Card Statistics

Screen upcoming matches by both teams' booking records and the referee in charge, see the expected cards and the model's price, then check this week's strictest referees.

Card Screener

Every upcoming match with both teams' recent booking record against the line, the expected cards with the referee factored in, and a model price next to bet365 where the odds are in.

Smart views

168 matches · line closest to even per match

Upcoming matches with recent cards hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
Crvena Zvezda U19limited dataBravo U19new team Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Igor Shumilov · 2.0 cards/match · ×0.95	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	60%1.68	–	4.2ref −0.2	88%7/8	88%7/8	88%7/8
LASK UEFA U19new teamSlovan Bratislava U19new team Tue 15:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Mateo Tozan · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.97	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	59%1.71	–	5.2ref −0.1	83%5/6	83%5/6	83%5/6
Lens U19new teamComo U19new team Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Matthew McDermid · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.93	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	45%2.20	–	4.4ref −0.4	83%5/6	83%5/6	83%5/6
Slavia Prague U19limited dataArsenal U19limited data Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Artem Gasparyan · 4.0 cards/match · ×0.99	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.97	–	4.7ref −0.1	80%8/10	82%14/17	82%14/17
SunderlandDinamo Zagreb Thu 21:00 · Europa LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	59%1.68	–	4.1	60%6/10	70%14/20	67%20/30
FC KøbenhavnFC Iberia 1999 Thu 21:00 · Europa Conference LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	58%1.71	–	4.1	70%7/10	70%14/20	60%15/25
WatfordLincoln City Tue 20:45 · ChampionshipRef James Bell · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.91	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	58%1.72	-4%	4.2ref −0.4	80%8/10	70%14/20	63%19/30
East BengalAl Seebnew team Tue 14:45 · AFC Champions League TwoRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	58%1.71	–	4.1	63%5/8	69%9/13	72%13/18
Manchester United U19new teamRoma U19new team Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Jacob Karlsen · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.86	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	41%2.44	–	4.2ref −0.7	67%4/6	67%4/6	67%4/6
Manchester UnitedRoma Tue 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	60%1.68	–	4.2	60%6/10	65%13/20	60%18/30
LASK LinzSlovan Bratislava Tue 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef Donatas Rumšas · 4.0 cards/match · ×0.98	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.61 62%	58%1.71	-6%	4.1ref −0.1	60%6/10	65%13/20	70%21/30
AtalantaKairat Thu 18:45 · Europa Conference LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	58%1.72	–	4.1	70%7/10	65%13/20	50%15/30
LillestrømViktoria Plzeň Thu 18:45 · Europa LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	58%1.73	–	4.1	40%4/10	65%13/20	60%18/30
Lyngby BoldklubRanders FC Tue 18:00 · Landspokal CupRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	57%1.77	–	4.0	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia Thu 21:00 · Europa Conference LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	55%1.81	–	5.0	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
Independiente RivadaviaBanfield Tue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Álvaro Carranza · 4.6 cards/match · ×1.05	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	55%1.83	-9%	4.9ref +0.2	70%7/10	65%13/20	47%14/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa Tue 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef Davide Massa · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.05	Over 3.5 Match cards	2.20 45%	54%1.84	+19%	4.5ref +0.2	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
Hapoel Be'er ShevaOFI Thu 21:00 · Europa LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	51%1.96	–	4.7	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
Birmingham CityMillwall Tue 21:00 · ChampionshipRef David Webb · 2.9 cards/match · ×0.85	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	50%2.00	-8%	3.7ref −0.7	80%8/10	65%13/20	53%16/30
FlamengoGrêmio Wed 23:30 · Serie ARef Paulo Cesar Zanovelli · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 5.5 Match cards	2.00 50%	47%2.11	-5%	5.6ref +0.7	40%4/10	65%13/20	50%15/30
Spartak KostromaVolna Koverninonew team Tue 17:30 · Russian CupRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	49%2.05	–	4.6	56%5/9	64%9/14	58%11/19
Port FCnew teamBeijing Guoan Tue 13:15 · AFC Champions League EliteRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	52%1.92	–	3.8	63%5/8	62%8/13	61%11/18
Shakhtar Donetsk U19new teamSporting CP U19 Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Arnes Talic · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.07	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	46%2.17	–	5.4ref +0.3	75%6/8	62%8/13	57%8/14
