Card Statistics

Screen upcoming matches by both teams' booking records and the referee in charge, see the expected cards and the model's price, then check this week's strictest referees.

Card Screener

Every upcoming match with both teams' recent booking record against the line, the expected cards with the referee factored in, and a model price, with value against bet365 where the odds are in.

Smart views

239 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent cards hit rates and model value
	Line	Odds						L15
AldosiviBelgrano Sun 18:45 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Sebastían Zunino · 5.9 cards/match · ×1.30	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	68%1.48	+13%	6.7ref +1.5	80%8/10	80%16/20	70%21/30
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth Sun 15:00 · Premier LeagueRef Jarred Gillett · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.90	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	56%1.80	-8%	3.9ref −0.4	70%7/10	80%16/20	63%19/30
JuventudeNáutico Tue 00:30 · Serie BRef Bruno Mota Correia · 7.4 cards/match · ×1.24	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	64%1.57	+6%	6.0ref +1.2	60%6/10	75%15/20	73%22/30
Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City Sun 02:30 · Major League SoccerRef Drew Fischer · 4.7 cards/match · ×1.07	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	63%1.58	+5%	4.8ref +0.3	70%7/10	75%15/20	73%22/30
Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecaps Sun 02:30 · Major League SoccerRef Jair Marrufo · 3.3 cards/match · ×0.86	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.72 58%	57%1.75	-1%	4.2ref −0.7	80%8/10	75%15/20	70%21/30
HibernianCeltic Sun 13:00 · PremiershipRef Ryan Lee · 3.8 cards/match · ×0.92	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	57%1.76	+4%	4.4ref −0.4	60%6/10	75%15/20	67%20/30
EstorilMoreirense Sun 16:30 · Liga PortugalRef Carlos André Fernandes Macedo · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.87	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	57%1.77	–	4.0ref −0.6	100%10/10	75%15/20	73%22/30
ThunLugano Sun 14:00 · Super LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	55%1.83	–	4.9	60%6/10	75%15/20	63%19/30
Luton TownDoncaster Rovers Tue 20:45 · League OneRef Matthew Russell · 2.6 cards/match · ×0.73	Over 2.5 Match cards	–	53%1.88	–	2.8ref −1.0	70%7/10	75%15/20	83%25/30
CRBLondrina Sat 23:30 · Serie BRef Afro Rocha de Carvalho Filho · 5.3 cards/match · ×1.18	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.72 58%	67%1.49	+15%	5.5ref +0.8	60%6/10	70%14/20	67%20/30
Ponte PretaFortaleza Sat 23:30 · Serie BRef Matheus de Moraes Silva · no history	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	60%1.66	0%	5.5	70%7/10	70%14/20	73%22/30
SantosBahia Sun 02:00 · Serie ARef Savio Pereira Sampaio · 4.6 cards/match · ×1.06	Over 5.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	50%2.00	-10%	5.6ref +0.3	70%7/10	70%14/20	57%17/30
FC AndorraBurgos Mon 20:30 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	40%2.50	–	5.1	60%6/10	70%14/20	70%21/30
CádizCeuta Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	39%2.60	–	5.0	60%6/10	70%14/20	60%18/30
KeçiörengücüBursaspor Sun 17:00 · 1. LigRef Emre Kargın · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.03	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	56%1.80	–	5.0ref +0.1	75%6/8	69%9/13	61%11/18
MotherwellHearts Sun 15:00 · PremiershipRef Duncan Nicolson · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.02	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	64%1.55	+7%	5.0ref +0.1	70%7/10	65%13/20	77%23/30
São BernardoVila Nova Sat 21:30 · Serie BRef Alex Gomes Stefano · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.25	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.90 53%	62%1.61	+18%	6.3ref +1.3	60%6/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
MirassolSão Paulo Sat 21:30 · Serie ARef Lucas Casagrande · 4.9 cards/match · ×1.11	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	61%1.64	+1%	5.6ref +0.6	60%6/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
AntalyasporBodrum FK Sun 14:00 · 1. LigRef İlker Yasin Avcı · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.95	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	55%1.83	–	4.9ref −0.2	80%8/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
VitóriaAthletico PR Sat 21:30 · Serie ARef André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.24	Over 5.5 Match cards	2.10 48%	54%1.86	+13%	6.5ref +1.2	70%7/10	65%13/20	60%18/30
AlmeríaReal Oviedo Sat 21:00 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	53%1.88	–	4.8	60%6/10	65%13/20	60%18/30
ChelyabinskUral Sun 11:00 · FNLRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	52%1.91	–	4.8	70%7/10	65%13/20	53%16/30
Sarpsborg 08Aalesund Sun 17:00 · EliteserienRef Mischa Huru Kellerhals · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.92	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	50%1.99	–	3.7ref −0.3	60%6/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
Defensor SportingRacing Sat 21:00 · Primera DivisionRef Augusto Olmos · 7.4 cards/match · ×1.36	Over 6.5 Match cards	–	70%1.42	–	8.2ref +2.2	60%6/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
