Match Result Screener

Home, draw or away for every upcoming match, plus draw no bet and double chance: what the goals model makes each one, how both teams' recent results back it, and how it compares with the price.

Match Result Screener

Every upcoming match with the model's home, draw and away chances, both teams' recent results through each selection, and the Pinnacle price where the match is priced.

Smart views

171 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent results hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
PanathinaikosAEK Athens Sun 18:30 · Super League	Panathinaikos 1X2	2.17 46%	45%2.20	-2%	1.8–1.4	60%6/10	55%11/20	43%13/30
ElcheValencia Sun 18:30 · La Liga	Elche 1X2	2.39 42%	43%2.31	+4%	1.7–1.2	50%5/10	45%9/20	37%11/30
BurgosCastellón Sun 18:30 · La Liga 2	Burgos 1X2	3.76 27%	28%3.51	+7%	1.4–1.4	40%4/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
Lommel SKGent Sun 18:30 · Pro League	Draw 1X2	3.94 25%	26%3.89	+1%	1.3–1.4	20%2/10	20%4/20	20%6/30
Academico ViseuRio Ave Sun 19:00 · Liga Portugal	Academico Viseu 1X2	1.87 53%	52%1.92	-2%	1.8–1.1	60%6/10	55%11/20	52%14/27
Ittihad TangerCR Khemis Zemamra Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro	Ittihad Tanger 1X2	–	50%2.02	–	1.6–1.1	70%7/10	50%10/20	53%16/30
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate Sun 19:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	River Plate 1X2	3.84 26%	26%3.87	-1%	1.5–1.1	40%4/10	35%7/20	27%8/30
ASEC MimosasSan-Pedro Sun 19:00 · Ligue 1	ASEC Mimosas 1X2	–	41%2.44	–	1.4–1.1	20%2/10	30%6/20	37%11/30
CODM MeknèsFAR Rabat Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro	CODM Meknès 1X2	–	42%2.38	–	1.5–1.3	40%4/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
MarítimoSanta Clara Sun 19:00 · Liga Portugal	Marítimo 1X2	3.70 27%	28%3.58	+3%	1.3–1.5	30%3/10	25%5/20	24%6/25
Maccabi Petah Tikvalimited dataHapoel Be'er Sheva Sun 19:00 · Ligat ha'Al	Draw 1X2	5.06 20%	21%4.81	+5%	1.7–1.6	0%0/10	11%2/18	9%2/23
KAS EupenExcelsior Virtonlimited data Sun 19:15 · Challenger Pro League	Excelsior Virton 1X2	5.20 19%	21%4.75	+10%	1.7–1.3	20%2/10	35%6/17	32%7/22
VålerengaTromsø Sun 19:15 · Eliteserien	Vålerenga 1X2	2.44 41%	42%2.41	+1%	2.0–1.6	30%3/10	30%6/20	37%11/30
Sporting CharleroiLa Louvière Sun 19:15 · Pro League	La Louvière 1X2	5.74 17%	18%5.43	+6%	1.9–1.1	40%4/10	25%5/20	20%6/30
PalermoVicenza Sun 19:30 · Serie B	Draw 1X2	4.29 23%	23%4.40	-2%	2.0–1.3	20%2/10	30%6/20	24%6/25
Dinamo BucureştiUTA Arad Sun 19:30 · Superliga	UTA Arad 1X2	6.39 16%	17%5.84	+10%	1.7–1.1	30%3/10	25%5/20	30%9/30
PalmeirasVasco da Gama Sun 20:00 · Copa do Brasil	Draw 1X2	3.51 28%	28%3.61	-3%	1.5–1.1	10%1/10	15%3/20	23%7/30
LondrinaAmérica Mineiro Sun 20:00 · Serie B	Draw 1X2	3.55 28%	28%3.62	-2%	1.5–1.1	10%1/10	5%1/20	10%3/30
DanubioNacional Sun 20:30 · Primera Division	Danubio 1X2	4.26 23%	26%3.90	+9%	1.2–1.2	30%3/10	15%3/20	20%6/30
Olympique MarseilleToulouse Sun 20:45 · Ligue 1	Toulouse 1X2	3.78 26%	27%3.71	+2%	1.8–1.4	40%4/10	55%11/20	40%12/30
JuventusNapoli Sun 20:45 · Serie A	Napoli 1X2	3.42 29%	30%3.38	+1%	1.7–1.4	40%4/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
Athletic ClubReal Sociedad Sun 21:00 · La Liga	Real Sociedad 1X2	3.86 26%	27%3.69	+5%	1.8–1.5	50%5/10	45%9/20	43%13/30
TenerifeFC Andorra Sun 21:00 · La Liga 2	Tenerife 1X2	2.41 41%	41%2.42	-1%	1.6–1.3	20%2/10	40%8/20	50%14/28
RSB BerkaneRaja Casablanca Sun 21:00 · Botola Pro	RSB Berkane 1X2	–	42%2.37	–	1.3–1.0	20%2/10	30%6/20	40%12/30
Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders Sun 21:30 · Major League Soccer	Seattle Sounders 1X2	4.34 23%	24%4.22	+3%	1.6–1.2	20%2/10	35%7/20	30%9/30
Sporting BragaFamalicão Sun 21:30 · Liga Portugal	Draw 1X2	3.81 26%	27%3.76	+1%	1.3–1.2	10%1/10	25%5/20	37%11/30
GrêmioAtlético Mineiro Sun 22:30 · Copa do Brasil	Grêmio 1X2	2.60 38%	38%2.61	0%	1.5–1.3	50%5/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
BelgranoBarracas Central Sun 22:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Barracas Central 1X2	4.92 20%	23%4.43	+11%	1.3–1.1	50%5/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
Newell's Old BoysUnión Santa Fe Sun 22:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Unión Santa Fe 1X2	3.90 26%	25%4.00	-2%	1.5–1.1	20%2/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
Atlanta UnitedToronto Sun 22:30 · Major League Soccer	Draw 1X2	4.11 24%	24%4.21	-2%	1.8–1.5	10%1/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
Nashville SCNew York RB Sun 22:30 · Major League Soccer	Draw 1X2	4.93 20%	21%4.76	+4%	1.9–1.0	20%2/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
NovorizontinoOperário PR Sun 22:30 · Serie B	Operário PR 1X2	6.80 15%	16%6.39	+6%	1.8–1.0	10%1/10	25%5/20	20%6/30
CuiabáSão Bernardo Sun 22:30 · Serie B	Draw 1X2	3.33 30%	29%3.44	-3%	1.3–1.2	20%2/10	20%4/20	27%8/30
LiverpoolJuventud Mon 00:00 · Primera Division	Draw 1X2	3.38 30%	29%3.47	-2%	1.4–0.9	40%4/10	40%8/20	37%11/30
Santos LagunaNecaxa Mon 00:00 · Liga MX	Draw 1X2	4.15 24%	24%4.23	-2%	1.9–1.2	20%2/10	25%5/20	17%5/30
LanúsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza Mon 00:45 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Draw 1X2	4.43 23%	24%4.16	+6%	1.4–1.0	30%3/10	25%5/20	17%5/30
New EnglandInter Miami Mon 01:00 · Major League Soccer	New England 1X2	3.07 33%	35%2.88	+7%	1.8–1.6	50%5/10	45%9/20	43%13/30
Cruz AzulLeón Mon 02:10 · Liga MX	León 1X2	4.43 23%	23%4.31	+3%	1.9–1.4	20%2/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United Mon 02:30 · Major League Soccer	Minnesota United 1X2	4.54 22%	24%4.20	+8%	1.8–1.4	30%3/10	20%4/20	23%7/30
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo Mon 03:45 · Major League Soccer	Houston Dynamo 1X2	4.43 23%	25%4.03	+10%	1.6–1.4	20%2/10	30%6/20	37%11/30
Zorya LuhanskEpitsentr Dunayivtsi Mon 12:00 · Premier League	Draw 1X2	3.51 28%	27%3.74	-6%	1.6–1.1	30%3/10	30%6/20	40%12/30
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDynamo Kyiv Mon 12:00 · Premier League	Draw 1X2	4.85 21%	22%4.58	+6%	1.4–1.4	20%2/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
Pakhtakornew teamAl Nassr Mon 14:45 · AFC Champions League Elite	Draw 1X2	4.89 20%	21%4.70	+4%	1.5–1.5	22%2/9	21%3/14	16%3/19
Cherno MoreBotev Vratsa Mon 16:00 · First League	Botev Vratsa 1X2	4.19 24%	25%3.95	+6%	1.5–1.3	30%3/10	40%8/20	47%14/30
Krylya SovetovZenit Mon 16:00 · Premier League	Draw 1X2	4.43 23%	23%4.30	+3%	1.5–1.4	10%1/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
Real OviedoLas Palmas Mon 16:15 · La Liga 2	Las Palmas 1X2	4.81 21%	23%4.41	+9%	1.7–1.3	30%3/10	25%5/20	40%12/30
VoluntariFarul Constanța Mon 16:30 · Superliga	Voluntari 1X2	2.90 34%	34%2.95	-2%	1.6–1.6	20%2/10	15%3/20	25%7/28
Al WaslAl Quwa Al Jawiyanew team Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Al Wasl 1X2	1.24 81%	68%1.47	-16%	1.9–1.2	50%4/8	62%8/13	61%11/18
Tractor SaziNeftchinew team Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Tractor Sazi 1X2	2.14 47%	45%2.22	-4%	1.5–1.0	38%3/8	46%6/13	50%9/18
AtromitosVolos NFC Mon 17:00 · Super League	Volos NFC 1X2	4.05 25%	24%4.23	-4%	1.8–1.2	30%3/10	30%6/20	30%9/30

