Match Result Screener

Home, draw or away for every upcoming match, plus draw no bet and double chance: what the goals model makes each one, how both teams' recent results back it, and how it compares with the price.

Match Result Screener

Every upcoming match with the model's home, draw and away chances, both teams' recent results through each selection, and the Pinnacle price where the match is priced.

Smart views

362 matches · best line per match

Upcoming matches with recent results hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
Al SailiyaLusail City Sat 15:15 · Stars League	Al Sailiya 1X2	3.37 30%	29%3.43	-2%	1.4–1.8	20%2/10	24%4/17	27%6/22
Dunav 2010Levski Sofia Sat 15:30 · First League	Levski Sofia 1X2	1.29 78%	63%1.59	-19%	1.3–1.4	40%4/10	50%10/20	59%16/27
Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga	Werder Bremen 1X2	2.52 40%	40%2.52	0%	1.8–1.6	30%3/10	45%9/20	40%12/30
Borussia MönchengladbachPaderborn Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga	Borussia Mönchengladbach 1X2	2.20 45%	44%2.25	-2%	1.8–1.4	40%4/10	40%8/20	37%11/30
FC AugsburgSC Freiburg Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga	FC Augsburg 1X2	2.88 35%	37%2.69	+7%	2.0–1.7	40%4/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
Bayer 04 LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga	VfB Stuttgart 1X2	4.71 21%	22%4.52	+4%	1.9–1.4	30%3/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
Dinamo MoskvaAkhmat Grozny Sat 15:30 · Premier League	Draw 1X2	4.44 23%	23%4.31	+3%	1.7–1.1	20%2/10	20%4/20	20%6/30
Schalke 04RB Leipzig Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga	Draw 1X2	3.88 26%	25%3.95	-2%	1.6–1.5	20%2/10	15%3/20	10%3/30
Al-FayhaAl Faisaly Sat 15:55 · Pro League	Al-Fayha 1X2	2.89 35%	36%2.78	+4%	1.6–1.3	20%2/10	25%5/20	30%8/27
Salford CityExeter City Sat 16:00 · League Two	Salford City 1X2	1.38 72%	62%1.62	-15%	1.4–1.1	50%5/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
Colchester UnitedWalsall Sat 16:00 · League Two	Draw 1X2	3.64 27%	27%3.68	-1%	1.3–1.3	60%6/10	55%11/20	47%14/30
Solihull MoorsKidderminster Harriers Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League	Kidderminster Harriers 1X2	2.74 36%	37%2.72	+1%	1.3–1.5	50%5/10	50%10/20	57%17/30
MotherwellSt. Mirren Sat 16:00 · Premiership	St. Mirren 1X2	4.00 25%	27%3.74	+7%	1.6–1.4	50%5/10	50%10/20	47%14/30
MiddlesbroughCharlton Athletic Sat 16:00 · Championship	Middlesbrough 1X2	1.26 79%	70%1.43	-12%	2.0–1.2	60%6/10	45%9/20	50%15/30
Stockport CountyAFC Wimbledon Sat 16:00 · League One	Stockport County 1X2	1.26 79%	70%1.43	-12%	1.8–1.0	60%6/10	45%9/20	47%14/30
AFC BournemouthLeeds United Sat 16:00 · Premier League	AFC Bournemouth 1X2	2.13 47%	47%2.11	+1%	1.8–1.1	60%6/10	45%9/20	37%11/30
AltrinchamCarlisle United Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League	Altrincham 1X2	2.81 36%	37%2.72	+3%	1.6–1.4	30%3/10	45%9/20	43%13/30
TamworthWoking Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League	Woking 1X2	2.96 34%	33%3.05	-3%	1.8–1.6	40%4/10	45%9/20	43%13/30
BurnleyPortsmouth Sat 16:00 · Championship	Portsmouth 1X2	3.37 30%	31%3.24	+4%	1.5–1.4	50%5/10	45%9/20	40%12/30
K. Beerschot V.A.Royal Francs Borains Sat 16:00 · Challenger Pro League	Royal Francs Borains 1X2	5.09 20%	20%4.98	+2%	2.0–1.3	30%3/10	45%9/20	33%10/30
BrentfordNottingham Forest Sat 16:00 · Premier League	Brentford 1X2	2.17 46%	47%2.14	+1%	1.8–1.1	40%4/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
Accrington StanleyNorthampton Town Sat 16:00 · League Two	Accrington Stanley 1X2	2.29 44%	43%2.30	0%	1.5–1.1	50%5/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
Fleetwood TownBristol Rovers Sat 16:00 · League Two	Fleetwood Town 1X2	2.66 38%	39%2.58	+3%	1.6–1.2	50%5/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
