Match Result Screener

Home, draw or away for every upcoming match, plus draw no bet and double chance: what the goals model makes each one, how both teams' recent results back it, and how it compares with the price.

Match Result Screener

Every upcoming match with the model's home, draw and away chances, both teams' recent results through each selection, and the Pinnacle price where the match is priced.

Smart views

170 matches · line closest to even per match

Upcoming matches with recent results hit rates, model chances and prices
	Line	Odds						L15
Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente Mon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Defensa y Justicia 1X2	2.23 45%	45%2.22	+1%	1.5–1.0	50%5/10	45%9/20	47%14/30
PlatenseCentral Cordoba SdE Mon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Platense 1X2	1.49 67%	60%1.66	-10%	1.6–1.1	30%3/10	40%8/20	43%13/30
AlbionDeportivo Maldonado Tue 00:00 · Primera Division	Deportivo Maldonado 1X2	2.27 44%	40%2.50	-9%	1.4–1.4	40%4/10	55%11/20	50%15/30
BragantinoSantos Tue 00:00 · Serie A	Bragantino 1X2	1.99 50%	47%2.15	-7%	1.5–1.3	30%3/10	20%4/20	20%6/30
GoiásCRB Tue 00:30 · Serie B	Goiás 1X2	2.44 41%	40%2.50	-2%	1.4–1.2	50%5/10	45%9/20	40%12/30
Atlético TucumánArgentinos Juniors Tue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Argentinos Juniors 1X2	2.68 37%	35%2.84	-6%	1.2–1.1	60%6/10	40%8/20	43%13/30
Independiente RivadaviaBanfield Tue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol	Independiente Rivadavia 1X2	1.59 63%	55%1.83	-13%	1.5–1.3	20%2/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
Newcastle JetsShanghai Port Tue 08:45 · AFC Champions League Elite	Shanghai Port 1X2	1.93 52%	48%2.09	-8%	1.6–1.9	60%6/10	50%10/20	50%15/30
Bodø / Glimt U19limited dataLille U19new team Tue 11:00 · UEFA Youth League	Lille U19 1X2	1.13 88%	74%1.36	-17%	1.3–2.2	88%7/8	91%10/11	91%10/11
Vissel KobeRatchaburi Mitrphol FC Tue 11:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Vissel Kobe 1X2	1.21 83%	67%1.49	-18%	1.7–1.2	60%6/10	60%12/20	59%16/27
Kashiwa ReysolDaejeon Citizen Tue 11:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Kashiwa Reysol 1X2	1.57 64%	55%1.81	-13%	1.8–1.3	30%3/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
Jeonbuk MotorsJohor Darul Ta'zim Tue 11:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Johor Darul Ta'zim 1X2	2.37 42%	38%2.62	-10%	1.3–1.3	30%3/10	35%7/20	36%10/28
Galatasaray U19limited dataStuttgart U19new team Tue 12:00 · UEFA Youth League	Stuttgart U19 1X2	2.25 44%	41%2.43	-7%	1.6–1.8	50%4/8	55%6/11	55%6/11
