FootyPulse
Stats

Match screeners

Player PropsShots, fouls & tackles hit ratesMatch Results1X2, draw no bet & double chance valueGoal StatsOver/under & BTTS by matchCorner StatsCorner lines by matchCard StatsBooking lines & refereesClean SheetsShut-out chances by match

Team analysis

Team StatsShots, possession & moreForm GuideRecent results & momentumHome vs AwayGround advantage analysis
Stats hubAll 9 screeners and tables, with what each one is for.
Stats explained: what every number means
Predictions
MathematicalModel chances for every matchAccumulator TipsModel accas, or build your own
Free, updated through the dayAll predictions
LiveMatches
Leagues

Top leagues

Premier LeagueEnglandLa LigaSpainBundesligaGermanySerie AItalyLigue 1France

European & world

Champions LeagueUEFAEuropa LeagueUEFAConference LeagueUEFANations LeagueUEFAWorld CupFIFA

More leagues

ChampionshipEnglandEredivisieNetherlandsLiga PortugalPortugalPremiershipScotlandSüper LigTurkey
Tables, fixtures, form and stats for every leagueBrowse all leagues
Tools

Calculators

Odds ConverterDecimal, fractional & americanAcca CalculatorCalculate accumulator returnsMargin CalculatorFind bookmaker marginsEV CalculatorExpected value analysisDutching CalculatorSplit stakes across outcomes

Check & track

Bet Builder CheckerFair price for any bet builderBetting TrackerLog bets, track profit & ROI
All free toolsEvery calculator and checker, no sign-up needed.
Insights

Read & research

GuidesHow to read the numbers and bet betterNewsFootball and betting headlinesBetting SitesBookmaker reviews, bonuses and licences
RegisterLog In
Player PropsMatch ResultsGoal StatsCorner StatsCard StatsClean SheetsTeam StatsForm GuideHome vs AwayStats hubStats explained
MathematicalAccumulator Tips
Live ScoresMatches
Premier LeagueLa LigaBundesligaSerie ALigue 1Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueConference LeagueAll leagues
Bet Builder CheckerBetting TrackerOdds ConverterAcca CalculatorMargin CalculatorEV CalculatorDutching CalculatorAll tools
GuidesNewsBetting Sites
Log InRegister
  1. Home
  2. Stats
  3. Card Stats
FootyPulse

FootyPulse is a free platform for football statistics and predictions. Data-driven insights for football fans and bettors worldwide.

Data

  • Leagues
  • Matches
  • Live Scores
  • Predictions
  • Stats Hub
  • Form Guide
  • Clean Sheets
  • Odds Converter
  • Guides

Company

  • About
  • Pricing
  • Telegram
  • Partnerships
  • Support

Legal

  • Privacy Policy
  • Terms & Conditions
  • Cookie Policy
  • Responsible Gambling

Contact

Email: contact@footypulse.org

Norden Media Group ApS

CVR: DK-45048330

Njalsgade 21 F, 2., 2300 København S, Denmark

18+Gambling is for adults only. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, contact StopSpillet.dk (tel: 70 22 28 25) or register with ROFUS.nu to self-exclude from Danish-licensed gambling sites.

This site contains affiliate links. We may receive a commission if you sign up through our links. Affiliate relationships do not influence our editorial content or ratings. All predictions and analysis are for informational purposes only — not financial advice.

© 2024-2026 FootyPulse / Norden Media Group ApS. All rights reserved.

PrivacyTermsCookies

Card Statistics

Screen upcoming matches by both teams' booking records and the referee in charge, see the expected cards and the model's price, then check this week's strictest referees.

Card Screener

Every upcoming match with both teams' recent booking record against the line, the expected cards with the referee factored in, and a model price, with value against bet365 where the odds are in.

