.86 21% | 22%4.52 | +8% | 1.4–1.1 | 30%3/10 | 20%4/20 | 20%6/30 |   | |
Brighton & Hove Albion 1X2 | 3.24 31% | 33%3.03 | +7% | 1.6–1.7 | 50%5/10 | 40%8/20 | 40%12/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 5.75 17% | 19%5.37 | +7% | 2.1–1.3 | 20%2/10 | 15%3/20 | 27%8/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 5.14 19% | 21%4.81 | +7% | 1.4–1.6 | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 30%9/30 |   | |
SK Beveren 1X2 | 3.35 30% | 32%3.14 | +7% | 1.5–1.6 | 70%7/10 | 65%13/20 | 63%19/30 |   | |
Pardubice 1X2 | 5.12 20% | 21%4.79 | +7% | 1.6–1.2 | 60%6/10 | 50%10/20 | 40%12/30 |   | |
Charlton Athletic 1X2 | 3.28 30% | 33%3.07 | +7% | 1.5–1.3 | 50%5/10 | 35%7/20 | 33%10/30 |   | |
Arezzo 1X2 | 3.05 33% | 35%2.85 | +7% | 1.6–1.2 | 33%2/6 | 33%2/6 | 33%2/6 |   | |
Orenburg 1X2 | 3.86 26% | 28%3.62 | +7% | 1.4–1.3 | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 37%11/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 5.70 18% | 19%5.35 | +7% | 2.0–1.2 | 0%0/10 | 5%1/20 | 13%4/30 |   | |
Valencia 1X2 | 3.30 30% | 32%3.10 | +7% | 1.6–1.4 | 30%3/10 | 40%8/20 | 43%13/30 |   | |
Katowice 1X2 | 3.19 31% | 33%3.00 | +6% | 1.3–1.5 | 50%5/10 | 45%9/20 | 50%15/30 |   | |
Sunderland 1X2 | 3.23 31% | 33%3.04 | +6% | 1.4–1.3 | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 33%10/30 |   | |
Celta de Vigo 1X2 | 3.01 33% | 35%2.83 | +6% | 1.6–1.3 | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%7/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 5.05 20% | 21%4.75 | +6% | 1.5–1.5 | 40%4/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%7/30 |   | |
Elche 1X2 | 4.50 22% | 24%4.24 | +6% | 1.6–1.3 | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 23%7/30 |   | |
SJ Earthquakes 1X2 | 4.14 24% | 26%3.91 | +6% | 1.8–1.5 | 20%2/10 | 35%7/20 | 37%11/30 |   | |
Juárez 1X2 | 4.47 22% | 24%4.22 | +6% | 1.6–1.3 | 40%4/10 | 30%6/20 | 40%12/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 5.15 19% | 21%4.86 | +6% | 1.8–1.2 | 10%1/10 | 25%5/20 | 27%8/30 |   | |
Otelul 1X2 | 4.19 24% | 25%3.96 | +6% | 1.5–1.3 | 50%5/10 | 50%10/20 | 47%14/30 |   | |
Athletic Club 1X2 | 4.33 23% | 24%4.09 | +6% | 1.3–1.1 | 40%4/10 | 40%8/20 | 33%10/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 5.39 19% | 20%5.10 | +6% | 2.0–1.3 | 0%0/10 | 20%4/20 | 20%6/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 4.58 22% | 23%4.33 | +6% | 1.2–1.3 | 20%2/10 | 25%5/20 | 30%9/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 4.81 21% | 22%4.55 | +6% | 1.6–1.1 | 10%1/10 | 20%4/20 | 27%8/30 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 5.35 19% | 20%5.06 | +6% | 1.8–1.4 | 22%2/9 | 14%2/14 | 21%4/19 |   | |
Draw 1X2 | 6.01 17% | 18%5.69 | +6% | 2.3–1.7 | 0%0/10 | 0%0/20 | 0%0/30 |   | |
Arouca 1X2 | 3.67 27% | 29%3.47 | +6% | 1.5–1.4 | 70%7/10 | 55%11/20 | 47%14/30 |   | |
Cardiff City 1X2 | 2.78 36% | 38%2.63 | +6% | 1.8–1.3 | 30%3/10 | 35%7/20 | 37%11/30 |   | |
Fredrikstad 1X2 | 6.16 16% | 17%5.83 | +6% | 2.0–1.2 | 30%3/10 | 20%4/20 | 30%9/30 |   | |
Willem II 1X2 | 2.54 39% | 42%2.41 | +6% | 1.9–1.3 | 50%5/10 | 55%11/20 | 43%13/30 |   |
Cagliari
BolognaTomorrow 13:00 · Serie A3.26+10%Cagliari 1X2xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 34%L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1550%15/30
VfB Stuttgart
Borussia MönchengladbachToday 18:30 · Bundesliga5.98+10%Draw 1X2xG 2.0–1.3 · Model 18%L510%1/10L105%1/20L1527%8/30
