Card Statistics

Screen upcoming matches by both teams' booking records and the referee in charge, see the expected cards and the model's price, then check this week's strictest referees.

Card Screener

Every upcoming match with both teams' recent booking record against the line, the expected cards with the referee factored in, and a model price, with value against bet365 where the odds are in.

Smart views

419 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent cards hit rates and model value
	Line	Odds						L15
GrêmioAthletico PR Fri 01:30 · Serie ARef Alex Gomes Stefano · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	64%1.56	+6%	6.0ref +0.8	80%8/10	85%17/20	77%23/30
Lokomotiv PlovdivLudogorets Sat 13:00 · First LeagueRef Todor Nedyalkov Kirov · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.92	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	50%2.00	–	4.7ref −0.4	80%8/10	85%17/20	70%21/30
AFC BournemouthLeeds United Sat 16:00 · Premier LeagueRef Michael Salisbury · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.94	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	56%1.79	0%	4.2ref −0.3	80%8/10	75%15/20	70%21/30
VillarrealEspanyol Fri 21:00 · La LigaRef José María Sánchez Martínez · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.03	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.90 53%	54%1.84	+3%	5.2ref +0.1	80%8/10	75%15/20	67%20/30
Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting Sun 14:00 · Primera DivisionRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	52%1.93	–	5.8	50%5/10	75%15/20	63%19/30
Lokomotiv Moskva U19Dinamo Makhachkala U19 Fri 13:00 · Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.95	–	4.7	80%8/10	75%15/20	60%18/30
Brisbane RoarAuckland Fri 10:00 · A-League MenRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	61%1.65	-2%	4.4	60%6/10	70%14/20	60%18/30
Vila NovaJuventude Sat 21:30 · Serie BRef Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima · 5.5 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	60%1.67	+8%	5.8ref +0.8	70%7/10	70%14/20	73%22/30
Norwich CityWatford Sat 13:30 · ChampionshipRef Ben Speedie · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	57%1.76	-5%	4.1ref −0.7	60%6/10	70%14/20	70%21/30
CriciúmaPonte Preta Fri 23:30 · Serie BRef Yuri Elino Ferreira da Cruz · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.04	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	56%1.78	+3%	5.4ref +0.2	70%7/10	70%14/20	73%22/30
Estudiantes de Río CuartoGimnasia La Plata Fri 23:00 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Juan Pablo Loustau · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.03	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	55%1.83	0%	5.2ref +0.1	70%7/10	70%14/20	73%22/30
NantesClermont Fri 20:00 · Ligue 2Ref Mickaël Leleu · 3.8 cards/match · ×0.93	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	55%1.83	–	3.9ref −0.3	60%6/10	70%14/20	73%22/30
CeutaSporting Gijón Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2Ref: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	54%1.84	–	4.9	50%5/10	70%14/20	67%20/30
CoritibaVitória Sat 20:00 · Serie ARef Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.98	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	53%1.89	-12%	4.7ref −0.1	50%5/10	70%14/20	63%19/30
Viborg FFHorsens Sun 14:00 · SuperligaRef Aydin Uslu · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.89	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	51%1.98	–	3.7ref −0.5	80%8/10	70%14/20	63%19/30
Sheffield UnitedWrexham Fri 21:00 · ChampionshipRef David Webb · 3.0 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 3.5 Match cards	2.00 50%	51%1.98	+1%	3.9ref −0.7	80%8/10	70%14/20	67%20/30
Corvinul HunedoaraArgeş Sat 15:00 · SuperligaRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	56%1.80	–	5.0	75%6/8	69%9/13	61%11/18
Le HavreParis Saint Germain Fri 19:00 · Ligue 1Ref François Letexier · 4.1 cards/match · ×0.95	Over 2.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	63%1.59	+1%	3.5ref −0.2	60%6/10	65%13/20	67%20/30
West Ham UnitedWest Bromwich Albion Sat 16:00 · ChampionshipRef Robert Jones · 4.3 cards/match · ×1.01	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	59%1.70	-5%	4.2	50%5/10	65%13/20	60%18/30
SarmientoRosario Central Sat 01:15 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Andrés Merlos · 5.7 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	59%1.70	+8%	5.7ref +0.8	70%7/10	65%13/20	70%21/30
FC VolendamDe Graafschap Fri 20:00 · Eerste DivisieRef Martin van den Kerkhof · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 2.5 Match cards	–	57%1.75	–	3.0ref −0.5	70%7/10	65%13/20	67%20/30
FC AugsburgSC Freiburg Sat 15:30 · BundesligaRef Christian Dingert · 4.3 cards/match · ×1.00	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	56%1.77	-6%	4.0	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
FalkirkCeltic Sun 14:00 · PremiershipRef Duncan Nicolson · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.03	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.90 53%	56%1.77	+7%	4.4ref +0.1	70%7/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
ElcheValencia Sun 18:30 · La LigaRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	55%1.82	–	5.0	80%8/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