Polokwane CityKruger Unitedlimited data Wed 18:30 · Premier LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	57%1.76	–	4.0	50%5/10	61%11/18	57%13/23
Borussia Dortmund U19limited dataReal Betis U19limited data Wed 16:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Wojciech Myć · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.96	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	54%1.85	–	4.9ref −0.2	60%6/10	61%11/18	61%11/18
BragantinoSantos Tue 00:00 · Serie ARef Edina Alves Batista · 5.8 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.66 60%	61%1.65	0%	5.6ref +0.7	60%6/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
CelticBeşiktaş Thu 21:00 · Europa LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	60%1.67	–	4.2	80%8/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente Mon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de FútbolRef Sebastián Nicolás Martínez · 6.2 cards/match · ×1.15	Over 4.5 Match cards	1.72 58%	58%1.72	0%	5.4ref +0.7	70%7/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
Slavia PrahaArsenal Wed 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	58%1.73	–	4.1	60%6/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
AEK AthensReal Madrid Wed 18:45 · Champions LeagueRef Maurizio Mariani · 4.0 cards/match · ×0.97	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	55%1.83	0%	4.2ref −0.1	60%6/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
LensComo Wed 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef Rohit Saggi · 4.0 cards/match · ×0.98	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.80 56%	51%1.96	-8%	3.7ref −0.1	60%6/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
Slavia PrahaArsenal Wed 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef Tobias Stieler · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.92	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.90 53%	50%2.00	-5%	3.7ref −0.3	60%6/10	60%12/20	60%18/30
TorreenseArarat-Armenia Thu 21:00 · Europa LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	50%2.02	–	4.6	60%6/10	60%12/20	57%12/21
GetafeBrighton & Hove Albion Thu 21:00 · Europa Conference LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	48%2.09	–	4.5	60%6/10	60%12/20	57%17/30
Sparta PrahaAFC Bournemouth Thu 18:45 · Europa LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	48%2.10	–	4.5	80%8/10	60%12/20	53%16/30
BenficaLech Poznań Thu 21:00 · Europa LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	46%2.15	–	4.5	60%6/10	60%12/20	47%14/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa Tue 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	43%2.33	–	4.3	60%6/10	60%12/20	43%13/30
Bodø / Glimt U19limited dataLille U19new team Tue 11:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Martin Velikov · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.88	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	51%1.96	–	3.7ref −0.5	50%4/8	60%6/10	60%6/10
Fenerbahçe U19new teamLiverpool U19limited data Wed 12:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Andreu Vilanova Simarro · 3.0 cards/match · ×0.95	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	50%2.02	–	4.7ref −0.2	63%5/8	58%7/12	58%7/12
Bhutannew teamBangladeshnew team Thu 15:00 · SAFF ChampionshipRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	55%1.82	–	3.9	57%4/7	57%4/7	57%4/7
Muharraqlimited dataAl Jazira Wed 19:15 · AFC Champions League TwoRef: not assigned yet	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	52%1.93	–	4.8	50%5/10	56%10/18	61%14/23
Barcelona U19limited dataAston Villa U19limited data Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Fotis Polychronis · 4.8 cards/match · ×1.11	Over 4.5 Match cards	–	57%1.75	–	5.1ref +0.5	70%7/10	56%9/16	56%9/16
BG Pathum Unitedlimited dataWofoo Tai Polimited data Thu 13:15 · AFC Champions League TwoRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	56%1.78	–	4.0	70%7/10	56%9/16	56%9/16
Pafos U19limited dataBenfica U19 Wed 13:00 · UEFA Youth LeagueRef Aaron O'Dowd · 6.5 cards/match · ×1.09	Over 5.5 Match cards	–	48%2.07	–	5.6ref +0.5	70%7/10	56%9/16	56%9/16
RigaJablonec Thu 21:00 · Europa Conference LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	60%1.68	–	4.2	50%5/10	55%11/20	56%14/25
Kaizer ChiefsAmaZulu Wed 18:30 · Premier LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	59%1.70	–	4.1	50%5/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
Borussia DortmundReal Betis Wed 21:00 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	58%1.71	–	4.1	60%6/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
EsteghlalAl Shamal SC Tue 17:00 · AFC Champions League EliteRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	58%1.72	–	4.1	40%4/10	55%11/20	60%18/30
GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart Tue 18:45 · Champions LeagueRef: not assigned yet	Over 3.5 Match cards	–	58%1.72	–	4.1	50%5/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
West Bromwich AlbionSouthampton Tue 21:00 · ChampionshipRef Joshua Smith · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.07	Over 3.5 Match cards	1.83 55%	58%1.74	+5%	4.5ref +0.3	60%6/10	55%11/20	50%15/30