River PlateRacing Club Sun 23:15 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Leandro Rey Hilfer · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.14	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	63%1.60	+1%	5.7ref +0.7	60%6/10	60%12/20	63%19/30
Atlético GONovorizontino Sat 21:30 · Serie BRef Yuri Elino Ferreira da Cruz · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.02	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	58%1.72	-4%	5.3ref +0.1	50%5/10	60%12/20	70%21/30
San LorenzoNewell's Old Boys Sun 00:15 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Luis Lobo Medina · 5.8 cards/match · ×1.28	Over 5.5 Match cards	2.00 50%	56%1.77	+13%	6.8ref +1.5	80%8/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
Halifax TownBarrow Tue 20:45 · Enterprise National LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.80	–	4.0	40%4/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
Sparta PrahaSlovácko Sun 15:00 · Chance LigaRef Antonín Bohata · 2.0 cards/match · ×0.95	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.80	–	3.9ref −0.2	60%6/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
InterFiorentina Sun 12:30 · Serie ARef Maurizio Mariani · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.93	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	55%1.82	0%	4.2ref −0.3	70%7/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
Ninh BìnhCông an TP.Hồ Chí Minh Sun 12:00 · V-LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	55%1.83	–	3.9	60%6/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
Athletic ClubGetafe Sun 14:00 · La LigaRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	54%1.84	–	4.9	70%7/10	60%12/20	63%19/30
Olympique MarseilleLe Havre Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1Ref Clément Turpin · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.89	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	52%1.91	-13%	3.6ref −0.5	60%6/10	60%12/20	63%19/30
Farul ConstanțaOtelul Sun 15:00 · SuperligaRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.96	–	4.7	80%8/10	60%12/20	50%15/30
LazioParma Sat 20:45 · Serie ARef Alberto Arena · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.90	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	51%1.96	-8%	3.7ref −0.4	70%7/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
CastellónSporting Gijón Sun 18:30 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	41%2.46	–	5.1	40%4/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
AlbaceteEldense Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	53%1.89	–	4.8	60%6/10	60%9/15	70%14/20
WealdstoneSolihull Moors Tue 20:45 · Enterprise National LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	57%1.77	–	4.0	50%5/10	55%11/20	67%20/30
SydneyAdelaide United Sun 05:00 · A-League MenRef Tim Danaskos · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.87	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.80	–	4.0ref −0.6	60%6/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
NEC NijmegenFC Groningen Sun 14:30 · EredivisieRef Martin van den Kerkhof · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 2.5 Match cards	–	55%1.81	–	2.9ref −0.5	50%5/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
AIKElfsborg Tue 19:00 · AllsvenskanRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	55%1.83	–	3.9	50%5/10	55%11/20	60%18/30
FC BarcelonaReal Madrid Sun 21:00 · La LigaRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	54%1.84	–	3.9	60%6/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
InternacionalBotafogo Sat 21:30 · Serie ARef Davi de Oliveira Lacerda · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.13	Over 5.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	54%1.86	-11%	5.8ref +0.7	70%7/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire Sun 01:30 · Major League SoccerRef Víctor Rivas · 5.2 cards/match · ×1.16	Over 4.5 Match cards	2.00 50%	53%1.90	+6%	5.2ref +0.7	70%7/10	55%11/20	43%13/30
BaselGrasshopper Sun 16:30 · Super LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	53%1.90	–	4.8	70%7/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
San DiegoSeattle Sounders Sun 03:30 · Major League SoccerRef Allen Chapman · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.93	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	53%1.90	-4%	3.9ref −0.3	50%5/10	55%11/20	67%20/30
PendiksporKayserispor Sun 11:30 · 1. LigRef Burak Pakkan · 4.9 cards/match · ×1.08	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	52%1.91	–	4.8ref +0.4	50%5/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
AtalantaFrosinone Sun 15:00 · Serie ARef Livio Marinelli · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.98	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.90 53%	52%1.94	-2%	3.9ref −0.1	50%5/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
Kawkab MarrakechDifaâ El Jadida Sun 19:00 · Botola ProRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.95	–	4.7	60%6/10	55%11/20	47%14/30
QuerétaroCruz Azul Mon 02:00 · Liga MXRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	50%2.01	–	4.7	50%5/10	55%11/20	57%17/30