Kick-off

Side

Line

L10 hit rate

0–100%

Min. odds

Smart views
235 matches · best line per match
Upcoming matches with recent cards hit rates and model value
LineOddsL15Last 10 · home / away
AldosiviBelgrano
Sun 18:45 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Sebastían Zunino · 5.9 cards/match · ×1.30
Over 4.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
68%1.48+13%6.7ref +1.580%8/1080%16/2070%21/30
Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
Sun 15:00 · Premier LeagueRef Jarred Gillett · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.90
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
56%1.80-8%3.9ref −0.470%7/1080%16/2063%19/30
JuventudeNáutico
Tue 00:30 · Serie BRef Bruno Mota Correia · 7.4 cards/match · ×1.24
Over 4.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
64%1.57+6%6.0ref +1.260%6/1075%15/2073%22/30
Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City
Sun 02:30 · Major League SoccerRef Drew Fischer · 4.7 cards/match · ×1.07
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
63%1.58+5%4.8ref +0.370%7/1075%15/2073%22/30
Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecaps
Sun 02:30 · Major League SoccerRef Jair Marrufo · 3.3 cards/match · ×0.86
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.72
58%
57%1.75-1%4.2ref −0.780%8/1075%15/2070%21/30
HibernianCeltic
Sun 13:00 · PremiershipRef Ryan Lee · 3.8 cards/match · ×0.92
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.83
55%
57%1.76+4%4.4ref −0.460%6/1075%15/2067%20/30
EstorilMoreirense
Sun 16:30 · Liga PortugalRef Carlos André Fernandes Macedo · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.87
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
57%1.77–4.0ref −0.6100%10/1075%15/2073%22/30
ThunLugano
Sun 14:00 · Super LeagueRef: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
55%1.83–4.960%6/1075%15/2063%19/30
Luton TownDoncaster Rovers
Tue 20:45 · League OneRef Matthew Russell · 2.6 cards/match · ×0.73
Over 2.5
Match cards
–
53%1.88–2.8ref −1.070%7/1075%15/2083%25/30
CRBLondrina
Sat 23:30 · Serie BRef Afro Rocha de Carvalho Filho · 5.3 cards/match · ×1.18
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.72
58%
67%1.49+15%5.5ref +0.860%6/1070%14/2067%20/30
Ponte PretaFortaleza
Sat 23:30 · Serie BRef Matheus de Moraes Silva · no history
Over 4.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
60%1.660%5.570%7/1070%14/2073%22/30
SantosBahia
Sun 02:00 · Serie ARef Savio Pereira Sampaio · 4.6 cards/match · ×1.06
Over 5.5
Match cards
1.80
56%
50%2.00-10%5.6ref +0.370%7/1070%14/2057%17/30
FC AndorraBurgos
Mon 20:30 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet
Over 5.5
Match cards
–
40%2.50–5.160%6/1070%14/2070%21/30
CádizCeuta
Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet
Over 5.5
Match cards
–
39%2.60–5.060%6/1070%14/2060%18/30
KeçiörengücüBursaspor
Sun 17:00 · 1. LigRef Emre Kargın · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.03
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
56%1.80–5.0ref +0.175%6/869%9/1361%11/18
MotherwellHearts
Sun 15:00 · PremiershipRef Duncan Nicolson · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.02
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
64%1.55+7%5.0ref +0.170%7/1065%13/2077%23/30
São BernardoVila Nova
Sat 21:30 · Serie BRef Alex Gomes Stefano · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.25
Over 4.5
Match cards
1.90
53%
62%1.61+18%6.3ref +1.360%6/1065%13/2063%19/30
MirassolSão Paulo
Sat 21:30 · Serie ARef Lucas Casagrande · 4.9 cards/match · ×1.11
Over 4.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
61%1.64+1%5.6ref +0.660%6/1065%13/2057%17/30
AntalyasporBodrum FK
Sun 14:00 · 1. LigRef İlker Yasin Avcı · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.95
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
55%1.83–4.9ref −0.280%8/1065%13/2063%19/30
VitóriaAthletico PR
Sat 21:30 · Serie ARef André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.24
Over 5.5
Match cards
2.10
48%
54%1.86+13%6.5ref +1.270%7/1065%13/2060%18/30
AlmeríaReal Oviedo
Sat 21:00 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
53%1.88–4.860%6/1065%13/2060%18/30
ChelyabinskUral
Sun 11:00 · FNLRef: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
52%1.91–4.870%7/1065%13/2053%16/30
Sarpsborg 08Aalesund
Sun 17:00 · EliteserienRef Mischa Huru Kellerhals · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.92
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
50%1.99–3.7ref −0.360%6/1065%13/2057%17/30
Defensor SportingRacing
Sat 21:00 · Primera DivisionRef Augusto Olmos · 7.4 cards/match · ×1.36
Over 6.5
Match cards
–
70%1.42–8.2ref +2.260%6/1060%12/2060%18/30
River PlateRacing Club
Sun 23:15 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Leandro Rey Hilfer · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.14
Over 4.5
Match cards
1.61
62%
63%1.60+1%5.7ref +0.760%6/1060%12/2063%19/30
Atlético GONovorizontino
Sat 21:30 · Serie BRef Yuri Elino Ferreira da Cruz · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.02
Over 4.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
58%1.72-4%5.3ref +0.150%5/1060%12/2070%21/30
San LorenzoNewell's Old Boys
Sun 00:15 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Luis Lobo Medina · 5.8 cards/match · ×1.28