NordsjællandFC Midtjylland Sun 16:00 · SuperligaRef Lasse Læbel Graagaard · 3.1 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	53%1.90	–	3.8ref −0.7	60%6/10	65%13/20	70%21/30
Rotor VolgogradUfa Sun 14:00 · FNLRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.97	–	4.7	80%8/10	65%13/20	67%20/30
Newport CountyChesterfield Fri 20:45 · League TwoRef Zac Kennard-Kettle · 4.7 cards/match · ×1.07	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	50%1.98	–	4.7ref +0.3	50%5/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
RacingCerro Largo Sat 14:00 · Primera DivisionRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	45%2.22	–	5.4	50%5/10	65%13/20	63%19/30
Fleetwood TownBristol Rovers Sat 16:00 · League TwoRef Richard Eley · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.88	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	41%2.46	–	4.2ref −0.6	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
Grenoble Foot 38Dijon Fri 20:00 · Ligue 2Ref Soulaimane Chamel · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.97	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	54%1.84	–	3.9ref −0.1	50%4/8	62%8/13	50%9/18
OtelulSepsi Sun 14:00 · SuperligaRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	47%2.11	–	4.5	50%4/8	62%8/13	56%10/18
Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim Sat 15:30 · BundesligaRef Tobias Reichel · 4.3 cards/match · ×1.01	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	59%1.70	-2%	4.3	80%8/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
LondrinaAmérica Mineiro Sun 20:00 · Serie BRef Daiane Caroline Muniz dos Santos · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.93	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.72 58%	58%1.71	0%	4.3ref −0.3	50%5/10	60%12/20	70%21/30
Melbourne CitySydney Sat 07:00 · A-League MenRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	58%1.71	+7%	4.6	70%7/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
TamworthWoking Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National LeagueRef Matthew McQuillan · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.96	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	57%1.77	–	4.0ref −0.2	60%6/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
LA GalaxyAustin Sat 22:00 · Major League SoccerRef Lukasz Szpala · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.91	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.79	–	4.0ref −0.4	40%4/10	60%12/20	63%19/30
Lincoln CityBirmingham City Sat 13:30 · ChampionshipRef Lewis Smith · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.98	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	55%1.80	0%	4.2ref −0.1	70%7/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
KatowiceWidzew Lodz Sat 20:15 · EkstraklasaRef Wojciech Myć · 3.8 cards/match · ×0.92	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	55%1.81	–	3.9ref −0.4	70%7/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
FC EmmenFC Den Bosch Sun 14:30 · Eerste DivisieRef Clay Ruperti · 4.1 cards/match · ×0.96	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	55%1.81	–	3.9ref −0.1	50%5/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
Hajduk SplitGorica Sat 15:00 · 1. HNLRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	55%1.83	–	3.9	60%6/10	60%12/20	50%15/30
Dinamo Moskva U19Zenit U19 Fri 17:00 · Youth LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	54%1.84	–	3.9	50%5/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
BarrowEastleigh Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National LeagueRef P. Marsden · 4.1 cards/match · ×0.97	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	54%1.86	–	3.9ref −0.1	60%6/10	60%12/20	50%15/30
Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palace Sat 18:30 · Premier LeagueRef Michael Oliver · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.87	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.72 58%	53%1.87	-8%	3.8ref −0.6	70%7/10	60%12/20	63%19/30
MacarthurWestern Sydney Wanderers Sat 09:40 · A-League MenRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	53%1.87	-4%	3.9	60%6/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
Brøndby IFAGF Sun 18:00 · SuperligaRef Sandi Putros · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.87	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	53%1.88	–	3.8ref −0.6	60%6/10	60%12/20	63%19/30
CSKA 1948 SofiaSpartak Varna Fri 16:00 · First LeagueRef Martin Markov · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.02	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	53%1.90	–	4.8ref +0.1	40%4/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
LiverpoolJuventud Mon 00:00 · Primera DivisionRef: not assigned yet	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	52%1.93	–	5.8	60%6/10	60%12/20	67%20/30
Swansea CityBlackburn Rovers Sat 16:00 · ChampionshipRef Gavin Ward · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.86	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	52%1.93	-17%	3.5ref −0.6	60%6/10	60%12/20	50%15/30
ComoVenezia Sun 12:30 · Serie ARef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	52%1.94	–	3.8	60%6/10	60%12/20	50%15/30
PachucaTigres UANL Sun 00:00 · Liga MXRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.96	–	4.7	60%6/10	60%12/20	63%19/30