AldosiviBelgrano
Sun 18:45 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Sebastían Zunino · 5.9 cards/match · ×1.30
1.66
+13%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 6.7 · Model 68%
L580%8/10L1080%16/20L1570%21/30
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
Sun 15:00 · Premier League
Ref Jarred Gillett · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.90
1.66
-8%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 56%
L570%7/10L1080%16/20L1563%19/30
JuventudeNáutico
Tue 00:30 · Serie B
Ref Bruno Mota Correia · 7.4 cards/match · ×1.24
1.66
+6%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 6.0 · Model 64%
L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City
Sun 02:30 · Major League Soccer
Ref Drew Fischer · 4.7 cards/match · ×1.07
1.66
+5%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 63%
L570%7/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecaps
Sun 02:30 · Major League Soccer
Ref Jair Marrufo · 3.3 cards/match · ×0.86
1.72
-1%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 57%
L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1570%21/30
HibernianCeltic
Sun 13:00 · Premiership
Ref Ryan Lee · 3.8 cards/match · ×0.92
1.83
+4%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.4 · Model 57%
L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1567%20/30
EstorilMoreirense
Sun 16:30 · Liga Portugal
Ref Carlos André Fernandes Macedo · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.87
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 57%
L5100%10/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
ThunLugano
Sun 14:00 · Super League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 55%
L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1563%19/30
Luton TownDoncaster Rovers
Tue 20:45 · League One
Ref Matthew Russell · 2.6 cards/match · ×0.73
–
–
Over 2.5 Match cards
Exp 2.8 · Model 53%
L570%7/10L1075%15/20L1583%25/30
CRBLondrina
Sat 23:30 · Serie B
Ref Afro Rocha de Carvalho Filho · 5.3 cards/match · ×1.18
1.72
+15%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 5.5 · Model 67%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1567%20/30
Ponte PretaFortaleza
Sat 23:30 · Serie B
Ref Matheus de Moraes Silva · no history
1.66
0%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.5 · Model 60%
L570%7/10L1070%14/20L1573%22/30
SantosBahia
Sun 02:00 · Serie A
Ref Savio Pereira Sampaio · 4.6 cards/match · ×1.06
1.80
-10%
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.6 · Model 50%
L570%7/10L1070%14/20L1557%17/30
FC AndorraBurgos
Mon 20:30 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.1 · Model 40%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1570%21/30
CádizCeuta
Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.0 · Model 39%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1560%18/30
KeçiörengücüBursaspor
Sun 17:00 · 1. Lig
Ref Emre Kargın · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.03
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.0 · Model 56%
L575%6/8L1069%9/13L1561%11/18
MotherwellHearts
Sun 15:00 · Premiership
Ref Duncan Nicolson · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.02
1.66
+7%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 5.0 · Model 64%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1577%23/30
São BernardoVila Nova
Sat 21:30 · Serie B
Ref Alex Gomes Stefano · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.25
1.90
+18%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 6.3 · Model 62%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
MirassolSão Paulo
Sat 21:30 · Serie A
Ref Lucas Casagrande · 4.9 cards/match · ×1.11
1.66
+1%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.6 · Model 61%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
AntalyasporBodrum FK
Sun 14:00 · 1. Lig
Ref İlker Yasin Avcı · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.95
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 55%
L580%8/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
VitóriaAthletico PR
Sat 21:30 · Serie A
Ref André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.24
2.10
+13%
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 6.5 · Model 54%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
Sat 21:00 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
ChelyabinskUral
Sun 11:00 · FNL
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 52%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1553%16/30
Sarpsborg 08Aalesund
Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien
Ref Mischa Huru Kellerhals · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.92
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 50%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
Defensor SportingRacing
Sat 21:00 · Primera Division
Ref Augusto Olmos · 7.4 cards/match · ×1.36
–
–
Over 6.5 Match cards
Exp 8.2 · Model 70%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