KilmarnockSt. Johnstone Sat 16:00 · Premiership	St. Johnstone 1X2	3.36 30%	30%3.34	+1%	1.6–1.4	40%4/10	40%8/20	38%10/26
Tranmere RoversCheltenham Town Sat 16:00 · League Two	Cheltenham Town 1X2	3.67 27%	27%3.68	0%	1.6–1.3	40%4/10	40%8/20	30%9/30
Wigan AthleticBromley Sat 16:00 · League One	Bromley 1X2	4.29 23%	24%4.16	+3%	1.6–1.2	40%4/10	40%8/20	47%14/30
Wycombe WanderersBurton Albion Sat 16:00 · League One	Draw 1X2	4.42 23%	23%4.36	+1%	1.7–1.4	50%5/10	40%8/20	40%12/30
Swindon TownRotherham United Sat 16:00 · League Two	Swindon Town 1X2	2.29 44%	43%2.33	-2%	1.6–1.2	40%4/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
Dundee UnitedHearts Sat 16:00 · Premiership	Dundee United 1X2	–	42%2.39	–	1.6–1.4	50%5/10	35%7/20	23%7/30
Hull CityIpswich Town Sat 16:00 · Premier League	Hull City 1X2	2.86 35%	37%2.70	+6%	1.6–1.3	30%3/10	35%7/20	33%10/30
Sanat NaftGol Gohar Sat 16:00 · Persian Gulf Pro League	Sanat Naft 1X2	–	35%2.86	–	1.2–1.1	40%4/10	35%7/20	36%9/25
Bolton WanderersBristol City Sat 16:00 · Championship	Bolton Wanderers 1X2	3.04 33%	34%2.90	+5%	1.5–1.3	40%4/10	35%7/20	43%13/30
Coventry CitySunderland Sat 16:00 · Premier League	Coventry City 1X2	3.18 31%	34%2.93	+9%	1.6–1.3	30%3/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
Shrewsbury TownGillingham Sat 16:00 · League Two	Gillingham 1X2	4.20 24%	25%3.96	+6%	1.6–1.4	20%2/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
Leicester CityStevenage Sat 16:00 · League One	Stevenage 1X2	4.88 20%	22%4.49	+9%	1.6–1.2	40%4/10	35%7/20	33%10/30
Abu Qir SemadGhazl El Mehalla Sat 16:00 · Premier League	Abu Qir Semad 1X2	3.23 31%	32%3.13	+3%	1.3–1.2	30%3/10	35%6/17	36%8/22
Milton Keynes DonsDoncaster Rovers Sat 16:00 · League One	Doncaster Rovers 1X2	3.73 27%	27%3.71	+1%	1.6–1.3	40%4/10	30%6/20	27%8/30
FredrikstadRosenborg Sat 16:00 · Eliteserien	Fredrikstad 1X2	4.08 25%	27%3.77	+8%	1.5–1.8	20%2/10	30%6/20	30%9/30
Oldham AthleticCrawley Town Sat 16:00 · League Two	Crawley Town 1X2	4.27 23%	24%4.10	+4%	1.6–1.3	20%2/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
WorthingSutton United Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League	Draw 1X2	4.17 24%	24%4.23	-1%	1.8–1.2	20%2/10	30%6/20	23%7/30
West Ham UnitedWest Bromwich Albion Sat 16:00 · Championship	West Bromwich Albion 1X2	4.74 21%	21%4.66	+2%	2.0–1.3	30%3/10	30%6/20	33%10/30
MillwallDerby County Sat 16:00 · Championship	Derby County 1X2	5.31 19%	21%4.85	+10%	1.7–1.2	20%2/10	30%6/20	27%8/30
Patro Eisden MaasmechelenKSC Lokeren Sat 16:00 · Challenger Pro League	Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1X2	2.63 38%	37%2.71	-3%	1.6–1.6	40%4/10	25%5/20	33%10/30
Peterborough UnitedLuton Town Sat 16:00 · League One	Peterborough United 1X2	3.49 29%	30%3.34	+5%	1.5–1.6	20%2/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
SouthamptonQueens Park Rangers Sat 16:00 · Championship	Queens Park Rangers 1X2	3.79 26%	27%3.76	+1%	1.7–1.3	30%3/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
BarnsleyOxford United Sat 16:00 · League One	Draw 1X2	3.91 26%	25%3.93	-1%	1.3–1.5	30%3/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
Mansfield TownNotts County Sat 16:00 · League One	Notts County 1X2	4.11 24%	24%4.11	0%	1.7–1.2	10%1/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
WealdstoneSouthend United Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League	Draw 1X2	4.28 23%	23%4.34	-1%	1.7–1.7	20%2/10	25%5/20	23%7/30
Wolverhampton WanderersCardiff City Sat 16:00 · Championship	Draw 1X2	4.62 22%	23%4.43	+4%	1.6–1.3	20%2/10	25%5/20	27%8/30
Crewe AlexandraBarnet Sat 16:00 · League Two	Crewe Alexandra 1X2	3.04 33%	33%3.04	0%	1.6–1.6	40%4/10	20%4/20	27%8/30