PanathinaikosAEK Athens
Sun 18:30 · Super League
2.17
-2%
Panathinaikos 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 45%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1543%13/30
ElcheValencia
Sun 18:30 · La Liga
2.39
+4%
Elche 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 43%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1537%11/30
BurgosCastellón
Sun 18:30 · La Liga 2
3.76
+7%
Burgos 1X2
xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 28%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
Lommel SKGent
Sun 18:30 · Pro League
3.94
+1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.4 · Model 26%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1520%6/30
Academico ViseuRio Ave
Sun 19:00 · Liga Portugal
1.87
-2%
Academico Viseu 1X2
xG 1.8–1.1 · Model 52%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1552%14/27
Ittihad TangerCR Khemis Zemamra
Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro
–
–
Ittihad Tanger 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 50%
L570%7/10L1050%10/20L1553%16/30
Boca JuniorsRiver Plate
Sun 19:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
3.84
-1%
River Plate 1X2
xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 26%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1527%8/30
ASEC MimosasSan-Pedro
Sun 19:00 · Ligue 1
–
–
ASEC Mimosas 1X2
xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 41%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1537%11/30
CODM MeknèsFAR Rabat
Sun 19:00 · Botola Pro
–
–
CODM Meknès 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 42%
L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
MarítimoSanta Clara
Sun 19:00 · Liga Portugal
3.70
+3%
Marítimo 1X2
xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 28%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1524%6/25
Maccabi Petah Tikvalimited dataHapoel Be'er Sheva
Sun 19:00 · Ligat ha'Al
5.06
+5%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.7–1.6 · Model 21%
L50%0/10L1011%2/18L159%2/23
KAS EupenExcelsior Virtonlimited data
Sun 19:15 · Challenger Pro League
5.20
+10%
Excelsior Virton 1X2
xG 1.7–1.3 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1035%6/17L1532%7/22
VålerengaTromsø
Sun 19:15 · Eliteserien
2.44
+1%
Vålerenga 1X2
xG 2.0–1.6 · Model 42%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1537%11/30
Sporting CharleroiLa Louvière
Sun 19:15 · Pro League
5.74
+6%
La Louvière 1X2
xG 1.9–1.1 · Model 18%
L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1520%6/30
PalermoVicenza
Sun 19:30 · Serie B
4.29
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 2.0–1.3 · Model 23%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1524%6/25
Dinamo BucureştiUTA Arad
Sun 19:30 · Superliga
6.39
+10%
UTA Arad 1X2
xG 1.7–1.1 · Model 17%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1530%9/30
PalmeirasVasco da Gama
Sun 20:00 · Copa do Brasil
3.51
-3%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 28%
L510%1/10L1015%3/20L1523%7/30
LondrinaAmérica Mineiro
Sun 20:00 · Serie B
3.55
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 28%
L510%1/10L105%1/20L1510%3/30
DanubioNacional
Sun 20:30 · Primera Division
4.26
+9%
Danubio 1X2
xG 1.2–1.2 · Model 26%
L530%3/10L1015%3/20L1520%6/30
Olympique MarseilleToulouse
Sun 20:45 · Ligue 1
3.78
+2%
Toulouse 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 27%
L540%4/10L1055%11/20L1540%12/30
JuventusNapoli
Sun 20:45 · Serie A
3.42
+1%
Napoli 1X2
xG 1.7–1.4 · Model 30%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Athletic ClubReal Sociedad
Sun 21:00 · La Liga
3.86
+5%
Real Sociedad 1X2
xG 1.8–1.5 · Model 27%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1543%13/30
TenerifeFC Andorra
Sun 21:00 · La Liga 2
2.41
-1%
Tenerife 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 41%
L520%2/10L1040%8/20L1550%14/28
RSB BerkaneRaja Casablanca
Sun 21:00 · Botola Pro
–
–
RSB Berkane 1X2
xG 1.3–1.0 · Model 42%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1540%12/30
Vancouver WhitecapsSeattle Sounders
Sun 21:30 · Major League Soccer
4.34
+3%
Seattle Sounders 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 24%
L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30
Sporting BragaFamalicão
Sun 21:30 · Liga Portugal
3.81
+1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.2 · Model 27%