Crvena Zvezda U19limited dataBravo U19new team
Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Igor Shumilov · 2.0 cards/match · ×0.95
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 60%
L588%7/8L1088%7/8L1588%7/8
LASK UEFA U19new teamSlovan Bratislava U19new team
Tue 15:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Mateo Tozan · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.97
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.2 · Model 59%
L583%5/6L1083%5/6L1583%5/6
Lens U19new teamComo U19new team
Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Matthew McDermid · 3.5 cards/match · ×0.93
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.4 · Model 45%
L583%5/6L1083%5/6L1583%5/6
Slavia Prague U19limited dataArsenal U19limited data
Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Artem Gasparyan · 4.0 cards/match · ×0.99
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L580%8/10L1082%14/17L1582%14/17
SunderlandDinamo Zagreb
Thu 21:00 · Europa League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 59%
L560%6/10L1070%14/20L1567%20/30
FC KøbenhavnFC Iberia 1999
Thu 21:00 · Europa Conference League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L570%7/10L1070%14/20L1560%15/25
WatfordLincoln City
Tue 20:45 · Championship
Ref James Bell · 3.6 cards/match · ×0.91
1.66
-4%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 58%
L580%8/10L1070%14/20L1563%19/30
East BengalAl Seebnew team
Tue 14:45 · AFC Champions League Two
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L563%5/8L1069%9/13L1572%13/18
Manchester United U19new teamRoma U19new team
Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Jacob Karlsen · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.86
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 41%
L567%4/6L1067%4/6L1567%4/6
Manchester UnitedRoma
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 60%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
LASK LinzSlovan Bratislava
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
Ref Donatas Rumšas · 4.0 cards/match · ×0.98
1.61
-6%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L560%6/10L1065%13/20L1570%21/30
AtalantaKairat
Thu 18:45 · Europa Conference League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1550%15/30
LillestrømViktoria Plzeň
Thu 18:45 · Europa League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L540%4/10L1065%13/20L1560%18/30
Lyngby BoldklubRanders FC
Tue 18:00 · Landspokal Cup
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 57%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
PanathinaikosCSKA Sofia
Thu 21:00 · Europa Conference League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.0 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
Independiente RivadaviaBanfield
Tue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Álvaro Carranza · 4.6 cards/match · ×1.05
1.66
-9%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 55%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1547%14/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
Ref Davide Massa · 4.4 cards/match · ×1.05
2.20
+19%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.5 · Model 54%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
Hapoel Be'er ShevaOFI
Thu 21:00 · Europa League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 51%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
Birmingham CityMillwall
Tue 21:00 · Championship
Ref David Webb · 2.9 cards/match · ×0.85
1.83
-8%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 50%
L580%8/10L1065%13/20L1553%16/30
FlamengoGrêmio
Wed 23:30 · Serie A
Ref Paulo Cesar Zanovelli · 5.6 cards/match · ×1.15
2.00
-5%
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.6 · Model 47%
L540%4/10L1065%13/20L1550%15/30
Spartak KostromaVolna Koverninonew team
Tue 17:30 · Russian Cup
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.6 · Model 49%
L556%5/9L1064%9/14L1558%11/19
Port FCnew teamBeijing Guoan
Tue 13:15 · AFC Champions League Elite
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.8 · Model 52%
L563%5/8L1062%8/13L1561%11/18
Shakhtar Donetsk U19new teamSporting CP U19
Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Arnes Talic · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.07
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.4 · Model 46%
L575%6/8L1062%8/13L1557%8/14
Polokwane CityKruger Unitedlimited data
Wed 18:30 · Premier League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 57%
L550%5/10L1061%11/18L1557%13/23
Borussia Dortmund U19limited dataReal Betis U19limited data
Wed 16:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Wojciech Myć · 3.9 cards/match · ×0.96