Shakhtar Donetsk U19new teamSporting CP U19 Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League	Sporting CP U19 1X2	1.58 63%	51%1.95	-19%	1.5–1.5	63%5/8	62%8/13	57%8/14
Villarreal U19Paris SG U19 Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League	Villarreal U19 1X2	2.47 40%	38%2.66	-7%	1.6–1.5	30%3/10	40%8/20	43%10/23
Port FCnew teamBeijing Guoan Tue 13:15 · AFC Champions League Elite	Beijing Guoan 1X2	1.78 56%	52%1.93	-8%	1.3–1.9	88%7/8	69%9/13	67%12/18
Công an Hà NộiKyoto Sanga Tue 13:15 · AFC Champions League Elite	Công an Hà Nội 1X2	2.69 37%	38%2.64	+2%	1.7–1.3	30%3/10	45%9/20	50%15/30
Feyenoord U19new teamInter U19 Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth League	Feyenoord U19 1X2	1.80 56%	49%2.02	-11%	1.9–1.4	63%5/8	46%6/13	43%6/14
Manchester United U19new teamRoma U19new team Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth League	Manchester United U19 1X2	2.04 49%	42%2.36	-14%	1.6–1.6	33%2/6	33%2/6	33%2/6
East BengalAl Seebnew team Tue 14:45 · AFC Champions League Two	East Bengal 1X2	2.18 46%	47%2.15	disputed	2.0–1.0	50%4/8	54%7/13	56%10/18
LASK UEFA U19new teamSlovan Bratislava U19new team Tue 15:00 · UEFA Youth League	LASK UEFA U19 1X2	1.78 56%	51%1.95	-9%	2.0–1.3	33%2/6	33%2/6	33%2/6
Atl. Madrid U19Bayern U19limited data Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League	Atl. Madrid U19 1X2	1.76 57%	52%1.91	-8%	2.4–1.6	40%4/10	56%10/18	58%11/19
Barcelona U19limited dataAston Villa U19limited data Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League	Barcelona U19 1X2	1.34 75%	61%1.65	-19%	1.8–1.4	50%5/10	44%7/16	44%7/16
Al HusseinAl Shorta Tue 17:00 · AFC Champions League Two	Al Hussein 1X2	2.40 42%	42%2.38	+1%	1.9–1.3	10%1/10	50%10/20	50%10/20
EsteghlalAl Shamal SC Tue 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite	Esteghlal 1X2	2.14 47%	46%2.18	-2%	1.7–1.1	40%4/10	35%7/20	50%15/30
Spartak KostromaVolna Koverninonew team Tue 17:30 · Russian Cup	Spartak Kostroma 1X2	–	39%2.56	–	1.4–1.2	22%2/9	50%7/14	42%8/19
Lyngby BoldklubRanders FC Tue 18:00 · Landspokal Cup	Lyngby Boldklub 1X2	2.08 48%	44%2.25	-7%	1.8–1.4	50%5/10	45%9/20	37%11/30
GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart Tue 18:45 · Champions League	Galatasaray 1X2	–	46%2.17	–	1.9–1.5	60%6/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart Tue 18:45 · Champions League	Galatasaray 1X2	2.20 45%	45%2.24	-2%	1.9–1.5	60%6/10	55%11/20	53%16/30
Shakhtar DonetskSporting CP Tue 18:45 · Champions League	Sporting CP 1X2	2.01 50%	43%2.35	-14%	1.6–1.3	40%4/10	35%7/20	40%12/30
SiriusHalmstad Tue 19:00 · Allsvenskan	Sirius 1X2	1.28 78%	68%1.48	-13%	1.7–1.1	50%5/10	50%10/20	60%18/30
