Match Result Screener

Home, draw or away for every upcoming match, plus draw no bet and double chance: what the goals model makes each one, how both teams' recent results back it, and how it compares with the price.

Match Result Screener

Every upcoming match with the model's home, draw and away chances, both teams' recent results through each selection, and the Pinnacle price where the match is priced.

Smart views

259 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent results hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
EstudiantesInstituto Sun 01:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Draw 1X2	3.24 31%	30%3.35	-3%	1.2–1.3	40%4/10	30%6/20	23%7/30
MonterreyTijuana Sun 02:05 · Liga MX	Draw 1X2	4.33 23%	24%4.24	+2%	1.6–1.3	50%5/10	35%7/20	30%9/30
GuadalajaraAtlante Sun 02:07 · Liga MX	Draw 1X2	4.91 20%	22%4.53	+8%	1.6–1.0	20%2/10	35%7/20	34%10/29
Colorado RapidsChicago Fire Sun 02:30 · Major League Soccer	Colorado Rapids 1X2	2.33 43%	42%2.38	-2%	1.6–1.3	30%3/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
AméricaToluca Sun 04:10 · Liga MX	América 1X2	2.41 41%	43%2.33	+4%	2.0–1.4	30%3/10	35%7/20	43%13/30
Canberra United WWestern Sydney Wanderers W Sun 05:00 · A-League Women	Western Sydney Wanderers W 1X2	3.60 28%	27%3.64	-1%	1.5–1.3	50%5/10	45%9/20	40%12/30
Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners Sun 05:00 · A-League Men	Draw 1X2	5.40 19%	20%4.95	+9%	1.8–1.2	40%4/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
Yokohama F. MarinosKawasaki Frontale Sun 05:00 · J1 League	Yokohama F. Marinos 1X2	3.00 33%	36%2.81	+7%	1.6–1.3	20%2/10	25%5/20	33%10/30
JEF UnitedAvispa Fukuoka Sun 06:00 · J1 League	JEF United 1X2	3.10 32%	35%2.87	+8%	1.6–1.3	40%4/10	45%9/20	41%11/27
Pohang SteelersJeju United Sun 06:00 · K League 1	Jeju United 1X2	2.72 37%	36%2.75	-1%	1.3–1.4	40%4/10	40%8/20	43%13/30
V-Varen NagasakiTokyo Verdy Sun 06:00 · J1 League	V-Varen Nagasaki 1X2	2.53 40%	41%2.41	+5%	1.7–1.1	40%4/10	35%7/20	41%11/27
Ulsan HDGangwon Sun 06:00 · K League 1	Gangwon 1X2	3.41 29%	29%3.47	-2%	1.5–1.2	40%4/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
Melbourne Victory WNewcastle Jets W Sun 07:45 · A-League Women	Draw 1X2	4.00 25%	24%4.20	-5%	1.6–1.2	10%1/10	20%4/20	17%5/30
Machida ZelviaGamba Osaka Sun 08:00 · J1 League	Draw 1X2	3.87 26%	25%3.99	-3%	1.8–1.1	40%4/10	25%5/20	30%9/30
SeoulIncheon United Sun 08:30 · K League 1	Incheon United 1X2	4.40 23%	24%4.21	+5%	1.6–1.2	30%3/10	35%7/20	30%9/30
AnyangBucheon 1995 Sun 08:30 · K League 1	Bucheon 1995 1X2	4.13 24%	25%4.04	+2%	1.6–1.2	0%0/10	20%4/20	30%9/30
Perth GloryAdelaide United Sun 09:00 · A-League Men	Perth Glory 1X2	2.64 38%	38%2.64	0%	1.5–1.3	50%5/10	30%6/20	23%7/30
OrenburgCSKA Moskva Sun 11:00 · Premier League	Orenburg 1X2	3.31 30%	33%3.06	+8%	1.5–1.4	50%5/10	30%6/20	27%8/30
Amed SKEyüpspor Sun 11:30 · Super Lig	Draw 1X2	6.38 16%	17%5.86	+9%	2.2–1.1	10%1/10	20%4/20	27%8/30
SivassporBoluspor Sun 11:30 · 1. Lig	Boluspor 1X2	6.11 16%	18%5.63	+9%	1.8–1.1	10%1/10	10%2/20	23%7/30
Perth Glory WWellington Phoenix W Sun 11:45 · A-League Women	Draw 1X2	3.60 28%	26%3.84	-6%	1.3–1.3	30%3/10	20%4/20	20%6/30
Công an TP.Hồ Chí MinhSHB Đà Nẵng Sun 12:00 · V-League	Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh 1X2	–	43%2.32	–	1.6–1.3	60%6/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
LNZ CherkasyMetalist 1925 Kharkiv Sun 12:00 · Premier League	LNZ Cherkasy 1X2	3.33 30%	30%3.32	0%	1.2–1.2	30%3/10	30%6/20	30%9/30