Al SailiyaLusail City
Sat 15:15 · Stars League
3.37
-2%
Al Sailiya 1X2
xG 1.4–1.8 · Model 29%
L520%2/10L1024%4/17L1527%6/22
Dunav 2010Levski Sofia
Sat 15:30 · First League
1.29
-19%
Levski Sofia 1X2
xG 1.3–1.4 · Model 63%
L540%4/10L1050%10/20L1559%16/27
Werder BremenTSG Hoffenheim
Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga
2.52
0%
Werder Bremen 1X2
xG 1.8–1.6 · Model 40%
L530%3/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
Borussia MönchengladbachPaderborn
Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga
2.20
-2%
Borussia Mönchengladbach 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 44%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1537%11/30
FC AugsburgSC Freiburg
Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga
2.88
+7%
FC Augsburg 1X2
xG 2.0–1.7 · Model 37%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Bayer 04 LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga
4.71
+4%
VfB Stuttgart 1X2
xG 1.9–1.4 · Model 22%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
Dinamo MoskvaAkhmat Grozny
Sat 15:30 · Premier League
4.44
+3%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.7–1.1 · Model 23%
L520%2/10L1020%4/20L1520%6/30
Schalke 04RB Leipzig
Sat 15:30 · Bundesliga
3.88
-2%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.5 · Model 25%
L520%2/10L1015%3/20L1510%3/30
Al-FayhaAl Faisaly
Sat 15:55 · Pro League
2.89
+4%
Al-Fayha 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 36%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1530%8/27
Salford CityExeter City
Sat 16:00 · League Two
1.38
-15%
Salford City 1X2
xG 1.4–1.1 · Model 62%
L550%5/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
Colchester UnitedWalsall
Sat 16:00 · League Two
3.64
-1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.3 · Model 27%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1547%14/30
Solihull MoorsKidderminster Harriers
Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League
2.74
+1%
Kidderminster Harriers 1X2
xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 37%
L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1557%17/30
MotherwellSt. Mirren
Sat 16:00 · Premiership
4.00
+7%
St. Mirren 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 27%
L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1547%14/30
MiddlesbroughCharlton Athletic
Sat 16:00 · Championship
1.26
-12%
Middlesbrough 1X2
xG 2.0–1.2 · Model 70%
L560%6/10L1045%9/20L1550%15/30
Stockport CountyAFC Wimbledon
Sat 16:00 · League One
1.26
-12%
Stockport County 1X2
xG 1.8–1.0 · Model 70%
L560%6/10L1045%9/20L1547%14/30
AFC BournemouthLeeds United
Sat 16:00 · Premier League
2.13
+1%
AFC Bournemouth 1X2
xG 1.8–1.1 · Model 47%
L560%6/10L1045%9/20L1537%11/30
AltrinchamCarlisle United
Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League
2.81
+3%
Altrincham 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 37%
L530%3/10L1045%9/20L1543%13/30
TamworthWoking
Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League
2.96
-3%
Woking 1X2
xG 1.8–1.6 · Model 33%
L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1543%13/30
BurnleyPortsmouth
Sat 16:00 · Championship
3.37
+4%
Portsmouth 1X2
xG 1.5–1.4 · Model 31%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
K. Beerschot V.A.Royal Francs Borains
Sat 16:00 · Challenger Pro League
5.09
+2%
Royal Francs Borains 1X2
xG 2.0–1.3 · Model 20%
L530%3/10L1045%9/20L1533%10/30
BrentfordNottingham Forest
Sat 16:00 · Premier League
2.17
+1%
Brentford 1X2
xG 1.8–1.1 · Model 47%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Accrington StanleyNorthampton Town
Sat 16:00 · League Two
2.29
0%
Accrington Stanley 1X2
xG 1.5–1.1 · Model 43%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Fleetwood TownBristol Rovers
Sat 16:00 · League Two
2.66
+3%
Fleetwood Town 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 39%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
KilmarnockSt. Johnstone
Sat 16:00 · Premiership
3.36
+1%
St. Johnstone 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 30%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1538%10/26
Tranmere RoversCheltenham Town
Sat 16:00 · League Two
3.67
0%
Cheltenham Town 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 27%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1530%9/30
Wigan AthleticBromley
Sat 16:00 · League One