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.9 · Model 54%
L560%6/10L1061%11/18L1561%11/18
BragantinoSantos
Tue 00:00 · Serie A
Ref Edina Alves Batista · 5.8 cards/match · ×1.15
1.66
0%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.6 · Model 61%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
CelticBeşiktaş
Thu 21:00 · Europa League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 60%
L580%8/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente
Mon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
Ref Sebastián Nicolás Martínez · 6.2 cards/match · ×1.15
1.72
0%
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.4 · Model 58%
L570%7/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
Slavia PrahaArsenal
Wed 21:00 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
AEK AthensReal Madrid
Wed 18:45 · Champions League
Ref Maurizio Mariani · 4.0 cards/match · ×0.97
1.83
0%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 55%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
LensComo
Wed 21:00 · Champions League
Ref Rohit Saggi · 4.0 cards/match · ×0.98
1.80
-8%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 51%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
Slavia PrahaArsenal
Wed 21:00 · Champions League
Ref Tobias Stieler · 3.7 cards/match · ×0.92
1.90
-5%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 50%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1560%18/30
TorreenseArarat-Armenia
Thu 21:00 · Europa League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.6 · Model 50%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1557%12/21
GetafeBrighton & Hove Albion
Thu 21:00 · Europa Conference League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.5 · Model 48%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1557%17/30
Sparta PrahaAFC Bournemouth
Thu 18:45 · Europa League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.5 · Model 48%
L580%8/10L1060%12/20L1553%16/30
BenficaLech Poznań
Thu 21:00 · Europa League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.5 · Model 46%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1547%14/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.3 · Model 43%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1543%13/30
Bodø / Glimt U19limited dataLille U19new team
Tue 11:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Martin Velikov · 3.4 cards/match · ×0.88
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.7 · Model 51%
L550%4/8L1060%6/10L1560%6/10
Fenerbahçe U19new teamLiverpool U19limited data
Wed 12:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Andreu Vilanova Simarro · 3.0 cards/match · ×0.95
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.7 · Model 50%
L563%5/8L1058%7/12L1558%7/12
Bhutannew teamBangladeshnew team
Thu 15:00 · SAFF Championship
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 3.9 · Model 55%
L557%4/7L1057%4/7L1557%4/7
Muharraqlimited dataAl Jazira
Wed 19:15 · AFC Champions League Two
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 4.8 · Model 52%
L550%5/10L1056%10/18L1561%14/23
Barcelona U19limited dataAston Villa U19limited data
Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Fotis Polychronis · 4.8 cards/match · ×1.11
–
–
Over 4.5 Match cards
Exp 5.1 · Model 57%
L570%7/10L1056%9/16L1556%9/16
BG Pathum Unitedlimited dataWofoo Tai Polimited data
Thu 13:15 · AFC Champions League Two
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.0 · Model 56%
L570%7/10L1056%9/16L1556%9/16
Pafos U19limited dataBenfica U19
Wed 13:00 · UEFA Youth League
Ref Aaron O'Dowd · 6.5 cards/match · ×1.09
–
–
Over 5.5 Match cards
Exp 5.6 · Model 48%
L570%7/10L1056%9/16L1556%9/16
RigaJablonec
Thu 21:00 · Europa Conference League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.2 · Model 60%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1556%14/25
Kaizer ChiefsAmaZulu
Wed 18:30 · Premier League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 59%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
Borussia DortmundReal Betis
Wed 21:00 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
EsteghlalAl Shamal SC
Tue 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L540%4/10L1055%11/20L1560%18/30
GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart
Tue 18:45 · Champions League
Ref: not assigned yet
–
–
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.1 · Model 58%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
West Bromwich AlbionSouthampton
Tue 21:00 · Championship
Ref Joshua Smith · 4.5 cards/match · ×1.07
1.83
+5%
Over 3.5 Match cards
Exp 4.5 · Model 58%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30