Kolos KovalivkaPolissya Zhytomyr Sun 12:00 · Premier League	Draw 1X2	3.90 26%	25%4.01	-3%	1.4–1.5	10%1/10	15%3/20	17%5/30
PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag Sun 12:15 · Eredivisie	ADO Den Haag 1X2	3.03 33%	33%2.99	+1%	1.6–1.6	40%4/10	35%7/20	47%14/30
ComoVenezia Sun 12:30 · Serie A	Como 1X2	1.30 77%	69%1.44	-10%	2.0–1.1	80%8/10	80%16/20	67%20/30
Mumbai CitySporting Delhi Sun 12:30 · Indian Super League	Sporting Delhi 1X2	5.56 18%	19%5.15	+8%	1.5–1.0	10%1/10	20%4/20	17%5/30
Mladá BoleslavHradec Králové Sun 13:00 · Chance Liga	Mladá Boleslav 1X2	2.23 45%	44%2.26	-1%	1.6–1.1	50%5/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
Arsenal WAston Villa W Sun 13:00 · Women's Super League	Arsenal W 1X2	1.13 88%	74%1.35	-16%	1.9–1.2	30%3/10	45%9/20	50%15/30
London City Lionesses WManchester City W Sun 13:00 · Women's Super League	London City Lionesses W 1X2	3.05 33%	35%2.89	+6%	1.8–1.5	40%4/10	35%7/20	27%8/30
Dynamo MakhachkalaRostov Sun 13:15 · Premier League	Dynamo Makhachkala 1X2	3.45 29%	29%3.44	0%	1.3–1.5	10%1/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
Cercle BruggeAntwerp Sun 13:30 · Pro League	Antwerp 1X2	3.35 30%	30%3.36	0%	1.9–1.6	50%5/10	55%11/20	43%13/30
Hannover 96Dynamo Dresden Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga	Dynamo Dresden 1X2	3.18 31%	31%3.22	-1%	1.6–1.4	50%5/10	45%9/20	40%12/30
SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga	Draw 1X2	3.77 27%	26%3.79	-1%	1.4–1.3	50%5/10	40%8/20	33%10/30
St. PauliNürnberg Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga	Nürnberg 1X2	3.21 31%	31%3.20	0%	1.6–1.4	10%1/10	30%6/20	43%13/30
Al WahdaHattalimited data Sun 13:55 · UAE Pro League	Al Wahda 1X2	–	54%1.86	–	1.9–1.1	90%9/10	75%12/16	62%13/21
DjurgårdenDegerfors Sun 14:00 · Allsvenskan	Djurgården 1X2	1.28 78%	70%1.42	-10%	1.9–0.8	60%6/10	70%14/20	67%20/30
TrabzonsporGaziantep F.K. Sun 14:00 · Super Lig	Trabzonspor 1X2	1.29 78%	70%1.44	-10%	2.0–1.1	90%9/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
Iğdır FKAntalyaspor Sun 14:00 · 1. Lig	Iğdır FK 1X2	2.15 47%	45%2.21	-3%	1.6–1.1	50%5/10	60%12/20	50%15/30
Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting Sun 14:00 · Primera Division	Atlético Progreso 1X2	2.59 39%	40%2.50	+4%	1.7–1.2	60%6/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
EldenseGranada Sun 14:00 · La Liga 2	Granada 1X2	3.09 32%	32%3.14	-2%	1.5–1.4	60%6/10	50%10/20	43%13/30
Young BoysZürich Sun 14:00 · Super League	Young Boys 1X2	1.27 79%	69%1.44	-12%	2.3–1.5	30%3/10	45%9/20	47%14/30
VendsysselVejle Boldklub Sun 14:00 · First Division	Draw 1X2	4.08 25%	25%4.07	0%	1.3–1.5	60%6/10	40%8/20	37%10/27
Rotor VolgogradUfa Sun 14:00 · FNL	Ufa 1X2	5.00 20%	21%4.71	+6%	1.4–1.1	20%2/10	40%8/20	33%10/30
İstanbul BaşakşehirSamsunspor Sun 14:00 · Super Lig	Samsunspor 1X2	4.26 23%	23%4.27	0%	1.8–1.3	20%2/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
OuluKuPS Sun 14:00 · Veikkausliiga	Draw 1X2	3.85 26%	26%3.86	0%	1.5–1.2	30%3/10	30%6/20	27%8/30
OtelulSepsi Sun 14:00 · Superliga	Otelul 1X2	2.04 49%	47%2.14	-4%	1.7–1.2	30%3/10	25%5/20	32%9/28
GetafeSevilla Sun 14:00 · La Liga	Getafe 1X2	3.30 30%	31%3.22	+2%	1.5–1.5	30%3/10	25%5/20	30%9/30
KAMAZTorpedo Moskva Sun 14:00 · FNL	KAMAZ 1X2	3.97 25%	27%3.70	+7%	1.4–1.5	20%2/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
Odense BKSilkeborg IF Sun 14:00 · Superliga	Silkeborg IF 1X2	3.80 26%	27%3.75	+2%	1.6–1.3	20%2/10	25%5/20	30%9/30