L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1537%11/30
GrêmioAtlético Mineiro
Sun 22:30 · Copa do Brasil
2.60
0%
Grêmio 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 38%
L550%5/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
BelgranoBarracas Central
Sun 22:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
4.92
+11%
Barracas Central 1X2
xG 1.3–1.1 · Model 23%
L550%5/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
Newell's Old BoysUnión Santa Fe
Sun 22:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
3.90
-2%
Unión Santa Fe 1X2
xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 25%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
Atlanta UnitedToronto
Sun 22:30 · Major League Soccer
4.11
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.8–1.5 · Model 24%
L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
Nashville SCNew York RB
Sun 22:30 · Major League Soccer
4.93
+4%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.9–1.0 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
NovorizontinoOperário PR
Sun 22:30 · Serie B
6.80
+6%
Operário PR 1X2
xG 1.8–1.0 · Model 16%
L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1520%6/30
CuiabáSão Bernardo
Sun 22:30 · Serie B
3.33
-3%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.2 · Model 29%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1527%8/30
LiverpoolJuventud
Mon 00:00 · Primera Division
3.38
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–0.9 · Model 29%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1537%11/30
Santos LagunaNecaxa
Mon 00:00 · Liga MX
4.15
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.9–1.2 · Model 24%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1517%5/30
LanúsGimnasia y Esgrima Mendoza
Mon 00:45 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
4.43
+6%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.0 · Model 24%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1517%5/30
New EnglandInter Miami
Mon 01:00 · Major League Soccer
3.07
+7%
New England 1X2
xG 1.8–1.6 · Model 35%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1543%13/30
Cruz AzulLeón
Mon 02:10 · Liga MX
4.43
+3%
León 1X2
xG 1.9–1.4 · Model 23%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
Los Angeles FCMinnesota United
Mon 02:30 · Major League Soccer
4.54
+8%
Minnesota United 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 24%
L530%3/10L1020%4/20L1523%7/30
Portland TimbersHouston Dynamo
Mon 03:45 · Major League Soccer
4.43
+10%
Houston Dynamo 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 25%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1537%11/30
Zorya LuhanskEpitsentr Dunayivtsi
Mon 12:00 · Premier League
3.51
-6%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 27%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1540%12/30
Kryvbas Kryvyi RihDynamo Kyiv
Mon 12:00 · Premier League
4.85
+6%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 22%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
Pakhtakornew teamAl Nassr
Mon 14:45 · AFC Champions League Elite
4.89
+4%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.5–1.5 · Model 21%
L522%2/9L1021%3/14L1516%3/19
Cherno MoreBotev Vratsa
Mon 16:00 · First League
4.19
+6%
Botev Vratsa 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 25%
L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1547%14/30
Krylya SovetovZenit
Mon 16:00 · Premier League
4.43
+3%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 23%
L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Real OviedoLas Palmas
Mon 16:15 · La Liga 2
4.81
+9%
Las Palmas 1X2
xG 1.7–1.3 · Model 23%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1540%12/30
VoluntariFarul Constanța
Mon 16:30 · Superliga
2.90
-2%
Voluntari 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 34%
L520%2/10L1015%3/20L1525%7/28
Al WaslAl Quwa Al Jawiyanew team
Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.24
-16%
Al Wasl 1X2
xG 1.9–1.2 · Model 68%
L550%4/8L1062%8/13L1561%11/18
Tractor SaziNeftchinew team
Mon 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
2.14
-4%
Tractor Sazi 1X2
xG 1.5–1.0 · Model 45%
L538%3/8L1046%6/13L1550%9/18
AtromitosVolos NFC
Mon 17:00 · Super League
4.05
-4%
Volos NFC 1X2
xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 24%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30