Over 5.5
Match cards
2.00
50%
56%1.77+13%6.8ref +1.580%8/1060%12/2053%16/30
Halifax TownBarrow
Tue 20:45 · Enterprise National LeagueRef: not assigned yet
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
56%1.80–4.040%4/1060%12/2053%16/30
Sparta PrahaSlovácko
Sun 15:00 · Chance LigaRef Antonín Bohata · 2.0 cards/match · ×0.95
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
56%1.80–3.9ref −0.260%6/1060%12/2057%17/30
InterFiorentina
Sun 12:30 · Serie ARef Maurizio Mariani · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.93
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.83
55%
55%1.820%4.2ref −0.370%7/1060%12/2060%18/30
Ninh BìnhCông an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
Sun 12:00 · V-LeagueRef: not assigned yet
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
55%1.83–3.960%6/1060%12/2060%18/30
Athletic ClubGetafe
Sun 14:00 · La LigaRef: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
54%1.84–4.970%7/1060%12/2063%19/30
Olympique MarseilleLe Havre
Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1Ref Clément Turpin · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.89
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
52%1.91-13%3.6ref −0.560%6/1060%12/2063%19/30
Farul ConstanțaOtelul
Sun 15:00 · SuperligaRef: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
51%1.96–4.780%8/1060%12/2050%15/30
CastellónSporting Gijón
Sun 18:30 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet
Over 5.5
Match cards
–
41%2.46–5.140%4/1060%12/2057%17/30
AlbaceteEldense
Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
53%1.89–4.860%6/1060%9/1570%14/20
WealdstoneSolihull Moors
Tue 20:45 · Enterprise National LeagueRef: not assigned yet
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
57%1.77–4.050%5/1055%11/2067%20/30
SydneyAdelaide United
Sun 05:00 · A-League MenRef Tim Danaskos · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.87
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
56%1.80–4.0ref −0.660%6/1055%11/2053%16/30
NEC NijmegenFC Groningen
Sun 14:30 · EredivisieRef Martin van den Kerkhof · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.85
Over 2.5
Match cards
–
55%1.81–2.9ref −0.550%5/1055%11/2057%17/30
AIKElfsborg
Tue 19:00 · AllsvenskanRef: not assigned yet
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
55%1.83–3.950%5/1055%11/2060%18/30
FC BarcelonaReal Madrid
Sun 21:00 · La LigaRef: not assigned yet
Over 3.5
Match cards
–
54%1.84–3.960%6/1055%11/2053%16/30
InternacionalBotafogo
Sat 21:30 · Serie ARef Davi de Oliveira Lacerda · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.13
Over 5.5
Match cards
1.66
60%
54%1.86-11%5.8ref +0.770%7/1055%11/2053%16/30
Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire
Sun 01:30 · Major League SoccerRef Víctor Rivas · 5.2 cards/match · ×1.16
Over 4.5
Match cards
2.00
50%
53%1.90+6%5.2ref +0.770%7/1055%11/2043%13/30
BaselGrasshopper
Sun 16:30 · Super LeagueRef: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
53%1.90–4.870%7/1055%11/2053%16/30
San DiegoSeattle Sounders
Sun 03:30 · Major League SoccerRef Allen Chapman · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.93
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.83
55%
53%1.90-4%3.9ref −0.350%5/1055%11/2067%20/30
PendiksporKayserispor
Sun 11:30 · 1. LigRef Burak Pakkan · 4.9 cards/match · ×1.08
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
52%1.91–4.8ref +0.450%5/1055%11/2050%15/30
AtalantaFrosinone
Sun 15:00 · Serie ARef Livio Marinelli · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.98
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.90
53%
52%1.94-2%3.9ref −0.150%5/1055%11/2057%17/30
Kawkab MarrakechDifaâ El Jadida
Sun 19:00 · Botola ProRef: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
51%1.95–4.760%6/1055%11/2047%14/30
QuerétaroCruz Azul
Mon 02:00 · Liga MXRef: not assigned yet
Over 4.5
Match cards
–
50%2.01–4.750%5/1055%11/2057%17/30
RennesStrasbourg
Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1Ref Ruddy Buquet · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.85
Over 3.5
Match cards
1.61
62%
49%2.02-20%3.3ref −0.650%5/1055%11/2057%17/30
  • AldosiviBelgrano
    Sun 18:45 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
    Ref Sebastían Zunino · 5.9 cards/match · ×1.30
    1.66
    +13%
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 6.7 · Model 68%
    L580%8/10L1080%16/20L1570%21/30
  • Manchester UnitedAFC Bournemouth
    Sun 15:00 · Premier League
    Ref Jarred Gillett · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.90
    1.66
    -8%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.9 · Model 56%
    L570%7/10L1080%16/20L1563%19/30
  • JuventudeNáutico
    Tue 00:30 · Serie B
    Ref Bruno Mota Correia · 7.4 cards/match · ×1.24
    1.66
    +6%
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 6.0 · Model 64%
    L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
  • Real Salt LakeSt. Louis City
    Sun 02:30 · Major League Soccer
    Ref Drew Fischer · 4.7 cards/match · ×1.07
    1.66
    +5%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.8 · Model 63%
    L570%7/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
  • Colorado RapidsVancouver Whitecaps