Al HilalShabab Al Ahli Dubai Tue 19:15 · AFC Champions League Elite	Al Hilal 1X2	1.39 72%	61%1.63	-15%	1.8–1.3	40%4/10	45%9/20	50%15/30
Preston North EndSheffield United Tue 20:45 · Championship	Sheffield United 1X2	2.09 48%	45%2.24	-7%	1.2–1.5	70%7/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
Derby CountyNorwich City Tue 20:45 · Championship	Norwich City 1X2	2.12 47%	42%2.36	-10%	1.6–1.6	50%5/10	50%10/20	53%16/30
Wigan AthleticMansfield Town Tue 20:45 · League One	Mansfield Town 1X2	2.16 46%	42%2.39	-10%	1.4–1.5	60%6/10	50%10/20	53%16/30
Huddersfield TownLuton Town Tue 20:45 · League One	Huddersfield Town 1X2	2.03 49%	48%2.10	-4%	1.8–1.3	50%5/10	45%9/20	47%14/30
Northampton TownOldham Athletic Tue 20:45 · League Two	Northampton Town 1X2	2.42 41%	41%2.46	-2%	1.4–1.0	40%4/10	45%9/20	37%11/30
Queens Park RangersBurnley Tue 20:45 · Championship	Queens Park Rangers 1X2	2.00 50%	48%2.09	-4%	1.8–1.3	40%4/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
WatfordLincoln City Tue 20:45 · Championship	Watford 1X2	2.46 41%	40%2.52	-2%	1.6–1.4	40%4/10	35%7/20	37%11/30
PortsmouthSwansea City Tue 20:45 · Championship	Portsmouth 1X2	2.69 37%	37%2.72	-1%	1.4–1.3	50%5/10	35%7/20	30%9/30
Charlton AthleticBolton Wanderers Tue 20:45 · Championship	Charlton Athletic 1X2	2.26 44%	42%2.40	-6%	1.6–1.5	30%3/10	30%6/20	40%12/30
Blackburn RoversStoke City Tue 20:45 · Championship	Blackburn Rovers 1X2	2.64 38%	37%2.73	-4%	1.4–1.4	40%4/10	25%5/20	33%10/30
VillarrealParis Saint Germain Tue 21:00 · Champions League	Paris Saint Germain 1X2	1.62 62%	53%1.88	-14%	1.7–1.7	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
VillarrealParis Saint Germain Tue 21:00 · Champions League	Paris Saint Germain 1X2	–	38%2.60	–	1.7–1.7	70%7/10	65%13/20	57%17/30
Manchester UnitedRoma Tue 21:00 · Champions League	Roma 1X2	–	46%2.15	–	1.5–1.9	80%8/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
Manchester UnitedRoma Tue 21:00 · Champions League	Roma 1X2	2.77 36%	38%2.60	+7%	1.5–1.9	80%8/10	55%11/20	57%17/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa Tue 21:00 · Champions League	FC Barcelona 1X2	1.25 80%	71%1.40	-11%	2.5–1.4	40%4/10	50%10/20	57%17/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa Tue 21:00 · Champions League	FC Barcelona 1X2	–	59%1.71	–	2.5–1.4	40%4/10	50%10/20	57%17/30
Bodø / GlimtLOSC Lille Tue 21:00 · Champions League	Bodø / Glimt 1X2	1.83 55%	52%1.94	-6%	1.8–1.3	50%5/10	50%10/20	53%16/30
Birmingham CityMillwall Tue 21:00 · Championship	Birmingham City 1X2	1.98 51%	48%2.08	-5%	1.8–1.3	60%6/10	45%9/20	43%13/30