River PlateRacing Club
Sun 23:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Leandro Rey Hilfer · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.14
1.61
+1%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.7 · Model 63%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
Atlético GONovorizontino
Sat 21:30 · Serie B
Ref Yuri Elino Ferreira da Cruz · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.02
1.66
-4%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.3 · Model 58%
L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1570%21/30
San LorenzoNewell's Old Boys
Sun 00:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Luis Lobo Medina · 5.8 cards/match · ×1.28
2.00
+13%
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 6.8 · Model 56%
L580%8/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
Halifax TownBarrow
Tue 20:45 · Enterprise National League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L540%4/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
Sparta PrahaSlovácko
Sun 15:00 · Chance Liga
Ref Antonín Bohata · 2.0 cards/match · ×0.95
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 56%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
InterFiorentina
Sun 12:30 · Serie A
Ref Maurizio Mariani · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.93
1.83
0%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
Ninh BìnhCông an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
Sun 12:00 · V-League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
Athletic ClubGetafe
Sun 14:00 · La Liga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 54%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
Olympique MarseilleLe Havre
Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1
Ref Clément Turpin · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.89
1.66
-13%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.6 · Model 52%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
Farul ConstanțaOtelul
Sun 15:00 · Superliga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L580%8/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
LazioParma
Sat 20:45 · Serie A
Ref Alberto Arena · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.90
1.80
-8%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 51%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
CastellónSporting Gijón
Sun 18:30 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.1 · Model 41%
L540%4/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
AlbaceteEldense
Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
L560%6/10L1060%9/15L1570%14/20
WealdstoneSolihull Moors
Tue 20:45 · Enterprise National League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 57%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1567%20/30
SydneyAdelaide United
Sun 05:00 · A-League Men
Ref Tim Danaskos · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.87
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
NEC NijmegenFC Groningen
Sun 14:30 · Eredivisie
Ref Martin van den Kerkhof · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.85
–
–
Over 2.5 Match cards
Exp 2.9 · Model 55%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
AIKElfsborg
Tue 19:00 · Allsvenskan
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1560%18/30
FC BarcelonaReal Madrid
Sun 21:00 · La Liga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 54%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
InternacionalBotafogo
Sat 21:30 · Serie A
Ref Davi de Oliveira Lacerda · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.13
1.66
-11%
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.8 · Model 54%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire
Sun 01:30 · Major League Soccer
Ref Víctor Rivas · 5.2 cards/match · ×1.16
2.00
+6%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.2 · Model 53%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
BaselGrasshopper
Sun 16:30 · Super League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
San DiegoSeattle Sounders
Sun 03:30 · Major League Soccer
Ref Allen Chapman · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.93
1.83
-4%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 53%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1567%20/30
PendiksporKayserispor
Sun 11:30 · 1. Lig
Ref Burak Pakkan · 4.9 cards/match · ×1.08
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 52%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
AtalantaFrosinone
Sun 15:00 · Serie A
Ref Livio Marinelli · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.98
1.90
-2%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 52%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
Kawkab MarrakechDifaâ El Jadida
Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1547%14/30
QuerétaroCruz Azul
Mon 02:00 · Liga MX
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 50%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30