    Sun 02:30 · Major League Soccer
    Ref Jair Marrufo · 3.3 cards/match · ×0.86
    1.72
    -1%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.2 · Model 57%
    L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1570%21/30
  • HibernianCeltic
    Sun 13:00 · Premiership
    Ref Ryan Lee · 3.8 cards/match · ×0.92
    1.83
    +4%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.4 · Model 57%
    L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1567%20/30
  • EstorilMoreirense
    Sun 16:30 · Liga Portugal
    Ref Carlos André Fernandes Macedo · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.87
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.0 · Model 57%
    L5100%10/10L1075%15/20L1573%22/30
  • ThunLugano
    Sun 14:00 · Super League
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.9 · Model 55%
    L560%6/10L1075%15/20L1563%19/30
  • Luton TownDoncaster Rovers
    Tue 20:45 · League One
    Ref Matthew Russell · 2.6 cards/match · ×0.73
    –
    –
    Over 2.5 Match cards
    Exp 2.8 · Model 53%
    L570%7/10L1075%15/20L1583%25/30
  • CRBLondrina
    Sat 23:30 · Serie B
    Ref Afro Rocha de Carvalho Filho · 5.3 cards/match · ×1.18
    1.72
    +15%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.5 · Model 67%
    L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1567%20/30
  • Ponte PretaFortaleza
    Sat 23:30 · Serie B
    Ref Matheus de Moraes Silva · no history
    1.66
    0%
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.5 · Model 60%
    L570%7/10L1070%14/20L1573%22/30
  • SantosBahia
    Sun 02:00 · Serie A
    Ref Savio Pereira Sampaio · 4.6 cards/match · ×1.06
    1.80
    -10%
    Over 5.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.6 · Model 50%
    L570%7/10L1070%14/20L1557%17/30
  • FC AndorraBurgos
    Mon 20:30 · La Liga 2
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 5.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.1 · Model 40%
    L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1570%21/30
  • CádizCeuta
    Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 5.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.0 · Model 39%
    L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1560%18/30
  • KeçiörengücüBursaspor
    Sun 17:00 · 1. Lig
    Ref Emre Kargın · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.03
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.0 · Model 56%
    L575%6/8L1069%9/13L1561%11/18
  • MotherwellHearts
    Sun 15:00 · Premiership
    Ref Duncan Nicolson · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.02
    1.66
    +7%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.0 · Model 64%
    L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1577%23/30
  • São BernardoVila Nova
    Sat 21:30 · Serie B
    Ref Alex Gomes Stefano · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.25
    1.90
    +18%
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 6.3 · Model 62%
    L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
  • MirassolSão Paulo
    Sat 21:30 · Serie A
    Ref Lucas Casagrande · 4.9 cards/match · ×1.11
    1.66
    +1%
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.6 · Model 61%
    L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
  • AntalyasporBodrum FK
    Sun 14:00 · 1. Lig
    Ref İlker Yasin Avcı · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.95
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.9 · Model 55%
    L580%8/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
  • VitóriaAthletico PR
    Sat 21:30 · Serie A
    Ref André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.24
    2.10
    +13%
    Over 5.5 Match cards
    Exp 6.5 · Model 54%
    L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
  • AlmeríaReal Oviedo
    Sat 21:00 · La Liga 2
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
    L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
  • ChelyabinskUral
    Sun 11:00 · FNL
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.8 · Model 52%
    L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1553%16/30
  • Sarpsborg 08Aalesund
    Sun 17:00 · Eliteserien
    Ref Mischa Huru Kellerhals · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.92
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.7 · Model 50%
    L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
  • Defensor SportingRacing
    Sat 21:00 · Primera Division
    Ref Augusto Olmos · 7.4 cards/match · ×1.36
    –
    –
    Over 6.5 Match cards
    Exp 8.2 · Model 70%
    L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
  • River PlateRacing Club
    Sun 23:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
    Ref Leandro Rey Hilfer · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.14
    1.61
    +1%
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.7 · Model 63%
    L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
  • Atlético GONovorizontino
    Sat 21:30 · Serie B
    Ref Yuri Elino Ferreira da Cruz · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.02
    1.66
    -4%
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.3 · Model 58%
    L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1570%21/30
  • San LorenzoNewell's Old Boys