VfL Bochum 1848
VfL WolfsburgToday 16:30 · 2. Bundesliga3.34+10%VfL Bochum 1848 1X2xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 33%L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Borussia Dortmund
Eintracht FrankfurtTomorrow 16:30 · Bundesliga5.87+10%Eintracht Frankfurt 1X2xG 2.0–1.3 · Model 19%L530%3/10L1020%4/20L1523%7/30
Ipswich Town
Nottingham ForestToday 19:00 · Premier League3.12+10%Ipswich Town 1X2xG 1.7–1.3 · Model 35%L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
SC Freiburg
FC Bayern MünchenSun 16:30 · Bundesliga6.10+10%Draw 1X2xG 1.8–1.9 · Model 18%L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Toulouse
TroyesSun 16:15 · Ligue 15.15+10%Troyes 1X2xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 21%L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1540%12/30
Cádiz
CeutaSun 15:15 · La Liga 24.14+9%Ceuta 1X2xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 26%L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1550%15/30
KV Kortrijk
MechelenToday 18:45 · Pro League2.73+9%KV Kortrijk 1X2xG 1.9–1.3 · Model 40%L540%4/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
Genk
Standard LiègeSun 12:30 · Pro League4.72+9%Standard Liège 1X2xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 23%L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30
Basel
GrasshopperSun 15:30 · Super League4.32+9%Grasshopper 1X2xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 25%L570%7/10L1050%10/20L1543%13/30
Crystal Palace
Newcastle UnitedSun 14:00 · Premier League3.07+9%Crystal Palace 1X2xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 35%L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1537%11/30
Hertha BSC
DSC Arminia BielefeldTomorrow 11:00 · 2. Bundesliga4.03+8%DSC Arminia Bielefeld 1X2xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 27%L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
América
PachucaMon 01:05 · Liga MX5.08+8%Pachuca 1X2xG 1.9–1.4 · Model 21%L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1537%11/30
Como
SassuoloTomorrow 13:00 · Serie A5.88+8%Sassuolo 1X2xG 1.9–1.2 · Model 18%L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Olympique Marseille
Le HavreSun 16:15 · Ligue 14.98+8%Le Havre 1X2xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 22%L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
Randers FC
Brøndby IFToday 17:00 · Superliga3.66+8%Randers FC 1X2xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 29%L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1537%11/30
West Ham United
SouthamptonTomorrow 14:00 · Championship4.41+8%Southampton 1X2xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 24%L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1550%15/30
Coventry City
FulhamTomorrow 14:00 · Premier League3.20+8%Coventry City 1X2xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 34%L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Deportivo Alavés
MálagaToday 19:00 · La Liga5.66+8%Málaga 1X2xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 19%L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30
Krasnodar
Baltika KaliningradTomorrow 16:30 · Premier League4.86+8%Baltika Kaliningrad 1X2xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 22%L530%3/10L1020%4/20L1520%6/30
Liverpool
Brighton & Hove AlbionSun 14:00 · Premier League3.24+7%Brighton & Hove Albion 1X2xG 1.6–1.7 · Model 33%L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Inter