Hit rates pool both teams' recent matches (match cards): L10 is each team's last 10, so up to 20 games. Model: expected cards from each side's for/against averages, weighted toward recent games and shrunk to the average team, as a Poisson chance; where the bookmaker prices both sides it is blended half-and-half with the margin-free market price. Odds: bet365, where the feed has them. EV is model chance × odds − 1: the model’s view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Cards are yellows plus reds per side. The referee’s cards per match in our data, shrunk toward the average referee, scales the expected cards (×0.85 to ×1.15); before a referee is assigned the teams alone set it. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 2 Nov, 21:17.

Referees this week — strictest first

Referee	Matches	Cards / match	Effect	Next match	Exp. cards
Andrés Matonte	66	6.0	×1.15	AlbionvDeportivo MaldonadoTue 00:00 · Primera Division	4.8 → 5.6
Yael Falcón Pérez	64	5.6	×1.15	Atlético TucumánvArgentinos JuniorsTue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.7 → 5.4
Wilton Pereira Sampaio	63	5.2	×1.15	PalmeirasvRemoThu 23:30 · Serie A	4.7 → 5.4
Alex Gomes Stefano	51	5.3	×1.15	Athletic ClubvCearáMon 22:00 · Serie B	4.5 → 5.2
Paulo Cesar Zanovelli	51	5.6	×1.15	FlamengovGrêmioWed 23:30 · Serie A	4.9 → 5.6
Ramon Abatti	51	5.1	×1.15	Athletico PRvVasco da GamaWed 23:30 · Serie A	4.5 → 5.2
Felipe Fernandes de Lima	48	5.4	×1.15	GoiásvCRBTue 00:30 · Serie B	4.2 → 4.8
Jesús Gil Manzano	47	5.0	×1.15	Manchester UnitedvRomaTue 21:00 · Champions League	4.2 → 4.8
Fernando Antonio Mendes de Salles Nascimento Fillho	41	5.3	×1.15	InternacionalvCoritibaWed 01:30 · Serie A	4.5 → 5.2
Lucas Paulo Torezin	40	5.4	×1.15	ChapecoensevMirassolTue 23:30 · Serie A	4.3 → 5.0
Sebastián Nicolás Martínez	39	6.2	×1.15	Defensa y JusticiavIndependienteMon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.7 → 5.4
Edina Alves Batista	39	5.8	×1.15	BragantinovSantosTue 00:00 · Serie A	4.8 → 5.6
Stuart Attwell	39	5.0	×1.15	EvertonvCoventry CityFri 21:00 · Premier League	4.1 → 4.7
Rareș George Vidican	38	5.5	×1.15	AEK Athens U19vReal Madrid U19Wed 11:00 · UEFA Youth League	4.9 → 5.6
Mateo Erceg	36	5.0	×1.15	PSV U19vClub Brugge U19Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth League	5.0 → 5.8
Bastien Dechepy	32	5.0	×1.15	Žilina U19vHJK U19Wed 16:30 · UEFA Youth League	4.4 → 5.0
John Brooks	31	5.3	×1.15	Newcastle UnitedvEvertonMon 21:00 · Premier League	4.6 → 5.3
Mateo Busquets Ferrer	31	5.3	×1.15	PAOK U19vZrinjski U19Wed 14:30 · UEFA Youth League	4.6 → 5.3
John Brooks	31	5.3	×1.15	Leeds UnitedvTottenham HotspurSat 13:30 · Premier League	4.2 → 4.9
Alexandros Tsakalidis	29	5.2	×1.15	København U19vDinamo Tbilisi U19Wed 14:00 · UEFA Youth League	3.9 → 4.4
Kamal Umudlu	6	6.2	×1.15	Villarreal U19vParis SG U19Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League	4.5 → 5.2
Pablo Dóvalo	35	4.9	×1.14	PlatensevCentral Cordoba SdEMon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	4.3 → 4.9