Defensa y JusticiaIndependiente
Mon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
2.23
+1%
Defensa y Justicia 1X2
xG 1.5–1.0 · Model 45%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1547%14/30
PlatenseCentral Cordoba SdE
Mon 23:00 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
1.49
-10%
Platense 1X2
xG 1.6–1.1 · Model 60%
L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1543%13/30
AlbionDeportivo Maldonado
Tue 00:00 · Primera Division
2.27
-9%
Deportivo Maldonado 1X2
xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 40%
L540%4/10L1055%11/20L1550%15/30
BragantinoSantos
Tue 00:00 · Serie A
1.99
-7%
Bragantino 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 47%
L530%3/10L1020%4/20L1520%6/30
GoiásCRB
Tue 00:30 · Serie B
2.44
-2%
Goiás 1X2
xG 1.4–1.2 · Model 40%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1540%12/30
Atlético TucumánArgentinos Juniors
Tue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
2.68
-6%
Argentinos Juniors 1X2
xG 1.2–1.1 · Model 35%
L560%6/10L1040%8/20L1543%13/30
Independiente RivadaviaBanfield
Tue 01:15 · Liga Profesional de Fútbol
1.59
-13%
Independiente Rivadavia 1X2
xG 1.5–1.3 · Model 55%
L520%2/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
Newcastle JetsShanghai Port
Tue 08:45 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.93
-8%
Shanghai Port 1X2
xG 1.6–1.9 · Model 48%
L560%6/10L1050%10/20L1550%15/30
Bodø / Glimt U19limited dataLille U19new team
Tue 11:00 · UEFA Youth League
1.13
-17%
Lille U19 1X2
xG 1.3–2.2 · Model 74%
L588%7/8L1091%10/11L1591%10/11
Vissel KobeRatchaburi Mitrphol FC
Tue 11:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.21
-18%
Vissel Kobe 1X2
xG 1.7–1.2 · Model 67%
L560%6/10L1060%12/20L1559%16/27
Kashiwa ReysolDaejeon Citizen
Tue 11:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.57
-13%
Kashiwa Reysol 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 55%
L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
Jeonbuk MotorsJohor Darul Ta'zim
Tue 11:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
2.37
-10%
Johor Darul Ta'zim 1X2
xG 1.3–1.3 · Model 38%
L530%3/10L1035%7/20L1536%10/28
Galatasaray U19limited dataStuttgart U19new team
Tue 12:00 · UEFA Youth League
2.25
-7%
Stuttgart U19 1X2
xG 1.6–1.8 · Model 41%
L550%4/8L1055%6/11L1555%6/11
Shakhtar Donetsk U19new teamSporting CP U19
Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League
1.58
-19%
Sporting CP U19 1X2
xG 1.5–1.5 · Model 51%
L563%5/8L1062%8/13L1557%8/14
Villarreal U19Paris SG U19
Tue 13:00 · UEFA Youth League
2.47
-7%
Villarreal U19 1X2
xG 1.6–1.5 · Model 38%
L530%3/10L1040%8/20L1543%10/23
Port FCnew teamBeijing Guoan
Tue 13:15 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.78
-8%
Beijing Guoan 1X2
xG 1.3–1.9 · Model 52%
L588%7/8L1069%9/13L1567%12/18
Công an Hà NộiKyoto Sanga
Tue 13:15 · AFC Champions League Elite
2.69
+2%
Công an Hà Nội 1X2
xG 1.7–1.3 · Model 38%
L530%3/10L1045%9/20L1550%15/30
Feyenoord U19new teamInter U19
Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
1.80
-11%
Feyenoord U19 1X2
xG 1.9–1.4 · Model 49%
L563%5/8L1046%6/13L1543%6/14
Manchester United U19new teamRoma U19new team
Tue 14:00 · UEFA Youth League
2.04
-14%
Manchester United U19 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 42%
L533%2/6L1033%2/6L1533%2/6
East BengalAl Seebnew team
Tue 14:45 · AFC Champions League Two
2.18
disputed
East Bengal 1X2
xG 2.0–1.0 · Model 47%
L550%4/8L1054%7/13L1556%10/18
LASK UEFA U19new teamSlovan Bratislava U19new team
Tue 15:00 · UEFA Youth League
1.78
-9%
LASK UEFA U19 1X2
xG 2.0–1.3 · Model 51%
L533%2/6L1033%2/6L1533%2/6
Atl. Madrid U19Bayern U19limited data
Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League
1.76
-8%
Atl. Madrid U19 1X2
xG 2.4–1.6 · Model 52%
L540%4/10L1056%10/18L1558%11/19
Barcelona U19limited dataAston Villa U19limited data
Tue 16:00 · UEFA Youth League
1.34
-19%
Barcelona U19 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 61%
L550%5/10L1044%7/16L1544%7/16
Al HusseinAl Shorta
Tue 17:00 · AFC Champions League Two
2.40
+1%
Al Hussein 1X2
xG 1.9–1.3 · Model 42%