EstudiantesInstituto
Sun 01:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
3.24
-3%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.2–1.3 · Model 30%
L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1523%7/30
MonterreyTijuana
Sun 02:05 · Liga MX
4.33
+2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 24%
L550%5/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30
GuadalajaraAtlante
Sun 02:07 · Liga MX
4.91
+8%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.0 · Model 22%
L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1534%10/29
Colorado RapidsChicago Fire
Sun 02:30 · Major League Soccer
2.33
-2%
Colorado Rapids 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 42%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
AméricaToluca
Sun 04:10 · Liga MX
2.41
+4%
América 1X2
xG 2.0–1.4 · Model 43%
L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1543%13/30
Canberra United WWestern Sydney Wanderers W
Sun 05:00 · A-League Women
3.60
-1%
Western Sydney Wanderers W 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 27%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
Melbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners
Sun 05:00 · A-League Men
5.40
+9%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 20%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Yokohama F. MarinosKawasaki Frontale
Sun 05:00 · J1 League
3.00
+7%
Yokohama F. Marinos 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 36%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1533%10/30
JEF UnitedAvispa Fukuoka
Sun 06:00 · J1 League
3.10
+8%
JEF United 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 35%
L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1541%11/27
Pohang SteelersJeju United
Sun 06:00 · K League 1
2.72
-1%
Jeju United 1X2
xG 1.3–1.4 · Model 36%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1543%13/30
V-Varen NagasakiTokyo Verdy
Sun 06:00 · J1 League
2.53
+5%
V-Varen Nagasaki 1X2
xG 1.7–1.1 · Model 41%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1541%11/27
Ulsan HDGangwon
Sun 06:00 · K League 1
3.41
-2%
Gangwon 1X2
xG 1.5–1.2 · Model 29%
L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
Melbourne Victory WNewcastle Jets W
Sun 07:45 · A-League Women
4.00
-5%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 24%
L510%1/10L1020%4/20L1517%5/30
Machida ZelviaGamba Osaka
Sun 08:00 · J1 League
3.87
-3%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.8–1.1 · Model 25%
L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30
SeoulIncheon United
Sun 08:30 · K League 1
4.40
+5%
Incheon United 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 24%
L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30
AnyangBucheon 1995
Sun 08:30 · K League 1
4.13
+2%
Bucheon 1995 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 25%
L50%0/10L1020%4/20L1530%9/30
Perth GloryAdelaide United
Sun 09:00 · A-League Men
2.64
0%
Perth Glory 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 38%
L550%5/10L1030%6/20L1523%7/30
OrenburgCSKA Moskva
Sun 11:00 · Premier League
3.31
+8%
Orenburg 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 33%
L550%5/10L1030%6/20L1527%8/30
Amed SKEyüpspor
Sun 11:30 · Super Lig
6.38
+9%
Draw 1X2
xG 2.2–1.1 · Model 17%
L510%1/10L1020%4/20L1527%8/30
SivassporBoluspor
Sun 11:30 · 1. Lig
6.11
+9%
Boluspor 1X2
xG 1.8–1.1 · Model 18%
L510%1/10L1010%2/20L1523%7/30
Perth Glory WWellington Phoenix W
Sun 11:45 · A-League Women
3.60
-6%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.3 · Model 26%
L530%3/10L1020%4/20L1520%6/30
Công an TP.Hồ Chí MinhSHB Đà Nẵng
Sun 12:00 · V-League
–
–
Công an TP.Hồ Chí Minh 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 43%
L560%6/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
LNZ CherkasyMetalist 1925 Kharkiv
Sun 12:00 · Premier League
3.33
0%
LNZ Cherkasy 1X2
xG 1.2–1.2 · Model 30%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30
Kolos KovalivkaPolissya Zhytomyr
Sun 12:00 · Premier League
3.90
-3%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.5 · Model 25%
L510%1/10L1015%3/20L1517%5/30
PEC ZwolleADO Den Haag