Hit rates read both teams' last 5, 10 and 15 results through the selection: a home win counts the home side's wins and the away side's defeats, a double chance their unbeaten and winless runs; draw no bet leaves draws out. Model: expected goals from each side's recent for/against (weighted toward recent games, shrunk to the average team, with a home advantage measured from the data), turned into home / draw / away by a Poisson score grid with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores. Where the match is priced the chance shown is 70% the margin-free market price and 30% the model, because a form model cannot see squad quality the way a sharp market does; when the model alone sits 15+ points above the market, or at more than 1.5 times its chance, the row is marked disputed and shows no EV. Odds: Pinnacle (bet365 where Pinnacle has no price). Draw no bet and double chance are priced from the same 1X2 odds. EV is chance × odds − 1: the model's view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 1 Nov, 17:17.

Home, draw and away rates by league (last 12 months, min. 30 matches)

League	Matches	Home	Draw	Away	Goals
1. HNL	182	47.8%	25.3%	26.9%	2.77
1. Lig	395	43.5%	23.8%	32.7%	2.89
2. Bundesliga	301	46.2%	27.2%	26.6%	2.97
A-League Men	163	36.8%	28.8%	34.4%	2.82
A-League Women	129	44.2%	19.4%	36.4%	2.71
Admiral Bundesliga	191	48.2%	25.7%	26.2%	2.86
AFC Champions League Elite	130	46.9%	23.1%	30%	2.68
AFC Champions League Two	120	48.3%	21.7%	30%	2.78
Africa Cup of Nations	52	46.2%	25%	28.8%	2.33
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	60	50%	21.7%	28.3%	2.53
Allsvenskan	223	39%	24.2%	36.8%	2.85
Botola Pro	230	36.5%	32.2%	31.3%	2.23
Brasileiro Women	167	42.5%	26.3%	31.1%	2.6
Bundesliga	299	45.5%	25.1%	29.4%	3.32
CAF Champions League	151	51%	29.1%	19.9%	2.06
Carabao Cup	93	40.9%	18.3%	40.9%	3.04
Challenger Pro League	246	44.3%	22.4%	33.3%	2.92
Champions League	279	51.6%	17.6%	30.8%	3.37
Championship	558	42.7%	26%	31.4%	2.71
Chance Liga	269	44.6%	20.1%	35.3%	2.77
CONCACAF Nations League	74	45.9%	10.8%	43.2%	3.38
Copa Del Rey	119	26.9%	10.9%	62.2%	3.23
Copa do Brasil	156	44.2%	30.8%	25%	2.12
Copa Libertadores	154	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	2.1
Copa Sudamericana	157	44.6%	31.8%	23.6%	2.29
Coppa Italia	45	60%	24.4%	15.6%	3
Coupe de France	203	23.2%	26.6%	50.2%	3.14
DFB Pokal	63	27%	11.1%	61.9%	3.95
Eerste Divisie	374	44.4%	20.9%	34.8%	3.32
Ekstraklasa	304	44.1%	26.3%	29.6%	2.77
Eliteserien	226	51.3%	17.7%	31%	3.28
Enterprise National League	557	45.4%	20.1%	34.5%	3.04
Eredivisie	314	40.4%	28.3%	31.2%	3.29
Europa Conference League	411	47%	23.8%	29.2%	2.83
Europa League	269	49.8%	19%	31.2%	2.83
FA Cup	833	43.6%	18.5%	37.9%	3.31
First Division	182	37.9%	31.3%	30.8%	2.79
First League	276	43.1%	25.4%	31.5%	2.39
FNL	296	40.5%	27.7%	31.8%	2.52
Indian Super League	114	37.7%	32.5%	29.8%	2.47
J1 League	160	46.3%	21.9%	31.9%	2.91
K League 1	224	32.1%	33.9%	33.9%	2.43
KNVB Beker	109	40.4%	11%	48.6%	4.01