    Sun 00:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
    Ref Luis Lobo Medina · 5.8 cards/match · ×1.28
    2.00
    +13%
    Over 5.5 Match cards
    Exp 6.8 · Model 56%
    L580%8/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
  • Halifax TownBarrow
    Tue 20:45 · Enterprise National League
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
    L540%4/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
  • Sparta PrahaSlovácko
    Sun 15:00 · Chance Liga
    Ref Antonín Bohata · 2.0 cards/match · ×0.95
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.9 · Model 56%
    L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
  • InterFiorentina
    Sun 12:30 · Serie A
    Ref Maurizio Mariani · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.93
    1.83
    0%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.2 · Model 55%
    L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
  • Ninh BìnhCông an TP.Hồ Chí Minh
    Sun 12:00 · V-League
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
    L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
  • Athletic ClubGetafe
    Sun 14:00 · La Liga
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.9 · Model 54%
    L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
  • Olympique MarseilleLe Havre
    Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1
    Ref Clément Turpin · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.89
    1.66
    -13%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.6 · Model 52%
    L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
  • Farul ConstanțaOtelul
    Sun 15:00 · Superliga
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
    L580%8/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
  • CastellónSporting Gijón
    Sun 18:30 · La Liga 2
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 5.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.1 · Model 41%
    L540%4/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
  • AlbaceteEldense
    Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
    L560%6/10L1060%9/15L1570%14/20
  • WealdstoneSolihull Moors
    Tue 20:45 · Enterprise National League
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.0 · Model 57%
    L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1567%20/30
  • SydneyAdelaide United
    Sun 05:00 · A-League Men
    Ref Tim Danaskos · 3.2 cards/match · ×0.87
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
    L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
  • NEC NijmegenFC Groningen
    Sun 14:30 · Eredivisie
    Ref Martin van den Kerkhof · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.85
    –
    –
    Over 2.5 Match cards
    Exp 2.9 · Model 55%
    L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
  • AIKElfsborg
    Tue 19:00 · Allsvenskan
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
    L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1560%18/30
  • FC BarcelonaReal Madrid
    Sun 21:00 · La Liga
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.9 · Model 54%
    L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
  • InternacionalBotafogo
    Sat 21:30 · Serie A
    Ref Davi de Oliveira Lacerda · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.13
    1.66
    -11%
    Over 5.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.8 · Model 54%
    L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
  • Atlanta UnitedChicago Fire
    Sun 01:30 · Major League Soccer
    Ref Víctor Rivas · 5.2 cards/match · ×1.16
    2.00
    +6%
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 5.2 · Model 53%
    L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
  • BaselGrasshopper
    Sun 16:30 · Super League
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
    L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
  • San DiegoSeattle Sounders
    Sun 03:30 · Major League Soccer
    Ref Allen Chapman · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.93
    1.83
    -4%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.9 · Model 53%
    L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1567%20/30
  • PendiksporKayserispor
    Sun 11:30 · 1. Lig
    Ref Burak Pakkan · 4.9 cards/match · ×1.08
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.8 · Model 52%
    L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
  • AtalantaFrosinone
    Sun 15:00 · Serie A
    Ref Livio Marinelli · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.98
    1.90
    -2%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.9 · Model 52%
    L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
  • Kawkab MarrakechDifaâ El Jadida
    Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
    L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1547%14/30
  • QuerétaroCruz Azul
    Mon 02:00 · Liga MX
    Ref: not assigned yet
    –
    –
    Over 4.5 Match cards
    Exp 4.7 · Model 50%
    L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
  • RennesStrasbourg
    Sun 17:15 · Ligue 1
    Ref Ruddy Buquet · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.85
    1.61
    -20%
    Over 3.5 Match cards
    Exp 3.3 · Model 49%
    L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30