GrêmioAthletico PR
Fri 01:30 · Serie A
Ref Alex Gomes Stefano · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.15
1.66
+6%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 6.0 · Model 64%
L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1577%23/30
Lokomotiv PlovdivLudogorets
Sat 13:00 · First League
Ref Todor Nedyalkov Kirov · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.92
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 50%
L580%8/10L1085%17/20L1570%21/30
AFC BournemouthLeeds United
Sat 16:00 · Premier League
Ref Michael Salisbury · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.94
1.80
0%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 56%
L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1570%21/30
VillarrealEspanyol
Fri 21:00 · La Liga
Ref José María Sánchez Martínez · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.03
1.90
+3%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.2 · Model 54%
L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1567%20/30
Atlético ProgresoDefensor Sporting
Sun 14:00 · Primera Division
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.8 · Model 52%
L550%5/10L1075%15/20L1563%19/30
Lokomotiv Moskva U19Dinamo Makhachkala U19
Fri 13:00 · Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L580%8/10L1075%15/20L1560%18/30
Brisbane RoarAuckland
Fri 10:00 · A-League Men
Ref: not assigned yet
1.61
-2%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.4 · Model 61%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1560%18/30
Vila NovaJuventude
Sat 21:30 · Serie B
Ref Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima · 5.5 cards/match · ×1.15
1.80
+8%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.8 · Model 60%
L570%7/10L1070%14/20L1573%22/30
Norwich CityWatford
Sat 13:30 · Championship
Ref Ben Speedie · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.85
1.66
-5%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 57%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1570%21/30
CriciúmaPonte Preta
Fri 23:30 · Serie B
Ref Yuri Elino Ferreira da Cruz · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.04
1.83
+3%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.4 · Model 56%
L570%7/10L1070%14/20L1573%22/30
Estudiantes de Río CuartoGimnasia La Plata
Fri 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Juan Pablo Loustau · 5.0 cards/match · ×1.03
1.83
0%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.2 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1070%14/20L1573%22/30
NantesClermont
Fri 20:00 · Ligue 2
Ref Mickaël Leleu · 3.8 cards/match · ×0.93
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1573%22/30
CeutaSporting Gijón
Sun 16:15 · La Liga 2
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 54%
L550%5/10L1070%14/20L1567%20/30
CoritibaVitória
Sat 20:00 · Serie A
Ref Jonathan Benkenstein Pinheiro · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.98
1.66
-12%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 53%
L550%5/10L1070%14/20L1563%19/30
Viborg FFHorsens
Sun 14:00 · Superliga
Ref Aydin Uslu · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.89
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 51%
L580%8/10L1070%14/20L1563%19/30
Sheffield UnitedWrexham
Fri 21:00 · Championship
Ref David Webb · 3.0 cards/match · ×0.85
2.00
+1%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 51%
L580%8/10L1070%14/20L1567%20/30
Corvinul HunedoaraArgeş
Sat 15:00 · Superliga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.0 · Model 56%
L575%6/8L1069%9/13L1561%11/18
Le HavreParis Saint Germain
Fri 19:00 · Ligue 1
Ref François Letexier · 4.1 cards/match · ×0.95
1.61
+1%
Over 2.5 Match cards
Exp 3.5 · Model 63%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1567%20/30
West Ham UnitedWest Bromwich Albion
Sat 16:00 · Championship
Ref Robert Jones · 4.3 cards/match · ×1.01
1.61
-5%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 59%
L550%5/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
SarmientoRosario Central
Sat 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Andrés Merlos · 5.7 cards/match · ×1.15
1.83
+8%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.7 · Model 59%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1570%21/30
FC VolendamDe Graafschap
Fri 20:00 · Eerste Divisie
Ref Martin van den Kerkhof · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.85
–
–
Over 2.5 Match cards
Exp 3.0 · Model 57%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1567%20/30
FC AugsburgSC Freiburg
Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga
Ref Christian Dingert · 4.3 cards/match · ×1.00
1.66
-6%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
FalkirkCeltic
Sun 14:00 · Premiership
Ref Duncan Nicolson · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.03
1.90
+7%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.4 · Model 56%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
ElcheValencia
Sun 18:30 · La Liga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.0 · Model 55%
L580%8/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
NordsjællandFC Midtjylland