Hit rates pool both teams' recent matches (match cards): L10 is each team's last 10, so up to 20 games. Model: expected cards from each side's for/against averages, weighted toward recent games and shrunk to the average team, as a Poisson chance; where the bookmaker prices both sides it is blended half-and-half with the margin-free market price. Odds: bet365, where the feed has them. EV is model chance × odds − 1. Cards are yellows plus reds per side. The referee’s cards per match in our data, shrunk toward the average referee, scales the expected cards (×0.7 to ×1.4); before a referee is assigned the teams alone set it. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 24 Oct, 22:17.

Referees this week — strictest first

Referee	Matches	Cards / match	Effect	Next match	Exp. cards
Hernán Heras	37	6.6	×1.40	Cerro LargovBoston RiverSun 20:00 · Primera Division	5.0 → 7.1
José Armando Torres Bessa	14	8.1	×1.40	NacionalvSporting BragaSun 19:00 · Liga Portugal	4.9 → 6.8
Darío Herrera	47	6.2	×1.38	Argentinos JuniorsvIndependiente RivadaviaTue 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.1 → 7.0
Augusto Olmos	10	7.4	×1.36	Defensor SportingvRacingSat 21:00 · Primera Division	6.0 → 8.2
Esteban Ostojich	51	6.1	×1.35	Montevideo City TorquevCerroSun 17:00 · Primera Division	5.6 → 7.5
Flavio Rodrigues De Souza	45	5.9	×1.31	SantosvPalmeirasWed 23:30 · Serie A	4.9 → 6.5
Yael Falcón Pérez	53	5.8	×1.30	Rosario CentralvHuracánSun 02:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.2 → 6.8
Sebastían Zunino	37	5.9	×1.30	AldosivivBelgranoSun 18:45 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.2 → 6.7
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli	42	5.8	×1.28	AvaívBotafogo SPSat 21:00 · Serie B	4.8 → 6.2
Luis Lobo Medina	32	5.8	×1.28	San LorenzovNewell's Old BoysSun 00:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.3 → 6.8
Atilla Karaoğlan	32	5.8	×1.28	GalatasarayvFenerbahçeMon 19:30 · Super Lig	4.4 → 5.6
Halil Umut Meler	43	5.7	×1.27	RizesporvTrabzonsporMon 17:00 · Super Lig	4.5 → 5.7
Andrés Merlos	32	5.8	×1.27	Barracas CentralvEstudiantes de Río CuartoMon 01:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.8 → 6.2
Lucas Paulo Torezin	35	5.7	×1.26	RemovBotafogoThu 01:30 · Serie A	4.6 → 5.8
Nazareno Arasa	34	5.7	×1.26	IndependientevBoca JuniorsSun 21:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.0 → 6.4
Alex Gomes Stefano	38	5.6	×1.25	São BernardovVila NovaSat 21:30 · Serie B	5.1 → 6.3
Alex Gomes Stefano	38	5.6	×1.25	GrêmiovAthletico PRFri 01:30 · Serie A	5.4 → 6.7
Carlos Andrés Gariano	33	5.7	×1.25	InstitutovDeportivo RiestraTue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.8 → 6.0
Bruno Arleu de Araujo	43	5.6	×1.25	Vasco da GamavFlamengoFri 00:00 · Serie A	5.0 → 6.3
Bruno Mota Correia	5	7.4	×1.24	JuventudevNáuticoTue 00:30 · Serie B	4.8 → 6.0
Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima	35	5.6	×1.24	FlamengovAtlético MineiroTue 00:00 · Serie A	4.9 → 6.0