Sun 12:15 · Eredivisie
3.03
+1%
ADO Den Haag 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 33%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1547%14/30
ComoVenezia
Sun 12:30 · Serie A
1.30
-10%
Como 1X2
xG 2.0–1.1 · Model 69%
L580%8/10L1080%16/20L1567%20/30
Mumbai CitySporting Delhi
Sun 12:30 · Indian Super League
5.56
+8%
Sporting Delhi 1X2
xG 1.5–1.0 · Model 19%
L510%1/10L1020%4/20L1517%5/30
Mladá BoleslavHradec Králové
Sun 13:00 · Chance Liga
2.23
-1%
Mladá Boleslav 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 44%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
Arsenal WAston Villa W
Sun 13:00 · Women's Super League
1.13
-16%
Arsenal W 1X2
xG 1.9–1.2 · Model 74%
L530%3/10L1045%9/20L1550%15/30
London City Lionesses WManchester City W
Sun 13:00 · Women's Super League
3.05
+6%
London City Lionesses W 1X2
xG 1.8–1.5 · Model 35%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1527%8/30
Dynamo MakhachkalaRostov
Sun 13:15 · Premier League
3.45
0%
Dynamo Makhachkala 1X2
xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 29%
L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Cercle BruggeAntwerp
Sun 13:30 · Pro League
3.35
0%
Antwerp 1X2
xG 1.9–1.6 · Model 30%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
Hannover 96Dynamo Dresden
Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga
3.18
-1%
Dynamo Dresden 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 31%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
SpVgg Greuther FürthHolstein Kiel
Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga
3.77
-1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 26%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
St. PauliNürnberg
Sun 13:30 · 2. Bundesliga
3.21
0%
Nürnberg 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 31%
L510%1/10L1030%6/20L1543%13/30
Al WahdaHattalimited data
Sun 13:55 · UAE Pro League
–
–
Al Wahda 1X2
xG 1.9–1.1 · Model 54%
L590%9/10L1075%12/16L1562%13/21
DjurgårdenDegerfors
Sun 14:00 · Allsvenskan
1.28
-10%
Djurgården 1X2
xG 1.9–0.8 · Model 70%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1567%20/30
TrabzonsporGaziantep F.K.
Sun 14:00 · Super Lig
1.29
-10%
Trabzonspor 1X2
xG 2.0–1.1 · Model 70%
L590%9/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
Iğdır FKAntalyaspor
Sun 14:00 · 1. Lig
2.15
-3%
Iğdır FK 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 45%
L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting
Sun 14:00 · Primera Division
2.59
+4%
Atlético Progreso 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 40%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
EldenseGranada
Sun 14:00 · La Liga 2
3.09
-2%
Granada 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 32%
L560%6/10L1050%10/20L1543%13/30
Young BoysZürich
Sun 14:00 · Super League
1.27
-12%
Young Boys 1X2
xG 2.3–1.5 · Model 69%
L530%3/10L1045%9/20L1547%14/30
VendsysselVejle Boldklub
Sun 14:00 · First Division
4.08
0%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 25%
L560%6/10L1040%8/20L1537%10/27
Rotor VolgogradUfa
Sun 14:00 · FNL
5.00
+6%
Ufa 1X2
xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1040%8/20L1533%10/30
İstanbul BaşakşehirSamsunspor
Sun 14:00 · Super Lig
4.26
0%
Samsunspor 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 23%
L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
OuluKuPS
Sun 14:00 · Veikkausliiga
3.85
0%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.5–1.2 · Model 26%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1527%8/30
OtelulSepsi
Sun 14:00 · Superliga
2.04
-4%
Otelul 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 47%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1532%9/28
GetafeSevilla
Sun 14:00 · La Liga
3.30
+2%
Getafe 1X2
xG 1.5–1.5 · Model 31%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30
KAMAZTorpedo Moskva
Sun 14:00 · FNL
3.97
+7%
KAMAZ 1X2
xG 1.4–1.5 · Model 27%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Odense BKSilkeborg IF
Sun 14:00 · Superliga
3.80
+2%
Silkeborg IF 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 27%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30