L510%1/10L1050%10/20L1550%10/20
EsteghlalAl Shamal SC
Tue 17:00 · AFC Champions League Elite
2.14
-2%
Esteghlal 1X2
xG 1.7–1.1 · Model 46%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1550%15/30
Spartak KostromaVolna Koverninonew team
Tue 17:30 · Russian Cup
–
–
Spartak Kostroma 1X2
xG 1.4–1.2 · Model 39%
L522%2/9L1050%7/14L1542%8/19
Lyngby BoldklubRanders FC
Tue 18:00 · Landspokal Cup
2.08
-7%
Lyngby Boldklub 1X2
xG 1.8–1.4 · Model 44%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1537%11/30
GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart
Tue 18:45 · Champions League
–
–
Galatasaray 1X2
xG 1.9–1.5 · Model 46%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
GalatasarayVfB Stuttgart
Tue 18:45 · Champions League
2.20
-2%
Galatasaray 1X2
xG 1.9–1.5 · Model 45%
L560%6/10L1055%11/20L1553%16/30
Shakhtar DonetskSporting CP
Tue 18:45 · Champions League
2.01
-14%
Sporting CP 1X2
xG 1.6–1.3 · Model 43%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1540%12/30
SiriusHalmstad
Tue 19:00 · Allsvenskan
1.28
-13%
Sirius 1X2
xG 1.7–1.1 · Model 68%
L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1560%18/30
Al HilalShabab Al Ahli Dubai
Tue 19:15 · AFC Champions League Elite
1.39
-15%
Al Hilal 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 61%
L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1550%15/30
Preston North EndSheffield United
Tue 20:45 · Championship
2.09
-7%
Sheffield United 1X2
xG 1.2–1.5 · Model 45%
L570%7/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
Derby CountyNorwich City
Tue 20:45 · Championship
2.12
-10%
Norwich City 1X2
xG 1.6–1.6 · Model 42%
L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1553%16/30
Wigan AthleticMansfield Town
Tue 20:45 · League One
2.16
-10%
Mansfield Town 1X2
xG 1.4–1.5 · Model 42%
L560%6/10L1050%10/20L1553%16/30
Huddersfield TownLuton Town
Tue 20:45 · League One
2.03
-4%
Huddersfield Town 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 48%
L550%5/10L1045%9/20L1547%14/30
Northampton TownOldham Athletic
Tue 20:45 · League Two
2.42
-2%
Northampton Town 1X2
xG 1.4–1.0 · Model 41%
L540%4/10L1045%9/20L1537%11/30
Queens Park RangersBurnley
Tue 20:45 · Championship
2.00
-4%
Queens Park Rangers 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 48%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
WatfordLincoln City
Tue 20:45 · Championship
2.46
-2%
Watford 1X2
xG 1.6–1.4 · Model 40%
L540%4/10L1035%7/20L1537%11/30
PortsmouthSwansea City
Tue 20:45 · Championship
2.69
-1%
Portsmouth 1X2
xG 1.4–1.3 · Model 37%
L550%5/10L1035%7/20L1530%9/30
Charlton AthleticBolton Wanderers
Tue 20:45 · Championship
2.26
-6%
Charlton Athletic 1X2
xG 1.6–1.5 · Model 42%
L530%3/10L1030%6/20L1540%12/30
Blackburn RoversStoke City
Tue 20:45 · Championship
2.64
-4%
Blackburn Rovers 1X2
xG 1.4–1.4 · Model 37%
L540%4/10L1025%5/20L1533%10/30
VillarrealParis Saint Germain
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
1.62
-14%
Paris Saint Germain 1X2
xG 1.7–1.7 · Model 53%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
VillarrealParis Saint Germain
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
–
–
Paris Saint Germain 1X2
xG 1.7–1.7 · Model 38%
L570%7/10L1065%13/20L1557%17/30
Manchester UnitedRoma
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
–
–
Roma 1X2
xG 1.5–1.9 · Model 46%
L580%8/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
Manchester UnitedRoma
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
2.77
+7%
Roma 1X2
xG 1.5–1.9 · Model 38%
L580%8/10L1055%11/20L1557%17/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
1.25
-11%
FC Barcelona 1X2
xG 2.5–1.4 · Model 71%
L540%4/10L1050%10/20L1557%17/30
FC BarcelonaAston Villa
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
–
–
FC Barcelona 1X2
xG 2.5–1.4 · Model 59%
L540%4/10L1050%10/20L1557%17/30
Bodø / GlimtLOSC Lille
Tue 21:00 · Champions League
1.83
-6%
Bodø / Glimt 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 52%
L550%5/10L1050%10/20L1553%16/30
Birmingham CityMillwall
Tue 21:00 · Championship
1.98
-5%
Birmingham City 1X2
xG 1.8–1.3 · Model 48%
L560%6/10L1045%9/20L1543%13/30