Hit rates pool both teams' recent matches (match cards): L10 is each team's last 10, so up to 20 games. Model: expected cards from each side's for/against averages, weighted toward recent games and shrunk to the average team, as a Poisson chance; where the bookmaker prices both sides it is blended half-and-half with the margin-free market price. Odds: bet365, where the feed has them. EV is model chance × odds − 1. Cards are yellows plus reds per side. The referee’s cards per match in our data, shrunk toward the average referee, scales the expected cards (×0.7 to ×1.4); before a referee is assigned the teams alone set it. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 24 Oct, 22:17.

Referees this week — strictest first

RefereeMatchesCards / matchEffectNext matchExp. cards
Hernán Heras376.6×1.40Cerro LargovBoston RiverSun 20:00 · Primera Division5.0 → 7.1
José Armando Torres Bessa148.1×1.40NacionalvSporting BragaSun 19:00 · Liga Portugal4.9 → 6.8
Darío Herrera476.2×1.38Argentinos JuniorsvIndependiente RivadaviaTue 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol5.1 → 7.0
Augusto Olmos107.4×1.36Defensor SportingvRacingSat 21:00 · Primera Division6.0 → 8.2
Esteban Ostojich516.1×1.35Montevideo City TorquevCerroSun 17:00 · Primera Division5.6 → 7.5
Flavio Rodrigues De Souza455.9×1.31SantosvPalmeirasWed 23:30 · Serie A4.9 → 6.5
Yael Falcón Pérez535.8×1.30Rosario CentralvHuracánSun 02:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol5.2 → 6.8
Sebastían Zunino375.9×1.30AldosivivBelgranoSun 18:45 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol5.2 → 6.7
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli425.8×1.28AvaívBotafogo SPSat 21:00 · Serie B4.8 → 6.2
Luis Lobo Medina325.8×1.28San LorenzovNewell's Old BoysSun 00:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol5.3 → 6.8
Atilla Karaoğlan325.8×1.28GalatasarayvFenerbahçeMon 19:30 · Super Lig4.4 → 5.6
Halil Umut Meler435.7×1.27RizesporvTrabzonsporMon 17:00 · Super Lig4.5 → 5.7
Andrés Merlos325.8×1.27Barracas CentralvEstudiantes de Río CuartoMon 01:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol4.8 → 6.2
Lucas Paulo Torezin355.7×1.26RemovBotafogoThu 01:30 · Serie A4.6 → 5.8
Nazareno Arasa345.7×1.26IndependientevBoca JuniorsSun 21:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol5.0 → 6.4
Alex Gomes Stefano385.6×1.25São BernardovVila NovaSat 21:30 · Serie B5.1 → 6.3
Alex Gomes Stefano385.6×1.25GrêmiovAthletico PRFri 01:30 · Serie A5.4 → 6.7
Carlos Andrés Gariano335.7×1.25InstitutovDeportivo RiestraTue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol4.8 → 6.0
Bruno Arleu de Araujo435.6×1.25Vasco da GamavFlamengoFri 00:00 · Serie A5.0 → 6.3
Bruno Mota Correia57.4×1.24JuventudevNáuticoTue 00:30 · Serie B4.8 → 6.0
Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima355.6×1.24FlamengovAtlético MineiroTue 00:00 · Serie A4.9 → 6.0