Mathieu Vernice	32	4.8	×1.12	Atl. Madrid U19vBayern U19Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League	5.0 → 5.6
Felix Zwayer	56	4.7	×1.12	VillarrealvParis Saint GermainTue 21:00 · Champions League	4.0 → 4.5
Fotis Polychronis	23	4.8	×1.11	Barcelona U19vAston Villa U19Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League	4.6 → 5.1
Gonzalo Romero Freixas	6	5.3	×1.11	MallorcavCádizMon 21:00 · La Liga 2	4.9 → 5.4
Chris Kavanagh	57	4.7	×1.10	GalatasarayvVfB StuttgartTue 18:45 · Champions League	4.1 → 4.5
Chris Kavanagh	57	4.7	×1.10	Manchester UnitedvAston VillaSun 17:30 · Premier League	4.6 → 5.1
Matt Donohue	34	4.7	×1.10	Huddersfield TownvLuton TownTue 20:45 · League One	4.2 → 4.6
Lucas Casagrande	47	4.6	×1.10	BotafogovAtlético MineiroThu 01:30 · Serie A	3.9 → 4.3
Jon Ander González Esteban	31	4.7	×1.10	Deportivo La CoruñavOsasunaMon 21:00 · La Liga	4.2 → 4.6
Aaron O'Dowd	2	6.5	×1.09	Pafos U19vBenfica U19Wed 13:00 · UEFA Youth League	5.1 → 5.6
Rodrigo Pereira	12	4.8	×1.09	VitóriavFluminenseSat 00:00 · Serie A	4.5 → 4.9
Stephen Martin	39	4.6	×1.08	Charlton AthleticvBolton WanderersTue 20:45 · Championship	3.9 → 4.2
Rafael Rodrigo Klein	58	4.5	×1.08	CruzeirovBahiaFri 01:30 · Serie A	4.4 → 4.7
Carl Brook	45	4.5	×1.08	Northampton TownvOldham AthleticTue 20:45 · League Two	4.1 → 4.4
Joshua Smith	38	4.5	×1.07	West Bromwich AlbionvSouthamptonTue 21:00 · Championship	4.2 → 4.5
Serdar Gözübüyük	41	4.5	×1.07	Borussia DortmundvReal BetisWed 21:00 · Champions League	4.1 → 4.4
Jérémie Pignard	34	4.5	×1.07	LorientvBrestMon 20:45 · Ligue 1	3.9 → 4.2
Arnes Talic	25	4.5	×1.07	Shakhtar Donetsk U19vSporting CP U19Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League	5.1 → 5.4

How the Card Model Works

Cards are counted as yellows plus reds for each side. For every upcoming match the model takes each team's cards received and the cards its opponents picked up over its last 15 matches, weights recent games more, and shrinks the result toward the average team so a few wild games cannot dominate.

Then the referee comes in. Their cards per match across every game of theirs in our data is compared with the average match; the more games they have refereed, the more that rate counts. A strict referee scales the expected cards up (to at most ×1.4), a lenient one down (to ×0.7). Before a referee is appointed, the teams alone set the number.

Using Card Stats for Betting

Booking markets move on the referee more than most bettors realise: the same fixture can be a 3.5-card game with one official and a 5.5-card game with another. Use Strict referees to see the matches where the appointment pushes the line up, and Quiet games for unders.

Context matters too: derbies, relegation battles and cup ties tend to run hotter than the averages. Check the team stats for fouls and cards per game, and the player prop screener for individual booking lines.

Card Statistics

Card Screener

Referees this week — strictest first

How the Card Model Works

Using Card Stats for Betting

Related stats