La Liga	383	48.6%	24.3%	27.2%	2.8
La Liga 2	473	45.7%	23.3%	31.1%	2.67
League One	549	44.3%	27.1%	28.6%	2.74
League Two	552	43.5%	27.5%	29%	2.59
Liga MX	330	43.3%	26.1%	30.6%	2.84
Liga Portugal	307	41.4%	26.1%	32.6%	2.73
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	529	41.6%	29.1%	29.3%	2.13
Ligat ha'Al	240	40.4%	24.6%	35%	2.92
Ligue 1	291	44.3%	24.7%	30.9%	2.82
Ligue 1	187	32.6%	28.3%	39%	2.03
Ligue 2	289	37.4%	31.1%	31.5%	2.57
Major League Soccer	508	45.7%	26.4%	28%	3.26
Persian Gulf Pro League	194	40.7%	35.1%	24.2%	1.85
Premier League	284	36.3%	33.8%	29.9%	2.18
Premier League	233	43.3%	27.9%	28.8%	2.56
Premier League	231	35.1%	35.1%	29.9%	2.14
Premier League	373	40.2%	29.2%	30.6%	2.76
Premier League	233	40.8%	26.6%	32.6%	2.5
Premiership	234	46.2%	23.5%	30.3%	2.81
Primera Division	294	41.2%	25.9%	33%	2.36
Pro League	348	44%	23.6%	32.5%	3
Pro League	301	42.9%	22.6%	34.6%	2.86
Russian Cup	143	40.6%	28.7%	30.8%	2.63
Serie A	384	41.4%	21.6%	37%	2.66
Serie A	412	48.8%	27.2%	24%	2.7
Serie B	391	44.8%	27.9%	27.4%	2.32
Serie B	385	44.2%	29.1%	26.8%	2.56
Stars League	132	36.4%	23.5%	40.2%	3.45
Super League	242	43.8%	26.4%	29.8%	3.13
Super League	223	39.9%	25.1%	35%	3.37
Super League	237	42.6%	27%	30.4%	2.58
Super Lig	301	45.2%	25.6%	29.2%	2.79
Superliga	311	49.5%	24.1%	26.4%	2.58
Superliga	190	41.6%	27.4%	31.1%	3.06
Taça De Portugal	146	44.5%	10.3%	45.2%	3.06
UAE Pro League	175	37.1%	25.7%	37.1%	3.06
UEFA Nations League	108	38%	25.9%	36.1%	2.44
UEFA Women's Champions League	162	50%	19.1%	30.9%	3.63
UEFA Youth League	217	49.8%	17.5%	32.7%	3.8
V-League	156	44.2%	21.8%	34%	2.67
Veikkausliiga	178	44.9%	27.5%	27.5%	2.58
WC Qualification Europe	60	46.7%	20%	33.3%	3.45
Women's Super League	151	44.4%	20.5%	35.1%	3.15
World Cup	104	48.1%	23.1%	28.8%	2.96
World Cup Women Qualification Europe	101	46.5%	13.9%	39.6%	3.45
Youth League	236	50%	15.7%	34.3%	3.81

How the Match Result Screener Works

Each row is one selection: a home win, a draw or an away win, or the draw-no-bet and double-chance versions of them. The model turns each side's recent goals for and against into expected goals, adds the home advantage seen in the data, and reads home, draw and away off a score grid. Where the match is priced, that model leans on the sharp market price, so the model EV is a small tilt on the price rather than a guess against it — and still the model's view, not a proven betting edge.

Draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw, so it is priced off the 1X2 without the draw; double chance covers two of the three outcomes at shorter odds. When the model alone rates a team far above the market, the row is marked disputed instead of showing an EV: a gap that big usually means team news or squad quality the model cannot see.

Using It With Other Stats

Check the form guide and home/away records behind a pick, the goal screener for how open the match should be, and the model accas to combine picks.

Match Result Screener