FiorentinaSun 11:30 · Serie A5.75+7%Draw 1X2xG 2.1–1.3 · Model 19%L520%2/10L1015%3/20L1527%8/30
Volos NFC
PanathinaikosSun 16:00 · Super League5.14+7%Draw 1X2xG 1.4–1.6 · Model 21%L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30
Westerlo
SK BeverenTomorrow 18:45 · Pro League3.35+7%SK Beveren 1X2xG 1.5–1.6 · Model 32%L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
Viktoria Plzeň
PardubiceSun 17:00 · Chance Liga5.12+7%Pardubice 1X2xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 21%L560%6/10L1050%10/20L1540%12/30
Charlton Athletic
Norwich CityTomorrow 11:30 · Championship3.28+7%Charlton Athletic 1X2xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 33%L550%5/10L1035%7/20L1533%10/30
Arezzo
BeneventoTomorrow 17:30 · Serie B3.05+7%Arezzo 1X2xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 35%L533%2/6L1033%2/6L1533%2/6
Akhmat Grozny
OrenburgToday 16:30 · Premier League3.86+7%Orenburg 1X2xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 28%L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1537%11/30
Club Brugge
Sint-TruidenSun 15:00 · Pro League5.70+7%Draw 1X2xG 2.0–1.2 · Model 19%L50%0/10L105%1/20L1513%4/30
Valencia
VillarrealTomorrow 16:30 · La Liga3.30+7%Valencia 1X2xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 32%L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1543%13/30
Korona Kielce
KatowiceTomorrow 12:45 · Ekstraklasa3.19+6%Katowice 1X2xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 33%L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1550%15/30
Sunderland
Leeds UnitedSun 16:30 · Premier League3.23+6%Sunderland 1X2xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 33%L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1533%10/30
Celta de Vigo
Real BetisSun 15:15 · La Liga3.01+6%Celta de Vigo 1X2xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 35%L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
CRB
LondrinaTomorrow 21:30 · Serie B5.05+6%Draw 1X2xG 1.5–1.5 · Model 21%L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Rayo Vallecano
ElcheTomorrow 12:00 · La Liga4.50+6%Elche 1X2xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 24%L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Dallas
SJ EarthquakesSun 00:30 · Major League Soccer4.14+6%SJ Earthquakes 1X2xG 1.8–1.5 · Model 26%L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Necaxa
JuárezTomorrow 01:00 · Liga MX4.47+6%Juárez 1X2xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 24%L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1540%12/30
Wolverhampton Wanderers
WatfordTomorrow 14:00 · Championship5.15+6%Draw 1X2xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 21%L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
Farul Constanța
OtelulSun 14:00 · Superliga4.19+6%Otelul 1X2xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 25%L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1547%14/30
Operário PR
Athletic ClubToday 22:30 · Serie B4.33+6%Athletic Club 1X2xG 1.3–1.1 · Model 24%L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
Paris Saint Germain
Olympique LyonnaisSun 19:45 · Ligue 15.39+6%Draw 1X2xG 2.0–1.3 · Model 20%L50%0/10L1020%4/20L1520%6/30
Vejle Boldklub
Aarhus FremadTomorrow 16:30 · First Division4.58+6%Draw 1X2xG 1.2–1.3 · Model 23%L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30
Palermo