José Burgos395.6×1.24Deportivo MaldonadovDanubioSun 00:00 · Primera Division5.3 → 6.5
André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento315.6×1.24VitóriavAthletico PRSat 21:30 · Serie A5.3 → 6.5
Wilton Pereira Sampaio515.4×1.22Vasco da GamavCorinthiansSat 23:30 · Serie A4.6 → 5.6
Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes365.4×1.20BragantinovChapecoenseWed 23:30 · Serie A4.5 → 5.4
Mathías De Armas275.4×1.19WanderersvAtlético ProgresoSun 14:00 · Primera Division5.0 → 5.9
Fabio Maresca235.4×1.19LeccevJuventusSun 18:00 · Serie A3.6 → 4.3
Ümit Öztürk145.6×1.19Beşiktaşvİstanbul BaşakşehirMon 17:00 · Super Lig4.5 → 5.4
Rosendo Mendoza335.3×1.18Portland TimbersvCharlotteSun 03:30 · Major League Soccer4.4 → 5.2
Afro Rocha de Carvalho Filho295.3×1.18CRBvLondrinaSat 23:30 · Serie B4.7 → 5.5
Anderson Daronco575.2×1.18ChapecoensevFluminenseSun 00:30 · Serie A4.7 → 5.5
Anderson Daronco575.2×1.18BahiavSão PauloThu 01:30 · Serie A5.1 → 6.0
Stavros Tsimenteridis135.6×1.18ArisvAtromitosSun 18:30 · Super League4.7 → 5.5
Ramon Abatti415.2×1.17CoritibavGrêmioMon 23:30 · Serie A4.9 → 5.8
Stuart Attwell375.2×1.17SunderlandvLeeds UnitedSun 17:30 · Premier League4.2 → 4.9
Christos Vergetis235.3×1.17OFIvPAOKSun 19:00 · Super League4.8 → 5.6
Víctor Rivas325.2×1.16Atlanta UnitedvChicago FireSun 01:30 · Major League Soccer4.5 → 5.2
Pablo Dóvalo275.2×1.15Unión Santa FevEstudiantesMon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol5.3 → 6.1
Gustavo Tejera425.1×1.15NacionalvLiverpoolSun 23:30 · Primera Division5.7 → 6.6
Jon Freemon295.1×1.14DC UnitedvCincinnatiSun 01:30 · Major League Soccer4.7 → 5.4

How the Card Model Works

Cards are counted as yellows plus reds for each side. For every upcoming match the model takes each team's cards received and the cards its opponents picked up over its last 15 matches, weights recent games more, and shrinks the result toward the average team so a few wild games cannot dominate.

Then the referee comes in. Their cards per match across every game of theirs in our data is compared with the average match; the more games they have refereed, the more that rate counts. A strict referee scales the expected cards up (to at most ×1.4), a lenient one down (to ×0.7). Before a referee is appointed, the teams alone set the number.

Using Card Stats for Betting

Booking markets move on the referee more than most bettors realise: the same fixture can be a 3.5-card game with one official and a 5.5-card game with another. Use Strict referees to see the matches where the appointment pushes the line up, and Quiet games for unders.

Context matters too: derbies, relegation battles and cup ties tend to run hotter than the averages. Check the team stats for fouls and cards per game, and the player prop screener for individual booking lines.