Sun 16:00 · Superliga
Ref Lasse Læbel Graagaard · 3.1 cards/match · ×0.85
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.8 · Model 53%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1570%21/30
Rotor VolgogradUfa
Sun 14:00 · FNL
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L580%8/10L1065%13/20L1567%20/30
Newport CountyChesterfield
Fri 20:45 · League Two
Ref Zac Kennard-Kettle · 4.7 cards/match · ×1.07
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 50%
L550%5/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
RacingCerro Largo
Sat 14:00 · Primera Division
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.4 · Model 45%
L550%5/10L1065%13/20L1563%19/30
Fleetwood TownBristol Rovers
Sat 16:00 · League Two
Ref Richard Eley · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.88
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 41%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
Grenoble Foot 38Dijon
Fri 20:00 · Ligue 2
Ref Soulaimane Chamel · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.97
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 54%
L550%4/8L1062%8/13L1550%9/18
OtelulSepsi
Sun 14:00 · Superliga
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.5 · Model 47%
L550%4/8L1062%8/13L1556%10/18
Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim
Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga
Ref Tobias Reichel · 4.3 cards/match · ×1.01
1.66
-2%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.3 · Model 59%
L580%8/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
LondrinaAmérica Mineiro
Sun 20:00 · Serie B
Ref Daiane Caroline Muniz dos Santos · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.93
1.72
0%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.3 · Model 58%
L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1570%21/30
Melbourne CitySydney
Sat 07:00 · A-League Men
Ref: not assigned yet
1.83
+7%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.6 · Model 58%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
TamworthWoking
Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League
Ref Matthew McQuillan · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.96
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 57%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
LA GalaxyAustin
Sat 22:00 · Major League Soccer
Ref Lukasz Szpala · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.91
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L540%4/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
Lincoln CityBirmingham City
Sat 13:30 · Championship
Ref Lewis Smith · 4.2 cards/match · ×0.98
1.80
0%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
KatowiceWidzew Lodz
Sat 20:15 · Ekstraklasa
Ref Wojciech Myć · 3.8 cards/match · ×0.92
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
FC EmmenFC Den Bosch
Sun 14:30 · Eerste Divisie
Ref Clay Ruperti · 4.1 cards/match · ×0.96
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
Hajduk SplitGorica
Sat 15:00 · 1. HNL
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
Dinamo Moskva U19Zenit U19
Fri 17:00 · Youth League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 54%
L550%5/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
BarrowEastleigh
Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League
Ref P. Marsden · 4.1 cards/match · ×0.97
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 54%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
Tottenham HotspurCrystal Palace
Sat 18:30 · Premier League
Ref Michael Oliver · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.87
1.72
-8%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.8 · Model 53%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
MacarthurWestern Sydney Wanderers
Sat 09:40 · A-League Men
Ref: not assigned yet
1.80
-4%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 53%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
Brøndby IFAGF
Sun 18:00 · Superliga
Ref Sandi Putros · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.87
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.8 · Model 53%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30
CSKA 1948 SofiaSpartak Varna
Fri 16:00 · First League
Ref Martin Markov · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.02
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 53%
L540%4/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
LiverpoolJuventud
Mon 00:00 · Primera Division
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.8 · Model 52%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1567%20/30
Swansea CityBlackburn Rovers
Sat 16:00 · Championship
Ref Gavin Ward · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.86
1.61
-17%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.5 · Model 52%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
ComoVenezia
Sun 12:30 · Serie A
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.8 · Model 52%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1550%15/30
PachucaTigres UANL
Sun 00:00 · Liga MX
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1563%19/30