José Burgos	39	5.6	×1.24	Deportivo MaldonadovDanubioSun 00:00 · Primera Division	5.3 → 6.5
André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento	31	5.6	×1.24	VitóriavAthletico PRSat 21:30 · Serie A	5.3 → 6.5
Wilton Pereira Sampaio	51	5.4	×1.22	Vasco da GamavCorinthiansSat 23:30 · Serie A	4.6 → 5.6
Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes	36	5.4	×1.20	BragantinovChapecoenseWed 23:30 · Serie A	4.5 → 5.4
Mathías De Armas	27	5.4	×1.19	WanderersvAtlético ProgresoSun 14:00 · Primera Division	5.0 → 5.9
Fabio Maresca	23	5.4	×1.19	LeccevJuventusSun 18:00 · Serie A	3.6 → 4.3
Ümit Öztürk	14	5.6	×1.19	Beşiktaşvİstanbul BaşakşehirMon 17:00 · Super Lig	4.5 → 5.4
Rosendo Mendoza	33	5.3	×1.18	Portland TimbersvCharlotteSun 03:30 · Major League Soccer	4.4 → 5.2
Afro Rocha de Carvalho Filho	29	5.3	×1.18	CRBvLondrinaSat 23:30 · Serie B	4.7 → 5.5
Anderson Daronco	57	5.2	×1.18	ChapecoensevFluminenseSun 00:30 · Serie A	4.7 → 5.5
Anderson Daronco	57	5.2	×1.18	BahiavSão PauloThu 01:30 · Serie A	5.1 → 6.0
Stavros Tsimenteridis	13	5.6	×1.18	ArisvAtromitosSun 18:30 · Super League	4.7 → 5.5
Ramon Abatti	41	5.2	×1.17	CoritibavGrêmioMon 23:30 · Serie A	4.9 → 5.8
Stuart Attwell	37	5.2	×1.17	SunderlandvLeeds UnitedSun 17:30 · Premier League	4.2 → 4.9
Christos Vergetis	23	5.3	×1.17	OFIvPAOKSun 19:00 · Super League	4.8 → 5.6
Víctor Rivas	32	5.2	×1.16	Atlanta UnitedvChicago FireSun 01:30 · Major League Soccer	4.5 → 5.2
Pablo Dóvalo	27	5.2	×1.15	Unión Santa FevEstudiantesMon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.3 → 6.1
Gustavo Tejera	42	5.1	×1.15	NacionalvLiverpoolSun 23:30 · Primera Division	5.7 → 6.6
Jon Freemon	29	5.1	×1.14	DC UnitedvCincinnatiSun 01:30 · Major League Soccer	4.7 → 5.4

How the Card Model Works

Cards are counted as yellows plus reds for each side. For every upcoming match the model takes each team's cards received and the cards its opponents picked up over its last 15 matches, weights recent games more, and shrinks the result toward the average team so a few wild games cannot dominate.

Then the referee comes in. Their cards per match across every game of theirs in our data is compared with the average match; the more games they have refereed, the more that rate counts. A strict referee scales the expected cards up (to at most ×1.4), a lenient one down (to ×0.7). Before a referee is appointed, the teams alone set the number.

Using Card Stats for Betting

Booking markets move on the referee more than most bettors realise: the same fixture can be a 3.5-card game with one official and a 5.5-card game with another. Use Strict referees to see the matches where the appointment pushes the line up, and Quiet games for unders.

Context matters too: derbies, relegation battles and cup ties tend to run hotter than the averages. Check the team stats for fouls and cards per game, and the player prop screener for individual booking lines.