4.29
+3%
Bromley 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 24%
L540%4/10L1040%8/20L1547%14/30
Wycombe WanderersBurton Albion
Sat 16:00 · League One
4.42
+1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.7–1.4 · Model 23%
L550%5/10L1040%8/20L1540%12/30
Swindon TownRotherham United
Sat 16:00 · League Two
2.29
-2%
Swindon Town 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 43%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Dundee UnitedHearts
Sat 16:00 · Premiership
–
–
Dundee United 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 42%
L550%5/10L1035%7/20L1523%7/30
Hull CityIpswich Town
Sat 16:00 · Premier League
2.86
+6%
Hull City 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 37%
L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1533%10/30
Sanat NaftGol Gohar
Sat 16:00 · Persian Gulf Pro League
–
–
Sanat Naft 1X2
xG 1.2–1.1 · Model 35%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1536%9/25
Bolton WanderersBristol City
Sat 16:00 · Championship
3.04
+5%
Bolton Wanderers 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 34%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1543%13/30
Coventry CitySunderland
Sat 16:00 · Premier League
3.18
+9%
Coventry City 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 34%
L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Shrewsbury TownGillingham
Sat 16:00 · League Two
4.20
+6%
Gillingham 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 25%
L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Leicester CityStevenage
Sat 16:00 · League One
4.88
+9%
Stevenage 1X2
xG 1.6–1.2 · Model 22%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1533%10/30
Abu Qir SemadGhazl El Mehalla
Sat 16:00 · Premier League
3.23
+3%
Abu Qir Semad 1X2
xG 1.3–1.2 · Model 32%
L530%3/10L1035%6/17L1536%8/22
Milton Keynes DonsDoncaster Rovers
Sat 16:00 · League One
3.73
+1%
Doncaster Rovers 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 27%
L540%4/10L1030%6/20L1527%8/30
FredrikstadRosenborg
Sat 16:00 · Eliteserien
4.08
+8%
Fredrikstad 1X2
xG 1.5–1.8 · Model 27%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1530%9/30
Oldham AthleticCrawley Town
Sat 16:00 · League Two
4.27
+4%
Crawley Town 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 24%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
WorthingSutton United
Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League
4.17
-1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.8–1.2 · Model 24%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1523%7/30
West Ham UnitedWest Bromwich Albion
Sat 16:00 · Championship
4.74
+2%
West Bromwich Albion 1X2
xG 2.0–1.3 · Model 21%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1533%10/30
MillwallDerby County
Sat 16:00 · Championship
5.31
+10%
Derby County 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 21%
L520%2/10L1030%6/20L1527%8/30
Patro Eisden MaasmechelenKSC Lokeren
Sat 16:00 · Challenger Pro League
2.63
-3%
Patro Eisden Maasmechelen 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 37%
L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1533%10/30
Peterborough UnitedLuton Town
Sat 16:00 · League One
3.49
+5%
Peterborough United 1X2
xG 1.5–1.6 · Model 30%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
SouthamptonQueens Park Rangers
Sat 16:00 · Championship
3.79
+1%
Queens Park Rangers 1X2
xG 1.7–1.3 · Model 27%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
BarnsleyOxford United
Sat 16:00 · League One
3.91
-1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.3–1.5 · Model 25%
L530%3/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
Mansfield TownNotts County
Sat 16:00 · League One
4.11
0%
Notts County 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 24%
L510%1/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
WealdstoneSouthend United
Sat 16:00 · Enterprise National League
4.28
-1%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.7–1.7 · Model 23%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1523%7/30
Wolverhampton WanderersCardiff City
Sat 16:00 · Championship
4.62
+4%
Draw 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 23%
L520%2/10L1025%5/20L1527%8/30
Crewe AlexandraBarnet
Sat 16:00 · League Two
3.04
0%
Crewe Alexandra 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 33%
L540%4/10L1020%4/20L1527%8/30