CarrareseSun 14:00 · Serie B4.81+6%Draw 1X2xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 22%L510%1/10L1020%4/20L1527%8/30
Boreham Wood
FyldeTomorrow 14:00 · Enterprise National League5.35+6%Draw 1X2xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 20%L522%2/9L1014%2/14L1521%4/19
FC Barcelona
Real MadridSun 20:00 · La Liga6.01+6%Draw 1X2xG 2.3–1.7 · Model 18%L50%0/10L100%0/20L150%0/30
Alverca
AroucaTomorrow 17:00 · Liga Portugal3.67+6%Arouca 1X2xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 29%L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1547%14/30
Cardiff City
Birmingham CityTomorrow 14:00 · Championship2.78+6%Cardiff City 1X2xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 38%L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Molde
FredrikstadSun 18:15 · Eliteserien6.16+6%Fredrikstad 1X2xG 2.0–1.2 · Model 17%L530%3/10L1020%4/20L1530%9/30
Willem II
SC CambuurTomorrow 16:45 · Eredivisie2.54+6%Willem II 1X2xG 1.9–1.3 · Model 42%L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
Hit rates read both teams' last 5, 10 and 15 results through the selection: a home win counts the home side's wins and the away side's defeats, a double chance their unbeaten and winless runs; draw no bet leaves draws out. Model: expected goals from each side's recent for/against (weighted toward recent games, shrunk to the average team, with a home advantage measured from the data), turned into home / draw / away by a Poisson score grid with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores. Where the match is priced the chance shown is 70% the margin-free market price and 30% the model, because a form model cannot see squad quality the way a sharp market does; when the model alone sits 15+ points above the market, or at more than 1.5 times its chance, the row is marked disputed and shows no EV. Odds: Pinnacle (bet365 where Pinnacle has no price). Draw no bet and double chance are priced from the same 1X2 odds. EV is chance × odds − 1. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 23 Oct, 14:17.
Home, draw and away rates by league (last 12 months, min. 30 matches)
| League | Home | Draw | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. HNL | 45% | 25% | 30% |
| 1. Lig | 46% | 22.2% | 31.8% |
| 2. Bundesliga | 47.7% | 27.2% | 25.1% |
| A-League Men | 37.7% | 27.2% | 35.2% |
| A-League Women | 43.4% | 19.7% | 36.9% |
| Admiral Bundesliga | 47.4% | 24.7% | 27.9% |
| AFC Champions League Elite | 43.2% | 24.2% | 32.6% |
| AFC Champions League Two | 50.6% | 18.4% | 31% |
| Africa Cup of Nations | 46.2% | 25% | 28.8% |
| Allsvenskan | 36.7% | 26.6% | 36.7% |
| Botola Pro | 39.4% | 33.8% | 26.9% |
| Brasileiro Women | 42.1% | 26.2% | 31.8% |
| Bundesliga | 46.1% | 24.6% | 29.3% |
| CAF Champions League | 53.6% | 28.9% | 17.5% |
| Carabao Cup | 45% | 7.5% | 47.5% |
| Challenger Pro League | 44.1% | 24% | 31.9% |
| Champions League | 51.8% | 15.7% | 32.5% |
| Championship | 42.5% | 25.3% | 32.2% |
| Chance Liga | 45.4% | 19.4% | 35.2% |
| Copa Del Rey | 26.1% | 10.9% | 63% |
| Copa do Brasil | 43.2% | 30.3% | 26.5% |
| Copa Libertadores | 48.1% | 22.6% | 29.3% |
| Copa Sudamericana | 42.5% | 34.2% | 23.3% |
| Coppa Italia | 61.1% | 19.4% | 19.4% |
| Coupe de France | 23.2% | 26.6% | 50.2% |
| DFB Pokal | 22.4% | 8.2% | 69.4% |
| Eerste Divisie | 40.8% | 21.6% | 37.6% |
| Ekstraklasa | 43.7% | 27.5% | 28.8% |
| Eliteserien | 53.2% | 17.7% | 29.1% |