Hit rates pool both teams' recent matches (match cards): L10 is each team's last 10, so up to 20 games. Model: expected cards from each side's for/against averages, weighted toward recent games and shrunk to the average team, as a Poisson chance; where the bookmaker prices both sides it is blended half-and-half with the margin-free market price. Odds: bet365, where the feed has them. EV is model chance × odds − 1. Cards are yellows plus reds per side. The referee’s cards per match in our data, shrunk toward the average referee, scales the expected cards (×0.85 to ×1.15); before a referee is assigned the teams alone set it. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 29 Oct, 23:17.

Referees this week — strictest first

Referee	Matches	Cards / match	Effect	Next match	Exp. cards
Anderson Daronco	59	5.1	×1.15	PalmeirasvVasco da GamaSun 20:00 · Copa do Brasil	4.8 → 5.5
Facundo Tello Figueroa	55	5.3	×1.15	Vélez SarsfieldvSan LorenzoSat 23:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.2 → 6.0
Yael Falcón Pérez	54	5.8	×1.15	Atlético TucumánvArgentinos JuniorsTue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.5 → 6.3
Wilton Pereira Sampaio	52	5.4	×1.15	PalmeirasvRemoThu 23:30 · Serie A	4.3 → 5.0
Darío Herrera	48	6.3	×1.15	Deportivo RiestravTalleres CórdobaSat 21:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.8 → 5.5
Bruno Arleu de Araujo	44	5.5	×1.15	Vasco da GamavFlamengoFri 00:00 · Serie A	4.9 → 5.6
Bruno Arleu de Araujo	44	5.5	×1.15	FortalezavAtlético GOMon 20:00 · Serie B	5.0 → 5.7
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli	43	5.7	×1.15	FlamengovGrêmioWed 23:30 · Serie A	5.2 → 5.9
Felipe Fernandes de Lima	40	5.6	×1.15	GoiásvCRBTue 00:30 · Serie B	4.3 → 4.9
Alex Gomes Stefano	39	5.6	×1.15	GrêmiovAthletico PRFri 01:30 · Serie A	5.3 → 6.0
Alex Gomes Stefano	39	5.6	×1.15	Athletic ClubvCearáMon 22:00 · Serie B	4.6 → 5.3
Rodrigo José Pereira de Lima	36	5.5	×1.15	Vila NovavJuventudeSat 21:30 · Serie B	5.0 → 5.8
Lucas Paulo Torezin	36	5.6	×1.15	ChapecoensevMirassolTue 23:30 · Serie A	4.6 → 5.3
Nazareno Arasa	35	5.8	×1.15	Racing ClubvAldosiviSat 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.0 → 5.7
Andrés Merlos	33	5.7	×1.15	SarmientovRosario CentralSat 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.0 → 5.7
Víctor Rivas	33	5.2	×1.15	CharlottevOrlando CitySat 18:00 · Major League Soccer	4.4 → 5.1
Paweł Raczkowski	32	5.7	×1.15	Lech PoznańvWisła KrakówSat 17:30 · Ekstraklasa	4.0 → 4.6
André Luis Skettino Policarpo Bento	32	5.7	×1.15	NovorizontinovOperário PRSun 22:30 · Serie B	5.6 → 6.4
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho	32	5.5	×1.15	InternacionalvCoritibaWed 01:30 · Serie A	4.5 → 5.2
Ruebyn Ricardo	31	5.6	×1.15	BurnleyvPortsmouthSat 16:00 · Championship	4.4 → 5.0
Radoslav Gidzhenov	31	6.0	×1.15	CSKA SofiavSlavia SofiaSat 18:30 · First League	4.7 → 5.5