Hit rates read both teams' last 5, 10 and 15 results through the selection: a home win counts the home side's wins and the away side's defeats, a double chance their unbeaten and winless runs; draw no bet leaves draws out. Model: expected goals from each side's recent for/against (weighted toward recent games, shrunk to the average team, with a home advantage measured from the data), turned into home / draw / away by a Poisson score grid with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores. Where the match is priced the chance shown is 70% the margin-free market price and 30% the model, because a form model cannot see squad quality the way a sharp market does; when the model alone sits 15+ points above the market, or at more than 1.5 times its chance, the row is marked disputed and shows no EV. Odds: Pinnacle (bet365 where Pinnacle has no price). Draw no bet and double chance are priced from the same 1X2 odds. EV is chance × odds − 1: the model's view of the price, not a proven betting edge. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 31 Oct, 15:17.

Home, draw and away rates by league (last 12 months, min. 30 matches)

League	Matches	Home	Draw	Away	Goals
1. HNL	181	48.1%	24.9%	27.1%	2.78
1. Lig	395	44.1%	23.5%	32.4%	2.89
2. Bundesliga	302	46.4%	27.5%	26.2%	2.97
A-League Men	164	36.6%	28.7%	34.8%	2.83
A-League Women	128	43.8%	20.3%	35.9%	2.77
Admiral Bundesliga	190	48.4%	24.7%	26.8%	2.85
AFC Champions League Elite	130	46.9%	23.1%	30%	2.68
AFC Champions League Two	120	48.3%	21.7%	30%	2.78
Africa Cup of Nations	52	46.2%	25%	28.8%	2.33
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	60	50%	21.7%	28.3%	2.53
Allsvenskan	223	38.6%	24.7%	36.8%	2.85
Botola Pro	230	36.5%	32.2%	31.3%	2.23
Brasileiro Women	167	42.5%	26.3%	31.1%	2.6
Bundesliga	298	45.6%	25.2%	29.2%	3.32
CAF Champions League	152	51.3%	28.9%	19.7%	2.07
Carabao Cup	93	40.9%	18.3%	40.9%	3.04
Challenger Pro League	245	44.1%	22.9%	33.1%	2.93
Champions League	279	51.6%	17.6%	30.8%	3.37
Championship	562	42.2%	26.2%	31.7%	2.71
Chance Liga	270	44.1%	20.4%	35.6%	2.76
CONCACAF Nations League	74	45.9%	10.8%	43.2%	3.38
Copa Del Rey	119	26.9%	10.9%	62.2%	3.23
Copa do Brasil	156	44.2%	30.8%	25%	2.12
Copa Libertadores	154	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	2.1
Copa Sudamericana	157	44.6%	31.8%	23.6%	2.29
Coppa Italia	45	60%	24.4%	15.6%	3
Coupe de France	203	23.2%	26.6%	50.2%	3.14
DFB Pokal	63	27%	11.1%	61.9%	3.95
Eerste Divisie	376	44.1%	21%	34.8%	3.31
Ekstraklasa	304	43.4%	26.6%	29.9%	2.75
Eliteserien	225	52%	17.8%	30.2%	3.27
Enterprise National League	548	45.3%	20.3%	34.5%	3.04
Eredivisie	309	39.8%	28.8%	31.4%	3.28
Europa Conference League	411	47%	23.8%	29.2%	2.83
Europa League	269	49.8%	19%	31.2%	2.83
FA Cup	867	44.3%	18.1%	37.6%	3.31
First Division	183	37.2%	31.1%	31.7%	2.79
First League	276	43.5%	25%	31.5%	2.39
FNL	298	40.9%	27.5%	31.5%	2.52
Indian Super League	112	38.4%	33%	28.6%	2.45
J1 League	156	46.2%	21.8%	32.1%	2.91
K League 1	224	32.1%	33.9%	33.9%	2.43