Hit rates read both teams' last 5, 10 and 15 results through the selection: a home win counts the home side's wins and the away side's defeats, a double chance their unbeaten and winless runs; draw no bet leaves draws out. Model: expected goals from each side's recent for/against (weighted toward recent games, shrunk to the average team, with a home advantage measured from the data), turned into home / draw / away by a Poisson score grid with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores. Where the match is priced the chance shown is 70% the margin-free market price and 30% the model, because a form model cannot see squad quality the way a sharp market does; when the model alone sits 15+ points above the market, or at more than 1.5 times its chance, the row is marked disputed and shows no EV. Odds: Pinnacle (bet365 where Pinnacle has no price). Draw no bet and double chance are priced from the same 1X2 odds. EV is chance × odds − 1: the model's view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 31 Oct, 23:17.

Home, draw and away rates by league (last 12 months, min. 30 matches)

League	Matches	Home	Draw	Away	Goals
1. HNL	182	48.4%	24.7%	26.9%	2.77
1. Lig	395	44.3%	23.5%	32.2%	2.89
2. Bundesliga	301	46.5%	27.2%	26.2%	2.97
A-League Men	164	36.6%	28.7%	34.8%	2.83
A-League Women	128	43.8%	20.3%	35.9%	2.77
Admiral Bundesliga	192	48.4%	25%	26.6%	2.85
AFC Champions League Elite	130	46.9%	23.1%	30%	2.68
AFC Champions League Two	120	48.3%	21.7%	30%	2.78
Africa Cup of Nations	52	46.2%	25%	28.8%	2.33
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	60	50%	21.7%	28.3%	2.53
Allsvenskan	223	38.6%	24.7%	36.8%	2.85
Botola Pro	230	36.5%	32.2%	31.3%	2.23
Brasileiro Women	167	42.5%	26.3%	31.1%	2.6
Bundesliga	303	45.2%	25.4%	29.4%	3.31
CAF Champions League	152	51.3%	28.9%	19.7%	2.07
Carabao Cup	93	40.9%	18.3%	40.9%	3.04
Challenger Pro League	246	44.7%	22%	33.3%	2.93
Champions League	279	51.6%	17.6%	30.8%	3.37
Championship	569	42.4%	26%	31.6%	2.72
Chance Liga	271	44.3%	20.3%	35.4%	2.76
CONCACAF Nations League	74	45.9%	10.8%	43.2%	3.38
Copa Del Rey	119	26.9%	10.9%	62.2%	3.23
Copa do Brasil	156	44.2%	30.8%	25%	2.12
Copa Libertadores	154	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	2.1
Copa Sudamericana	157	44.6%	31.8%	23.6%	2.29
Coppa Italia	45	60%	24.4%	15.6%	3
Coupe de France	203	23.2%	26.6%	50.2%	3.14
DFB Pokal	63	27%	11.1%	61.9%	3.95
Eerste Divisie	374	44.4%	21.1%	34.5%	3.32
Ekstraklasa	304	44.1%	26.3%	29.6%	2.77
Eliteserien	227	51.5%	17.6%	30.8%	3.29
Enterprise National League	557	45.4%	20.1%	34.5%	3.04
Eredivisie	312	40.1%	28.8%	31.1%	3.27
Europa Conference League	411	47%	23.8%	29.2%	2.83
Europa League	269	49.8%	19%	31.2%	2.83
FA Cup	866	44.2%	18.1%	37.6%	3.3
First Division	183	37.2%	31.7%	31.1%	2.78
First League	278	43.2%	25.2%	31.7%	2.38
FNL	298	40.9%	27.5%	31.5%	2.52
Indian Super League	112	38.4%	33%	28.6%	2.45
J1 League	156	46.2%	21.8%	32.1%	2.91
K League 1	224	32.1%	33.9%	33.9%	2.43