Bastien Dechepy	30	5.2	×1.15	MetzvPauFri 20:00 · Ligue 2	4.1 → 4.7
Afro Rocha de Carvalho Filho	30	5.2	×1.15	NáuticovAvaíSat 23:30 · Serie B	4.7 → 5.4
Nicolás Ramírez	30	7.1	×1.15	Boca JuniorsvRiver PlateSun 19:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.2 → 5.9
John Brooks	29	5.3	×1.15	Newcastle UnitedvEvertonMon 21:00 · Premier League	4.7 → 5.4
Sebastián Nicolás Martínez	29	6.3	×1.15	Defensa y JusticiavIndependienteMon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.6 → 5.3
Kadir Sağlam	28	5.5	×1.15	Erzurumspor FKvÇorum FKSat 11:30 · Super Lig	3.7 → 4.3
Batuhan Kolak	28	5.3	×1.15	KocaelisporvRizesporSat 14:00 · Super Lig	4.4 → 5.1
Ozan Ergün	28	5.2	×1.15	İstanbul BaşakşehirvSamsunsporSun 14:00 · Super Lig	5.0 → 5.8
Edina Alves Batista	28	6.3	×1.15	BragantinovSantosTue 00:00 · Serie A	5.0 → 5.8
Florian Exner	25	5.9	×1.15	Eintracht FrankfurtvHamburger SVSun 17:30 · Bundesliga	4.0 → 4.6
Christos Vergetis	24	5.3	×1.15	KalamatavIraklisMon 18:30 · Super League	4.2 → 4.9
Richard Hempel	14	5.8	×1.15	FC Union BerlinvFC KölnSun 15:30 · Bundesliga	4.1 → 4.7
Thanasis Tzilos	12	6.4	×1.15	LevadiakosvArisSun 16:00 · Super League	5.4 → 6.3
Michalis Matsoukas	12	6.2	×1.15	PAOKvAsteras TripolisSun 18:00 · Super League	4.7 → 5.4
Ömer Faruk Gültekin	11	5.8	×1.15	Esenler EroksporvKeçiörengücüFri 18:00 · 1. Lig	4.9 → 5.6
Daniel Zamora	10	6.1	×1.15	Newell's Old BoysvUnión Santa FeSun 22:30 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	5.1 → 5.9
Alexandros Katsikogiannis	9	6.7	×1.15	AtromitosvVolos NFCMon 17:00 · Super League	4.8 → 5.5
Emre Kargın	3	7.3	×1.15	Manisa FKvBatman PetrolsporSat 17:00 · 1. Lig	4.6 → 5.3
Damian Sylwestrzak	35	5.1	×1.15	Wieczysta KrakówvJagiellonia BiałystokSat 14:45 · Ekstraklasa	4.4 → 5.0

How the Card Model Works

Cards are counted as yellows plus reds for each side. For every upcoming match the model takes each team's cards received and the cards its opponents picked up over its last 15 matches, weights recent games more, and shrinks the result toward the average team so a few wild games cannot dominate.

Then the referee comes in. Their cards per match across every game of theirs in our data is compared with the average match; the more games they have refereed, the more that rate counts. A strict referee scales the expected cards up (to at most ×1.4), a lenient one down (to ×0.7). Before a referee is appointed, the teams alone set the number.

Using Card Stats for Betting

Booking markets move on the referee more than most bettors realise: the same fixture can be a 3.5-card game with one official and a 5.5-card game with another. Use Strict referees to see the matches where the appointment pushes the line up, and Quiet games for unders.

Context matters too: derbies, relegation battles and cup ties tend to run hotter than the averages. Check the team stats for fouls and cards per game, and the player prop screener for individual booking lines.