KNVB Beker	109	40.4%	11%	48.6%	4.01
La Liga	381	48.6%	24.4%	27%	2.79
La Liga 2	470	46.2%	23%	30.9%	2.67
League One	540	44.3%	27%	28.7%	2.73
League Two	543	43.5%	27.6%	28.9%	2.59
Liga MX	329	43.2%	25.5%	31.3%	2.83
Liga Portugal	307	41%	26.1%	32.9%	2.72
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	529	41.8%	28.7%	29.5%	2.12
Ligat ha'Al	241	40.7%	24.5%	34.9%	2.94
Ligue 1	191	32.5%	29.3%	38.2%	2.03
Ligue 1	290	44.1%	24.8%	31%	2.81
Ligue 2	295	37.6%	30.8%	31.5%	2.57
Major League Soccer	499	45.5%	26.5%	28.1%	3.26
Persian Gulf Pro League	195	40.5%	35.4%	24.1%	1.86
Premier League	282	36.2%	34%	29.8%	2.18
Premier League	236	40.3%	27.1%	32.6%	2.51
Premier League	371	40.2%	29.1%	30.7%	2.77
Premier League	231	34.6%	35.5%	29.9%	2.13
Premier League	232	43.1%	28%	28.9%	2.54
Premiership	234	46.2%	23.5%	30.3%	2.83
Primera Division	293	41.3%	25.9%	32.8%	2.38
Pro League	298	43%	22.5%	34.6%	2.87
Pro League	349	43.6%	24.1%	32.4%	3.01
Russian Cup	143	40.6%	28.7%	30.8%	2.63
Serie A	381	40.9%	22%	37%	2.64
Serie A	411	48.7%	27.3%	24.1%	2.7
Serie B	391	44.8%	27.9%	27.4%	2.31
Serie B	384	44.3%	28.6%	27.1%	2.57
Stars League	132	36.4%	22.7%	40.9%	3.46
Super League	236	42.8%	27.1%	30.1%	2.56
Super League	221	40.7%	24.4%	34.8%	3.37
Super League	245	43.7%	26.5%	29.8%	3.14
Super Lig	300	45%	26%	29%	2.75
Superliga	188	41.5%	27.7%	30.9%	3.06
Superliga	311	49.8%	23.5%	26.7%	2.58
Taça De Portugal	146	44.5%	10.3%	45.2%	3.06
UAE Pro League	177	37.9%	25.4%	36.7%	3.05
UEFA Nations League	108	38%	25.9%	36.1%	2.44
UEFA Women's Champions League	162	50%	19.1%	30.9%	3.63
UEFA Youth League	218	49.5%	17.4%	33%	3.78
V-League	159	43.4%	22.6%	34%	2.67
Veikkausliiga	177	44.6%	27.7%	27.7%	2.58
WC Qualification Europe	60	46.7%	20%	33.3%	3.45
Women's Super League	147	45.6%	20.4%	34%	3.1
World Cup	104	48.1%	23.1%	28.8%	2.96
World Cup Women Qualification Europe	101	46.5%	13.9%	39.6%	3.45
Youth League	236	50%	15.7%	34.3%	3.81

How the Match Result Screener Works

Each row is one selection: a home win, a draw or an away win, or the draw-no-bet and double-chance versions of them. The model turns each side's recent goals for and against into expected goals, adds the home advantage seen in the data, and reads home, draw and away off a score grid. Where the match is priced, that model leans on the sharp market price, so the model EV is a small tilt on the price rather than a guess against it — and still the model's view, not a proven betting edge.

Draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw, so it is priced off the 1X2 without the draw; double chance covers two of the three outcomes at shorter odds. When the model alone rates a team far above the market, the row is marked disputed instead of showing an EV: a gap that big usually means team news or squad quality the model cannot see.

Using It With Other Stats

Check the form guide and home/away records behind a pick, the goal screener for how open the match should be, and the model accas to combine picks.

Match Result Screener