| Enterprise National League | 44.9% | 21.7% | 33.4% |
| Eredivisie | 42.3% | 28.9% | 28.9% |
| Europa Conference League | 48.1% | 22.7% | 29.3% |
| Europa League | 50.5% | 17.5% | 32% |
| FA Cup | 48.2% | 17.5% | 34.3% |
| First Division | 38.9% | 25.4% | 35.7% |
| First League | 43.4% | 25.4% | 31.2% |
| FNL | 42.9% | 29.1% | 28% |
| Indian Super League | 39.8% | 31.1% | 29.1% |
| J1 League | 45.7% | 22.9% | 31.4% |
| K League 1 | 33.6% | 29.9% | 36.5% |
| KNVB Beker | 42.1% | 8.8% | 49.1% |
| La Liga | 48.5% | 24.5% | 26.9% |
| La Liga 2 | 45.9% | 23.4% | 30.7% |
| League One | 45.9% | 25.7% | 28.4% |
| League Two | 41.1% | 26.5% | 32.4% |
| Liga MX | 45.4% | 26.9% | 27.7% |
| Liga Portugal | 42.6% | 26.3% | 31.1% |
| Liga Profesional de Fútbol | 39.5% | 30.4% | 30.1% |
| Ligat ha'Al | 39.5% | 26.8% | 33.7% |
| Ligue 1 | 44.3% | 24.3% | 31.4% |
| Ligue 1 | 32.4% | 28.9% | 38.7% |
| Ligue 2 | 40.2% | 29.5% | 30.3% |
| Major League Soccer | 47.3% | 24.3% | 28.4% |
| Persian Gulf Pro League | 43.1% | 32.1% | 24.8% |
| Premier League | 34.5% | 34.5% | 31% |
| Premier League | 46.3% | 26.9% | 26.9% |
| Premier League | 35% | 37.2% | 27.8% |
| Premier League | 41.1% | 28.4% | 30.5% |
| Premier League | 40.7% | 24.9% | 34.4% |
| Premiership | 48.7% | 22.5% | 28.8% |
| Primera Division | 40% | 25.1% | 34.9% |
| Pro League | 43.8% | 24% | 32.2% |
| Pro League | 40.7% | 23.7% | 35.7% |
| Russian Cup | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Serie A | 40.8% | 23.2% | 36.1% |
| Serie A | 49.8% | 26.1% | 24.1% |
| Serie B | 45.8% | 29.1% | 25.2% |
| Serie B | 40.6% | 31.4% | 27.9% |
| Stars League | 35.2% | 19.4% | 45.4% |
| Super League | 43.8% | 25.6% | 30.7% |
| Super League | 41.6% | 26% | 32.4% |
| Super League | 42.8% | 27.9% | 29.4% |
| Super Lig | 44.6% | 28.1% | 27.3% |
| Superliga | 47.6% | 23.6% | 28.8% |
| Superliga | 38.3% | 27.8% | 33.8% |
| Taça De Portugal | 48.3% | 11.7% | 40% |
| UAE Pro League | 38.1% | 28.6% | 33.3% |
| UEFA Women's Champions League | 47.4% | 21.1% | 31.6% |
| UEFA Youth League | 49.1% | 17.1% | 33.7% |
| V-League | 42.9% | 25.2% | 32% |
| Veikkausliiga | 47.3% | 30.9% | 21.8% |
| WC Qualification Europe | 46.7% | 20% | 33.3% |
| Women's Super League | 46.2% | 18.3% | 35.6% |
| World Cup | 47.9% | 24.5% | 27.7% |
| World Cup Women Qualification Europe | 46.5% | 13.9% | 39.6% |
| Youth League | 46.2% | 17.9% | 35.9% |
How the Match Result Screener Works
Each row is one selection: a home win, a draw or an away win, or the draw-no-bet and double-chance versions of them. The model turns each side's recent goals for and against into expected goals, adds the home advantage seen in the data, and reads home, draw and away off a score grid. Where the match is priced, that model leans on the sharp market price, so the value it finds is a tilt on the price rather than a guess against it.
Draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw, so it is priced off the 1X2 without the draw; double chance covers two of the three outcomes at shorter odds. When the model alone rates a team far above the market, the row is marked disputed instead of showing value: a gap that big usually means team news or squad quality the model cannot see.
Using It With Other Stats
Check the form guide and home/away records behind a pick, the goal screener for how open the match should be, and the model accas to combine picks.