KNVB Beker	109	40.4%	11%	48.6%	4.01
La Liga	383	48.8%	24.3%	26.9%	2.8
La Liga 2	472	46%	23.3%	30.7%	2.68
League One	548	44.3%	27%	28.6%	2.74
League Two	552	43.5%	27.5%	29%	2.59
Liga MX	329	43.2%	25.5%	31.3%	2.83
Liga Portugal	308	41.2%	26%	32.8%	2.72
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	529	41.6%	28.7%	29.7%	2.12
Ligat ha'Al	244	40.6%	25%	34.4%	2.93
Ligue 1	191	32.5%	29.3%	38.2%	2.03
Ligue 1	291	44.3%	24.7%	30.9%	2.81
Ligue 2	291	37.1%	30.9%	32%	2.58
Major League Soccer	507	45.8%	26.4%	27.8%	3.25
Persian Gulf Pro League	195	40.5%	35.4%	24.1%	1.86
Premier League	285	36.1%	34%	29.8%	2.18
Premier League	236	40.3%	27.1%	32.6%	2.51
Premier League	378	40.5%	29.1%	30.4%	2.76
Premier League	234	35%	35.5%	29.5%	2.15
Premier League	234	43.6%	27.8%	28.6%	2.54
Premiership	236	46.2%	23.7%	30.1%	2.83
Primera Division	294	41.2%	25.9%	33%	2.37
Pro League	301	42.9%	22.6%	34.6%	2.86
Pro League	350	44%	23.7%	32.3%	3.01
Russian Cup	143	40.6%	28.7%	30.8%	2.63
Serie A	383	41%	21.9%	37.1%	2.65
Serie A	412	48.8%	27.2%	24%	2.7
Serie B	391	44.5%	28.1%	27.4%	2.32
Serie B	386	44.3%	28.8%	26.9%	2.57
Stars League	134	35.8%	23.1%	41%	3.46
Super League	237	42.6%	27%	30.4%	2.57
Super League	224	40.6%	25%	34.4%	3.36
Super League	245	43.7%	26.5%	29.8%	3.14
Super Lig	300	44.7%	26%	29.3%	2.75
Superliga	311	49.5%	23.8%	26.7%	2.58
Superliga	188	41.5%	27.7%	30.9%	3.06
Taça De Portugal	146	44.5%	10.3%	45.2%	3.06
UAE Pro League	177	37.9%	25.4%	36.7%	3.05
UEFA Nations League	108	38%	25.9%	36.1%	2.44
UEFA Women's Champions League	162	50%	19.1%	30.9%	3.63
UEFA Youth League	218	49.5%	17.4%	33%	3.78
V-League	159	43.4%	22.6%	34%	2.67
Veikkausliiga	177	44.6%	27.7%	27.7%	2.58
WC Qualification Europe	60	46.7%	20%	33.3%	3.45
Women's Super League	147	45.6%	20.4%	34%	3.1
World Cup	104	48.1%	23.1%	28.8%	2.96
World Cup Women Qualification Europe	101	46.5%	13.9%	39.6%	3.45
Youth League	236	50%	15.7%	34.3%	3.81

How the Match Result Screener Works

Each row is one selection: a home win, a draw or an away win, or the draw-no-bet and double-chance versions of them. The model turns each side's recent goals for and against into expected goals, adds the home advantage seen in the data, and reads home, draw and away off a score grid. Where the match is priced, that model leans on the sharp market price, so the model EV is a small tilt on the price rather than a guess against it — and still the model's view, not a proven betting edge.

Draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw, so it is priced off the 1X2 without the draw; double chance covers two of the three outcomes at shorter odds. When the model alone rates a team far above the market, the row is marked disputed instead of showing an EV: a gap that big usually means team news or squad quality the model cannot see.

Using It With Other Stats

Check the form guide and home/away records behind a pick, the goal screener for how open the match should be, and the model accas to combine picks.

Match Result Screener