Hit rates read both teams' last 5, 10 and 15 results through the selection: a home win counts the home side's wins and the away side's defeats, a double chance their unbeaten and winless runs; draw no bet leaves draws out. Model: expected goals from each side's recent for/against (weighted toward recent games, shrunk to the average team, with a home advantage measured from the data), turned into home / draw / away by a Poisson score grid with the Dixon-Coles correction for low scores. Where the match is priced the chance shown is 70% the margin-free market price and 30% the model, because a form model cannot see squad quality the way a sharp market does; when the model alone sits 15+ points above the market, or at more than 1.5 times its chance, the row is marked disputed and shows no EV. Odds: Pinnacle (bet365 where Pinnacle has no price). Draw no bet and double chance are priced from the same 1X2 odds. EV is chance × odds − 1: the model's view of the price, not a proven betting edge. Matches leave the list at kick-off. “Limited data” marks a team with fewer than 10 recent matches in our data, “new team” fewer than 5. A guide, not a forecast. Updated 2 Nov, 21:17.

Home, draw and away rates by league (last 12 months, min. 30 matches)

League	Matches	Home	Draw	Away	Goals
1. HNL	180	48.3%	23.9%	27.8%	2.81
1. Lig	393	43.5%	23.9%	32.6%	2.9
2. Bundesliga	297	46.1%	26.9%	26.9%	2.97
A-League Men	162	37%	28.4%	34.6%	2.83
A-League Women	127	44.1%	19.7%	36.2%	2.71
Admiral Bundesliga	189	47.6%	25.4%	27%	2.86
AFC Champions League Elite	136	45.6%	23.5%	30.9%	2.77
AFC Champions League Two	120	48.3%	21.7%	30%	2.78
Africa Cup of Nations	52	46.2%	25%	28.8%	2.33
Africa Cup of Nations Qualifications	60	50%	21.7%	28.3%	2.53
Allsvenskan	224	40.6%	23.2%	36.2%	2.85
Botola Pro	225	36%	32.9%	31.1%	2.21
Brasileiro Women	167	42.5%	26.3%	31.1%	2.6
Bundesliga	297	45.5%	25.3%	29.3%	3.32
CAF Champions League	151	51%	29.1%	19.9%	2.06
Carabao Cup	93	40.9%	18.3%	40.9%	3.04
Challenger Pro League	242	44.6%	21.5%	33.9%	2.94
Champions League	279	51.6%	17.6%	30.8%	3.37
Championship	558	42.7%	26%	31.4%	2.71
Chance Liga	266	44.7%	20.7%	34.6%	2.74
CONCACAF Nations League	74	45.9%	10.8%	43.2%	3.38
Copa Del Rey	119	26.9%	10.9%	62.2%	3.23
Copa do Brasil	158	44.9%	30.4%	24.7%	2.11
Copa Libertadores	154	44.8%	26.6%	28.6%	2.1
Copa Sudamericana	157	44.6%	31.8%	23.6%	2.29
Coppa Italia	45	60%	24.4%	15.6%	3
Coupe de France	203	23.2%	26.6%	50.2%	3.14
DFB Pokal	63	27%	11.1%	61.9%	3.95
Eerste Divisie	375	44.5%	20.8%	34.7%	3.3
Ekstraklasa	302	44.7%	25.8%	29.5%	2.76
Eliteserien	224	50.4%	18.3%	31.3%	3.27
Enterprise National League	557	45.4%	20.1%	34.5%	3.04
Eredivisie	308	39.9%	28.2%	31.8%	3.3
Europa Conference League	411	47%	23.8%	29.2%	2.83
Europa League	269	49.8%	19%	31.2%	2.83
FA Cup	828	43.7%	18.5%	37.8%	3.3
First Division	180	37.2%	31.7%	31.1%	2.77
First League	275	43.6%	25.1%	31.3%	2.39
FNL	294	40.5%	27.9%	31.6%	2.52
Indian Super League	114	37.7%	32.5%	29.8%	2.47
J1 League	160	46.3%	21.9%	31.9%	2.91
K League 1	222	32%	33.8%	34.2%	2.44
KNVB Beker	109	40.4%	11%	48.6%	4.01
La Liga	379	48%	24.5%	27.4%	2.79
La Liga 2	469	45.4%	23.5%	31.1%	2.7
League One	549	44.3%	27.1%	28.6%	2.74
League Two	552	43.5%	27.5%	29%	2.59
Liga MX	328	43.6%	25.6%	30.8%	2.84
Liga Portugal	305	42.3%	25.9%	31.8%	2.7
Liga Profesional de Fútbol	528	41.3%	29.7%	29%	2.13
Ligat ha'Al	241	40.7%	24.5%	34.9%	2.95
Ligue 1	185	32.4%	28.1%	39.5%	2.04
Ligue 1	286	45.1%	24.5%	30.4%	2.86
Ligue 2	288	37.2%	31.3%	31.6%	2.57
Major League Soccer	509	46.2%	25.7%	28.1%	3.28
Persian Gulf Pro League	194	40.7%	35.1%	24.2%	1.85
Premier League	278	35.6%	34.2%	30.2%	2.18
Premier League	232	42.2%	28%	29.7%	2.56
Premier League	370	39.7%	29.5%	30.8%	2.76
Premier League	234	40.6%	26.5%	32.9%	2.5
Premier League	228	34.6%	35.5%	29.8%	2.13
Premiership	234	46.2%	23.5%	30.3%	2.81
Primera Division	293	41.6%	25.3%	33.1%	2.38
Pro League	347	43.8%	23.6%	32.6%	3
Pro League	298	42.6%	22.8%	34.6%	2.87
Russian Cup	143	40.6%	28.7%	30.8%	2.63
Serie A	405	48.4%	27.2%	24.4%	2.71
Serie A	381	41.7%	21.5%	36.7%	2.67
Serie B	392	44.4%	28.1%	27.6%	2.33
Serie B	381	43.8%	29.4%	26.8%	2.57
Stars League	132	36.4%	23.5%	40.2%	3.45
Super League	222	40.1%	24.8%	35.1%	3.4
Super League	240	43.3%	26.7%	30%	3.15
Super League	237	43%	27.4%	29.5%	2.57
Super Lig	300	45.3%	26%	28.7%	2.78
Superliga	311	50.2%	23.8%	26%	2.57
Superliga	188	41.5%	27.7%	30.9%	3.03
Taça De Portugal	146	44.5%	10.3%	45.2%	3.06
UAE Pro League	175	37.1%	25.7%	37.1%	3.06
UEFA Nations League	108	38%	25.9%	36.1%	2.44
UEFA Women's Champions League	162	50%	19.1%	30.9%	3.63
UEFA Youth League	217	49.8%	17.5%	32.7%	3.8
V-League	155	44.5%	21.9%	33.5%	2.68
Veikkausliiga	179	44.7%	27.4%	27.9%	2.6
WC Qualification Europe	60	46.7%	20%	33.3%	3.45
Women's Super League	147	44.9%	20.4%	34.7%	3.11
World Cup	104	48.1%	23.1%	28.8%	2.96
World Cup Women Qualification Europe	101	46.5%	13.9%	39.6%	3.45
Youth League	236	50%	15.7%	34.3%	3.81

How the Match Result Screener Works

Each row is one selection: a home win, a draw or an away win, or the draw-no-bet and double-chance versions of them. The model turns each side's recent goals for and against into expected goals, adds the home advantage seen in the data, and reads home, draw and away off a score grid. Where the match is priced, that model leans on the sharp market price, so the model EV is a small tilt on the price rather than a guess against it — and still the model's view, not a proven betting edge.

Draw no bet refunds the stake on a draw, so it is priced off the 1X2 without the draw; double chance covers two of the three outcomes at shorter odds. When the model alone rates a team far above the market, the row is marked disputed instead of showing an EV: a gap that big usually means team news or squad quality the model cannot see.

Using It With Other Stats

Check the form guide and home/away records behind a pick, the goal screener for how open the match should be, and the model accas to combine picks.

Match Result Screener